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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The case for betting on a Trump victory in November
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The case for betting on a Trump victory in November
If you don’t want Trump to win in November (which I think is most people on this site), then there is plenty of data out there to give you hope. The RCP national polling average has Biden’s lead over Trump at +7.1%. In key swing states, the RCP average also shows Biden leading in all 5 (FL, PA, WI, NC, AZ) and polls have suggested Biden is now competitive in states such as Ohio and Texas. Trump’s approval ratings continue to fall, with the RCP average showing a net disapproval of c. 11%.
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No business is going to set up there.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/52959292
People have literally lost their mind.
https://twitter.com/RoRyxotic/status/1269698079000846340
But my God the Wokeists are demonstrating precisely why he was elected in the first place.
There is nothing safe about Trump.
Vindication is the wrong word as well. Without starting a 'first they come for X' contest, getting lucky that the first targets 'deserved' it really does open the door to a slippery slope. I was going for optimistic.
Sounds like they are moving to British style policing with consent, rather than US style policing with militarisation.
https://time.com/5848705/disband-and-replace-minneapolis-police/
Without knowing the full details as its an emerging story, sounds perfectly sensible to me, and presumably welcomed by all those who think UK policing is significantly better than US policing.
I do not understand this sentence.
Yeah, vote for that guy...
Christ, might as well say he's racist against indians for using the word thug because of its origin.
I think Trump will win unfortunately.
Plenty would still not agree with him, but couldn't dismiss his comments then as being silly in talking about the 'only disease' right now.
So Id imagine the police chief may well stay the same if they are interested.
The drink has addled your once bright mind.
In the US, huge numbers of people have guns, and of course the criminals in cities routinely do.
It is why the police in the US end up killing ~1000 a year, but less than a 100 a unarmed. The police certainly have an issue with racial discrimination, but they also have an issue with I am going into a situation expecting an armed individual and more than likely find one.
But doesn't seem to provide any.
a charitable body formed in 1769 in honour of Colston and which has been raising money for good causes ever since (for 250 years).
Oh, damn it, you mean someone else.
With the protests and riots it is increasingly looking like the 1968 election, with Trump doing a Nixon and posing as the law and order candidate against the Democratic nominee, an amiable man who has held the post of Vice President, then Humphrey, now Biden.
I agree the Republican base is still strong for Trump but Biden in turn will hope to win over independents and get high turnout from the black community, especially given recent events. As the article states where the relatively high number of Libertarian voters from 2016 could also be crucial.
In 1968 Nixon beat Humphrey by just 0.7%
It's the closest we've got to a Mao or Lenin statue in this country I think.
Here, again excluding a very small minority (that the police already have a decent idea about), the worst you come across is the odd hand gun. In the US, either via different states who have very lack laws or Mexico, the fire power criminals can get there hands on is frightening.
PBers keep telling us that this all plays into Trump’s hands. Yet the polling says otherwise. Wouldn’t it have played into his tiny hands just a little bit by now?
Crazy if so.
I'd also add the long and short campaign is crucial for Trump (and Biden).
Biden cannot be drawn into the culture wars, or Trump will drag him down and beat him senseless with experience.
A difficult line to walk I would have thought.
But better than kneeling on necks.
Red is the Con VI lead
Navy Blue is Maggie's Net Satisfaction lead over Callaghan, Foot then Kinnock
Light Blue is her Personality lead over Callaghan, Foot then Kinnock
Do you include as racists those who don't care if the statue were removed, or'd even support its removal, but don't agree that being frustrated at slow progress means criminal damage is totally fine?
Colston Hall to be renamed at some point.
I had wondered where the slavers were operating from in Scotland, and have just had a quick look at this helpful guide from The National Trust for Scotland.
https://www.nts.org.uk/learn/downloads/Scotland and the SlaveTrade.pdf
I haven't read Hugh Thomas's book, but I might now look out for it.
* Obviously JFK's choice turned out to be particularly important.
And obviously the US should heavily restrict firearms.
Night all
Will their be much appetite in Brizzle to restore him to his pedestal? I doubt it.
We shouldn't be the sort of country where mobs tear statues down.
I never thought I'd have to write that.
I'm annoyed he wrecked Kenilworth Castle, it's nice enough as ruins but could and would have been better fully preserved.
I do think the margins remain close enough to make a Trump win possible and Mr Ed puts the case well. But I'd put him at no better than about 7-4..
For a Law and Order President I don't see much.
For a naturally gifted medic I see a lot of virus.
For a great business brain I see many without jobs.
I really don't think he is is comparable to Mao or Lenin though. The atrocities in Ireland, terrible though they were (as warfare of the time was, though the events in Ireland were not typical for the isles), often seems to end up attributing the truly horrific overall death toll in Ireland from that entire war period entirely at his feet.
I am not aware of what happened to Lenin's statue.
How might, say, an African slave shackled up deep inside the hold of a ship sailing to the West Indies or Southern USA had democratic means to address his or her perceived actual wrongs?
https://www.pinterest.co.uk/pin/42502790211665389/
That's why most of this stuff is really displacement activity.
Nuking a city just might don't you think?
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