Thanks for that Stodge. Just a quick question - you mentioned you are suspicious about polls where he who pays the piper calls the tune. I take it then we can ignore polls commissioned by the likes of the Washington Post and New York Times then....?
I'm sure there are pro-Democrat pollsters though I note both the ABC News/Washington Post and the New York Times/Siena polls are rated A+ by 538 despite the pro-Democrat bias of the former and the pro-Republican bias of the latter.
The polls about which I'm most sceptical are those commissioned either directly for pro-Trump blogs like the Center for American Greatness or those from little-known polling organisations which just happen to be run by former Republican activists.
I'm sure if the former commissions a poll they won't be keen to publish one which was bad for Trump and good for Biden and we all know with the right sampling you can get the result for which your client will be looking.
And where they fail to produce the full content of the polls (including any 'push' questions) and the associated tables showing how the numbers were arrived at.
Thanks for that Stodge. Just a quick question - you mentioned you are suspicious about polls where he who pays the piper calls the tune. I take it then we can ignore polls commissioned by the likes of the Washington Post and New York Times then....?
I'm sure there are pro-Democrat pollsters though I note both the ABC News/Washington Post and the New York Times/Siena polls are rated A+ by 538 despite the pro-Democrat bias of the former and the pro-Republican bias of the latter.
The polls about which I'm most sceptical are those commissioned either directly for pro-Trump blogs like the Center for American Greatness or those from little-known polling organisations which just happen to be run by former Republican activists.
I'm sure if the former commissions a poll they won't be keen to publish one which was bad for Trump and good for Biden and we all know with the right sampling you can get the result for which your client will be looking.
I think most Republicans will be astounded to find out that the NYT has a pro-Republican bias.
How long before the results of the Welsh lockdown might be known? A week or two?
Not that simple.
All Wales lockdown ends on the 9th but about two thirds of the population was already in local lockdown and almost certainly most of these still will be for several weeks post the 9th.
So till today pubs were open in Cardiff till 22.00 each night and you could meet people in a garden but not indoors. All retail was open ( with distancing arrangements ) but you couldn’t travel outside your county boundary without good reason.
Now all but “essential” retail is shut ( see my despairing comments through the day on this nonsense), pubs etc are shut, and you can’t meet people even outside. Travel still banned. This latter state lasts ( in so far as we know) till Nov 9.
Actually, it is that simple. We pretty much know what the result of a 2 week lockdown will be.
The incubation period is 2 weeks. If the timescale of the lockdown is comparable to the incubation period, then you won't see that much change.
I think this has been demonstrated empirically in the Central Belt and confirmed verbally by Jason Leitch. And it is pretty obvious on general scientific grounds.
Drakeford will have to double down and go for a longer lockdown, if he wants significant results to show.
Everything we know about Drakeford, & his ultra-cautious mindset, tells us that this is exactly what he will do.
How long before the results of the Welsh lockdown might be known? A week or two?
Not that simple.
All Wales lockdown ends on the 9th but about two thirds of the population was already in local lockdown and almost certainly most of these still will be for several weeks post the 9th.
So till today pubs were open in Cardiff till 22.00 each night and you could meet people in a garden but not indoors. All retail was open ( with distancing arrangements ) but you couldn’t travel outside your county boundary without good reason.
Now all but “essential” retail is shut ( see my despairing comments through the day on this nonsense), pubs etc are shut, and you can’t meet people even outside. Travel still banned. This latter state lasts ( in so far as we know) till Nov 9.
Actually, it is that simple. We pretty much know what the result of a 2 week lockdown will be.
The incubation period is 2 weeks. If the timescale of the lockdown is comparable to the incubation period, then you won't see that much change.
I think this has been demonstrated empirically in the Central Belt and confirmed verbally by Jason Leitch. And it is pretty obvious on general scientific grounds.
Drakeford will have to double down and go for a longer lockdown, if he wants significant results to show.
Everything we know about Drakeford, & his ultra-cautious mindset, tells us that this is exactly what he will do.
I don't know - surely he loses all credibility if he doesn't lift it? The whole argument for the "circuit breaker" lockdowns was that a short sharp lockdown now, saves jobs and businesses from the effects of a longer lockdown later. If you then decide to carry on with it you just undermine the whole argument.
You either have to hope that it has "worked" (confident that the lag effect will show through in a couple of weeks) or accept that it hasn't (in which case there is no strong argument for continuing).
How long before the results of the Welsh lockdown might be known? A week or two?
Not that simple.
All Wales lockdown ends on the 9th but about two thirds of the population was already in local lockdown and almost certainly most of these still will be for several weeks post the 9th.
So till today pubs were open in Cardiff till 22.00 each night and you could meet people in a garden but not indoors. All retail was open ( with distancing arrangements ) but you couldn’t travel outside your county boundary without good reason.
Now all but “essential” retail is shut ( see my despairing comments through the day on this nonsense), pubs etc are shut, and you can’t meet people even outside. Travel still banned. This latter state lasts ( in so far as we know) till Nov 9.
Actually, it is that simple. We pretty much know what the result of a 2 week lockdown will be.
The incubation period is 2 weeks. If the timescale of the lockdown is comparable to the incubation period, then you won't see that much change.
I think this has been demonstrated empirically in the Central Belt and confirmed verbally by Jason Leitch. And it is pretty obvious on general scientific grounds.
Drakeford will have to double down and go for a longer lockdown, if he wants significant results to show.
Everything we know about Drakeford, & his ultra-cautious mindset, tells us that this is exactly what he will do.
I don't know - surely he loses all credibility if he doesn't lift it? The whole argument for the "circuit breaker" lockdowns was that a short sharp lockdown now, saves jobs and businesses from the effects of a longer lockdown later. If you then decide to carry on with it you just undermine the whole argument.
You either have to hope that it has "worked" (confident that the lag effect will show through in a couple of weeks) or accept that it hasn't (in which case there is no strong argument for continuing).
Bad data from the US (CNN): Thursday was the highest day for new infections since July 24 and the day with the fourth highest total ever, at 71,671, Johns Hopkins says.
More than 41,000 people were hospitalized across the country, according to the Covid Tracking Project. This is the highest level of nationwide hospitalizations since Aug 20.
and with thanksgiving looming, analysis suggests family gatherings and house parties are already the principal mode of transmission in most states
The key burning issue now is how to stop turkeys growing any bigger so that our smaller family Thanksgiving gatherings do not have inappropriately-sized birds.
Why do all those UK freedom lovers not quite ancient enough to remember what WWII was actually like hearken back fondly to this period of extreme government control?
How long before the results of the Welsh lockdown might be known? A week or two?
Not that simple.
All Wales lockdown ends on the 9th but about two thirds of the population was already in local lockdown and almost certainly most of these still will be for several weeks post the 9th.
So till today pubs were open in Cardiff till 22.00 each night and you could meet people in a garden but not indoors. All retail was open ( with distancing arrangements ) but you couldn’t travel outside your county boundary without good reason.
Now all but “essential” retail is shut ( see my despairing comments through the day on this nonsense), pubs etc are shut, and you can’t meet people even outside. Travel still banned. This latter state lasts ( in so far as we know) till Nov 9.
Actually, it is that simple. We pretty much know what the result of a 2 week lockdown will be.
The incubation period is 2 weeks. If the timescale of the lockdown is comparable to the incubation period, then you won't see that much change.
I think this has been demonstrated empirically in the Central Belt and confirmed verbally by Jason Leitch. And it is pretty obvious on general scientific grounds.
Drakeford will have to double down and go for a longer lockdown, if he wants significant results to show.
Everything we know about Drakeford, & his ultra-cautious mindset, tells us that this is exactly what he will do.
I don't know - surely he loses all credibility if he doesn't lift it? The whole argument for the "circuit breaker" lockdowns was that a short sharp lockdown now, saves jobs and businesses from the effects of a longer lockdown later. If you then decide to carry on with it you just undermine the whole argument.
You either have to hope that it has "worked" (confident that the lag effect will show through in a couple of weeks) or accept that it hasn't (in which case there is no strong argument for continuing).
Well in Scotland they have already extended it.
Yeah, but Sturgeon was never quite so explicit about what she was doing. And wasn't engaging in a complete lockdown.
She also justified the extension as a bridge to the new Tier system, on the grounds that it would be pointless lifting the restrictions if the area found itself in a tier which required their reimposition in a couple of days
How long before the results of the Welsh lockdown might be known? A week or two?
Not that simple.
All Wales lockdown ends on the 9th but about two thirds of the population was already in local lockdown and almost certainly most of these still will be for several weeks post the 9th.
So till today pubs were open in Cardiff till 22.00 each night and you could meet people in a garden but not indoors. All retail was open ( with distancing arrangements ) but you couldn’t travel outside your county boundary without good reason.
Now all but “essential” retail is shut ( see my despairing comments through the day on this nonsense), pubs etc are shut, and you can’t meet people even outside. Travel still banned. This latter state lasts ( in so far as we know) till Nov 9.
Actually, it is that simple. We pretty much know what the result of a 2 week lockdown will be.
The incubation period is 2 weeks. If the timescale of the lockdown is comparable to the incubation period, then you won't see that much change.
I think this has been demonstrated empirically in the Central Belt and confirmed verbally by Jason Leitch. And it is pretty obvious on general scientific grounds.
Drakeford will have to double down and go for a longer lockdown, if he wants significant results to show.
Everything we know about Drakeford, & his ultra-cautious mindset, tells us that this is exactly what he will do.
I don't know - surely he loses all credibility if he doesn't lift it? The whole argument for the "circuit breaker" lockdowns was that a short sharp lockdown now, saves jobs and businesses from the effects of a longer lockdown later. If you then decide to carry on with it you just undermine the whole argument.
Jobs .. businesses ...
This is a Welsh politician you are talking about. No politician in Wales is remotely interested in the Welsh economy.
The Welsh Tories are not interested because they know they will never be in power in Wales. The Welsh Labour Party are not interested because they know that business is evil. And Plaid Cymru are not interested because they are pre-occupied by cultural matters ... and increasingly internal strife.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
PB Tories no comment at all, I wonder how quick they would be on it if it was a Labour MP
First, I don't think there are any PB Tories any more. Secondly, nobody knows what this is about and you are not allowed to tell us. Thirdly, what the story is truly about is the pompous idiocy of the jury system. OT1H the randomers on the jury are supposed to have the intelligence, integrity, independence and soundness of judgment to convict defendants, or not, on charges which can lead to life imprisonment. OTO, if we have an instance of Priti being a twat on twitter, the option of saying "You probably never saw this but if you did it's just Priti being a twat on twitter, ignore it and carry on" is not available, because it seems jurors lack the intelligence, integrity, independence and soundness of judgment to understand and follow that advice. So which is it?
Imagine Dianne Abbott had said the same thing. Would you be saying the same thing, of course not.
And no more PB Tories? Hahahahaha
I don't know what "the same thing" is, you absolute beneficiary of my unwavering policy of never in any circumstances calling other people morons on the internet.
There’s no need to be rude.
I am talking about Priti Patel’s Tweet.
Well, the remark I was replying to suggested I was A. a PB Tory and B. applying double standards to a question, so if there's no need to be rude I assume you are doing it just for the hell of it.
Again: I do not know what Patel's tweet said. This is because the tweet has been deleted, as I understand it, as being potentially in contempt of court, and nobody is allowed to tell me what it said without also being potentially in contempt of court. Clear now?
I never said or suggested you were a PB Tory. You replied to a post not directed at you and even then I never said you were one. So first of all you're wrong.
I don't know what on Earth your problem is buddy.
Who are the PB tories then?
They are behind you !
And all around you.
And be careful, as spend too much time amongst them and BANG, then you will see one in the mirror...
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
Living up here it doesn't really feel like that. The only English is in the not Scots sense.
How long before the results of the Welsh lockdown might be known? A week or two?
Not that simple.
All Wales lockdown ends on the 9th but about two thirds of the population was already in local lockdown and almost certainly most of these still will be for several weeks post the 9th.
So till today pubs were open in Cardiff till 22.00 each night and you could meet people in a garden but not indoors. All retail was open ( with distancing arrangements ) but you couldn’t travel outside your county boundary without good reason.
Now all but “essential” retail is shut ( see my despairing comments through the day on this nonsense), pubs etc are shut, and you can’t meet people even outside. Travel still banned. This latter state lasts ( in so far as we know) till Nov 9.
Actually, it is that simple. We pretty much know what the result of a 2 week lockdown will be.
The incubation period is 2 weeks. If the timescale of the lockdown is comparable to the incubation period, then you won't see that much change.
I think this has been demonstrated empirically in the Central Belt and confirmed verbally by Jason Leitch. And it is pretty obvious on general scientific grounds.
Drakeford will have to double down and go for a longer lockdown, if he wants significant results to show.
Everything we know about Drakeford, & his ultra-cautious mindset, tells us that this is exactly what he will do.
Think incubation is a max of 14 days, but actually peaks at about 5/6?
Not that it’s going to mean there’s going to be anything definite by the z9th one way or another.
Personally I’m expecting local restrictions here till December at the least. I can see the desire to try to suppress as far as possible before Xmas, to get as low an infection base as possible, because frankly I don’t see how any govt really enforces letting granny sit at home on her tod. There would be mass disobedience.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
Living up here it doesn't really feel like that. The only English is in the not Scots sense.
It all feels a bit exaggerated to me. This is one of the oldest pretty stable polities in the world, I find it a bit hard to accept there are massively irreconcilable differences between parts of this country rather than the magnification of small differences.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
They used to speak it in London.
London is really just an English version of the Welsh Llundain.
I wonder if he might eventually just give up the pretence and call himself Emperor Xi? I mean, the falsity of the CCP branding at this point is just sad.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
Won't the high speed internet be coming from SpaceX/Starlink?
I'd advise against anyone else investing in rural broadband, until we see if they can come close to delivering on their promises of cheap satellite internet.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
And at some point many people spoke Proto-Indo-European.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The moon needs a wall.
2 and 4 could well be done. By Elon Musk, not by Trump, or pretty much anything to do with him.
The high speed wireless network across the country could be provided by adding lots of cell towers connected to Starlink satellite connections for backhaul. Nothing to do with Trumpski or his poodle at the FCC
2020 General Election Early Voting - Ballot Returns King Co, Washington as of Noon (PDT) Friday, Oct 23
cumulative ballots returned (as % of total active voter registration)
King Co = 555,486 (39.4%)
City of Seattle = 225,017 (45.3%)
Analysis of last night's statewide returns shows that high-turnout voters AND Democrats are over-represented in the early returns so far.
However, note that nearly 10% of voters rated UNLIKELY to vote IF 2016 turnout was repeated this year have already returned their ballots, twelve days BEFORE EDay.
Am sure further analysis will show a Democratic advantage in early voting of these low-turnout voters.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
And at some point many people spoke Proto-Indo-European.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
Living up here it doesn't really feel like that. The only English is in the not Scots sense.
It all feels a bit exaggerated to me. This is one of the oldest pretty stable polities in the world, I find it a bit hard to accept there are massively irreconcilable differences between parts of this country rather than the magnification of small differences.
I would agree for now. But 50 years ago the SNP were eccentric cranks. Even at the turn of the century the idea of their dominance seemed outlandish.
England was only created by combining Wessex, Northumbria and Mercia, without Northumbria there is no England
You’re forgetting:
1) East Anglia
2) Eadward the Elder took the title of King of England following his suppression of his cousin’s kingdom of Mercia in 918.
I do enjoy how much we do and do not know about early England. I've been reading some pocket sized biographies of early kings, and one, I think it was William II, we apparently don't even know where he was for 2 years of his reign, as the sources just are't there.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
And at some point many people spoke Proto-Indo-European.
In fairness local Welsh ( Cumbrian) probably only died out in the 12th century. The mountain Helvellyn, or Penrith, sound like Welsh because basically they are. As is the word Cumbria ( Cymru ).
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
Living up here it doesn't really feel like that. The only English is in the not Scots sense.
It all feels a bit exaggerated to me. This is one of the oldest pretty stable polities in the world, I find it a bit hard to accept there are massively irreconcilable differences between parts of this country rather than the magnification of small differences.
I would agree for now. But 50 years ago the SNP were eccentric cranks. Even at the turn of the century the idea of their dominance seemed outlandish.
Sure, and granted the world trend is toward nations breaking apart thesedays, but rise in Scottish sentiment appealing to history is one thing, we're orders of magitude beyond that if we're getting into Northumberland. The myth versus the reality would have to be working so much harder.
Think incubation is a max of 14 days, but actually peaks at about 5/6?
Not that it’s going to mean there’s going to be anything definite by the z9th one way or another.
Personally I’m expecting local restrictions here till December at the least. I can see the desire to try to suppress as far as possible before Xmas, to get as low an infection base as possible, because frankly I don’t see how any govt really enforces letting granny sit at home on her tod. There would be mass disobedience.
There was a hilarious interview by Evan Davies on poor old Mark Drakeford on R4 the other day.
He just kept on saying, "We like to be careful in Wales, you know. We like to do things cautiously. It is careful steps that we take here in Wales". Evan was knocking him about mercilessly.
So, I think expecting substantial Welsh restrictions till December .... 2022 .... is pretty realistic.
I note that despite Mark being careful & cautious, and living on his own in a hut in his garden, his wife and mother still ended up with the virus.
He seems ... shall we say, accident-prone when it comes to his family.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The moon needs a wall.
2 and 4 could well be done. By Elon Musk, not by Trump, or pretty much anything to do with him.
The high speed wireless network across the country could be provided by adding lots of cell towers connected to Starlink satellite connections for backhaul. Nothing to do with Trumpski or his poodle at the FCC
Note that one alternative to the Shy Trumpsky vote theory is the Shy Kanye vote.
Further note that Elon Musk is one of (the very few) endorsers of KW.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
And at some point many people spoke Proto-Indo-European.
Many? Or just a small ancestral population?
For the time I assume it was many, though you're right I imagine it was a small group.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The moon needs a wall.
The pub landlord had it right. What’s the point? There’s nothing there we would want. No hot and spicy food, nor Olympic quality athletes. And no one to give it back to when we’ve finished with it.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
Is the Welsh dart into the East Midlands inspired by Bonnie Prince Charlie?
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Well, the Allies did reach the Yalu River in autumn 1950, but by the end of the year, the Chinese intervened and pushed them south.
Only because MacArthur was an insubordinate fool. In sending them there in the first place.
My own Daddy Dearest never made it to the Yalu, but close enough - MUCH too close - with USMC and Royal Marines during Chosin Reservoir Campaign.
Needless to say, though he was there are MacArthur's greatest military achievement - the Inchon Landing - my father was NOT a great admirer of "Dugout Doug".
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Elon is increasingly fed up with Cali's leadership. Hence why he's moved his new project to Texas.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
And at some point many people spoke Proto-Indo-European.
Many? Or just a small ancestral population?
For the time I assume it was many, though you're right I imagine it was a small group.
The kingdoms of Rheged and later Strathclyde probably stretched from Lancashire to Glasgow or thereabouts from the 7thC on, before being conquered or absorbed by Northumbria, various Vikings, and Scotland.
They left an early Welsh veneer of names. As well as Cumbria ( Cymru), Helvellyn ( melyn - yellow), and Penrith ( Penrhydd - head of the fords ), there’s Ecclefechan ( Eglwys Fechan - litttle church ) Lanark ( Llanerch), Penicuik ( Pen y coed - Forest End) and best of all Glasgow ( Glas Cae green field ( blue actually but don’t ask), as well as others.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Errrr nope. The East Coast (Florida and Texas) operations are there because it is considered impolite to overfly populated areas with rockets. There is absolutely no chance of them leaving Hawthorne.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
Is the Welsh dart into the East Midlands inspired by Bonnie Prince Charlie?
I've been suspicious of the Welsh ever since I went the wrong way on the motorway and was headed toward the Severn Bridge, turned around, and came upon a 'Welcome to England' sign without even having left it, but clearly the Welsh had sortied across and pushed back the border!
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Elon is increasingly fed up with Cali's leadership. Hence why he's moved his new project to Texas.
Which he has shown... by opening new facilities there. Such as the new R&D facility for Starlink....
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Errrr nope. The East Coast (Florida and Texas) operations are there because it is considered impolite to overfly populated areas with rockets. There is absolutely no chance of them leaving Hawthorne.
For Musk the future of SpaceX is Starship.
Where is Starship being developed and launched? Texas.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Elon is increasingly fed up with Cali's leadership. Hence why he's moved his new project to Texas.
Which he has shown... by opening new facilities there. Such as the new R&D facility for Starlink....
Well they were still selling them in the Tesco I was in a couple of hours ago, along with all the Magazines (like the ones that are all about Cats). Not light bulbs though, so I guess if you live in a bedsit and your existing bulb breaks, you've just got to live in the dark for the next 2 1/2 weeks.
I see the NYT has done one of its "man on the street regular undecided voters" pieces again where it turns out the people interviewed are GOP comms directors and sons of Trump appointed ambassadors and the like.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Errrr nope. The East Coast (Florida and Texas) operations are there because it is considered impolite to overfly populated areas with rockets. There is absolutely no chance of them leaving Hawthorne.
For Musk the future of SpaceX is Starship.
Where is Starship being developed and launched? Texas.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Errrr nope. The East Coast (Florida and Texas) operations are there because it is considered impolite to overfly populated areas with rockets. There is absolutely no chance of them leaving Hawthorne.
For Musk the future of SpaceX is Starship.
Where is Starship being developed and launched? Texas.
Sigh. Most rockets are launched Eastwards - to utilise the Earths spin, among other things.
Launching Eastwards from Vandenberg would not be allowed because you are not allowed to fly rocket launches over people, in most of the world......
And the Raptor engine is being built at... Hawthorne.
Thanks for that Stodge. Just a quick question - you mentioned you are suspicious about polls where he who pays the piper calls the tune. I take it then we can ignore polls commissioned by the likes of the Washington Post and New York Times then....?
I'm sure there are pro-Democrat pollsters though I note both the ABC News/Washington Post and the New York Times/Siena polls are rated A+ by 538 despite the pro-Democrat bias of the former and the pro-Republican bias of the latter.
The polls about which I'm most sceptical are those commissioned either directly for pro-Trump blogs like the Center for American Greatness or those from little-known polling organisations which just happen to be run by former Republican activists.
I'm sure if the former commissions a poll they won't be keen to publish one which was bad for Trump and good for Biden and we all know with the right sampling you can get the result for which your client will be looking.
And where they fail to produce the full content of the polls (including any 'push' questions) and the associated tables showing how the numbers were arrived at.
Do we know what the SurveyMonkey polls are based on? I see they have a D- rating from 538, and I think of them as a seller of DIY voodoo polls, but their results look reasonably plausible.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Errrr nope. The East Coast (Florida and Texas) operations are there because it is considered impolite to overfly populated areas with rockets. There is absolutely no chance of them leaving Hawthorne.
For Musk the future of SpaceX is Starship.
Where is Starship being developed and launched? Texas.
The "future of Musk" is NOT the topic you are (ostensibly) discussing, which is the 2020 election.
Notion that Trumpky's inter-planetary ambitions will be critical X-factor for THIS election is pile of space poop.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
They used to speak it in London.
London is really just an English version of the Welsh Llundain.
Hell, they used to speak it in France (according to Tacitus)
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
They used to speak it in London.
London is really just an English version of the Welsh Llundain.
Hell, they used to speak it in France (according to Tacitus)
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
They used to speak it in London.
London is really just an English version of the Welsh Llundain.
Hell, they used to speak it in France (according to Tacitus)
They still do speak it in Wales' successful colony in France.
Well, the Allies did reach the Yalu River in autumn 1950, but by the end of the year, the Chinese intervened and pushed them south.
Only because MacArthur was an insubordinate fool. In sending them there in the first place.
My own Daddy Dearest never made it to the Yalu, but close enough - MUCH too close - with USMC and Royal Marines during Chosin Reservoir Campaign.
Needless to say, though he was there are MacArthur's greatest military achievement - the Inchon Landing - my father was NOT a great admirer of "Dugout Doug".
One of the most brutal fighting retreats ever, I think - terrifying just to read some of the accounts.
I don’t understand why China is so boastful, though, bearing in mind how the North turned out compared with the South.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Errrr nope. The East Coast (Florida and Texas) operations are there because it is considered impolite to overfly populated areas with rockets. There is absolutely no chance of them leaving Hawthorne.
For Musk the future of SpaceX is Starship.
Where is Starship being developed and launched? Texas.
Well, all very ambitious, but what's up with 2 of the 4 things being space stuff? But if Trump wants to go I am sure many will be happy for him to try.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The US's manned spaceflight infrastructure (read jobs) is almost entirely based in red states. That includes SpaceX.
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Rather large chunks of SpaceX are in California.
Won't be for long...
Errrr nope. The East Coast (Florida and Texas) operations are there because it is considered impolite to overfly populated areas with rockets. There is absolutely no chance of them leaving Hawthorne.
For Musk the future of SpaceX is Starship.
Where is Starship being developed and launched? Texas.
Sigh. Most rockets are launched Eastwards - to utilise the Earths spin, among other things.
Launching Eastwards from Vandenberg would not be allowed because you are not allowed to fly rocket launches over people, in most of the world......
And the Raptor engine is being built at... Hawthorne.
Yes I assure you I'm very aware of that. I'm not sure how it has anything to with the fact almost all the manned spaceflight infrastructure in the US, be it NASA or SpaceX, is in red states.
I see the NYT has done one of its "man on the street regular undecided voters" pieces again where it turns out the people interviewed are GOP comms directors and sons of Trump appointed ambassadors and the like.
In other words, folks who have GOOD reason NOT to be sold on voting for Trumpsky.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
They used to speak it in London.
London is really just an English version of the Welsh Llundain.
Hell, they used to speak it in France (according to Tacitus)
Gaulish, as in Asterix of course.
Indeed. He said that the Common Brittonic language differed little from that of Gaul.
This site is hilarious - right here democracy is dying on its arse; the economy is dying on its arse; jobs, lives and mental health are being destroyed; people are dying alone - their loved ones prevented from being by their sides; the government and their advisers spew out a never-ending stream of insane regulations which will inevitably lead to mass poverty... and this site is analysing the demographics of an opinion poll for an election on the other side of the Atlantic.
I see the NYT has done one of its "man on the street regular undecided voters" pieces again where it turns out the people interviewed are GOP comms directors and sons of Trump appointed ambassadors and the like.
In other words, folks who have GOOD reason NOT to be sold on voting for Trumpsky.
Oh, they were 'undecideds' who were totally voting for Trump.
The NYT was so embarrassed they edited the article to remove at least one subjects.
Well, the Allies did reach the Yalu River in autumn 1950, but by the end of the year, the Chinese intervened and pushed them south.
Only because MacArthur was an insubordinate fool. In sending them there in the first place.
My own Daddy Dearest never made it to the Yalu, but close enough - MUCH too close - with USMC and Royal Marines during Chosin Reservoir Campaign.
Needless to say, though he was there are MacArthur's greatest military achievement - the Inchon Landing - my father was NOT a great admirer of "Dugout Doug".
One of the most brutal fighting retreats ever, I think - terrifying just to read some of the accounts.
I don’t understand why China is so boastful, though, bearing in mind how the North turned out compared with the South.
Quite a bit of it is declaring heroic victory... *because of the appalling loses* the Chinese suffered.
So there are two schools of thought in the Community Party on Korea
- Must hang on to our success... North Korea - Offer the South support with unification (and money to do so) in return for kicking out the Americans. Turn a united Korea into their Canada.....
This site is hilarious - right here democracy is dying on its arse; the economy is dying on its arse; jobs, lives and mental health are being destroyed; people are dying alone - their loved ones prevented from being by their sides; the government and their advisers spew out a never-ending stream of insane regulations which will inevitably lead to mass poverty... and this site is analysing the demographics of an opinion poll for an election on the other side of the Atlantic.
...Well this is ostensibly a site about political betting. I'm aware the website name is not entirely clear on that point, but I assure you it is.
I'm sure there are plenty of websites for doomers about.
I know that all national identity is pretty arbitrary when you get right down to it, and ones can develop with a pseudohistorical basis, but I think you'd have to really stretch a definition to conclude Northumbrians, of any particular definition, have not been English for quite some time.
They used to speak Welsh in Cumbria.
They used to speak it in London.
London is really just an English version of the Welsh Llundain.
Hell, they used to speak it in France (according to Tacitus)
Gaulish, as in Asterix of course.
Indeed. He said that the Common Brittonic language differed little from that of Gaul.
Indeed he did.
Though whether Breton had any elements of local Gaulish survival whilst being boosted by 5/6th invasions from SW Britain is a matter for debate.
It seems Gaulish might’ve lingered on in parts of central and northern France (only just about being called “France” about then of course) till the 6th century at least.
This site is hilarious - right here democracy is dying on its arse; the economy is dying on its arse; jobs, lives and mental health are being destroyed; people are dying alone - their loved ones prevented from being by their sides; the government and their advisers spew out a never-ending stream of insane regulations which will inevitably lead to mass poverty... and this site is analysing the demographics of an opinion poll for an election on the other side of the Atlantic.
Well, the Allies did reach the Yalu River in autumn 1950, but by the end of the year, the Chinese intervened and pushed them south.
Only because MacArthur was an insubordinate fool. In sending them there in the first place.
My own Daddy Dearest never made it to the Yalu, but close enough - MUCH too close - with USMC and Royal Marines during Chosin Reservoir Campaign.
Needless to say, though he was there are MacArthur's greatest military achievement - the Inchon Landing - my father was NOT a great admirer of "Dugout Doug".
One of the most brutal fighting retreats ever, I think - terrifying just to read some of the accounts.
I don’t understand why China is so boastful, though, bearing in mind how the North turned out compared with the South.
Yes, the Frozen Chosin was NOT a picnic - not with 1st Maine Division (including some US Army and Royal Marines) being outnumbered 10 to 1. Only thing that saved them was
a) caution by USMC commanders, who did NOT trust the bilge MacArthur's entourage was pumping out)
b) fighting prowess of Marines, Americans AND Brits
c) arctic weather conditions that hit shortly after Chinese launched their offensive, brutal for both sides (more casualties from frostbite than gunshot) but worse for the Chinese who went into battle wearing tennis shoes and cotton padded uniforms.
As to the wider war, evidence that Mao got snookered into entering by Stalin, thereby diverting China for years AND costing her dearly in blood, treasure and time that could all have been better spent.
BUT then Peoples Republic DID force a stalemate upon the most powerful nation on Earth AND it's allies, no small achievement.
Comments
Only because Ed Balls said he would resign if there were to be space owls in the manifesto.
Oh.
The incubation period is 2 weeks. If the timescale of the lockdown is comparable to the incubation period, then you won't see that much change.
I think this has been demonstrated empirically in the Central Belt and confirmed verbally by Jason Leitch. And it is pretty obvious on general scientific grounds.
Drakeford will have to double down and go for a longer lockdown, if he wants significant results to show.
Everything we know about Drakeford, & his ultra-cautious mindset, tells us that this is exactly what he will do.
You either have to hope that it has "worked" (confident that the lag effect will show through in a couple of weeks) or accept that it hasn't (in which case there is no strong argument for continuing).
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/hunter-biden-tony-bobulinski-joe-biden-unanswered-questions
Maybe she was living on the East Coast of the US during Operation Drumbeat?
She also justified the extension as a bridge to the new Tier system, on the grounds that it would be pointless lifting the restrictions if the area found itself in a tier which required their reimposition in a couple of days
This is a Welsh politician you are talking about. No politician in Wales is remotely interested in the Welsh economy.
The Welsh Tories are not interested because they know they will never be in power in Wales. The Welsh Labour Party are not interested because they know that business is evil. And Plaid Cymru are not interested because they are pre-occupied by cultural matters ... and increasingly internal strife.
How long before Farage has her signed up to his new, new, new party?
And be careful, as spend too much time amongst them and BANG, then you will see one in the mirror...
Winchester be thy glory.
And just 'high' speed internet, not superhigh or megafast?
The only English is in the not Scots sense.
Not that it’s going to mean there’s going to be anything definite by the z9th one way or another.
Personally I’m expecting local restrictions here till December at the least. I can see the desire to try to suppress as far as possible before Xmas, to get as low an infection base as possible, because frankly I don’t see how any govt really enforces letting granny sit at home on her tod. There would be mass disobedience.
Is that a cannula in his hand ?
https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1319682778779320326
London is really just an English version of the Welsh Llundain.
I'd advise against anyone else investing in rural broadband, until we see if they can come close to delivering on their promises of cheap satellite internet.
The high speed wireless network across the country could be provided by adding lots of cell towers connected to Starlink satellite connections for backhaul. Nothing to do with Trumpski or his poodle at the FCC
cumulative ballots returned (as % of total active voter registration)
King Co = 555,486 (39.4%)
City of Seattle = 225,017 (45.3%)
Analysis of last night's statewide returns shows that high-turnout voters AND Democrats are over-represented in the early returns so far.
However, note that nearly 10% of voters rated UNLIKELY to vote IF 2016 turnout was repeated this year have already returned their ballots, twelve days BEFORE EDay.
Am sure further analysis will show a Democratic advantage in early voting of these low-turnout voters.
In sending them there in the first place.
He just kept on saying, "We like to be careful in Wales, you know. We like to do things cautiously. It is careful steps that we take here in Wales". Evan was knocking him about mercilessly.
So, I think expecting substantial Welsh restrictions till December .... 2022 .... is pretty realistic.
I note that despite Mark being careful & cautious, and living on his own in a hut in his garden, his wife and mother still ended up with the virus.
He seems ... shall we say, accident-prone when it comes to his family.
Further note that Elon Musk is one of (the very few) endorsers of KW.
Coincidence? Kismet?? Conspiracy???
https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1319705132209229825
Ga. OCT 12-15, 2020 A/B Opinion Insight* 800 LV Biden 49% 45% Trump Biden+4
As alluded to above, for GOP-leaners we're largely talking about rural/suburban internet access which can be quite poor in areas. They'll be thankful for any increase. Super-mega-hyperfast is more a deep blue concern.
Needless to say, though he was there are MacArthur's greatest military achievement - the Inchon Landing - my father was NOT a great admirer of "Dugout Doug".
Elon is increasingly fed up with Cali's leadership. Hence why he's moved his new project to Texas.
They left an early Welsh veneer of names. As well as Cumbria ( Cymru), Helvellyn ( melyn - yellow), and Penrith ( Penrhydd - head of the fords ), there’s Ecclefechan ( Eglwys Fechan - litttle church ) Lanark ( Llanerch), Penicuik ( Pen y coed - Forest End) and best of all Glasgow ( Glas Cae green field ( blue actually but don’t ask), as well as others.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UT9fEeupVg0
Where is Starship being developed and launched? Texas.
https://twitter.com/kathrynw5/status/1319750243626356737?s=19
Launching Eastwards from Vandenberg would not be allowed because you are not allowed to fly rocket launches over people, in most of the world......
And the Raptor engine is being built at... Hawthorne.
Notion that Trumpky's inter-planetary ambitions will be critical X-factor for THIS election is pile of space poop.
I don’t understand why China is so boastful, though, bearing in mind how the North turned out compared with the South.
You're arguing for the sake of it.
The NYT was so embarrassed they edited the article to remove at least one subjects.
So there are two schools of thought in the Community Party on Korea
- Must hang on to our success... North Korea
- Offer the South support with unification (and money to do so) in return for kicking out the Americans. Turn a united Korea into their Canada.....
I'm sure there are plenty of websites for doomers about.
Though whether Breton had any elements of local Gaulish survival whilst being boosted by 5/6th invasions from SW Britain is a matter for debate.
It seems Gaulish might’ve lingered on in parts of central and northern France (only just about being called “France” about then of course) till the 6th century at least.
a) caution by USMC commanders, who did NOT trust the bilge MacArthur's entourage was pumping out)
b) fighting prowess of Marines, Americans AND Brits
c) arctic weather conditions that hit shortly after Chinese launched their offensive, brutal for both sides (more casualties from frostbite than gunshot) but worse for the Chinese who went into battle wearing tennis shoes and cotton padded uniforms.
As to the wider war, evidence that Mao got snookered into entering by Stalin, thereby diverting China for years AND costing her dearly in blood, treasure and time that could all have been better spent.
BUT then Peoples Republic DID force a stalemate upon the most powerful nation on Earth AND it's allies, no small achievement.