Categories
Revealed – Trump’s plan to lose again at WH2024 – politicalbetting.com
Revealed – Trump’s plan to lose again at WH2024 – politicalbetting.com
Scoop: President Trump had already told advisers he's thinking about running for president again in 2024. https://t.co/XmdzNfN8N5
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
If we are no longer under the aegis of the EUMA, who is certifying this vaccine for us?
If her brother's claims are true, what Bashir invented to get the interview would have made her extremely, probably dangerously, paranoid.
The language of some of the Trump acolytes is terrifying - they claim to be democrats but only as long as the democracy gives them the result they want.
More than one is now urging State legislatures to by-pass the will of the people in the State and go to the Electoral College and support Trump even if more people in their state voted for Biden.
It would be like the people of Surrey voting in 8 Liberal Democrat MPs and 3 Conservative MPs and the Conservative-controlled County Council deciding the eight LD MPs would be replaced by eight County Councillors (Conservative of course).
As usual, such claims are "supported" by frankly nonsensical allegations of vote-rigging which would do the average banana republic proud.
The GOP has had four years to prepare for this election, State legislatures have had plenty of opportunity to defraud the electorate and rig the vote and yet the Trump supporters seem to think somehow Democrats have been able to by-pass Republican officials and fix the election.
The depressing thing is free speech means we are forced to endure these rantings.
It wouldn’t even be controversial if Mohammed Fayed were not desperate to conceal the awkward truth that it was largely his fault they were being driven by a drunk.
50......50% positivity...
Harris would start favorite, but not a shoo-in, imo.
If you mean, ‘have a gun pointed at their head and told to take that shot or this shot,’ probably not.
Unlike some on here, I'm no epidemiologist so as far as the vaccine is concerned, will we need to take it every year or will immunity build up over time? The former might be a decent option fr those making the vaccine but the prospect of a single lifetime immunity would be truly impressive.
Let's administer the vaccine free of charge to all - rich or poor, it should make no difference. We've all been through a lot.
On then to the cultural consequences of a vaccine - I'm already hearing the siren voices saying everything will return to "normal" and that 2021 will be one big Party. I'm less convinced - the psychological trauma of 2020 will be with us for years to come and we shouldn't lose sight of the near 70,000 who have died, those whose health has been permanently damaged by the virus and those who have suffered through being confined.
Perhaps this experience will make us take our public and personal health a bit less for granted and it won't do any harm for us to make some changes rather than go back to January 2020 and try to forget everything that has happened.
It would be easy to forget but the independent public enquiry Boris promised must happen - there must be a proper accounting of decisions taken and not taken especially on care homes and if that means Ministers are sacked, so be it.
Regardless of elections.
Hence calls for it to "step in" and overturn the vote. This is a fundamentally undemocratic movement.
The best one I ever heard though was a pseudoscholar called David Fitzgerald, who claimed he had written a book proving a loony fringe theory to be true. On having it pointed out to him that he had offered no proof whatsoever, he said that the evidence was in his original draft but he left it out because it made the book too long.
I, for one, rejoice that we have a Upper House of "experts in their field" to scrutinise.
Suddenly it all makes sense!
https://twitter.com/DavidHenigUK/status/1325871160056274945
That is not happening, more likely is a shift to QAnon, but most likely is sticking with Trumpism, and probably the Trumps. Far from being permanently damaged they are remarkably successful still and may well have beaten any of Harris, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren this time around, or indeed Biden if Pfizers announcement was a week or two earlier.
As much as I wish your statement were true, the evidence points to the contrary, Trumpism could pretty much guarantee 65 million votes + in 2024 (efficiently distributed by state). It is a strong base to build on if Trump stays interested.
https://pharmaphorum.com/news/ema-counts-the-cost-of-brexit-in-lost-staff-and-narrower-workload/
1. The way the wind is blowing. If Democrats are popular (big if) and it looks unlikely that a GOP nominee will win, I doubt he’ll go for it.
2. He will likely be caught up in all sorts of legal woes by then. However there is a chance he spins those as some kind of witch hunt, which could make him even more popular.
3. You have to consider what his health might be like by that point. He will be in his late 70s (yes, so is Biden, but is much more active). Sorry to be blunt, but you have to consider the possibility he might even be dead in 2024.
She will be the heir apparent if Biden doesn't seek re-election and the Democrats should be favourites to hold the White House next time.
Since the start of the 20th century only twice has a party lost the White House after just one term: Carter and Trump.
One thing it shows clearly now is the impact of Drakeford's firebreak. He may still have been late doing it though.
I'm sad for all those EU countries that have taken part in this scheme and will be at the back of the queue for a vaccine developed in part by a German company.
In 1980 after Carter lost, the last President before Trump who lost the presidential election after only one term of his party in the White House, his Vice President Mondale won the nomination only to lose the general election to Reagan.
I agree Buttigieg would be a good bet for the Democrats in 2024 if Biden decides not to run for re election and only serve the one term
Odds on feels way too short, but she may be value at the opening 7/2.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m5VGfuAUqkg
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/nov/09/nhs-test-and-trace-bosss-husband-told-to-self-isolate
Very scary. Probably worse than our first wave peak in reality.
Edit, forgot Varadkar wasn't PM now.
https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1325658119054241792?s=21
He's said he was a bridge, and I take him at his word on that.
It's also not obvious he'd have the best chance in 2024. This isn't actually a criticism as I think it was right for 2020 with hindsight - but he's a low energy person at a time people wanted a break from high energy, a throw back to the administration of a President with high retrospective approval ratings, and a somewhat "generic" Democrat in a country which is slightly more blue than red at the moment. That isn't necessarily the recipe for 2024 if Trump runs again - people may well be a bit bored of low energy, the economy may be at a sluggish phase and so on. The right offer might well be "something different and more exciting... but not THAT different and exciting".
Of course, she might choose not to run, but I don’t get that impression from her. I think she’s ambitious enough to go for it and of course she’s run before (not at all a criticism, just an observation). I do think, however, if she wants to win in 2024 she’s going to have to improve on her 2020 campaign(s). I think she’s very talented and very sharp but I found her a bit of a lacklustre campaigner, which I must admit surprised me.
Personally I have determined to run for my 23rd term as member for the Auchentennach Constituency in the elected Jacobite House of Lords. Total electorate 1
Jack W is 124 ....
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325859407620689922
Harris for nominee I'd estimate to be at least 75% chance. If Biden retires or worse it should be virtually 100% she'd hold the nomination, even if she doesn't she would be the presumptive favourite from the start and will get key backing as presumptive nominee. I suspect the likes of Buttigieg would rather be part of her team than run against her. I expect the nomination would be as much a lock for her as 2016 was for Hillary.
.7 * .75 = 52.5% chance (and I think I'm being conservative in both of those). Odds on favourite.