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Betfair’s “Next President” market remains open and so far a staggering £696m of bets have been match
Betfair’s “Next President” market remains open and so far a staggering £696m of bets have been matched – politicalbetting.com
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https://twitter.com/KennyFarq/status/1328451565330575363
https://twitter.com/janegarvey1/status/1328309584746983424?s=19
https://twitter.com/bealejonathan/status/1328265658535194624
Biden 1.05
Democrats 1.05
Biden PV 1.03
Biden PV 49-51.9% 1.05
Trump PV 46-48.9% 1.05
Trump ECV 210-239 1.08
Biden ECV 300-329 1.08
Biden ECV Hcap -48.5 1.05
Biden ECV Hcap -63.5 1.06
Trump ECV Hcap +81.5 1.02
AZ Dem 1.04
GA Dem 1.05
MI Dem 1.04
NV Dem 1.04
PA Dem 1.05
WI Dem 1.06
Being 'of the people' is overrated and far from a guarantee of quality anyway.
So Scottish devolution was intended to 'kill independence stone dead' and put SLAB in power forever.
And its been a disaster for both.
Most of the NMS is actually a conglomerate of late C19 aqnd early C20 galleries, soemwhat modernised in places, but with a lovely Victorian Venetian (?) exterior. The thing in the photo is the new wing, which was oepened in edit: 1998 (the one which had the Tories foaming at the mouth because giving it a separate door was pandering to the SNP: yes, or rather no, I don't know why). The new wing takes a lot of exploring, right up to the rooftop garden (easily missed) and the eponymous Carnyx from Deskford (not sure if it is on display). The interior is surprising in its design - you ought to try it sometime. The exterior is clad in Scottish sandstone BTW. If you are pzzled by what looks like an entry tower the fortification theme is probably quite deliberate - I seem to remember that the architects Benson + Forsyth were echoing the Half-Moon Battery at the Castle over across Greyfriard Kirkyaird.
https://twitter.com/nickeardleybbc/status/1328455478326796289
The solution is and always has been to force these devolved administrations to take fiscal responsibility for their decisions, I'd do it with some kind of new settlement which allows much more variation on tax and expenditure and borrowing abilities but also completely axing the subsidy from England and redirecting the money to the North where it's needed a lot more. If a devolved nation overborrows and goes bankrupt then it gets taken over and run from Westminster and has all the same policies and tax rates as England. No second chance either.
If we assume (and who can say, given climate change?) that we have two such winters per century then there's a 2% chance of this winter being a really cold one. But that chance doesn't increase the longer we go without one.
(And @Foxy)
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.usatoday.com/amp/91115602
It does not mention the persistent belief in Shui Gwei. Water ghosts who drag you under and make you into a changling by stealing your personality.
Big take aways. 60000 drown per year.
Biggest cause of death under 14.
I just think it is rather too brutal and clumsy, a touch uninspiring, and in the wrong place.
But it is definitely the best of the three buildings we are discussing. At least it is clad in nice stone and has some integrity.
Holyrood is downright hideous and this new hotel is scrotum-tighteningly awful. Like a nightmare.
At that point the results are official.
4% return on your money (minus fees)
And this is what it replaced ....
http://www.edinphoto.org.uk/0_street_r/0_street_views_-_saint_james_square.htm#photo_01
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1328454701160034304?s=19
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1328461148098863107?s=19
So it's a slam dunk frankly.
The beetle's head hurts sorely
But the wall endures
The Black Watch news is just the cherry and dragees on the top of the gilded turd, to use a topical expression.
I think Murray is a shoe-in for BetterTogether2. It's not a job he'll want, but he's the right man for it and he'll take it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Walnut_Whip
edit: "manufactured by Duncan's of Edinburgh in their Beaverhall Road factory"
Some journo needs to ask Sunak for his views on devolution.
MAGA Twitter and Trump are going to go mental over this for a while.
https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/18353074.rishi-sunak-denies-backing-break-up-uk-insists-strong-believer-union/
Blair deserves at least ¾ of the blame IMO
https://twitter.com/AmyEGardner/status/1328464861454622721
Tories rapidly backpedal again
Re Floyd, it’s a fairly major f*ck up. Looking at the SOS site, that’s around 7% of the votes cast there.
Lindsey Graham has prima facie tried to rig Georgia for Trump now. So who is doing the cheating ?
Also I don't thinK Raffensberger will switch party, he'll have been a republican whilst Trump was schmoozing with the Clintons. Some MAGA may try and primary him though (Not sure if that can be a thing with SoS position though ?). It's vital actual conservatives like him stay in the GOP or the party will descend even further to the alt right fringes.
https://twitter.com/montie/status/1328449454521856004?s=20
Even if you look at differences, adding another 775 votes will not carry you over that 14,000 vote gap that Trump lost by.
But also remember that US recounts aren't supposed to switch more than a few hundred votes. Errors like this clearly undermine faith in the system, and will inevitably lead to a higher threshold for recounts in the future.
Once the regions all had their own assemblies then it was obvious that some of the loyalty would be switched away from Westminster and thus loosening the bonds that bound all four countries together.
Like all "clever political wheezes", it was a bl**dy stupid thing to do that backfired like all these wheezes do.
By simply trying to run a fair process.
Which says it all really.
Above each voter is state house, state senate; house, senate, president.
I find the two year house cycle particularly mad, if you're in a swing seat it means you're in an almost perpetual state of election.
New York has some uncalled close house races right now. It's probably the worst run state in the country for elections.
2 to 1 split to Trump looks about right 1650/ 850 so closes gap a little but if thats it GA is Biden by over 13k
Like Cameron's Brexit referendum, no floor was applied. In many referenda, if a major change is being considered then often it has to reach some floor like 67% of those voting (or maybe all voters whether they vote or not)
UK referenda of recent years seem to take the approach that if 10 voters turned out and voted 6/4 for something then "the Country has spoken". In reality, all it does is polarise the electorate and thus our current messes both internal and external
That doesn't mean congressmen don't lean into their base - so there are probably a few more who survived primary challenge by pandering to the wings. But successful primary challenges aren't wildly common, and the defeated incumbent often has bigger flaws. The elections where people do tend to race to the extremes are primaries for vacant seats. Incumbents tend to go native more.
I appreciate you're referring to a wider issue with state legislatures and I don't have the primary stats on that. But I am not convinced extremism (which certainly exists) is driven by the primary process.
To this:
And naebody gans doon the Bigg Market for the architecture, do they?