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Whilst Betfair remains suspended we receive an ‘optimistic’ update from Trump’s doctors – politicalb
Whilst Betfair remains suspended we receive an ‘optimistic’ update from Trump’s doctors – politicalbetting.com
If you're betting on the US Presidential election this is of interest, something to ponder whilst Betfair remains shut.https://t.co/sFHtZoafPM
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So...does he make it?
I genuinely hope so! Lashings of humble pie to be consumed by Trump after a Biden win.
That quite different from the doctors trying to calm the nation and a hospital worker leaking that isn't true.
Though I suppose he could become a Republican and do both.
Cleveland did come back to beat Harrison in the 1892 election and get a delayed second term but he had won the popular vote in 1888
https://twitter.com/timothy_stanley/status/1312437456285777920?s=20
If I'm darkly cynical he attended in the hope to infect Sleepy Joe.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3665046
Trump is text book high risk. Add to that the fact that everywhere he has been in the last five days would appear to have been branches of Covid-Central, the viral dose could be off the scale too.
He's doing good. So far it's looking like a mild case. As per the Doc. But he and his political team want to amp it up. They want to build the drama. The concern. The sympathy. So they brief accordingly off the record. They whisper that old Trumpy is in a heap of trouble here. And they get the Doc to give an ambiguous answer on oxygen. So rather than the simple truth - that he doesn't need it - he garbles the convoluted gobbledegook we heard and which is now (precisely as they wanted) being analysed to death.
Objective - Set up a "President Trump battles through" moment in due course for maximum electoral impact.
Here's a theory...he felt crappy for a week, he got tested, got a positive, then got a negative and forged ahead. I believe there has been concern about the accuracy of testing the white house use for daily screening.
Just asking....
Hang on Don!
Or
And this is my theory. His passing is announced a week Friday. On the following Sunday he stands proud and tall at a lecturn in the Rose Garden. A divine resurrection! EC landslide.
Though of course we all hope Trump pulls through
“The PM was in Exeter yesterday and was interviewed for our localTV news by an experienced political commentator. The PM was evasive, bumbling, poorly prepared and utterly unconvincing“
“Boris's dreadful performance on the Covid epidemic has let us all down badly“.
“This is just not the right time for Boris to be the PM. This calls for a skillset which even his most ardent supporters know he doesnt possess “
“Johnson is not PM material and never will be.”
“ Sadly, it is also fair to Boris whose inability to take soundings has led to this sorry state – and he is still heading farther into the quick sands. Poor country, poor people”
“ So Boris is past his shelf life. Who will replace him?”
“ don't think Boris is able to up his game. I can't believe he was promoted to prime minister”
That 72 hours refers to when Trump was tested, rather than when he received the result? And that he was given treatment between those times as a precautionary measure? And that he was having difficulty breathing 24 hours ago but he's now almost fully recovered?
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wired.com/story/how-taiwans-unlikely-digital-minister-hacked-the-pandemic/amp
Should make interesting reading.
https://twitter.com/thesundaytimes/status/1312449915021213696
Now I basically agree with their analysis... but are they winning converts in the Conservative Party? I suspect not yet, and that it remains mainly people who always hated him but were temporarily silenced. The grassroots still like his style, and he's not faced any elections at which councillors lose seats, MPs get seriously nervous and so on.
Bad news - Trumpsky (like Bojo?) making BIG play for the sympathy vote.
Good news - zero evidence there IS any sympathy vote for US President.
He was succeeded by John Adams, the first official Federalist President, who lost his battle for re election in 1800 to Thomas Jefferson, a Democratic-Republican.
The Whigs (the ancestral party of today's Republican Party) also held the Presidency for only one term from 1840 to 1844 and 1848 to 1852 but neither William Harrison or Zachary Taylor sought re election
https://news.yahoo.com/battleground-wisconsin-latinos-feel-ignored-101140103.html
Interesting description in there of Nevada as "increasingly competitive".
Which would be a first for Trump.
https://thehill.com/homenews/media/519418-chris-wallace-trump-arrived-too-late-to-be-tested-in-ohio-before-debate-relied
Read up re: Flexner, Malone and many other authorities based on primary sources.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/working-class-mps-make-the-victory-truly-comprehensive-9cc3r3zcw
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-48745333
The new breed let off steam a bit but ultimately they owe Johnson personally, and need him even if he's tarnished - they aren't holding those seats with Jeremy Hunt or whatever, and ultimately have to lash themselves to the mast. I think when push comes to shove, that's what they'll do. Also, members have personal loyalty to him, and aren't readily going to let their MP cast him aside.
I ultimately think this "Johnson under pressure" stuff is for the birds. If he wants to - and he actually might not as he finds being PM a pain and it detracts from his social life - I think there is practically zero chance of him being eased out as party leader in the next five years. He'd either lose a general election or come under greater pressure with a reduced majority in a second full term.
For some reason, an awful lot of sportspeople seem to think they’re immune from it, or that they don’t need to modify their usual risky behaviour during a pandemic.
file:///home/chronos/u-a4ac0077cff3dec12ab65f91af1476ea4829487c/MyFiles/Downloads/CBP-7483%20(1).pdf