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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » We’re going through an odd period in the leader ratings – both
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » We’re going through an odd period in the leader ratings – both the PM and Starmer are positive across the board
As regular PBers will know I am a great fan of leader ratings as to pointers to political outcomes. At the last election in December Labour was always doomed while Corbyn struggled to get out of the worst set of ratings that any opposition leader has ever seen.
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Plus for a newish PM Johnson's ratings were dire, just not as dire as Corbyn's.
As I was saying yesterday evening, it's easy for people to conclude the number of tests equals the number of people being tested and this doesn't help:
Now I'm not going to accuse Sky News of peddling a pro-Government line but this misinformation doesn't help attempts to hold the Government to account.
Those who don't follow the news might actually believe 105,937 people were tested but we know that's not true - it's a pity the broadcast media don't check.
If you had said never believe anything in the MSM until you verify it from a reputable source I might agree that its better.
I don't read papers, I don't watch tv news. I believe myself highly informed. I have been in many situations where work colleagues have parroted out some tosh served up by the MSM and said actually that is totally wrong. Try checking out here and here for the actual story.
The MSM is frankly almost as bad as all those sites you decry like fox news and breitbart and novara media and skawkbox. Worse in many ways as they manage to hide their bias, and errors behind a veneer of reputability. One which thankfully they are rapidly losing
Don't make Rupert Murdoch cry! (yes, I know).
We have seen big queues to access civic amenity sites and I'm sure as soon as McDonald's reopens they will be queuing round the block for their Big Mac fix.
Andrew Cuomo
@NYGovCuomo
NYC overall: 19.9% positive for antibodies.
Putin knocks him into a hat on professional smoke & mirrors.
My view is there won't be a deal. There will be in the late 2020s but we'll have 4-5 years of no deal first.
Bronx: 27.6%
Brooklyn: 19.2%
Manhattan: 17.3%
Queens: 18.4%
Staten Island: 19.2%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leadership_approval_opinion_polling_for_the_2015_United_Kingdom_general_election
I liked old Ed, I wish he’d been more successful. One of the highlights of the PB week back in the first half of the decade was poor departed Plato’s on the spot assessment of how he was doing at PMQs/how he looked etc... always horrendously badly! She might as well have written it the night before...
Good to see people have stepped into her famous shoes and do the same for Boris... a fitting tribute
Edit it isn't really even about public opinion in China. It's more a corporate initiative. China has a very corporate setup.
I suspect our issue with higher death rate and deprivation is also the case in many Countries
"Never believe anything you read in the press."
Both are wrong. Apply critical thinking to all information presented to you. Does it pass a basic smell test? Are actual sources quoted? Does it violate the laws of physics?
But the important thing was that TSE was technically incorrect and you have to take these opportunities when they arise.
It's a mixture of ignorance, arrogance and complacency but they seem determined to keep digging.
13,365 dead currently I think.
Putin is a master of politics.
This snippet of President Xi in 2020 should put the shivers down anyone who's "blasé" about China assuming a global leadership role by natural economic drift in 10-20 years time.
It's chilling my blood.
That'll be viewed as very Tea with Mussolini one day.
"Did the epidemic reveal anything about our condition or situation that we did not know before or could not have known if we had thought about it? It is so obvious that it amounts to a cliché that not only life itself, but the economy as we have constructed, hangs by a thread: and yet the speed with which so much unravelled came as a surprise. Untune that string, said Shakespeare in a different context (he was speaking of social hierarchy, whereas we are talking of supply chains and economic interdependence), and hark what discord follows! Yet, if we had stopped to think of it, we might have realised how unwise it was, strategically, to outsource the production of almost everything to distant and not necessarily benevolently-disposed foreign powers.
And yet our own habits—namely, spending more than we earned for years and years, indeed for decades—required precisely this. In order to maintain the illusion of solvency, money had to be created and interest rates kept low; but to avoid the appearance, though not the reality, of inflation, prices (except for property and financial assets) had to be kept low. The only way to do this was to outsource the manufacture of goods to low-cost economies, and voilà! with the able assistance of the coronavirus, the economic situation developed that we are in today."
https://www.newenglishreview.org/custpage.cfm?frm=190067&sec_id=190067
It may be linked to a lack of Western pressure.
https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/1256609749149220864
https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/1256609752399835136
Taking that IFR and applying it to the UK with current figures would suggest that 3.5 million have been infected across the country, and over 600,000 in London alone. Officially it's about 182,000 across the country. Now admittedly there are deaths to come, and different circumstances and populations between New York City and London and the UK, but a rough estimate of there being an order of magnitude more cases than is official does seem highly likely.
If only one could trust the test!
(Personally I had some sort of bug some weeks ago - it wasn't nice, but wasn't that bad either. I live in fairly central London)
[*] Actually, no clue.
I hope the UK government have considered how they are going to get millions of masks every week for the public.
People being noisy is a great crime. I'm so happy and lucky that my neighbours are quiet.
It's an old tune. In ancient Athens, Laconophilia was popular among certain groups of young men. Hence the Thirty and the real reason that Socrates was executed.
If I were five eyes I'd be taking a very close look at what's been going into his bank account.
(Edited)
In other words, they tend to be of a type.
Also depends what type of mask.
If everybody's had it and mostly recovered it's great.
https://twitter.com/dannythefink/status/1256584378102185984?s=21
'I was only obeying orders given by my government.'
She doesn't make policy. She does what the Government ask.
A gypsy must have put a curse on Brenda.
I live in Maida Vale, and there is a noticeable amount of extra space - no double parking on a sunday morning! In Bayswater (just down the road) there are whole bays that are almost empty.
I guess we'll have to forgive you for your parked car as it allows you to report!
They give the wearer too much false sense of security. I think it is very unlikely that it will ever be policy to wear them here.
Currently they advise me not to, and you advise me to wear them.
It is for me anyway.
The poll by Opinium, taken between Wednesday and Friday last week, found 17% of people think the conditions have been met to consider reopening schools, against 67% who say they have not been, and that they should stay closed.
Opposition to reopening restaurants and pubs – and allowing mass gatherings in sports and other stadiums to resume – is even higher. Just 11% of people think the time is right to consider reopening restaurants, while 78% are against. Only 9% believe it would be correct to consider reopening pubs, while 81% are against; 7% say it would be right to think of allowing mass gatherings at sports events or concerts to resume, with 84% against.
On Saturday the psychologist Prof Dame Til Wykes of King’s College London said the public’s reactions to easing the lockdown were likely to reveal high levels of anxiety. “How reopening society is going to affect people has not really been examined in any detail,” she said....
...The Opinium poll shows the government struggling to hold on to public support over its handling of the coronavirus crisis. The percentage of people who approve of its management of the crisis has fallen from 61% three weeks ago to 47% now, with the proportion of those who disapprove up from 22% to 34%. The net approval rate has fallen therefore from plus 39% to plus 13%. Given the fragile state of support, ministers will be determined not to misread the public mood over easing the lockdown.
Adam Drummond of Opinium said that views among the public over what to do about the lockdown seemed to differ from those at Westminster. “The public’s appetite for lifting the lockdown measures remains minuscule,” Drummond said. “Very few people believe that conditions have been met to allow for public spaces and venues to reopen on 8 May, and while some are treating the rules less strictly, few admit to breaching them.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/02/fearful-britons-oppose-lifting-lockdown-schools-pubs-restaurants-opinium-poll