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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » For Iowa caucus punters the wait continues
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » For Iowa caucus punters the wait continues
Tomorrow sees Nevada the second state in the WH2020 process to hold a caucus to choose a nominee to fight Mr. Trump. The big difference between caucuses and a normal primary is that with the former the party machine, not the state government handles the elections which can be more complex than simple statewide ballots.
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I guess we'll see by the reaction to a trade deal, or lack of one, later this year.
It brings me back to the day at work when we had discussions about ‘data is’ or ‘data are’, things became a little heated.
Is it data or data?
You might want to Rejoin now but that's not Remain.
Now then, back to the important stuff. PT and schools reform. You and I have blended our opposite politics and a certain alchemy has taken place. We have a consensus that it is worth exploring the idea of ALL schools being private - with equalized fees but within that constraining caveat competing for pupils in a fair and open market. All parents to be equipped with a voucher (to the value of the fees) to invest in a school as they see fit.
I'm excited by this. We now need to get some serious work done. See if we can turn it from inspiring egalitarian yet libertarian vision to practical policy proposal. It's "wonk" time, in other words, detail detail detail, and I'm hoping you have the time and the inclination.
So, you up for it? You OK to wonk with me on this?
Who would say dartabase ?
You were reacting to a post which was quite clear why he wasn't qualified.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-51582186
...The virus has also spread in Iran, which reported two further deaths among 13 new cases, bringing the total number of deaths there to four.
Lebanon also announced its first confirmed case.
In Iran the outbreak is centred on the holy city of Qom, south of the capital Tehran, but health ministry official Minou Mohrez said the virus may already have spread to "all cities in Iran".
The case in Lebanon was a 45-year-old woman who had travelled from Qom, Lebanese Health Minister Hassan Hamad said.
World Health Organization (WHO) officials said both Iran and Lebanon had the basic capacity to detect the virus and the WHO was contacting them to offer further assistance.
"The measures China and others have taken have given us a fighting chance of containing the spread of the virus," WHO chief Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said.
"Our window of opportunity is narrowing so we need to act quickly," he added.
What is the latest in South Korea?
The southern cities of Daegu and Cheongdo have been declared "special care zones". The streets of Daegu are now largely abandoned.
All military bases are in lockdown after three soldiers tested positive....
It's impossible to say what the extent of this particular virus will end up being, but it is certainly not now under control.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2020/02/21/jp-morgan-warns-end-human-life-leaked-climate-report/
They despise Grenell because his existence harms the Democrat narrative.
The reason he's despised - a position shared by most German politicians, who won't even meet with him as ambassador for fear of damaging their electoral odds - is that he's a hardline Trump partisan.
Which would be quite understandable in many administration posts, but is a distinct drawback in adequately filling either of the two roles he now has simultaneously:
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/20/senate-republicans-richard-grenell-acting-intelligence-chief-116327
https://twitter.com/redhistorian/status/1230813552941916160
But quite positive to see someone so firmly on the left come up with some imaginative proposals here. I think there's some good ideas to be explored.
And we are not stupid or dead !!!
California has different issues but will also delay the final count for months.
After all who wants to be President of the United States if the United States is worth nothing.
Aren't you really just backing up my point? The real issue here is he's not a "real" gay because he's a Trump-supporter, that's why the vitriol is so high. Nothing else in that article justifies it.
This is an appropiate responce to the above for TSE and his Oxford ancient greek and latin comments on the previous threads:
Σὺν Ἀθηνᾷ καὶ σὺ χεῖρα κίνει
Aesop
There is also a paragraph from Herodotus about common colds.
Darrter.
No, same fees is integral. Our wonk is (sadly) over if this is not accepted.
Then your (good) question. The difference between out of school and in school is in the description. We will have a level playing field on schools (and cut throat competition leading to ever higher standards) and in addition to this parents will be able to do whatever they wish to improve the hearts and minds of their children in the (limited) time available outside of the school day and of term time. It's a lovely mix of egalitarian and libertarian.
But plenty more to think about. Geographical aspects, for example.
Ready to move on in a warm and constructive spirit?
June 13th is the last practicle day when the Iowa Democratic Convention has to elect the delegates to the National Convention.
If they fail, then Iowa will not be represented or the whole process will have to be rerun from the start.
I've bought my own FFP3 masks. I'd suggest if people are worried they do the same, the stock, whatever is left, won't be around for too long.
2020 will make all the crying about Brexit look like decadent madness.
The authorities should be very concerned indeed, and I hope they are more worried than they are publicly admitting.
Some things are too big to discuss!
It's quite likely that people are just not very good at judging risk. This is a betting site so it should be better here than most places. But there is a willful blindness to this issue. It can't be that bad etc..
If the Mail were to go all eadric, with "WE"RE ALL GOING TO DIE" in 72pt bold, it wouldn't do all that much to help.
For that matter they are right that it's not news. We now all know the virus is spreading, that it can occasionally be fatal, and that so far there are hardly any cases in Europe.
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/coronavirus-wuhan-to-activate-one-more-temporary-hospital-with-3690-beds
Even Communist dictators feel the need at times to be seen to be doing something but is this consistent with the virus being under control?
"So then they will just create their own private schools, won't they?"
So it's a No. Home schooling allowed only in very precise and restricted circumstances. As in Germany.
No offence at all - it's fine - but I sense that you are hellbent on wonking a way out of this idea. Why? Because you don't want an omelette.
Who the hell burns wet wood?
I have 2 stoves in our main house and I'm about to install a stove in our second house. So far I have got all my wood from my garden and I season it myself. If and when I do run out I will approach a tree surgeon for wet wood they don't want and season it myself because I have the space.
Wood that is sold commercially for burning in home stoves is always seasoned. Most people don't have the space to season their own wood. They are saying it must be seasoned in kilns. Why? That just speeds up the process but wastes energy and pollutes.
99% of people do what is required (re wood) anyway and those that don't are those that can season anyway. Nobody burns wet wood (Ash is one wood that can be burnt wet, but why would you?).
Confused.
I can understand reluctance to sensationalise, but in a day and age when people are going to find out from dodgy twitter accounts anyway it would probably be better to be as open and current with the facts as possible. E.g. lots of fake stuff about Iran going around.
Tho you can find this story in today's guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/feb/21/jp-morgan-economists-warn-climate-crisis-threat-human-race
Trying to persuade and collude rather than berate and oppose.
Because when different sides wonk together - which they rarely do - it can produce something pleasant and surprising.
Frankly, aside from the measured and sensible reporting we are seeing on most of our media, I am amazed that they seem to be playing this crazy waiting game.
But I am with you 100% in terms of your analysis and putting my affairs in order as a consequence.
Now whether it hibernates through the summer or everything kicks off in April we don't know but it's still a waiting game and you can't spend weeks reporting on people waiting.
You’re the guy who’d be put out of his misery or sent to the rear in a straight-jacket, if you’d been in the trenches: no-one wants to hear, “OH MY GOD, WE’RE ALL GOING TO DIE!!!” several times a day.
It does no-one any good.
It's all very well banging on about being green and how much power is generated from renewables but the real issue is air quality in our towns and cities and in particular the levels of Particulate Matter Pollution and especially those particles below 2.5 micrometers in diameter.
Every time he heard a siren he'd be heading for a fallout shelter on Hampstead Heath.
Just because you might be able to reduce 80% of 26 different forms of carbon emissions doesn’t mean you should.
If you can reduce more or less 100% of 12 of those 26 different forms of carbon emissions and those 12 represent 95%+ of the UK’s carbon emissions, then why waste political capital pissing people off going after the other fourteen, which might jeopardise the lot?
As an example, the Government could ban heritage traction engines and steam railways, because they burn coal. In reality, the emissions they create are so negligible as to make not the slightest difference to anything and banning them would wipe out a huge part of our industrial heritage and piss an enormous number of people off.
Focus on power, air/sea/road transport, electric infrastructure and primary district air/ground source heating, in my view.
(And btw you have appreciated that GLOBAL DEATH could also be renamed GLOBAL INEVITABLE DEATH but not much point screaming about that.)
For quite a long time - certainly well into the summer of the following year - I went around pretending that Obama was still the President.
Only stopped this when friends and family started to get uncomfortable around me.
Anyway, I haven’t “ignored” the risk. I’ve stockpiled two weeks of emergency food, water and gas at my home in case national supply chains should be interrupted or we are required to self-isolate and we can’t get deliveries. Just as a precaution.
But, I don’t feel the need to shout FIRE! in the theatre every day because of it.
https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/coronavirus-residents-welded-inside-their-own-home/
Far too many such videos to be fake.
The answer to this question is surely yes, the interesting follow on questions are ‘why?’ and ‘does it matter?’.