The US polling that’s putting the focus on the key group that backs Trump – evangelical Chrisitans – politicalbetting.com
Extraordinary polling in the US about how White Evangelicals, Trump’s biggest backer view refugees pic.twitter.com/Cr0ZXyusMG
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Or 10th if using a PCR test.
Thanks are in order to OGH for enlightening PBers as to the Puseyite grounding of Trumpsky's world view.
However, if that second wave crashes over our shores and leaves many more dead, they may be very unforgiving indeed. As the old saying goes: “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.” The next election is four long years away, but if the British public feel they’ve been made fools of in entrusting Johnson with their lives and livelihoods, the shockwaves could last for quite some time.
https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/did-boris-johnsons-summer-policies-hasten-a-second-wave_uk_5f690e6cc5b6f7e41b0064c7?9df
Johnson won't be standing in 2024 - the question is, how much damage will he have done to the Conservatives by then?
https://twitter.com/MigrationWatch/status/1307761471426789378?s=20
As a non evangelical Anglican personally I welcome genuine refugees, indeed we are even housing a number from the Home Office at a hotel outside Epping but they must be genuinely fleeing persecution, not illegal immigrants
Yet another U-turn from the Government - it seems local Government re-organisation is off the agenda:
https://www.getsurrey.co.uk/news/surrey-news/surrey-county-council-live-unitary-18970570
obviously johnson has been told tory mps want stand for it.
It's a good idea that should be seriously looked at, although in fairness that particular example did seem a very big one.
PS I did enjoy Dr OLiver's battlefields research, to give him full credit.
The District and Borough Councils argued they were closer to the residents and also argued smaller authorities were more effective so the options are a single authority for 1.2 million people or three authorities of roughly 400,000 each.
Which is the better option? Should it be a one-size-fits-all approach?
BBC News - Covid: Pubs and restaurants in England to have 10pm closing times
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-54242634
Would every potential PM have grasped this? Probably not.
Did Johnson's instincts (distracted, not very numerate, a bit lazy, loath to impose restrictions) mean that he was about the worst possible person to have in the hot seat at the time? Would some plausible alternatives (say Rory Stewart, who had experience of managing an epidemic) have done a substantially better job? Hell yes.
https://twitter.com/BBCBreaking/status/1308156739389403142?s=20
Come and arrest me you Gestapo fucks. I am going to drink with my friends and my lovers and if we snuff it, so be it.
Rule of 6 is no good if every morning, noon and night you hang out with a different set of 6.
The "OK, you have one final chance" speech fails much more frequently than it succeeds.
If people behave properly then there is little reason R can't go back to below 1 without draconian actions.
A "this shit is serious, pull yourselves together and be responsible" speech without a draconian lockdown could be the best situation from here.
Treat people as responsible adults and encourage them to be responsible.
To be clear, I don't want another lockdown either. It would be hugely damaging and a complete failure of government. But you can't just say "we mustn't have another lockdown". You need a robust setup so that we don't end up where we ended up in March.
A great many pubs will get the vast majority of their income before 10pm and from responsible drinkers who aren't a threat to anyone.
My bigger concern is that a 10pm closure just leads to people thinking "lets continue this at yours" and leads to home drinking without any precautions.
If we do not get a vaccine soon we could be living with this for years, even decades
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1308158046418489349?s=19
We are paralysing ourselves for a disease which would have made our medieval ancestors, who built the great Gothic cathedrals of Europe, the finest artistic creations on earth, snigger in total derision.
Though I've wanted every PL game televised legally for years, it is absolutely bonkers not to televise the 3pm Saturday games when there are no fans at 3pm Saturday games.
Just offer reasonable priced access to all games, do a red zone type show where we get to switch between game footage / instant highlights (rather than having to listen to Robbie Savage scream at a monitor).
So the PM will use political capital announcing new measures to annoy those in low risk regions. And announce nothing new at all for high risk areas!
Genius.
If we were going to do that we should have done that six months ago when you were getting your knickers in a twist, complaining about why people here were talking about care homes.
To do that now when a vaccine is probably just weeks away from being announced as being successful seems . . . odd timing.
I am genuinely surprised a rider didn't test positive after somebody screaming in their face as they went up a mountain.
Treat people like grown ups and they will behave like grown ups.
They were explicit.
A worst case scenario if nothing was done. So not a prediction at all.
There is still no confirmed case of outdoor transmission...
I think when you get down to a certain level of powers and money, there is not much additional benefit to be gained from devolving it down still further to more localised elements, even though localism in general is a good thing. I think politicians and people, being conservative, instinctively oppose such things even if they have no genuine attachment to, say, a local government district, but the harm they fear is vastly overblown.
Sounded very convincing at the time.
Using the indicative in a indirect question? And eius to refer to the subject of the sentence, rather than a form of suus? These people were truly barbarians.
And in our area there has been no Covid for months now. They’d have to continue with furlough and/or provide further support. They don’t want to do that.
6 months, 6 weeks and 6 days ago don't seem that different as of late.
There are three possible policies...
1) Minimise disruption, do nothing/herd immunity
2) Minimise economic and social impact, manage it to within NHS capacity
3) Minimise casualties, aim for eradication
That’s about it. You have to pick either 1,2 or 3.
(Other train operators and lunch vendors are available)
Night all
This is about public health and people already get confused from hearing this, then that. You need the message to be clear and concise.