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  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    If that's the case, there's going to be a point in the near future at which it blows up in the face of the government, distracting people who have other important jobs (sic) to do, in order to fight fires with Apple.

    If GCHQ have used a 0-day for this, knowing it was going to end up publicly available to 30 million phones, they're much more stupid than I might have given them credit for previously.

    There's precisely no chance this doesn't finish with Apple patching the bug and subjecting the NHS to huge scrutiny over their replacement app, in the knowledge that it's being written by the spooks.
    Come on PB Tories, you must have access to a technological competent Tory MP who can check this out before it becomes another embarassment to the UK?
    Anbody know if Cummings was involved in the decision?
    Cummings - for all that many people think he's a disruptive idiot - would be exactly the sort of person to tell the senior NHS management to go with the Apple/Google system, rather than re-inventing the wheel for the sake of it.

    We know of at least one Conservative MP who used to write software for bookmakers, maybe he's reading this?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,618
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    I can. The incompetence of public sector tech is breathtaking sometimes.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,333
    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Andy_JS said:

    BigRich posted an interesting comment about why Sweden has probably done the right thing, and nearly all of the replies were to do with a grammar dispute.

    Sometimes people do not seem willing to engage in sciientific discussion on this site.The graph yesterday showing that the R figure was below 1 before the lockdown and that the reduction coincided with the hand washing advice I thought was really striking. Yet alI I got was abuse for discussing it and no one seemed interested in it. If science does not agree with someones opinion then it seems it is not worthy.

    https://twitter.com/AlistairHaimes/status/1257303355199635456?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed&ref_url=https://politicalbetting.vanillacommunity.com/discussion/8673/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-covid-19-it-s-not-your-fault/p1
    The method of calculation of R in that graph is, almost certainly, not valid.

    No error bars on the R values is a warning sign that this is not valid, as well.
    Very spiky as well, which looks very strange.

    Using a median incubation period of 5 days and time to fatality median/interquartile ranges from https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7095212/ , and the hospital deaths data from public health England, with some five-day smoothing and pulling out interquartile ranges over those five days) I got something that looked like this (bearing in mind that I'm not at all confident about the methodology):



    Putting on dates of significant interventions, I got this:



    1 - Handwashing advice given
    2 - Premier Leaguse suspended and much other sport, elections deferred
    3 - PM advises everyone against non-essential travel, avoiding pubs/restaurants/clubs, wfh if possible. Vulnerable people advised to self-isolate.
    4 - Pubs, cafes, restaurants ordered to close immediately; nightclubs, theatres, gyms, cinemas, leisure entres told to close as soon as possible; last day of schools for most pupils. Furlough rules announced by Sunak.
    5 - Announcement of lockdown with immediate effect

    To be fair, the handwashing advice does seem to have been helpful to a degree...
    Apparently small differences in R 1.4 and R 0.8 are night and day too. If the virus has a 5 day turnaround in financial terms R1.4 would be 46 trillion % APR whereas 0.8 would reduce a billion quid to less than a hundred quid.

    A roulette wheel or FOBT based on one is basically a device with R 0.97 for your money. Expert card counters get banned for pushing their cash R from 0.98 on the blackjack tables to 1.01 or 1.02.
    I don't think this plot is correct. The advice was the R was still above 2 the day the lockdown was announced.

    11:08am
    Sage warned London ICU could have breached in 7 days
    The lockdown decision was taken by the Prime Minister after Sage was presented with modelling evidence suggesting intensive care units across the country would be swamped.

    At the March 23 meeting of Sage, the day Boris Johnson announced the lockdown, experts considered a summary of the coronavirus modelling which warned "it is very likely that we will see ICU capacity in London breached by the end of the month, even if additional measures are put in place today".

    "The rest of the UK is one-two weeks behind London. In the absence of additional measures being put into place in the next few days, it is likely that we will breach ICU capacity in other regions."

    The modelling suggested the rapid increase in intensive care admissions suggested the reproduction number - the R rate - was higher than the 2.4 previously estimated and could have been more than three.
    The lockdown was a decision taken on balance of risk and IMO was the correct one. If anything it should have come earlier. However, as to R being above 2 on 23rd March when it was announced, this seems unlikely to me if deaths peaked on or around 8th April.
    I think we established yesterday that the peak was about a week later than that when care home deaths are taken into account.
    Right thanks. So around 15th April.

    This still seems to cast doubt on R being above 2 on 23rd March.
    I guess we`ll never know. Enough uncertainty on this to enable the pro-lockdowners to claim victory AND the lockdown skeptics to claim victory. How lovely.

    Would handwashing etc and sensible social distancing have been sufficient? Who knows? But surely fair to say that lockdown has brought infections down faster - yes?
    Yes - lockdown MUST have suppressed the virus to a degree.

    And some London hospitals DID "collapse" for at least a day or two. The one my brother runs, for example. They had a day when there were more patients needing ICU than ICU available. Quite distressing scenes, he told me.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,094

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    So how do my Bluetooth headphones work when the screen is off? Or the car radio?
    They’re securely paired. Your phone is not securely paired with every other phone in the country.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,001

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    I'm amused at all the lefties berating the government not getting into bed with evil global multinational capitalists. Obviously I hope the app works and does the job it is designed to do.
    Gallows humour from Gallowgate perhaps ;)
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,797

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    I'm not.
    I'm thinking of another very costly (this time economically rather than in lives lost) week or two wasted.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,261
    OllyT said:

    malcolmg said:

    kjh said:

    TGOHF666 said:

    kjh said:

    FPT Last night I read a comment by TGOF666 re people putting their parents into care homes. I also saw some robust responses, but I did want to make my own response.

    My mother got dementia not too long ago. She has since died. My father with our support decided she would definitely NOT go into care. We would look after her. I can only assume TGOF666 has not gone through this. Here are just a few examples of what can happen:

    At 3 in the morning the washing up needs doing, while you are asleep, which includes the toaster.

    Just wandering off any time of the day or night and not knowing where they are.

    Start cooking on the hob and leaving it. Running taps and leaving them.

    Attacking your husband (aged 90) with a walking stick because he is having an affair with the woman of the non existent other family living in the house.

    Screaming at your son in front of his children 'why didn't you tell me my mother was a man' (she visualised my father as her mother). I was one of the few people who could sit down with my mother and explain what was going on, but this stumped me.

    This requires 24 hour monitoring - when do you sleep?

    Much to my surprise I was very impressed with the social care provided by social services and the Alzheimer society were magnificent. My mother ended up in a care home, which was also great and the staff magnificent - I don't know how they have the patience.

    TGOF666 post was disgraceful.

    Makes me wonder why you didn't put your kids up for adoption - they can be quite tiring too.
    You are a complete bastard.
    You just noticing
    Quite the most loathsome individual on this site.
    You can take the boy out of a community of extremist bigots, but..
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    You're making assumptions about the process that we don't know anything about either way.
    Which assumption do you think fails to meet Occam's Razor?

    That having sought advice the advice came back and was positive?
    Or that before there was a large high publicity Beta Test there was an Alpha Test?

    If having sought advice the advice was "that's not possible, it won't work" and they proceeded with this plan anyway then that would be absurd. I see no reason to believe that though.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Andy_JS said:

    The BBC are now reporting on the French case from December.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-52526554

    Infected in France between 14 and 22 December. So there was somebody in France infected with it before that date. It is starting to stretch back quite a way now.

    So much for the supposed "Patient Zero" in Wuhan at the seafood market feeling ill on 10th December.... But then, with the CIA having its "WTF???" report in November, we already knew that was bollocks.
    The South China Morning Post had reported weeks ago that the first identified case was middle of November and had no connection to a wet market.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/13/first-covid-19-case-happened-in-november-china-government-records-show-report
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    Showing your vile true colours their like BJO.
    What are you on about? This should have been the first thing to consider in the design process, especially when they were in discussions with Apple and Google.

    If they ignored it and went ahead anyway, and it doesn’t work, it really is hilarious incompetence.

    Clearly I want it to work.
    This is why I am having a hard time believing it. There is no way they'd go down this path knowing these restrictions.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,618

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    So how do my Bluetooth headphones work when the screen is off? Or the car radio?
    Different stack and your car/headphones are already paired.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    I can. The incompetence of public sector tech is breathtaking sometimes.
    But something so basic to the function of the application?
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    Showing your vile true colours their like BJO.
    What are you on about? This should have been the first thing to consider in the design process, especially when they were in discussions with Apple and Google.

    If they ignored it and went ahead anyway, and it doesn’t work, it really is hilarious incompetence.

    Clearly I want it to work.
    Oh clearly you do. You were just saying it was hilarious if it failed and are laughing out loud with multiple grinning face emojis.

    If that's wanting it to work rather than willing it to fail then maybe rethink your choice of words and emojis.
  • Options
    EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I have no idea if you're right or wrong about this, but it's peculiar that you can accuse PHE of protectionism on this, and not admit to the possibility that the tech industry is doing the exact same thing.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,020

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    Agreed.
    You clearly have never worked on a large scale Government IT project (guess what, I have).

    If we have an exploit there is a strong chance the software will work. My concern is that we haven't got an exploit (has anyone actually said there is one) and having looked at what iOS makes available, I don't believe the requirements can be met without one.

    However unlike most Armchair Generals and especially unlike certain critics of Armchair Generals I don't post things without researching that my assumptions and comments have a solid foundation.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    To be fair, the "experts" will be going off what IoS and Android specs state they are allowed to do e.g. Technically nobody can unlock iPhones, but the Israeli company Cellebrite can.

    I am 100% certain the intelligence agencies have the ability to do this, it is just far too useful a tracking technique for them not to have invested a lot of time and effort in finding out how to do.

    That is however is a very different task than tracking a whole population accurately.
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,673
    kinabalu said:

    Nigelb said:

    kjh said:

    When my friend's mother was suffering from dementia, she became convinced that "They are diluting my water!"

    Dementia means never having to explain - with what?

    :) As I said there are always funny moments. We had quite a few.

    Unfortunately they go thru' the 'with what?' question in their own mind and then get angry because they have competing contradictory evidence.

    We apparently had a full blown cinema in our basement (we don't have a basement). We spent ages with my Mum trying to find the stairs.

    One night when I had to coax my mother back to the house from a neighbour I sat down for hours explaining to my mother what was happening and got to the point where she understood (it doesn't last). She then asked me whether she was going to get better. My stomach churned.
    It took my far longer than it ought that the kindest, and most effective way to engage was with my father's emotions rather than trying to correct, or make sense of anything to him.
    Yes - try to enter their world rather than drag them back into yours.

    But much easier to type that out than to realize it in practice, I bet.
    Yes it is when you are trying to coax them back into the house so you have to reverse their view of what is happening (your fathers mistress is not living there even though they have seen her!).

    Also when they have contradictory evidence in their head as to what is happening (ie what they know and what they experience contradict one another).
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941
    RobD said:

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    Showing your vile true colours their like BJO.
    What are you on about? This should have been the first thing to consider in the design process, especially when they were in discussions with Apple and Google.

    If they ignored it and went ahead anyway, and it doesn’t work, it really is hilarious incompetence.

    Clearly I want it to work.
    This is why I am having a hard time believing it. There is no way they'd go down this path knowing these restrictions.
    The last big national NHS IT project was 10bn in the hole, before they finally realised it was unworkable and scrapped it.
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/cost-of-abandoned-nhs-it-system-to-hit-10bn-8823917.html
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,618
    Nigelb said:

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    I'm not.
    I'm thinking of another very costly (this time economically rather than in lives lost) week or two wasted.
    Exactly, this, like testing, is another poor decision that will mean an extra few weeks in lockdown. It's costing us countless billions and job losses.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    Agreed.
    You clearly have never worked on a large scale Government IT project (guess what, I have).

    If we have an exploit there is a strong chance the software will work. My concern is that we haven't got an exploit (has anyone actually said there is one) and having looked at what iOS makes available, I don't believe the requirements can be met without one.

    However unlike most Armchair Generals and especially unlike certain critics of Armchair Generals I don't post things without researching that my assumptions and comments have a solid foundation.
    Who's got time for that? :D:p
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,094

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    Showing your vile true colours their like BJO.
    What are you on about? This should have been the first thing to consider in the design process, especially when they were in discussions with Apple and Google.

    If they ignored it and went ahead anyway, and it doesn’t work, it really is hilarious incompetence.

    Clearly I want it to work.
    Oh clearly you do. You were just saying it was hilarious if it failed and are laughing out loud with multiple grinning face emojis.

    If that's wanting it to work rather than willing it to fail then maybe rethink your choice of words and emojis.
    Well it would be hilarious if it failed, considering anyone with an ounce of know-how regarding how iOS and Android works would have questioned the technology.

    I WANT it to work because it will be a complete waste of time if it doesn’t and I want to be able to socialise, but I will not be surprised if it doesn’t.

    I question why you’re so offended at my comments on the Government’s behalf.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,797
    kinabalu said:

    Nigelb said:

    kjh said:

    When my friend's mother was suffering from dementia, she became convinced that "They are diluting my water!"

    Dementia means never having to explain - with what?

    :) As I said there are always funny moments. We had quite a few.

    Unfortunately they go thru' the 'with what?' question in their own mind and then get angry because they have competing contradictory evidence.

    We apparently had a full blown cinema in our basement (we don't have a basement). We spent ages with my Mum trying to find the stairs.

    One night when I had to coax my mother back to the house from a neighbour I sat down for hours explaining to my mother what was happening and got to the point where she understood (it doesn't last). She then asked me whether she was going to get better. My stomach churned.
    It took my far longer than it ought that the kindest, and most effective way to engage was with my father's emotions rather than trying to correct, or make sense of anything to him.
    Yes - try to enter their world rather than drag them back into yours.

    But much easier to type that out than to realize it in practice, I bet.
    You have to embrace the irrational - or at least set on one side the rational.
    Oddly enough, reading emotion then becomes much easier.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    Sandpit said:

    RobD said:

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    Showing your vile true colours their like BJO.
    What are you on about? This should have been the first thing to consider in the design process, especially when they were in discussions with Apple and Google.

    If they ignored it and went ahead anyway, and it doesn’t work, it really is hilarious incompetence.

    Clearly I want it to work.
    This is why I am having a hard time believing it. There is no way they'd go down this path knowing these restrictions.
    The last big national NHS IT project was 10bn in the hole, before they finally realised it was unworkable and scrapped it.
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/cost-of-abandoned-nhs-it-system-to-hit-10bn-8823917.html
    Was it scuppered by a fundamental (and simple) flaw in the design? I don't think the two are analogous.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,797

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    Because if you use the API it has restrictions on it's use that stops you collecting the location information the NHS want.
    So if Plan A doesn't work and we need to go to an API Plan B then lose the location information. Shame but you can still work even if it is less useful. I don't see what the big deal is, that's the purpose of having a beta test. Its in the live beta test already, its probably already had alpha tests so we will know very shortly whether it works or not.
    If it really doesn't work, why would it take a full scale trial to work that out ?
  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,029

    Moth du Jour: Privet Hawkmoth. These are big beasts! Not uncommon - fair chance of attracting these to a suburban moth trap on a warm June/July evening.




    While other outlets have Readers' Wives, we have a daily moth. Much more uplifting
    Similar amounts of fuzz on display.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,020
    edited May 2020
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other. This software is being written in a rush and while the really obvious use cases will have been covered that slightly less obvious use case could easily have been ignored (and believe me I've seen stupider things done in the past).
  • Options
    StockyStocky Posts: 9,736

    Stocky said:

    Stocky said:

    Do you think it may become clear that the excess deaths are largely down to the psychological effects of lockdown?
    No.
    What`s your thinking on this then?
    I'd take some persuading that the excess deaths are attributable at present to anything much other than Covid-19. Other theories look pretty far-fetched to me on current evidence and seem to be largely induced by the prior prejudices of those promoting them.

    While there will be some deaths caused by non-treatment of other conditions that would otherwise be treated, there will also be some deaths that don't happen because of lockdown (road traffic accidents are presumably far lower than usual, for example). I'd treat them as a wash until we get more concrete data.
    Below are two extracts from Fullfact.org:

    “It doesn’t include anyone who died from something else, because they were unable or unwilling to get medical care during a pandemic. It doesn’t include people who may have died as a result of domestic violence, or suicide, or other possible social consequences of the lockdown.”

    And:

    “The most obvious guess is the simplest: that all those unexplained extra deaths in care homes and private residences are in fact Covid-19 deaths, and we’re undercounting the size of the epidemic. In this explanation, many more people outside hospitals did die from Covid-19, but the certifying doctor either didn’t realise, didn’t have enough evidence (perhaps because of a shortage of tests in early April), or didn’t have time to consider the cause of death properly. (Indeed, this was what a whistleblower told Channel 4 in a news report on 13 April.)”
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    Showing your vile true colours their like BJO.
    What are you on about? This should have been the first thing to consider in the design process, especially when they were in discussions with Apple and Google.

    If they ignored it and went ahead anyway, and it doesn’t work, it really is hilarious incompetence.

    Clearly I want it to work.
    Oh clearly you do. You were just saying it was hilarious if it failed and are laughing out loud with multiple grinning face emojis.

    If that's wanting it to work rather than willing it to fail then maybe rethink your choice of words and emojis.
    Well it would be hilarious if it failed, considering anyone with an ounce of know-how regarding how iOS and Android works would have questioned the technology.

    I WANT it to work because it will be a complete waste of time if it doesn’t and I want to be able to socialise, but I will not be surprised if it doesn’t.

    I question why you’re so offended at my comments on the Government’s behalf.
    If you want it to work then I take back what I said but you never said that originally. What I replied to was you basically saying you wanted it to fail. If that's not what you meant, well its how "I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D " came across.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Nigelb said:

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    Because if you use the API it has restrictions on it's use that stops you collecting the location information the NHS want.
    So if Plan A doesn't work and we need to go to an API Plan B then lose the location information. Shame but you can still work even if it is less useful. I don't see what the big deal is, that's the purpose of having a beta test. Its in the live beta test already, its probably already had alpha tests so we will know very shortly whether it works or not.
    If it really doesn't work, why would it take a full scale trial to work that out ?
    That's my thoughts precisely. If it really doesn't work surely they'd know by now?
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,403
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    No doubt PB's finest, lead I'm sure by @FrancisUrquhart, will be coruscating in their condemnation of any journalist who asks a question about this this afternoon.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    This is something I couldn't believe when Hancock announced it...

    "Self-reporting: The app will work from self-reported symptoms, rather than based on a test result. This opens it to misuse by people who don’t want to go to work or kids who want to skip class."

    This surely can't be correct....I mean it will only take a few twats, go out around all the busiest parts of London, then flick the toggle to "I have coronavirus", and all hell breaks loose.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,020
    edited May 2020
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    I can. The incompetence of public sector tech is breathtaking sometimes.
    But something so basic to the function of the application?
    Yep because it's not immediately obvious.

    Can I see the connection when both phones are switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection when one phone is switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection if both phones are switched off - not thought about and anyway we are out of phones to test with.

    I've sat in meetings with 10 people in the past, walked away with 100's of pages of test scenarios and still discovered blooming obvious ones we missed after sleeping on it over night.

    And none of the other people came up with it in the week I ummed and ohhed about whether we had missed something so obvious (we had and all grasped it as soon as I mentioned it but no-one else had picked up on it).
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    I'm not.
    I'm thinking of another very costly (this time economically rather than in lives lost) week or two wasted.
    Exactly, this, like testing, is another poor decision that will mean an extra few weeks in lockdown. It's costing us countless billions and job losses.
    If the test is successful and this app works as planned, having been available quicker and with more functionality than delaying to use the API, would you accept that it was a good decision saving weeks in lockdown and saving us countless billions and jobs?
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited May 2020
    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    No doubt PB's finest, lead I'm sure by @FrancisUrquhart, will be coruscating in their condemnation of any journalist who asks a question about this this afternoon.
    I have been banging on about why haven't they asked questions about this for a good couple of weeks. I said at least 2 weeks ago, contact tracing app is more important than the arbitrary 100k testing number.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941
    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other.
    That's entirely possible, have seen it myself before. It's quite normal for dev and QA teams to completely miss real-world usage patterns of an application.

    The QA lab has all screensavers, battery savers etc switched off, devices are permanently plugged in etc. Testing outside the lab would be two people walking past each other in a corridor whist looking at the app in debug mode on the screens and watching the handshakes occur. It won't be until now that they realise phones in pockets or handbags in standby don't work.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other. This software is being written in a rush and while the really obvious use cases will have been covered that slightly less obvious use case could easily have been ignored (and believe me I've seen stupider things done in the past).
    It really isn't a slightly less obvious use case though!
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    I can. The incompetence of public sector tech is breathtaking sometimes.
    But something so basic to the function of the application?
    Yep because it's not immediately obvious.

    Can I see the connection when both phones are switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection when one phone is switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection if both phones are switched off - not thought about and anyway we are out of phones to test with.
    I disagree. The whole point of the program is to use the phones to see who you have been near. It has nothing to do with whether the phone is on or not.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,020
    edited May 2020
    RobD said:

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other. This software is being written in a rush and while the really obvious use cases will have been covered that slightly less obvious use case could easily have been ignored (and believe me I've seen stupider things done in the past).
    It really isn't a slightly less obvious use case though!
    Trust me I've seen very senior clever people miss more obvious ones.

    And it's worth noting that all the IT people on here are saying this is perfectly plausible, it's only none IT people who are saying no-one would be that stupid.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,094

    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    I'm not.
    I'm thinking of another very costly (this time economically rather than in lives lost) week or two wasted.
    Exactly, this, like testing, is another poor decision that will mean an extra few weeks in lockdown. It's costing us countless billions and job losses.
    If the test is successful and this app works as planned, having been available quicker and with more functionality than delaying to use the API, would you accept that it was a good decision saving weeks in lockdown and saving us countless billions and jobs?
    Of course, just like how the Nightingale hospitals were a great success.
  • Options
    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,819
    Pulpstar said:

    Andy_JS said:

    BigRich posted an interesting comment about why Sweden has probably done the right thing, and nearly all of the replies were to do with a grammar dispute.

    Sometimes people do not seem willing to engage in sciientific discussion on this site.The graph yesterday showing that the R figure was below 1 before the lockdown and that the reduction coincided with the hand washing advice I thought was really striking. Yet alI I got was abuse for discussing it and no one seemed interested in it. If science does not agree with someones opinion then it seems it is not worthy.

    https://twitter.com/AlistairHaimes/status/1257303355199635456?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed&ref_url=https://politicalbetting.vanillacommunity.com/discussion/8673/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-covid-19-it-s-not-your-fault/p1
    The method of calculation of R in that graph is, almost certainly, not valid.

    No error bars on the R values is a warning sign that this is not valid, as well.
    Very spiky as well, which looks very strange.

    Using a median incubation period of 5 days and time to fatality median/interquartile ranges from https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7095212/ , and the hospital deaths data from public health England, with some five-day smoothing and pulling out interquartile ranges over those five days) I got something that looked like this (bearing in mind that I'm not at all confident about the methodology):



    Putting on dates of significant interventions, I got this:



    1 - Handwashing advice given
    2 - Premier Leaguse suspended and much other sport, elections deferred
    3 - PM advises everyone against non-essential travel, avoiding pubs/restaurants/clubs, wfh if possible. Vulnerable people advised to self-isolate.
    4 - Pubs, cafes, restaurants ordered to close immediately; nightclubs, theatres, gyms, cinemas, leisure entres told to close as soon as possible; last day of schools for most pupils. Furlough rules announced by Sunak.
    5 - Announcement of lockdown with immediate effect

    To be fair, the handwashing advice does seem to have been helpful to a degree...
    Apparently small differences in R 1.4 and R 0.8 are night and day too. If the virus has a 5 day turnaround in financial terms R1.4 would be 46 trillion % APR whereas 0.8 would reduce a billion quid to less than a hundred quid.

    A roulette wheel or FOBT based on one is basically a device with R 0.97 for your money. Expert card counters get banned for pushing their cash R from 0.98 on the blackjack tables to 1.01 or 1.02.
    Indeed.

    If Rt had been 0.8 since the peak, we'd be looking at about 350 deaths in English hospitals on the 28th of April (so far recorded: 309, so not far off), and a total of 11,442 deaths in hospital between 08/04 and 28/04 inclusive (actual deaths 11,628).
    If Rt had been 1.4 since the peak, we'd be looking at 3,300 deaths in hospital on that day, and a total of 39,904 deaths between 08/04 and 28/04 inclusive. An extra 28,000+ deaths in those three weeks.

    And still climbing.
  • Options
    JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,016
    Pulpstar said:

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    I'm amused at all the lefties berating the government not getting into bed with evil global multinational capitalists. Obviously I hope the app works and does the job it is designed to do.
    Gallows humour from Gallowgate perhaps ;)
    I didn't mean Gallowgate in particular. My Facebook feed is full of people who normally believe that global tech giants are only marginally less evil than Boris the Butcher and Dominic Cummings
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other. This software is being written in a rush and while the really obvious use cases will have been covered that slightly less obvious use case could easily have been ignored (and believe me I've seen stupider things done in the past).
    It really isn't a slightly less obvious use case though!
    Trust me I've seen very senior clever people miss more obvious ones.
    I'm just incredulous at the thought of it. Something so basic cannot have been overlooked. :D
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,797
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    So how do my Bluetooth headphones work when the screen is off? Or the car radio?
    Different type of bluetooth I think, the one the NHS app uses is the low power one.
    Recently headphones can too, I believe:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluetooth_Low_Energy
  • Options
    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,819
    FF43 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    BigRich posted an interesting comment about why Sweden has probably done the right thing, and nearly all of the replies were to do with a grammar dispute.

    Sometimes people do not seem willing to engage in sciientific discussion on this site.The graph yesterday showing that the R figure was below 1 before the lockdown and that the reduction coincided with the hand washing advice I thought was really striking. Yet alI I got was abuse for discussing it and no one seemed interested in it. If science does not agree with someones opinion then it seems it is not worthy.

    https://twitter.com/AlistairHaimes/status/1257303355199635456?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed&ref_url=https://politicalbetting.vanillacommunity.com/discussion/8673/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-covid-19-it-s-not-your-fault/p1
    The method of calculation of R in that graph is, almost certainly, not valid.

    No error bars on the R values is a warning sign that this is not valid, as well.
    Very spiky as well, which looks very strange.

    Using a median incubation period of 5 days and time to fatality median/interquartile ranges from https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7095212/ , and the hospital deaths data from public health England, with some five-day smoothing and pulling out interquartile ranges over those five days) I got something that looked like this (bearing in mind that I'm not at all confident about the methodology):



    Putting on dates of significant interventions, I got this:



    1 - Handwashing advice given
    2 - Premier Leaguse suspended and much other sport, elections deferred
    3 - PM advises everyone against non-essential travel, avoiding pubs/restaurants/clubs, wfh if possible. Vulnerable people advised to self-isolate.
    4 - Pubs, cafes, restaurants ordered to close immediately; nightclubs, theatres, gyms, cinemas, leisure entres told to close as soon as possible; last day of schools for most pupils. Furlough rules announced by Sunak.
    5 - Announcement of lockdown with immediate effect

    To be fair, the handwashing advice does seem to have been helpful to a degree...

    Andy_JS said:

    BigRich posted an interesting comment about why Sweden has probably done the right thing, and nearly all of the replies were to do with a grammar dispute.

    Sometimes people do not seem willing to engage in sciientific discussion on this site.The graph yesterday showing that the R figure was below 1 before the lockdown and that the reduction coincided with the hand washing advice I thought was really striking. Yet alI I got was abuse for discussing it and no one seemed interested in it. If science does not agree with someones opinion then it seems it is not worthy.

    https://twitter.com/AlistairHaimes/status/1257303355199635456?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed&ref_url=https://politicalbetting.vanillacommunity.com/discussion/8673/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-covid-19-it-s-not-your-fault/p1
    The method of calculation of R in that graph is, almost certainly, not valid.

    No error bars on the R values is a warning sign that this is not valid, as well.
    Very spiky as well, which looks very strange.

    Using a median incubation period of 5 days and time to fatality median/interquartile ranges from https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7095212/ , and the hospital deaths data from public health England, with some five-day smoothing and pulling out interquartile ranges over those five days) I got something that looked like this (bearing in mind that I'm not at all confident about the methodology):



    Putting on dates of significant interventions, I got this:



    1 - Handwashing advice given
    2 - Premier Leaguse suspended and much other sport, elections deferred
    3 - PM advises everyone against non-essential travel, avoiding pubs/restaurants/clubs, wfh if possible. Vulnerable people advised to self-isolate.
    4 - Pubs, cafes, restaurants ordered to close immediately; nightclubs, theatres, gyms, cinemas, leisure entres told to close as soon as possible; last day of schools for most pupils. Furlough rules announced by Sunak.
    5 - Announcement of lockdown with immediate effect

    To be fair, the handwashing advice does seem to have been helpful to a degree...
    Issue here though is that if you use the cruder but more comprehensive ONS reported death figures, the fall would occur about two weeks later and the effect of the interventions would look very different.
    Are you sure?

    The ONS figures published earlier had the peaks occurring at the same time
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,020

    Pulpstar said:

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    I'm amused at all the lefties berating the government not getting into bed with evil global multinational capitalists. Obviously I hope the app works and does the job it is designed to do.
    Gallows humour from Gallowgate perhaps ;)
    I didn't mean Gallowgate in particular. My Facebook feed is full of people who normally believe that global tech giants are only marginally less evil than Boris the Butcher and Dominic Cummings
    Yet they are on Facebook the company who knows more about you then anyone on earth and probably more than St Peter and the Devil does.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited May 2020
    Graurdain predictably very upset that the private sector is involved....We should be more like Germany, they are great at this coronavirus response, ok we will copy what Germany is doing, oh no not like that...evil private companies involved.

    UK government 'using pandemic to transfer NHS duties to private sector'

    Deloitte, KPMG, Serco, Sodexo, Mitie, Boots and the US data mining group Palantir have secured taxpayer-funded commissions to manage Covid-19 drive-in testing centres, the purchasing of personal protective equipment (PPE) and the building of Nightingale hospitals.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/may/04/uk-government-using-crisis-to-transfer-nhs-duties-to-private-sector
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,094

    Dura_Ace said:
    The bad news for some is that we'll cure the coronavirus long before we cure ingrained bitterness and misanthropy.
    Oh come on, that tweet wont ever stop being funny. British humour is all about self-depreciation and sarcasm. Get a grip.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,020
    RobD said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other. This software is being written in a rush and while the really obvious use cases will have been covered that slightly less obvious use case could easily have been ignored (and believe me I've seen stupider things done in the past).
    It really isn't a slightly less obvious use case though!
    Trust me I've seen very senior clever people miss more obvious ones.
    I'm just incredulous at the thought of it. Something so basic cannot have been overlooked. :D
    As I said, you don't work in IT.
  • Options
    BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556

    Dura_Ace said:
    The bad news for some is that we'll cure the coronavirus long before we cure ingrained bitterness and misanthropy.
    Oh come on, that tweet wont ever stop being funny. British humour is all about self-depreciation and sarcasm. Get a grip.
    If those twats ever showed the slightest hint of _self_-deprecation, I might agree with you. As it is, I don't.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,261

    Dura_Ace said:
    The bad news for some is that we'll cure the coronavirus long before we cure ingrained bitterness and misanthropy.
    However you tending your wee garden of joy, tolerance and love of your fellow man is an inspiration to us all.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941
    RobD said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other. This software is being written in a rush and while the really obvious use cases will have been covered that slightly less obvious use case could easily have been ignored (and believe me I've seen stupider things done in the past).
    It really isn't a slightly less obvious use case though!
    Trust me I've seen very senior clever people miss more obvious ones.
    I'm just incredulous at the thought of it. Something so basic cannot have been overlooked. :D
    Oh, it very much can. :D
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,797
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    I can. The incompetence of public sector tech is breathtaking sometimes.
    But something so basic to the function of the application?
    Yep because it's not immediately obvious.

    Can I see the connection when both phones are switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection when one phone is switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection if both phones are switched off - not thought about and anyway we are out of phones to test with.

    I've sat in meetings with 10 people in the past, walked away with 100's of pages of test scenarios and still discovered blooming obvious ones we missed after sleeping on it over night.

    And none of the other people came up with it in the week I ummed and ohhed about whether we had missed something so obvious (we had and all grasped it as soon as I mentioned it but no-one else had picked up on it).
    Yes, but wouldn't half an hour in the carpark with half a dozen volunteers have been as useful as a week or so with the entire population of the IoW to work that out ?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other. This software is being written in a rush and while the really obvious use cases will have been covered that slightly less obvious use case could easily have been ignored (and believe me I've seen stupider things done in the past).
    It really isn't a slightly less obvious use case though!
    Trust me I've seen very senior clever people miss more obvious ones.
    I'm just incredulous at the thought of it. Something so basic cannot have been overlooked. :D
    As I said, you don't work in IT.
    Very true, but on a project so major and important? Let's see what happens in the Isle of Wight.
  • Options
    EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other. This software is being written in a rush and while the really obvious use cases will have been covered that slightly less obvious use case could easily have been ignored (and believe me I've seen stupider things done in the past).
    It really isn't a slightly less obvious use case though!
    Trust me I've seen very senior clever people miss more obvious ones.

    And it's worth noting that all the IT people on here are saying this is perfectly plausible, it's only none IT people who are saying no-one would be that stupid.
    This is an odd line of attack, if your point is that the NHS should have let the tech industry handle things.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,403

    Dura_Ace said:
    The bad news for some is that we'll cure the coronavirus long before we cure ingrained bitterness and misanthropy.
    If it turns out that the UK will have had the worst outcome, do you think it will have any effect on Boris?
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,290
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941
    Nigelb said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    I can. The incompetence of public sector tech is breathtaking sometimes.
    But something so basic to the function of the application?
    Yep because it's not immediately obvious.

    Can I see the connection when both phones are switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection when one phone is switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection if both phones are switched off - not thought about and anyway we are out of phones to test with.

    I've sat in meetings with 10 people in the past, walked away with 100's of pages of test scenarios and still discovered blooming obvious ones we missed after sleeping on it over night.

    And none of the other people came up with it in the week I ummed and ohhed about whether we had missed something so obvious (we had and all grasped it as soon as I mentioned it but no-one else had picked up on it).
    Yes, but wouldn't half an hour in the carpark with half a dozen volunteers have been as useful as a week or so with the entire population of the IoW to work that out ?
    With a competent and experienced person devising the test scenarios, yes. Now do you see the problem?
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,333
    Nigelb said:

    kinabalu said:

    Nigelb said:

    kjh said:

    When my friend's mother was suffering from dementia, she became convinced that "They are diluting my water!"

    Dementia means never having to explain - with what?

    :) As I said there are always funny moments. We had quite a few.

    Unfortunately they go thru' the 'with what?' question in their own mind and then get angry because they have competing contradictory evidence.

    We apparently had a full blown cinema in our basement (we don't have a basement). We spent ages with my Mum trying to find the stairs.

    One night when I had to coax my mother back to the house from a neighbour I sat down for hours explaining to my mother what was happening and got to the point where she understood (it doesn't last). She then asked me whether she was going to get better. My stomach churned.
    It took my far longer than it ought that the kindest, and most effective way to engage was with my father's emotions rather than trying to correct, or make sense of anything to him.
    Yes - try to enter their world rather than drag them back into yours.

    But much easier to type that out than to realize it in practice, I bet.
    You have to embrace the irrational - or at least set on one side the rational.
    Oddly enough, reading emotion then becomes much easier.
    No direct experience in my case (thankfully) but I know I will be lucky if that holds all the way to the whistle.
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,290
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Amusing to see our usual-suspect technical experts not only thinking they know more than GCHQ, but also thinking that they know better than Apple and Google what apps are allowed in their stores.
  • Options
    BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    TOPPING said:

    Dura_Ace said:
    The bad news for some is that we'll cure the coronavirus long before we cure ingrained bitterness and misanthropy.
    If it turns out that the UK will have had the worst outcome, do you think it will have any effect on Boris?
    I imagine he'd be devastated, like any normal human would. But I also wouldn't accept any judgement just now on who's had the worst outcome when the world is still sadly in the early days of the pandemic as a whole.
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Nigelb said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    I can. The incompetence of public sector tech is breathtaking sometimes.
    But something so basic to the function of the application?
    Yep because it's not immediately obvious.

    Can I see the connection when both phones are switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection when one phone is switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection if both phones are switched off - not thought about and anyway we are out of phones to test with.

    I've sat in meetings with 10 people in the past, walked away with 100's of pages of test scenarios and still discovered blooming obvious ones we missed after sleeping on it over night.

    And none of the other people came up with it in the week I ummed and ohhed about whether we had missed something so obvious (we had and all grasped it as soon as I mentioned it but no-one else had picked up on it).
    Yes, but wouldn't half an hour in the carpark with half a dozen volunteers have been as useful as a week or so with the entire population of the IoW to work that out ?
    IoW is simply a hat tip to The Day of the Triffids.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,205
    dr_spyn said:
    Gatwick isn't going to survive this. I guess we could build flats on the property.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,618
    Nigelb said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    So how do my Bluetooth headphones work when the screen is off? Or the car radio?
    Different type of bluetooth I think, the one the NHS app uses is the low power one.
    Recently headphones can too, I believe:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluetooth_Low_Energy
    Yes, but they are already paired and interact with the base system not via an app.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,333
    kjh said:

    kinabalu said:

    Nigelb said:

    kjh said:

    When my friend's mother was suffering from dementia, she became convinced that "They are diluting my water!"

    Dementia means never having to explain - with what?

    :) As I said there are always funny moments. We had quite a few.

    Unfortunately they go thru' the 'with what?' question in their own mind and then get angry because they have competing contradictory evidence.

    We apparently had a full blown cinema in our basement (we don't have a basement). We spent ages with my Mum trying to find the stairs.

    One night when I had to coax my mother back to the house from a neighbour I sat down for hours explaining to my mother what was happening and got to the point where she understood (it doesn't last). She then asked me whether she was going to get better. My stomach churned.
    It took my far longer than it ought that the kindest, and most effective way to engage was with my father's emotions rather than trying to correct, or make sense of anything to him.
    Yes - try to enter their world rather than drag them back into yours.

    But much easier to type that out than to realize it in practice, I bet.
    Yes it is when you are trying to coax them back into the house so you have to reverse their view of what is happening (your fathers mistress is not living there even though they have seen her!).

    Also when they have contradictory evidence in their head as to what is happening (ie what they know and what they experience contradict one another).
    :smile: - no, you can't really 'enter their world' if it looks like that.
  • Options
    NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,351
    As today is the weekend catch up day that would indicate that the decline of 30% per week is continuing
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,020
    Sandpit said:

    Nigelb said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    PHE are making the app. GCHQ are providing the 0-day exploit. One that Apple could patch at any time. There's also the small matter of Google not having a similar exploit in Android which means the app definitely won't work be able to access the Bluetooth stack in the background meaning it will only work when the screen is on.
    I simply can't believe it would get this far if that is the case.
    I can. The incompetence of public sector tech is breathtaking sometimes.
    But something so basic to the function of the application?
    Yep because it's not immediately obvious.

    Can I see the connection when both phones are switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection when one phone is switched on - yes.
    Can I see the connection if both phones are switched off - not thought about and anyway we are out of phones to test with.

    I've sat in meetings with 10 people in the past, walked away with 100's of pages of test scenarios and still discovered blooming obvious ones we missed after sleeping on it over night.

    And none of the other people came up with it in the week I ummed and ohhed about whether we had missed something so obvious (we had and all grasped it as soon as I mentioned it but no-one else had picked up on it).
    Yes, but wouldn't half an hour in the carpark with half a dozen volunteers have been as useful as a week or so with the entire population of the IoW to work that out ?
    With a competent and experienced person devising the test scenarios, yes. Now do you see the problem?
    And you need the right experienced person devising the tests - it's only when they've encountered an issue before that they remember to include it the next time around.

  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,618

    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    I'm not.
    I'm thinking of another very costly (this time economically rather than in lives lost) week or two wasted.
    Exactly, this, like testing, is another poor decision that will mean an extra few weeks in lockdown. It's costing us countless billions and job losses.
    If the test is successful and this app works as planned, having been available quicker and with more functionality than delaying to use the API, would you accept that it was a good decision saving weeks in lockdown and saving us countless billions and jobs?
    The "if" is doing a lot of heavy lifting for you. We know that the other method works, we've made a decision to go from a surety to a possibility of working.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,020
    dr_spyn said:
    Not so much bad news for Virgin, it gives them a fighting chance of surviving by switching to Heathrow.

    Gatwick however has lost 2 of it's 3 main airlines - and the one that is left is Easyjet.
  • Options
    BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556

    Dura_Ace said:
    The bad news for some is that we'll cure the coronavirus long before we cure ingrained bitterness and misanthropy.
    However you tending your wee garden of joy, tolerance and love of your fellow man is an inspiration to us all.
    When my soul turns black enough to post high casualty numbers to the accompaniment of sarky comments, I'll accept that criticism. Until then...
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,618
    edited May 2020

    Amusing to see our usual-suspect technical experts not only thinking they know more than GCHQ, but also thinking that they know better than Apple and Google what apps are allowed in their stores.

    I've actually worked on apps that released to the app store. A very long time ago tbf.

    Edit - it actually used the Bluetooth stack as well!
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,333
    RobD said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    eek said:

    Going back to the NHS App - Unless GCHQ have donated that 0 day exploit here is an overview of why it won't work https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/05/05/uk_coronavirus_app/

    Basically unless the program is running in the foreground all the time (the phone switched on and enabled, display on, NHS app on display, rather than twitter, whatsapp, facebook) the phone won't be broadcasting it's details to other people.

    Assuming the article is technically accurate then it is a devastating take down of the NHS plans.

    I did predict on here last week that this would be a disaster, but I had no idea it would be as big a disaster as it now appears.

    Wow. Hancock is brave.
    Hancock has previous form with Apple and Google. I'm sure that's played its role in the decision to ignore their efforts. I honestly hope this works because I hate this lockdown but I'm pretty sure it won't.

    I've been told that our app also won't be internationally compatible which means British people will need to install multiple apps if they go overseas while the others can be made interoperable.
    If this app fails like it looks like it will because of the problem of when the phone is asleep, then Hancock will have to resign. He is done.
    If the app doesn't work while the phone is asleep then why not get IT bods to patch the app so that it does?
    Because the OS are built to not allow this. The suggestion os that GCHQ have been called upon to use their expertise with this..thats code for use up an exploit that they will have in their toolbox for messing with peoples phones they spy on.

    Problem is especially Apple are totally against anybody for any reason being able to exploit their OS, so I can see them trying to patch it, to stop it working.

    If the above is true, the spooks probably just burned a really useful exploit.
    I mean if the code as written doesn't work when its not active and only the API does then why not patch the program so that it uses the API?

    May require a substantial rewrite of elements of the backend to make it work with the Apple API but if that's what's required then JFDI its not the end of the world is it?

    And surely that's what the Isle of Wight test is for? If the Isle of Wight test says this app as currently written isn't working as intended and it needs a rewrite to integrate the API then the Isle of Wight test has done its job.
    We need this app yesterday, reworking it isn't going happen overnight and after reading the way it's been made it will probably need to be junked and rewritten which isn't a small undertaking. As I said above, we're about two weeks away from calling in the private sector heavyweights just like we did for testing. Why not do it now and get it done sooner so we can ease the lockdown sooner.
    Yes we need this app yesterday and the NHSX app is ready. Its in a live trial already.

    If the live trial is a success then roll it out. If its not then go to Plan B. It wouldn't surprise me if people are already working on Plan B just in case the trial doesn't work.

    Is an alternative program ready already like the NHSX app is?
    That app is ready because we've invested in it for the last few weeks. The original decision was incorrect, other countries have taken the Google/Apple approach and are ready to release as well. We know that will definitely work, ours is in an untested solution and when it doesn't work we'll be two to three weeks late to release.

    PHE hasn't covered itself in glory throughout the crisis and Hancock has been too weak and too stupid to force the situation.
    I don't think PHE are coding this app and GCHQ are world leaders at what they do. If GCHQ are confident this will work, then they must have a very good reason for thinking so.
    It seems like all we know is that they were asked for advice, I don't think anyone knows what they think about the result???
    Indeed but I trust their advice was sound.

    We have a whole bunch of armchair generals confident this won't work but the experts (who needs them eh?) advised it will and its already through the alpha test stage and into a live beta test.

    We will know soon enough.
    Actually the experts in tech industry have said the government approach won't work, that's why they have provided a way to make it work. We've chosen to ignore that method in favour of one we've been told won't work by the tech industry.

    Again and again our "experts" have been wrong. This is just another example.
    I think it's more the experts switched off the functionality in the past and are now making it available again via a very prescribed API.

    Now it's possible that when the functionality was disabled years ago that exploits existed that allowed the functionality to be used if so desired but I'm more cynical than others around here and it really wouldn't surprise me if no one tested whether two phones with switched off screens could communicate with each other. This software is being written in a rush and while the really obvious use cases will have been covered that slightly less obvious use case could easily have been ignored (and believe me I've seen stupider things done in the past).
    It really isn't a slightly less obvious use case though!
    Trust me I've seen very senior clever people miss more obvious ones.
    I'm just incredulous at the thought of it. Something so basic cannot have been overlooked. :D
    As I said, you don't work in IT.
    Very true, but on a project so major and important? Let's see what happens in the Isle of Wight.
    I did not associate the Isle of Wight with experiments in cutting edge technology and behavioural science. Quite an imaginative choice. Cummings?
  • Options
    StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    If the app doesn’t work it’s going to be hilarious. Like hilariously incompetent. I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D

    Showing your vile true colours their like BJO.
    What are you on about? This should have been the first thing to consider in the design process, especially when they were in discussions with Apple and Google.

    If they ignored it and went ahead anyway, and it doesn’t work, it really is hilarious incompetence.

    Clearly I want it to work.
    Oh clearly you do. You were just saying it was hilarious if it failed and are laughing out loud with multiple grinning face emojis.

    If that's wanting it to work rather than willing it to fail then maybe rethink your choice of words and emojis.
    Well it would be hilarious if it failed, considering anyone with an ounce of know-how regarding how iOS and Android works would have questioned the technology.

    I WANT it to work because it will be a complete waste of time if it doesn’t and I want to be able to socialise, but I will not be surprised if it doesn’t.

    I question why you’re so offended at my comments on the Government’s behalf.
    If you want it to work then I take back what I said but you never said that originally. What I replied to was you basically saying you wanted it to fail. If that's not what you meant, well its how "I’m literally laughing out loud at the thought of it. :D:D " came across.
    ❄️
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,020
    Endillion said:



    This is an odd line of attack, if your point is that the NHS should have let the tech industry handle things.

    It's not a line of attack - it's a statement that to me is obvious. In the headlong rush to get this app created my experience from 20+ years of working on IT projects tells me that its perfectly possible that blatantly obvious test cases will have been missed.

    Now I hope that isn't the case but given that the test case is the sort of thing testers might miss (and remember both Sandpit and I have reason to believe this is the sort of thing tests might miss) it's perfectly possible that it might have been missed.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,797
    At least we seem to be back on topic.
    "Now partisan politics is getting back to normal and looks even crazier..."
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    IshmaelZ said:


    IoW is simply a hat tip to The Day of the Triffids.

    I was thinking the other day that this entire Covid-19 story really is like something out of a John Wyndham novel.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    MaxPB said:

    Amusing to see our usual-suspect technical experts not only thinking they know more than GCHQ, but also thinking that they know better than Apple and Google what apps are allowed in their stores.

    I've actually worked on apps that released to the app store. A very long time ago tbf.

    Edit - it actually used the Bluetooth stack as well!
    Yes, my company has as well, although it's not our main line of business.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,205
    This thread has encountered an unexpected error.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,261

    Dura_Ace said:
    The bad news for some is that we'll cure the coronavirus long before we cure ingrained bitterness and misanthropy.
    However you tending your wee garden of joy, tolerance and love of your fellow man is an inspiration to us all.
    When my soul turns black enough to post high casualty numbers to the accompaniment of sarky comments, I'll accept that criticism. Until then...
    Sorry to be the one to break it to you but you accepting criticism means feckall. But you carry on bleating about why nasty, humourles, antisemitic, commie loving 'twats' won't give you and your bunch of incompetents the benefit of the doubt.
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    BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556

    Dura_Ace said:
    The bad news for some is that we'll cure the coronavirus long before we cure ingrained bitterness and misanthropy.
    However you tending your wee garden of joy, tolerance and love of your fellow man is an inspiration to us all.
    When my soul turns black enough to post high casualty numbers to the accompaniment of sarky comments, I'll accept that criticism. Until then...
    Sorry to be the one to break it to you but you accepting criticism means feckall. But you carry on bleating about why nasty, humourles, antisemitic, commie loving 'twats' won't give you and your bunch of incompetents the benefit of the doubt.
    If only I were not given so much regular cause to do so...
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,583

    NEW THREAD

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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,067
    dr_spyn said:
    Gatwick will be done for shortly
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,048
    Pulpstar said:

    Councils definitely need a shake up from the top down, starting with everything moving to a unitary rather than the crackers county/district system.

    Definitely. Councils actually did very well with the level of cuts they had to face (there definitely was wastage) but there are still shakeups that would help and I haven’t found arguments for retaining country/districts particularly compelling.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941
    eek said:

    Endillion said:



    This is an odd line of attack, if your point is that the NHS should have let the tech industry handle things.

    It's not a line of attack - it's a statement that to me is obvious. In the headlong rush to get this app created my experience from 20+ years of working on IT projects tells me that its perfectly possible that blatantly obvious test cases will have been missed.

    Now I hope that isn't the case but given that the test case is the sort of thing testers might miss (and remember both Sandpit and I have reason to believe this is the sort of thing tests might miss) it's perfectly possible that it might have been missed.
    I'd go further and say that blatantly-obvious-with-hindsight test case scenarios pretty much *always* get missed.

    My quick 10-minute design for a small-scale test prior to IoW rollout.

    Venue: closed mall or cinema, 100% CCTV coverage.

    Number of volunteers: 50, none having had any prior involvement in the project
    Supervisors: 10, not involved in dev or QA roles but with an understanding of how the app should work to an end user.

    Instructions to volunteers: Bring a book. You will be in this area for several hours, every half an hour or so you'll go for a walk around and find a new place to sit down. Sometimes you'll sit close to someone else, or stop and talk to someone while walking. Don't touch the phone we give you, but put it where you'd normally put your phone.

    CCTV room operators noting every interaction between people, and database engineers in same room noting DB hits (this is a centralised solution). Note all the positives, negatives, false positives and false negatives.

    Morning session - we provide the phones, all the phone apps, central web app, comms server and database are in QA/debug mode.

    Afternoon session - everything in 'production' mode, participants are given the app on their own phones and told to use them normally while repeating the experiment.

    Next day, review all CCTV and DB logs in real time replay, looking for things missed. Note from CCTV actual times and distances between people, and compare to values for same stored in DB. Set one phone to "COVID-mode" and test all phone responses.

    Refine time and distance scales to refine responses and alerts as required, repeat experiment as required.

    I could spend all day putting in more details, but there's a good starting point.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,048
    edited May 2020
    Scott_xP said:
    That’s an astoundingly stupid headline that I suspect before reading it will undermine earned criticism of the government in the article itself (often happens given headlines may be written by others). We’ll see.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,048
    edited May 2020
    RobD said:

    Andy_JS said:

    BigRich posted an interesting comment about why Sweden has probably done the right thing, and nearly all of the replies were to do with a grammar dispute.

    Sometimes people do not seem willing to engage in sciientific discussion on this site.The graph yesterday showing that the R figure was below 1 before the lockdown and that the reduction coincided with the hand washing advice I thought was really striking. Yet alI I got was abuse for discussing it and no one seemed interested in it. If science does not agree with someones opinion then it seems it is not worthy.

    https://twitter.com/AlistairHaimes/status/1257303355199635456?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed&ref_url=https://politicalbetting.vanillacommunity.com/discussion/8673/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-covid-19-it-s-not-your-fault/p1
    Very good point Nerys.

    The thing is that the long lockdowners cannot be wrong, whatever the evidence against them.

    If they are wrong, then that is tantamount to admitting they have, in effect, been amongst the biggest and most gullible dupes in history. They would be right up there with those who maintained that Stalin did not know about the purges and the gulags, and if he did would have stopped them immediately.
    No one seemed interested in it? We've been discussing that plot for two days. The methodology behind it is questionable, and the official advice was the R was between 2 and 3 on the day the lockdown was announced. Anyone can make a plot on the internet these days, it doesn't make it right.
    It doesn’t?! Crap, that was such a timesaver for me.

    You’ll be telling me memes aren’t facts next.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,048

    tlg86 said:
    I expect they're most comparable to the UK-HMG daily report, though I'm not absolutely clear.

    Britain's position looks relatively worse than some of the countries that it is being compared with because it has good and current statistics. However, its position is still pretty bad.
    That sounds like a reasonable summation. We clearly haven’t managed to have an outcome similar to the countries with the best outcomes, which is pretty bad, but there seem to be major statistical caveats before someone leaps up and suggests its especially bad.
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