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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just over five months after GE2019 – how Johnson and his top t
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just over five months after GE2019 – how Johnson and his top team are being rated
The chart above is based on the latest favourably polling by YouGov a series that I had a hand in creating a few years back.
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* She's too incompetent to be a rival for his job
* She will have to be loyal, because she must know that no other PM would give her an important job
* She's popular with part of his base
She's unpopular with the voters at large, but it's nearly five years until they matter. In the meantime Conservative MPs are a much bigger threat to Boris. So maybe he leaves her in place until closer to the election.
Btw Sunak not Sunnak in the lead
That, I suggest, is a good thing. If you don't understand why, that 80 seat majority probably came as a surprise as well.
Who are these idiots who view Priti Patel favourably?
On the other hand, Rishi Sunak is no Gordon Brown.
Your letting agent agrees to let you change to paying monthly, but on the first month only debits y, where y < x.
Are you in rent arrears?
And basically everyone who doesn't read the Guarauniad.
*I want politicians to give incompetent civil servants an arse-kicking.
Do we really want to emulate Trumps trolling?
QED
https://twitter.com/heraldscotland/status/1262635978424037376?s=21
As for why Raab is holding up I think its the comparables. He is rubbish but clearly better than Shapps, Sharma, Patel, Jenrick who in turn are clearly better than Williamson.
Pretty much something for everyone on the left to latch onto there - a prejudice for every day of the week to indulge.
The "we're ending free movement to open Britain up to the world" sounds stupid because it is stupid, but there are several million voters out there who have been gaslit to actually think its a logical and rational statement. So if Patel is -34% then she must truly be despised by the other side of the logic/stupid border.
Did they poll opinion on Dowden or Jenrick? Or do people not know who those people are...
Mr. Flashman (deceased), also unfit to be in Cabinet for having private meetings with Israeli politicians whilst (I believe) the overseas aid minister.
The argument that she has made, with others, which I completely respect is that prior governments have been hard on immigration from some nations (like her own background) while permitting easy free movement from Europeans.
I don't always agree with her but one thing I 100% agree with her on is that its best to treat people as individuals based on who they are and not where they come from.
You don't object to her being an incompetent bully who was previously sacked for lying about her meetings with foreign politicians?
We have no evidence, incidentally, that the civil servant was incompetent, but we have ample evidence Patel is.
Whilst his furlough policy is popular now, there are dark clouds on the horizon that will test him.
Succeed or fail, at some point Boris might find it expedient to throw him under his bus.
Well lets just start with his list of areas he was personally involved in/in charge of:
* Windrush
* East Coast Mainline
* HS2
And there's much more too. You think that there's "no evidence"?
Much more ample for Rutnam than Patel.
I guess she's rather more popular with the card-carrying rank and file.
And how many people would really have preferred to see Diane Abbott at the Home Office?
Meanwhile Patel is aggressive, rude, ambitious, reactionary and her worldview over simplistic. She doesn’t care much for others or reason.
Hard core Tories love that stuff. So in her case as Home Secretary unpopularity is a badge of honour. She is only getting started.
So to be clear are you saying that you're upset that Patel is too keen on Indian migration? You want her to be harsher on migration from India? Is that your problem?
Nice to see Tesco's and co getting another 1% of margin.
Yes, there are people out there who would have us sink migrant boats and drown the children in them. Personally I would tell such people to go fuck themselves rather than pander to them. But then again I am not a Tory...
Boris and a few others may go, but they would be replaced. Tory MPs are unlikely to vote themselves out of a job.
Far more likely is a slow, excruciating decline as we saw under Major and Brown. Hanging on because that’s the only thing to do. Not even in the hope that something might come up.
The problem for Abbott isn't that she's a Black Woman. Its that she's a Crap Politician. And you can't hide behind being a BAME woman to excuse that.
I almost fainted with surprise.
Muppets the lot of them.
Car makers German or otherwise have problems far larger than Brexit...
Davis popping up has been timely and most enlightening. He reminds us what a moron truly looks like.
so it might work, but then it can be taken up the ....
Can anyone seriously imagine that any Transport Secretary, let alone someone like Shapps, even having a material say on quarantine when May was Home Sec? Patel is the least powerful Home Sec I can recall.
Interesting theory.
The agent is playing a convenience role in debuting your account. The liability hasn’t changed.
As you are now finding out.
This crisis has changed everything and my immediate concern is about Boris
He does go awol at times but it is noticeable that he is not stepping up to the plate and leading the nation
He should be doing the daily conferences more often and just generally being more on show
Now many will say he has always been like this, and others make far more personal attacks on him because of his brexit stance. However, I am of the opinion that covid has had a real adverse effect on his health, and in view of reports last night, he may not recover sufficiently to carry on
He has big decisions in front of him, especially over no deal brexit, and I expect the slide in the polls both as pm and party to continue through the summer.
There will not be a GE before 2024 and as has been said the more unpopular the government, the less likely for an early GE, especially with an 80 seat majority. I was surprised that Patel's bill sailed through last night with a majority of 99 - (351-252)
Starmer is enjoying a honeymoon period in ideal conditions for labour post the Corbyn era and with the benefit of hindsight in HMG handling of covid
I am disappointed with Boris and he needs to lift his game
She strikes me as quite bright and she had a successful career outside of Parliament before joining it. Not being someone you like doesn't make them intellectually inadequate - I don't like Starmer or his politics but I wouldn't call him an idiot.
Whereas in every other market they have including their own the problems are also stacking up. They can adapt to changes in their own market. With the EU they know that the rest of the EU and all the countries the EU has trade deals with can adapt to the changes.
It was always an absurd English Exceptionalism argument that the German car makers are so utterly reliant on us AND are secretly running Germany who apparently run the EU that we would say JUMP and they would say JAH WOHL. It was bollocks then, its down right hysterical now...
The fruitcake, loonies and closet [or even quite open] racists were in the vicious Leave.EU grouping during the referendum.
Vote Leave made sure to do as much as they can to put clear water between the Leave.EU racists etc and themselves - and quite right too.
Tony Blair was prepared to have Jeremy Corbyn as a fellow Labour MP in his government despite knowing what he was. The Brexiteers in Vote Leave were not prepared to share a platform with Farage etc