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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just a year and a bit after becoming PM Johnson finds him trai
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just a year and a bit after becoming PM Johnson finds him trailing in YouGov’s “Best PM” polling
One of the things about this regular polling question on who people would prefer as PM is that the incumbent generally gets a huge boost and it is only very rare that we have a finding like that from YouGov today which puts the LOTO in the top slot.
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Is it a blip? We shall soon see.
(And back to work for me)
You can’t possibly trust an exam system when it is run by liars who don’t understand basic principles of assessment, statistics or administration.
It would be worth it, as long of course as it was a small pizza.
Yes I needed to know.
But I’m so bloody furious with these useless stuck up third rate scum that I’m wondering if I will sleep tonight.
Opinium: 4 points
YouGov 6 points
Survation: 8 points
Anymore?
Basically, the polls haven't moved
I wonder if we're going to see pushy middle class parents with the hump being the moment Boris Johnson's government hits real sustained unpopularity.
I then saw someone heading in to the convenience store. Without a face covering. Dickhead.
But I’m still fucking furious.
I’m now really regretting giving out realistic grades. I’m in a panic as to what they’re going to be changed to.
Should have given everyone 9s and A*s as a massive FU to the system.
The key metric for me is whether the public are ready to trust Labour back in Government and on that, currently, Starmer still has much to do.
Yes, he's generally liked (and certainly doesn't inspire the antipathy Corbyn enjoyed) but Labour is more than Starmer and at some point there will be a need to put some flesh on the bones of what a Labour Britain in the mid 2020s and beyond might look like.
I do think with Starmer in charge more people are likely to give Labour a hearing than was ever the situation with Corbyn. That's the opportunity Labour cannot afford to pass - convincing people they are ready and credible as the next Government is partly about the policy headlines but it's also about catching the sense of where people want the country to be heading.
Governments lose when they lose that sense of direction.
A few more wearing them but vast majority do not
And it was funny listening to Starmer backing Drakeford on non wearing of masks on his visit here this week
Therefore I continue to wfh, I make minimum trips shopping. I don't goto pubs or restaurants. I don't visit family or friends physically. I am pretty sure I am at less risk from that than many who advocate masks for shops but then happily sit down in a pub quaffing with friends
Should this not be a worry for Brits on holiday there ?
The Tories stayed in power in 2017 because unpopular Teresa May added 20% more votes on top of Cameron's haul in 2015. Crap efficiency from far more votes lost them seats - but it was far more votes. Corbynite loons always bang on about national vote tallies instead of seats to show how popular he was vs PM Blair, yet are silent on how The Jeremy drove 2.3m people to vote for May when they didn't vote for Cameron
(In these heady stakes I should declare myself as a pineapple with ham vague supporter, and actually on a pizza I think the combination works best. )
I think nearly all spread is by aerosol in an indoor environment. There seem very few cases associated with fomites (contaminated objects). While masks are permeable to fine aerosols, they reduce velocity and thereby area of spread.
Sure, 3 months ago when supplies were short, it wasn't the best use, but now that isn't an issue.
It's the complete disregard for those who have lost loved ones and those whose health has been permanently damaged by the virus which angers me.
Instead, death has been trivialised and weaponised as lines on a graph or entries on a spreadsheet and we are supposed to believe it is "great news" that "only" some people have died today - it's not great news for them or for their families.
Objectively Starmer is doing the best of any Labour leader in a long time. Why can't we just be happy with that
I think the spices I* use seem to infuse well into the spirali.
*Ok the spices my mother uses.
Foxy said:
'That is a fantasy. Do you think that the anti Corbyn SNP and Lib Dems would have supported a radical manifesto?
In any case, in 2017 plenty of candidates prospered by distancing themselves from Corbyn. We discussed here how few had pictures of the leader on their leaflets etc. The individualised, devolved campaigns may have meant more gains than otherwise.'
With respect, I fail to see how that is a fantasy. If Labour had ended up on circa 277 seats with the Tories on circa 302, would there have been any serious possibility of the SNP and the LibDems propping up Theresa May? Both might well have been able to block parts of the Labour programme they found unacceptable, but neither would have voted to keep the Tories in office.
Dodds is the potentially weak link, but she certainly knows that and is just consolidating.
Nandy is really doing well.
I do feel those who have died have been forgotten, their families and loved ones have been forgotten and those whose health has been permanently damaged by the virus have also been forgotten.
All that seems to matter are beaches, eating out and pubs re-opening.
I understand the need to emphasise life for the living but there has to be a moment or two of reflection for those who aren't with us and for those who will live with the consequences of the virus for a long time to come.
200 of about 110,000 vs 1235 of 65,000,000.
So the conclusion is either
a) Slough is completely different to the rest of the country
b) The ONS survey has some flaw to it
The simpler of the two explanations is b) therefore applying Occams razor as I can't prove either a or b then it seems likely that b is the answer
But leaving aside the fact there isn’t, would anyone trust an organisation that has long associations with Dominic Cummings to get its sums right?
*Although if there were, would there have been any reason for us to have to send in predicted grades?
Chicken doesn't belong in pasta or pizza obviously.
https://www.bbcgoodfood.com/howto/guide/perfect-pairings-how-match-pasta-shapes-sauces
This is going to be a bumper year for clearing, with few foreign students and many deferring, so plenty of places for those who want them.
I read “have you worn a mask outside in the past week” to mean AT LEAST ONCE not always. If so I can believe 96%
After all, with a more centralised campaign in 2019, heavy losses resulted.
As far as I am aware though the only prerequisite to become prime minister and appointed by the queen to the role is you must command the confidence of the house of commons
I think to many gap year students things look grim, with both work and travel being problematic.
While I would be happily disobeying this law, I should note that I can't due to COPD and asthma and apparently am medically exempt. So sadly even though not wanting to I am complying with legislation which is a complete downer
However, there was a PM who was briefly not a member of either house - Sir Alec Douglas-Home in 1963, between renouncing his peerage and being elected MP for Perth and Kinross.
There was also a foreign secretary, Patrick Gordon Walker, who was foreign secretary for some months in 1964-65 despite losing his seat at the 1964 election.
I don’t think Sturgeon could be PM without either being an MP or peer, or declaring she would enter parliament.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_who_have_addressed_both_houses_of_the_Parliament_of_the_United_Kingdom
They just need to do it outside the hpuse of commons besides its only convention and new conventions can be made if the momentum to do so is there.
The blue-grey band represents the range of excess death estimates based on the max and min for the previous 5 years.
Sounds like our national parks are getting trashed. Daily Mail has a similar piece.
Perhaps we need a more traditional soaking wet summer next year to remind everyone to head to Magaluf for parties.