For me , although there are lots of permutations, who wins the election will come down to two states, FL and PA. If Biden wins FL he's going to win, end of. If he loses, though there may be some ups and downs , I think it will come down to PA. I still think the national polls are reflecting more that Biden is doing better in places like TX and GA but I don't expect him to win either or NC. AZ I think he will. I am pretty confident he will win MI and WI but I have real doubts about PA, yes he's about 5% up but the mood music there seems so volatile. So I think if it comes down to PA (which I think it will as i suspect Trump will win FL just), we may have to wait a while to know who's won and can expect some shenanigans over postal votes. So much against my personal wishes I really can see Trump falling over the line, despite losing the popular vote by more than 2016 and only just getting past 270 this time. Now I need a stiff drink
This is my exact fear – and my forecast – although I think in that scenario, it ends up 269-269?
The one prediction I want to make is that I think Biden wins Georgia in almost all circumstances.
Well if that happens he is in the White House.
What makes you so confident?
(P.S. I share others' scepticism about a PA Biden win)
I think the failed (but slim) Stacey Abrams election attempt will drive further turnout in favour of the Dems.
Look at Fulton County - Atlanta - 344,876 votes so far. That’s 80% of the 2016 turnout already.
There is a plausible scenario whereby Biden underperforms in the rustbelt but arrives in the White House via the sunbelt.
I see Ladbrokes now have Trump favourite to win FL at 8/11
And as Florida goes, so goes the presidency, generally. But stop bothering people with facts.
That is simply not true, but then facts never really seem to impinge much on your world view. Biden could easily win whilst losing Florida
Sorry but this is balls, Florida has picked the winner since 1996, and almost every time before that. After Ohio it is the state that best represents the diversity, both economically and demographically, of the whole US. If your message has failed in Florida, it's really quite unlikely it will work in the other states you need to flip.
Ohio is going to be safe R, and Florida may not be far behind.
The point under discussion is that because Florida has generally voted for the winner Biden can't win if he loses Florida. That's absolute bollox.
Yes, Florida is far from essential for Biden which is just as well because I suspect he will lose it. In the past it has been pivotal but that honour belongs to Pennsylvania now. Difficult for either to win without PA although more so Trump than Biden. Nate S did a good piece on this:
My guess is that Biden will win with PA plus one or two from Ariz/Geo/Iowa/NC. That should do it because I just don't see Trump getting close in any of the States leaning more Biden's way than PA - i.e. Nev/Mic/Minn/Wisc etc. They are all looking pretty solid.
It therefore no longer looks to me a question of whether Biden wins, but by how much. I'm reckoning a modest distance, but it could easily stretch because Ariz/Geo etc are all on a knife edge.
And then there's always Texas!
Pretty much agree with that.
If Trump manages to win the Presidency again despite losing the popular vote the the GOP will have once won the popular vote only once in the last 8 contests. Any reasonable person would conclude that the system is broken. I think the GOP know they will struggle to win at the popular vote and so spend so much energy on surpressing their opponent's votes. The US really is moving into quasi-democracy status.
The American system is like our system - the national vote tally is a point of interest but isn't really relevant. The winning post in America is 270 electoral votes - the number of votes cast to secure those EC votes doesn't really matter much.
Its a stupid stupid system. But like the absurdities thrown up by our own First Past the Post you can;t say its broken.
Justin Trudeau is PM of Canada despite losing the popular vote at the last election.
In a Parliamentary system, even in a proportional voting system, which Canada is not, the leader of the party that has plurality of votes gets first chance, so JT got a whisker under 40% of the vote, and he therefore got first chance. Sure, the Libs (and NDP) were down in seats (though the Grits were barely down in vote percentage) and the Tories and the Bloc were up, but not by enough to get the Tories into Sussex Drive.
So in short, as in the UK, the leader of the largest minority wins.
At least in a proportional system the PM generally has to lead a coalition representing the majority of votes. Now we are stuck with a UK government elected on 42% of the vote, and now supported by a fair deal less than that.
The Conservatives got most votes last year in Canada, the result in the popular votes was Conservative Party of Canada 34.34%, Liberals 33.12%, NDP 15.98% and BQ 7.63% and Greens 6.55%.
Trudeau's Liberals won most seats and were able to form a minority government propped up by the NDP, however the Liberals did not get most votes again as they had done in 2015 (incidentally my sister met Trudeau 2 years ago briefly at the D Day commemorations and found him very charismatic in person) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Canadian_federal_election
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
Constructing fanciful narratives about the royals, and dreaming about the Queen coming to tea, are at the core of what it means to be British.
I do think that for an Englishman with a rural centre of gravity, year-round exile to a LA mansion is the perfect vision of hell.
I think there's many Englishmen even in urban areas, such as Epping, who would agree.
Englishmen in London too. LA is my idea of personal hell having been there more than a few times.
I liked Malibu and Long Beach and the Getty Museum has great views but not a great fan of much of the rest of it, Hollywood itself is very overrated
When you hear the Biden platform wrapped up in thar ad, Bernie Sanders must be thinking Christ alive they have nicked all my policies, while saying I was too left wing for America.
The clear implication of that last ordinance (IF it is correct) is that you have to weak a mask in your own family home, if you are in the same room as others. Even family members.
So in a shared house you can only take your mask off in your own bedroom? What if you share the bedroom? Masked sex and masked sleep?
It's so bizarrely draconian I cannot believe it is true. A mistranslation?
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
Constructing fanciful narratives about the royals, and dreaming about the Queen coming to tea, are at the core of what it means to be British.
I do think that for an Englishman with a rural centre of gravity, year-round exile to a LA mansion is the perfect vision of hell.
Point of order:
Santa Barbara is actually quite a long way out of Los Angeles - it's a good 100 miles to the North West of the City.
Sounds like an inflexibly drafted law if so, and unenforcable without stasi levels of informant reach into the home, but I think with a lot of these measures governments are just trying to show seriousness, whether or not they can enforce.
The clear implication of that last ordinance (IF it is correct) is that you have to weak a mask in your own family home, if you are in the same room as others. Even family members.
So in a shared house you can only take your mask off in your own bedroom? What if you share the bedroom? Masked sex and masked sleep?
It's so bizarrely draconian I cannot believe it is true. A mistranslation?
My mate who lives in France says it isn't clear, but "heavily implied". 🤷♂️
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
Constructing fanciful narratives about the royals, and dreaming about the Queen coming to tea, are at the core of what it means to be British.
I do think that for an Englishman with a rural centre of gravity, year-round exile to a LA mansion is the perfect vision of hell.
Point of order:
Santa Barbara is actually quite a long way out of Los Angeles - it's a good 100 miles to the North West of the City.
Isn't 100 miles in the US the same as 10 miles in the UK?
When you hear the Biden platform wrapped up in thar ad, Bernie Sanders must be thinking Christ alive they have nicked all my policies, while saying I was too left wing for America.
Well if that is so and Biden is able to sell it, then that rather suggests Bernie is part of the problem in being unable to reach far enough to even get enough Democrats to back him, let alone America.
Sounds like an inflexibly drafted law if so, and unenforcable without stasi levels of informant reach into the home, but I think with a lot of these measures governments are just trying to show seriousness, whether or not they can enforce.
If Boris tried the same in the UK, who would be heavily heavily mocked.
Yet when the same happens in France, or Germany it's all 'well I can see what they're trying to do, very sensible..'
The clear implication of that last ordinance (IF it is correct) is that you have to weak a mask in your own family home, if you are in the same room as others. Even family members.
So in a shared house you can only take your mask off in your own bedroom? What if you share the bedroom? Masked sex and masked sleep?
It's so bizarrely draconian I cannot believe it is true. A mistranslation?
My mate who lives in France says it isn't clear, but "heavily implied". 🤷♂️
Sounds like an inflexibly drafted law if so, and unenforcable without stasi levels of informant reach into the home, but I think with a lot of these measures governments are just trying to show seriousness, whether or not they can enforce.
If Boris tried the same in the UK, who would be heavily heavily mocked.
Yet when the same happens in France, or Germany it's all 'well I can see what they're trying to do, very sensible..'
Yes, the 13% can't wait to praise Europe and shit on their own country.
Sounds like an inflexibly drafted law if so, and unenforcable without stasi levels of informant reach into the home, but I think with a lot of these measures governments are just trying to show seriousness, whether or not they can enforce.
If Boris tried the same in the UK, who would be heavily heavily mocked.
Yet when the same happens in France, or Germany it's all 'well I can see what they're trying to do, very sensible..'
I think people tend to exagerrate the effect of the personality of the leader of a nation on its virus response. Not that flaws in decision making, values or priorities will have no effect, certainly, but technical matters or matters of legislative drafting for example seem more tied up with general institutional strength.
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
Constructing fanciful narratives about the royals, and dreaming about the Queen coming to tea, are at the core of what it means to be British.
I do think that for an Englishman with a rural centre of gravity, year-round exile to a LA mansion is the perfect vision of hell.
Point of order:
Santa Barbara is actually quite a long way out of Los Angeles - it's a good 100 miles to the North West of the City.
I stand corrected. "year round exile to a not even LA mansion."
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
Constructing fanciful narratives about the royals, and dreaming about the Queen coming to tea, are at the core of what it means to be British.
I do think that for an Englishman with a rural centre of gravity, year-round exile to a LA mansion is the perfect vision of hell.
Point of order:
Santa Barbara is actually quite a long way out of Los Angeles - it's a good 100 miles to the North West of the City.
I stand corrected. "year round exile to a not even LA mansion."
Santa Barbara is probably the nicest place to live in California, maybe the USA. For a start, it has the best climate in the country.
Incidentally the whole "the level of people saying they have voted in the he sample means turnout will be greater than the number of registered voters" problem that I highlighted in that wisconsin poll is shared by lots of other state polls.
There is one scenario where it is bad for Biden - the voters the poll is missing are Trump voters and in fact Trump is doing way better in early voting than the polls imply. That scenario is reallllllly bad for Biden.
Every other scenario the error is of huge benefit to Biden if you reweight the poll to have a more realistic proportion of early voters.
lol. Who are you angry at? Me, Macron, the tweeter, France or the virus?
This place is a lockdown One Flew Over The Cuckoo's Nest; most of the posters are squabbling over whether Nurse Ratched is too strict or not strict enough, whilst talking down any attempt by McMurphy to escape
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
Constructing fanciful narratives about the royals, and dreaming about the Queen coming to tea, are at the core of what it means to be British.
I do think that for an Englishman with a rural centre of gravity, year-round exile to a LA mansion is the perfect vision of hell.
Point of order:
Santa Barbara is actually quite a long way out of Los Angeles - it's a good 100 miles to the North West of the City.
I stand corrected. "year round exile to a not even LA mansion."
Santa Barbara is probably the nicest place to live in California, maybe the USA. For a start, it has the best climate in the country.
If I had to be an exiled royal in the USA, I'd choose Santa Barbara too
But the trick is not to be an exiled royal. The family has a longstanding masochistic affinity for the very coldest and wettest parts of the UK (you must know Princetown), and if that is your cup of tea then 75F all year round is hell.
Incidentally the whole "the level of people saying they have voted in the he sample means turnout will be greater than the number of registered voters" problem that I highlighted in that wisconsin poll is shared by lots of other state polls.
There is one scenario where it is bad for Biden - the voters the poll is missing are Trump voters and in fact Trump is doing way better in early voting than the polls imply. That scenario is reallllllly bad for Biden.
Every other scenario the error is of huge benefit to Biden if you reweight the poll to have a more realistic proportion of early voters.
Whatever the explanation, it's a pretty strong indication there is a systematic error somewhere in the sampling.
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
I'm not projecting, unless you think to disagree with you is projecting? Fair enough on W&K.
I think there's clear evidence that:
(a) Meghan is very ambitious and found the Royal Family and its rules stifling - this seems typical of Americans who have Disney-like fantasies about what British royalty is actually like - duty, not being waited on hand & foot (b) There are too many stories from close family and friends (and ex-friends) of Meghan to ignore, including those that worked for and with her that point to her being a bit of a diva and rather self-centred (c) H&M both want to have their cake and eat it with the media. This is for slightly different reasons. For her, I think she is ambitious and wants herself presented in a certain way - note how she regularly invites them in, and leaks to those in favour, including cooperating on books, but sues those she doesn't like. Harry has a more visceral anger against the media (due to the tragedy of his mother) and basically hates them, but also realises he needs them to do good too - he is more interested in charity and sports than politics. (d) Harry is getting love and understanding from Meghan, who he's clearly besotted with, that he feels he didn't ever get from his own family. I have no reason to believe this isn't genuine - I note he looks at her quite a bit more than she looks at him, but not more than that. (e) Harry and William are estranged from one another and no longer close, and this is a tragedy for both. He also misses his mates in the UK and army life. I think he still has deep emotional issues he needs to work through. (f) Both Harry and Meghan were unhappy with their royal status for different reasons. Meghan because it constrained her and didn't allow her to do what she wanted. Harry because he still harbours some resentment of royal life and the media circus around it, and to some extent he was unhappy because she was too. They both largely assume any criticism *must* be racism, which then has a tendency to politicise opinion on them. (g) HMQ bent over backwards to try and find a solution for both Harry and Meghan, who weren't and aren't directly in line to the throne, and could have had a quiet life but still with a distinct role like Sophie/Edward, Kents etc. This wasn't enough for either (and I suspect Meghan a tad more) because they wanted to have their cake and eat it.
I hope there is a happy ending, but it will depend on them both developing a level of self-awareness and, quite frankly, I think Harry needs help.
You have thought about this a surprising amount. They seem like a nice couple and I wish them all the best. It's sad that they were treated so shabbily here and I'm not surprised they decided to leave. I'm not sure I would read too much into the who looks at who more thing (and how on earth did you even notice?) I'm sure I look at my wife more than she looks at me, she's just nicer to look at than I am and the same is clearly true with H&M. We've been together for 26 years, BTW...
Sounds like an inflexibly drafted law if so, and unenforcable without stasi levels of informant reach into the home, but I think with a lot of these measures governments are just trying to show seriousness, whether or not they can enforce.
If Boris tried the same in the UK, who would be heavily heavily mocked.
Yet when the same happens in France, or Germany it's all 'well I can see what they're trying to do, very sensible..'
I think people tend to exagerrate the effect of the personality of the leader of a nation on its virus response. Not that flaws in decision making, values or priorities will have no effect, certainly, but technical matters or matters of legislative drafting for example seem more tied up with general institutional strength.
I think the virus response has been best where people trust their governments.
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
Constructing fanciful narratives about the royals, and dreaming about the Queen coming to tea, are at the core of what it means to be British.
I do think that for an Englishman with a rural centre of gravity, year-round exile to a LA mansion is the perfect vision of hell.
I think there's many Englishmen even in urban areas, such as Epping, who would agree.
Englishmen in London too. LA is my idea of personal hell having been there more than a few times.
When I used to have to go to E3, I used to hate it too.
Now I live here, I love the Santa Monica - Pacific Palisades - Brentwood - Westwood area. I love the closeness of the Ocean. I love the fact that I can go skiing in the morning, and be back at work at 1pm. I love the fact that we can eat outside all year round.
Large parts of Los Angeles are fantastic. Other parts, like any other city in the world, are not so great.
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
I'm not projecting, unless you think to disagree with you is projecting? Fair enough on W&K.
I think there's clear evidence that:
(a) Meghan is very ambitious and found the Royal Family and its rules stifling - this seems typical of Americans who have Disney-like fantasies about what British royalty is actually like - duty, not being waited on hand & foot (b) There are too many stories from close family and friends (and ex-friends) of Meghan to ignore, including those that worked for and with her that point to her being a bit of a diva and rather self-centred (c) H&M both want to have their cake and eat it with the media. This is for slightly different reasons. For her, I think she is ambitious and wants herself presented in a certain way - note how she regularly invites them in, and leaks to those in favour, including cooperating on books, but sues those she doesn't like. Harry has a more visceral anger against the media (due to the tragedy of his mother) and basically hates them, but also realises he needs them to do good too - he is more interested in charity and sports than politics. (d) Harry is getting love and understanding from Meghan, who he's clearly besotted with, that he feels he didn't ever get from his own family. I have no reason to believe this isn't genuine - I note he looks at her quite a bit more than she looks at him, but not more than that. (e) Harry and William are estranged from one another and no longer close, and this is a tragedy for both. He also misses his mates in the UK and army life. I think he still has deep emotional issues he needs to work through. (f) Both Harry and Meghan were unhappy with their royal status for different reasons. Meghan because it constrained her and didn't allow her to do what she wanted. Harry because he still harbours some resentment of royal life and the media circus around it, and to some extent he was unhappy because she was too. They both largely assume any criticism *must* be racism, which then has a tendency to politicise opinion on them. (g) HMQ bent over backwards to try and find a solution for both Harry and Meghan, who weren't and aren't directly in line to the throne, and could have had a quiet life but still with a distinct role like Sophie/Edward, Kents etc. This wasn't enough for either (and I suspect Meghan a tad more) because they wanted to have their cake and eat it.
I hope there is a happy ending, but it will depend on them both developing a level of self-awareness and, quite frankly, I think Harry needs help.
You have thought about this a surprising amount. They seem like a nice couple and I wish them all the best. It's sad that they were treated so shabbily here and I'm not surprised they decided to leave. I'm not sure I would read too much into the who looks at who more thing (and how on earth did you even notice?) I'm sure I look at my wife more than she looks at me, she's just nicer to look at than I am and the same is clearly true with H&M. We've been together for 26 years, BTW...
Hmm. So first I was criticised for projecting, and now for thinking about it too much.
It's just my analysis of the situation. I think the idea they were treated shabbily here is balderdash.
I think some people simply believe what they want to believe about it.
I mean, on the back of "successful" Germany maybe, but "country who have arguably made more of a pigs ear of it than we have" France?
The pressure will come as, once again, we appear to be doing pretty badly, and so the natural reaction will be to try harsher and harsher measures to get on top of things. People argue the details, but the public still seem broadly in support of being very harsh, so I expect opposition, devolved nations and media to converge.
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
I'm not projecting, unless you think to disagree with you is projecting? Fair enough on W&K.
I think there's clear evidence that:
(a) Meghan is very ambitious and found the Royal Family and its rules stifling - this seems typical of Americans who have Disney-like fantasies about what British royalty is actually like - duty, not being waited on hand & foot (b) There are too many stories from close family and friends (and ex-friends) of Meghan to ignore, including those that worked for and with her that point to her being a bit of a diva and rather self-centred (c) H&M both want to have their cake and eat it with the media. This is for slightly different reasons. For her, I think she is ambitious and wants herself presented in a certain way - note how she regularly invites them in, and leaks to those in favour, including cooperating on books, but sues those she doesn't like. Harry has a more visceral anger against the media (due to the tragedy of his mother) and basically hates them, but also realises he needs them to do good too - he is more interested in charity and sports than politics. (d) Harry is getting love and understanding from Meghan, who he's clearly besotted with, that he feels he didn't ever get from his own family. I have no reason to believe this isn't genuine - I note he looks at her quite a bit more than she looks at him, but not more than that. (e) Harry and William are estranged from one another and no longer close, and this is a tragedy for both. He also misses his mates in the UK and army life. I think he still has deep emotional issues he needs to work through. (f) Both Harry and Meghan were unhappy with their royal status for different reasons. Meghan because it constrained her and didn't allow her to do what she wanted. Harry because he still harbours some resentment of royal life and the media circus around it, and to some extent he was unhappy because she was too. They both largely assume any criticism *must* be racism, which then has a tendency to politicise opinion on them. (g) HMQ bent over backwards to try and find a solution for both Harry and Meghan, who weren't and aren't directly in line to the throne, and could have had a quiet life but still with a distinct role like Sophie/Edward, Kents etc. This wasn't enough for either (and I suspect Meghan a tad more) because they wanted to have their cake and eat it.
I hope there is a happy ending, but it will depend on them both developing a level of self-awareness and, quite frankly, I think Harry needs help.
🤣
If you disagree I'm sure we'd all be interested in your take?
I mean, on the back of "successful" Germany maybe, but "country who have arguably made more of a pigs ear of it than we have" France?
Now Mutti Angela has done the unpleasant but (let's be blunt) necessary thing, everyone else in Europe has permission to do the same. Macron has seized to opportunity; can Johnson?
I mean, on the back of "successful" Germany maybe, but "country who have arguably made more of a pigs ear of it than we have" France?
The pressure will come as, once again, we appear to be doing pretty badly, and so the natural reaction will be to try harsher and harsher measures to get on top of things. People argue the details, but the public still seem broadly in support of being very harsh, so I expect opposition, devolved nations and media to converge.
Well that's a slightly different argument, to why specifically France doing it should lead to "huge pressure". Or is it just that other large countries doing it give the Government here the opportunity to do it without it looking like a "failure"?
I mean, on the back of "successful" Germany maybe, but "country who have arguably made more of a pigs ear of it than we have" France?
The pressure will come as, once again, we appear to be doing pretty badly, and so the natural reaction will be to try harsher and harsher measures to get on top of things. People argue the details, but the public still seem broadly in support of being very harsh, so I expect opposition, devolved nations and media to converge.
Well that's a slightly different argument, to why specifically France doing it should lead to "huge pressure". Or is it just that other large countries doing it give the Government here the opportunity to do it without it looking like a "failure"?
The Welsh LibDem leader -- Jane Dodds -- has been caught out by Guido, who (whatever his faults) has a certain low cunning for rodent-catching.
(Dodo was the patron saint of pb,com when she won the B&R by-election in 2020, with many pb-LibDems campaigning for her. She lost the seat in the General).
Dodo has been caught out broadcasting a tribute to Kirsty Williams (the only surviving LibDem AM) who apparently is not standing in 2021. The broadcast was from "here in Brecon & Radnorshire"
Except she was not in B&R, but in Richmond, SW London. A spokesman for the Welsh LibDems sheepishly admitted Jane has been living in London with her husband who works in London.
The Welsh LibDems ... they just never learn.
It may have escaped the Welsh LibDems notice, but a very basic point in helping to recover the lost ground in Wales is having a leader who actually lives in Wales.
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
How have you got close enough at the appropriate moments to determine whether they’re ummm, faking it?
Ooo what a thought! No, sadly not. Just going by what I see on the telly.
Think they might be staying together for the kids. Like Bryan Ferry and Jerry Hall.
I mean, on the back of "successful" Germany maybe, but "country who have arguably made more of a pigs ear of it than we have" France?
Now Mutti Angela has done the unpleasant but (let's be blunt) necessary thing, everyone else in Europe has permission to do the same. Macron has seized to opportunity; can Johnson?
I just think it's all pointless if you don't shut schools. What's the point in an economically catastrophic lockdown, when you are sending children off to superspreader events 5 days a week?
On the current numbers, Europe is utterly f**ked with this virus. (and that includes us).
Yet people are still insisting that we, with infection rates below other areas still getting it worse, have some form of immunity that will make it all go away completely any day now.
Sorry I thought Europe had it sorted. Europe locked down longest. Europe locked down hardest. Europe locked down smartest. Europe locked down maskiest.
And yet. Here we are
This time around though, the markets are much more sensitive to lockdown restrictions, because they have seen how lockdowns destroy economies. They have seen how two week lockdowns turn into six months ones over night. And they know, that even in the richer states, Europe has no effing money left.
By Friday, Europe could be looking at a full blown economic depression, lasting years, with all the accompanying woes. Enormous unemployment. serial unrest. Severe suppression of liberty. Disintegrating social fabric.
The cure is killing the patient.
The only type of lockdown that works is the sort they had in South Korea, China, etc, and that level of authoritarianism and compliance isn't possible in western societies.
The key isn't lockdown. The key is track and trace that works so that chains of infection are broken quickly. We simply cannot tolerate the level of ineptitude shown in that respect any more. It is no longer funny.
It seems that we cannot manage it. That is the depressing conclusion I hate to draw but am on the verge of.
No European, North American or Latin American country has "managed" this. Yet many Asian countries have. That is the true mystery.
The outlier of big developed "Western Style" countries that are plugged into the world transit system is Australia. They have most of the disadvantages of the European countries in regards to importing Covid (in fact much closer and better direct connections with ground zero) and several very large dense cities.
Australia unplugged itself from the world transit system in March. Residents are banned from going abroad, foreigners from visiting and the return to Australia of Australian nationals is limited by mandatory quarantine on arrival capacity. There are tens of thousands of Australians who want to go home, but can't.
Australia also closed the borders INTERNALLY: you were unable to get in and out of Western Australia from the Northern Territory, Tasmania was virtually sealed off, no one could cross from Vic to NSW etc
This must have been very helpful and explains, in part, their success
But this is only possible in a massive country with widely dispersed populations and relatively few internal border crossings.
I think one of the mistakes the UK government made, which credit to Mr Tesco's can't sell oven gloves in Wales did, was not to restrict people unnecessary movements to within a few miles of home, especially as we released the lockdown. We really didn't need 100,000s of people piling down to Brighton and Bournemouth.
Maybe, but I've just been down in Cornwall where they were all terrified that the huge influx of holidaymakers after lockdown (and the surge was massive and prolonged, because most British tourists could or would not go abroad) would inevitably lead to a sharp rise in Covid cases in Cornwall.
Yet it hasn't happened at all. Cornwall is still almost Covid-free.
This virus is a bloody mysterious little bastard. It never behaves QUITE how you expect
It is interesting, because we know that the European getaway to sunny climbs has caused spread both in that country and across Europe. Maybe as the Cornish are always wary of the Grockles, they already have a built in mechanism to avoid the plague bringers.
It spreads eagerly when people mix indoors, but not outdoors. Most of the patterns we are seeing can be so explained. Where there has been spread arising from summer travel, it’s been to spots with lively nightlife.
Yes I think that's true. I also wonder about spending 2-3hrs in an airport with 1000s of other people, compared to going to Cornwall in your car.
For sure, air travel is a risk, likely both in airports and the inside the planes. Wasn’t there a study released just this week that showed as much?
I have thought this must be true since the spring, since the chances of holidaymakers to Italy and Spain both chancing upon and having prolonged indoor contact with the then handfuls (proportionately) of positive cases in those countries seemed way to small to explain the number of people flying back who contracted the virus.
Also note how Europe almost closed down air travel, and recovered from the first wave, whilst the US didn’t, and didn’t.
The decision by all nations to have a European summer holiday season was absolutely mental. All those months of lockdown and border closures and then you just encourage everybody from across Europe to travel in small metal tubes to intermingle with 1000s of others from every corner of Europe.
It was a recless failiure of governments but also a failure of people who displayed a selfishness which makes me ashamed every time I think of it.
I have no issue with either of them, but it's very hard to escape the conclusion that they (or Harry at least) wants all the attention of being royal with none of the intrusion. Which is something I imagine many people have sympathy with, but is also not what they want from their royals.
It doesn't help that Harry and Meghan are lecturing us on what awful racists we are, from a $10m mansion in sunny southern California, while we sit in the chilly drizzle listening to their bilge
They are only going to get more unpopular from here on. It is very sad. I predicted they would become like Edward and Mrs Simpson, quietly loathed by Brits as they partied in their Bahamas mansion, and so it is proving.
Harry has made a tragic error. She will divorce him in a few years.
He soooo obviously wants to be drinking beer and playing polo in the English rain with his army chums, and she has so obviously got everything she wanted out of the transaction, that it seems a shame they don't dispense with the few years.
Hmm not sure. I sense their marriage is MILES happier than William and Kate's. Those two look utterly miserable and faking it the whole time to me.
Eh? I don't see that at all.
Harry looks angry and lost, although clearly enthralled by Meghan, and she looks, well, smug.
William and Kate seem like a typically happy married couple whenever I see them, they were both besotted with each other from first sight and they have three children to prove it.
I think you're projecting on the H&M front. Seeing what you feel ought to be the case. I was kidding re W&K - just to illustrate how many others are doing what I think you have just done. The projecting. H&M have "rejected us" and it must be the fault of "that woman" who has corrupted "our Harry".
I'm not projecting, unless you think to disagree with you is projecting? Fair enough on W&K.
I think there's clear evidence that:
(a) Meghan is very ambitious and found the Royal Family and its rules stifling - this seems typical of Americans who have Disney-like fantasies about what British royalty is actually like - duty, not being waited on hand & foot (b) There are too many stories from close family and friends (and ex-friends) of Meghan to ignore, including those that worked for and with her that point to her being a bit of a diva and rather self-centred (c) H&M both want to have their cake and eat it with the media. This is for slightly different reasons. For her, I think she is ambitious and wants herself presented in a certain way - note how she regularly invites them in, and leaks to those in favour, including cooperating on books, but sues those she doesn't like. Harry has a more visceral anger against the media (due to the tragedy of his mother) and basically hates them, but also realises he needs them to do good too - he is more interested in charity and sports than politics. (d) Harry is getting love and understanding from Meghan, who he's clearly besotted with, that he feels he didn't ever get from his own family. I have no reason to believe this isn't genuine - I note he looks at her quite a bit more than she looks at him, but not more than that. (e) Harry and William are estranged from one another and no longer close, and this is a tragedy for both. He also misses his mates in the UK and army life. I think he still has deep emotional issues he needs to work through. (f) Both Harry and Meghan were unhappy with their royal status for different reasons. Meghan because it constrained her and didn't allow her to do what she wanted. Harry because he still harbours some resentment of royal life and the media circus around it, and to some extent he was unhappy because she was too. They both largely assume any criticism *must* be racism, which then has a tendency to politicise opinion on them. (g) HMQ bent over backwards to try and find a solution for both Harry and Meghan, who weren't and aren't directly in line to the throne, and could have had a quiet life but still with a distinct role like Sophie/Edward, Kents etc. This wasn't enough for either (and I suspect Meghan a tad more) because they wanted to have their cake and eat it.
I hope there is a happy ending, but it will depend on them both developing a level of self-awareness and, quite frankly, I think Harry needs help.
The Texas Supreme Court has already ruled this voting setup legal so this is a quite phenomenal move by the GOP.
Not keen on this voting business, are they, the Republican Party?
It's one thing making it difficult to vote. Now they actually want to disqualify votes that have already been legimately cast! (including those who were legitimately cast by disabled people, who even they accept were entitled to use the boxes)!
On the current numbers, Europe is utterly f**ked with this virus. (and that includes us).
Yet people are still insisting that we, with infection rates below other areas still getting it worse, have some form of immunity that will make it all go away completely any day now.
Sorry I thought Europe had it sorted. Europe locked down longest. Europe locked down hardest. Europe locked down smartest. Europe locked down maskiest.
And yet. Here we are
This time around though, the markets are much more sensitive to lockdown restrictions, because they have seen how lockdowns destroy economies. They have seen how two week lockdowns turn into six months ones over night. And they know, that even in the richer states, Europe has no effing money left.
By Friday, Europe could be looking at a full blown economic depression, lasting years, with all the accompanying woes. Enormous unemployment. serial unrest. Severe suppression of liberty. Disintegrating social fabric.
The cure is killing the patient.
The only type of lockdown that works is the sort they had in South Korea, China, etc, and that level of authoritarianism and compliance isn't possible in western societies.
The key isn't lockdown. The key is track and trace that works so that chains of infection are broken quickly. We simply cannot tolerate the level of ineptitude shown in that respect any more. It is no longer funny.
It seems that we cannot manage it. That is the depressing conclusion I hate to draw but am on the verge of.
No European, North American or Latin American country has "managed" this. Yet many Asian countries have. That is the true mystery.
The outlier of big developed "Western Style" countries that are plugged into the world transit system is Australia. They have most of the disadvantages of the European countries in regards to importing Covid (in fact much closer and better direct connections with ground zero) and several very large dense cities.
Australia unplugged itself from the world transit system in March. Residents are banned from going abroad, foreigners from visiting and the return to Australia of Australian nationals is limited by mandatory quarantine on arrival capacity. There are tens of thousands of Australians who want to go home, but can't.
Australia also closed the borders INTERNALLY: you were unable to get in and out of Western Australia from the Northern Territory, Tasmania was virtually sealed off, no one could cross from Vic to NSW etc
This must have been very helpful and explains, in part, their success
But this is only possible in a massive country with widely dispersed populations and relatively few internal border crossings.
I think one of the mistakes the UK government made, which credit to Mr Tesco's can't sell oven gloves in Wales did, was not to restrict people unnecessary movements to within a few miles of home, especially as we released the lockdown. We really didn't need 100,000s of people piling down to Brighton and Bournemouth.
Maybe, but I've just been down in Cornwall where they were all terrified that the huge influx of holidaymakers after lockdown (and the surge was massive and prolonged, because most British tourists could or would not go abroad) would inevitably lead to a sharp rise in Covid cases in Cornwall.
Yet it hasn't happened at all. Cornwall is still almost Covid-free.
This virus is a bloody mysterious little bastard. It never behaves QUITE how you expect
It is interesting, because we know that the European getaway to sunny climbs has caused spread both in that country and across Europe. Maybe as the Cornish are always wary of the Grockles, they already have a built in mechanism to avoid the plague bringers.
It spreads eagerly when people mix indoors, but not outdoors. Most of the patterns we are seeing can be so explained. Where there has been spread arising from summer travel, it’s been to spots with lively nightlife.
Yes I think that's true. I also wonder about spending 2-3hrs in an airport with 1000s of other people, compared to going to Cornwall in your car.
For sure, air travel is a risk, likely both in airports and the inside the planes. Wasn’t there a study released just this week that showed as much?
I have thought this must be true since the spring, since the chances of holidaymakers to Italy and Spain both chancing upon and having prolonged indoor contact with the then handfuls (proportionately) of positive cases in those countries seemed way to small to explain the number of people flying back who contracted the virus.
Also note how Europe almost closed down air travel, and recovered from the first wave, whilst the US didn’t, and didn’t.
The decision by all nations to have a European summer holiday season was absolutely mental. All those months of lockdown and border closures and then you just encourage everybody from across Europe to travel in small metal tubes to intermingle with 1000s of others from every corner of Europe.
I did wonder if we'd get to the point where the only place you were allowed to get your family together would be on a flight to Spain.
I contemplated a family meet up in the canaries but reckon it will all have changed before we even got there. Things are moving fast in Spain and it’s becoming difficult to keep up.
Te map on Facebook with Community after Community shown red as they close borders reminded me of Sir Edward Grey's comments on the eve of the Great war.
Those figures don't pass the sniff test. Either the number of deaths in Germany is too low or the number of positive tests in the UK is too low (I know there's a lag, but the trends have been similar in both countries).
Comments
Trudeau's Liberals won most seats and were able to form a minority government propped up by the NDP, however the Liberals did not get most votes again as they had done in 2015 (incidentally my sister met Trudeau 2 years ago briefly at the D Day commemorations and found him very charismatic in person)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Canadian_federal_election
https://twitter.com/sebastiennel/status/1321535287529558024?s=21
https://www.lemonde.fr/societe/live/2020/10/28/covid-19-suivez-le-discours-d-emmanuel-macron-en-direct-a-20-heures_6057696_3224.html
*unless you're eating, presumably.
Hopefully Macron will get non-essential supermarket shopping right.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Papers,_Please
So in a shared house you can only take your mask off in your own bedroom? What if you share the bedroom? Masked sex and masked sleep?
It's so bizarrely draconian I cannot believe it is true. A mistranslation?
Santa Barbara is actually quite a long way out of Los Angeles - it's a good 100 miles to the North West of the City.
Yet when the same happens in France, or Germany it's all 'well I can see what they're trying to do, very sensible..'
https://twitter.com/PortiaCrowe/status/1321531658529574916?s=20
The French economy is going to crater. There will be riots.
"This is what a mask mandate looks like..."
Drone stopped play after 4mins
https://www.forbes.com/sites/petertaylor/2016/10/31/winteriscoming-guess-where-the-weather-is-75-degrees-and-sunny-all-year-long/
If I had to be an exiled royal in the USA, I'd choose Santa Barbara too
There is one scenario where it is bad for Biden - the voters the poll is missing are Trump voters and in fact Trump is doing way better in early voting than the polls imply. That scenario is reallllllly bad for Biden.
Every other scenario the error is of huge benefit to Biden if you reweight the poll to have a more realistic proportion of early voters.
Fuck
I mean, on the back of "successful" Germany maybe, but "country who have arguably made more of a pigs ear of it than we have" France?
They seem like a nice couple and I wish them all the best. It's sad that they were treated so shabbily here and I'm not surprised they decided to leave.
I'm not sure I would read too much into the who looks at who more thing (and how on earth did you even notice?) I'm sure I look at my wife more than she looks at me, she's just nicer to look at than I am and the same is clearly true with H&M. We've been together for 26 years, BTW...
A bleak bleak picture.
He has no symptoms though, and his wife and daughters tested negative
He's clearly trying to boost turnout, which I can understand.
Now I live here, I love the Santa Monica - Pacific Palisades - Brentwood - Westwood area. I love the closeness of the Ocean. I love the fact that I can go skiing in the morning, and be back at work at 1pm. I love the fact that we can eat outside all year round.
Large parts of Los Angeles are fantastic. Other parts, like any other city in the world, are not so great.
It's just my analysis of the situation. I think the idea they were treated shabbily here is balderdash.
I think some people simply believe what they want to believe about it.
https://twitter.com/LadPolitics/status/1321541011684970496
Rascal jacket on RB's manager
Well, well, well ...
The Welsh LibDem leader -- Jane Dodds -- has been caught out by Guido, who (whatever his faults) has a certain low cunning for rodent-catching.
(Dodo was the patron saint of pb,com when she won the B&R by-election in 2020, with many pb-LibDems
campaigning for her. She lost the seat in the General).
Dodo has been caught out broadcasting a tribute to Kirsty Williams (the only surviving LibDem AM) who apparently is not standing in 2021. The broadcast was from "here in Brecon & Radnorshire"
Except she was not in B&R, but in Richmond, SW London. A spokesman for the Welsh LibDems sheepishly admitted Jane has been living in London with her husband who works in London.
The Welsh LibDems ... they just never learn.
It may have escaped the Welsh LibDems notice, but a very basic point in helping to recover the lost ground in Wales is having a leader who actually lives in Wales.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-manchester-54695580
As does this article:
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/523199-new-voters-surge-to-the-polls
Not sure where they source the stats, but they are... interesting.
https://twitter.com/DarrenEuronews/status/1321504557529288704
???
Similar pattern in Nevada where the GOP probably are going down.
https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1321478382568177664?s=20