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If this election follows previous ones then 10m more women will vote than men – politicalbetting.com
If this election follows previous ones then 10m more women will vote than men – politicalbetting.com
One of the features of this election which has been repeatedly observed is how poorly Trump is doing with women voters particularly those with college degrees. Four years ago that segment was mostly for Trump now its switched to Biden.
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Possibly...
https://twitter.com/DPMcBride/status/1319683559993581574
Pivot to the centre ? Pivot to facsism more like from Trump.
Women were much more reticent to back independence than men.
Educated women in strongly Red areas.
Appeals court above is the 9th circuit which oversees California, Oregon, Washington, Arizona! (Nice one for the Dems), Hawaii and Alaska. Probably the most liberal appeals court in the whole of the USA.
So I don't think the Nevada GOP has much chance aside from perhaps a couple of minor concessions in their moves.
Edit: I know it has been pointed out, as TSE has below, that who appointed who is not an absolute determinator of outcomes, but the parties clearly value getting to appoint people they consider reliable for a reason, so onthe whole it must surely bear fruit.
John Paul Stevens and David Souter were appointed by Republican Presidents but were the most reliably liberal votes in SCOTUS.
The only question is how significant the numbers.
https://www.kingcounty.gov/depts/elections/about-us/security-and-accountability/watch-us-in-action.aspx
Activities viewable via live cam include:
> Election service center (where voters with issues can come in person to register, get ballots and vote)
> Drop box sorting
> Sorting (of all returned ballots, into batches for verification, quality control and eventual tabulation)
> Alternative format ballot processing
> Signature verification
> Envelope review (for ballots that are "challenged" by election workers due mostly to missing or mismatched signatures)
> Opening (where ballots approved from counting are taken out of envelops and inspected)
> Ballot review (where ballots with issues such as voter corrections, stray marks, etc are processed by teams of workers)
> Scanning and tabulation (where approved, processed ballots are scanned into tabulators, with actual votes NOT tabulated until AFTER 8pm on Election Day)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1319711102977134594?s=20
Which means, either Congress and the Senate will have to start passing laws again - which requires a serious Democrat majority and will to do so.
Or court packing. Which in turn means end to the fig leaf of Judicial independence and a complete Spoils Systems when the pendulum goes back the other way. As it will....
I think a chunk of the early turnout is based on stories of this happening, plus various voter suppression methods - mainly reducing voting places in Democrat areas. So people reacted to the possibility of having to vote in person and big queues on the day by voting early.
I think you might mean anyone in a liberal democracy outside of the US ?
Don't knows
Male 94 (12% of the male sample)
Female 191 (23% of the female sample.
https://www.opinium.com/resource-center/voting-intention-8th-october-2020/
I've always got a few if Trump were to win.
In fact some on here would also put Boris in that bracket in the UK too
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_MwvdsM3zrM&feature=share&fbclid=IwAR2IkdwfttKhhfDOkgvbWpDZMXccaUZ7Z9k5ynfsa6mXwIoziDcG692rw1Y
The usual MO of the prosecution is to begin by throwing the book at the accused and charging them with everything they can possibly think of meaning the accused is facing often quite literally the rest of their life in jail, if all the charges are proved. Then they offer a plea bargain to a much, much reduced set of charges with a relatively small penalty.
Most defendants take the bargain: to not to, you'd have to be supremely confident that the DA's case won't stand up, and that your lawyer can make that so. If you're too poor to afford a lawyer good enough to give you that confidence, which the vast majority of those accused are, then it becomes a no-brainer.
There's also the scandal of bail in America.
John Oliver once did a segment on it, and it seemed disproportionately favour the wealthy, and discriminate against the poor and ethnic minorities.
The prison service in America seems to employ people who think prison rape is just one of those things that happen to bad people, and anyone in prison is a bad person.
PB Tories, any comment?
https://twitter.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1319172209403961346?s=20
For example:
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/10/16/voting-intention-con-39-lab-38-14-15-oct
20% of females vs 12% of men were "don't knows" in voting intention, but equal on certainty to vote, and females were more likely to break for SKS to BJ.
Women are basically less dogmatic in their views IMO.
Sorry, but THAT is a total crock of shit.
Because America is NOT like other nations. And NOT just because it "is still the largest economy with the largest military on earth".
https://www.salon.com/2020/10/16/watchdog-group-accuses-amy-coney-barrett-of-unconscionable-cruelty-in-teen-rape-case/
No, for once I am not joking.
Presumably Tories won’t ask for Ben to apologise?
It’s generally believed in academia that he hasn’t written anything since his PhD as he forces his research assistants to write under his name.
If you believe a re-elected Trump would pose no threat to the constitution in his second term of office, then we’ll have to agree to differ.
It is not a matter of right vs left. I don't think Romney would have done so much damage.
https://twitter.com/BBCNews/status/1319723241636855808
https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1319705156938829826?s=09
And the community facebook page is something Drakeford should avoid
Trump won Montana by 21 points. The Siena poll puts Biden with 6. On UNS Biden should only be within 12.
If Trump wins it will be with Biden coming pointlessly close in numerous Deep Red states.
Add the 'undecideds' with Siena to Trump and he would indeed be just 3% behind Biden nationally, within range of a narrow EC victory
Dave was right, too many tweets do make a twat.
And no more PB Tories? Hahahahaha
I also noticed a couple of new polls on 538 from either low rated or non rated pollsters but all the same very favourable to Trump
Basswood Research (rated B/C) have Arizona a tie (though the poll is from early Oct)
Zia Poll (rated C/D but much more recent polling) have Trump +4 in Michigan
So though the trend's the friend rather than odd polls thats now two more polling companies adding to the narrative being built by Trafalgar and Rasmussen. (and IBD to a lesser extent)
See how PB as a general rule avoided the Alex Salmond stuff from the moment he was charged until the actual trial.
Sung by Wolves supporters to Shrewsbury Town supporters in the FA Cup last season.
Turns out they really are.
I'm not talking about lean R respectable pollsters such as St Pete, HarrisX, IBD and even Rasmussen.
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1319725703584251904
(Highly likely biased) fieldwork 3 fucking weeks ago !
AND based on my own observations, think increasing numbers of women (at least in US) are sports fans AND loyal to their favorite teams.
One small point of evidence: check out King Co Elections webcam for their Election Services Center, which directly assists voters in person. One of the workers helping voters is wearing her Seattle Seahawks jersey.
For today is Blue Friday for "the 12s" before this Sunday's NFL game between Seattle (5-0) and Arizona Cardinals (4-2)
Go Hawks!