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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest polling on government’s handling of COVID 19 crisis and whether EdSec Williamson should quit
Latest Opinium approval rating on government's handling of COVID 19 has a net minus 17% pic.twitter.com/sZa4uKvBZG
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Should Williamson go? Dido to the rescue?
Oh and first.
Something about the tarantula loving Williamson gives me the heebie jeebies.
On Thursday, schools will issue the grades they estimated. Meanwhile, Ofqual will run their model, and final results (which may go up from the school-issued grades) will be issued sometime next week...
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/gcse-and-a-level-students-to-receive-centre-assessment-grades
Meanwhile, the ghost of Chris Grayling is trying to look at a camera and say "do you miss me yet?" Unfortunately, the camera is pointing the wrong way.
Strategy has returned!
Not a fair comparison with Williamson by any measure.
Revolving door
That's the new line
The government have done the right thing, ultimately. That will never be enough for Captain Hindsight though.
According to wiki, Davis, Johnson, and Hammond were battling for the leadership "in a battle that could tear the government apart" in 2017, resulting in May having to announce her resignation date. One of Davis' allies was organising letters to force a contest. Johnson set out his own vision of Brexit which was different to the PMs.
If the PM has to announce her forthcoming resignation with the senior cabinet members openly plotting against her, that is not a party where the chief whip is doing well.
Its funny. Called him it a few times in the past month but now its really taking the piss, he really is taking this Hindsight malarkey to whole new levels: attacking the government for doing what his own party also did and which he had nothing to say against until now - what a farce.
It should be enough that the news is showing clips of Williamson apologising for this, but no he needs to keep on digging. Why? He's banging on now that the problem has been there for months but so has he and he's had NOTHING to say about it until now.
Keir Starmer's origin story:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PzWq2qWbTpo
It does, however, give us quite a big insight that Javid has given up his leadership ambitions.
What a horrible thing. A complete witch-hunt, and of a person found innocent of witchery.
May announced her resignation date in 2019 not 2017. The letters were organised in 2018 not 2017. Johnson's alternative vision was in 2018 not 2017.
Ouch.
This is what I was saying. I was calling for a u-turn before the Leader of the Opposition. What the actual f**k. He needs to start opposing in advance and not just be Captain Hindsight.
That awful Cummings mask that didn't even work being a case in point. What even is this one?
If the govt performs well or even averagely they get re-elected regardless of how wonderful Labour might be.
If the govt performs badly they would still get re-elected if Labour are perceived as Corbynite nutters, but would fall as long as people think Labour are a safe pair of hands, however little they have said about anything.
I think their strategy of pointing out govt failures without getting bogged down in offering alternatives plays to the percentages.
It's the finance version of becoming an after dinner speaker.
We tried to get Kaz Hirai now that he's fully stepped down from Sony, but he didn't want to do it apparently.
https://twitter.com/tamcohen/status/1295465879967334400
Having flagged something as an issue in advance means when it blows up you're taken far more seriously. That isn't happening.
https://twitter.com/NatashaC/status/1295468386114248705
Tory backbenchers will be on WhatsApp tonight.
If it is leading on a political story it means folk are talking about it. Folk who don't talk about politics as a rule.
Accusing Starner of acting in hindsight by criticising the grading model before the results were published of hindsight seems a bit rich. How exactly is he supposed to have critiqued a model that no one had access to except OFQual & DofE insiders?
And he didn't think to speak to the Government his party runs in Wales? Whose First Minister is still standing by the system but saying they're only changing because the English have?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/15/exclusive-boris-johnson-yes-will-take-back-350m-eu-nhs/
If you want to think wiki is making it all up fine.
Instead the Education Unions and the Labour Party Government endorsed it, until his Hindsight abilities took over.
I once briefly worked for the international baccalaureate. You had schools from all over the world. If a school's performance was markedly up or down over a year we would flag it. Some teacher's (not the majority) marking and predictions were a little eccentric shall we say. Generally on the up side. If you aren't sure whether to predict a B or a C which way do you think they go?
I feel sorry for people who sat A levels last year who have a taken a gap year and won't be going to as good universities as worse students with particularly generous teachers.
This pattern of a flawed starting assumption and perfectly rational decisions that flowed from it has been once again plain to see in the debacle of the A-level results.
... [huge snippage]
In a striking parallel to the poll tax, the overall outcome was broadly defensible but the individual impact was not.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/08/17/a-levels-debacle-threatened-another-poll-tax-moment-tories/
"The prime minister delivered a modest slap on the foreign secretary's wrist: "Boris is Boris", "this government is driven from the front".
Mr Johnson allowed himself a modicum of self-abasement: "There is only one driver in this car... and it is Theresa.""
Clearly they were divided and it was a threat to her, a successful threat in the end even if it dragged on for two years. Im out.
Thankfully the government saw sense and swiftly ended this rather than digging their heels in like Thatcher did with the poll tax.
Hunt is remarkable quiet this week...
On this they had nothing whatsoever to say, so should just let the government own the u-turn and STFU rather than keep digging. Hope the media ignores Labour's complicity in this.
Scrub that, all you have to do is question Cummings. Poor Javid. I wonder if Don will let him back when Williamson finally goes.
He's doing to take down the Union and the Conservative Party with him.
She is married to Conservative Party Member of Parliament John Penrose, who sits on the advisory board of think tank "1828" which calls for "the NHS to be replaced by an insurance system and for Public Health England to be scrapped."
I think I can see where this one is headed.
If I was a conservative mp my letter would be written just waiting for a date in early new year post brexit
A monumental fuckup was identified, well in advance.
They were warned it was going to be a huge fuckup.
They insisted not only was it fine, but they would never, ever alter course.
Then the shit hit the fan.
Then the U-turn.
More Tory voters also think Williamson should stay than go
Johnson’s criteria for cabinet membership was: a) absolute loyalty to Johnson and b) total commitment to whatever Brexit Johnson deems as Brexit.
This left a rather short list of “talent” to choose from.