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The latest campaign video from Momentum shows Rebecca Long-Bailey setting out the need to have a “positive vision of Britain can be post-Brexit”. It stars an audience member explaining how the Labour vote was split in both directions by Brexit. Neither Long-Bailey nor Momentum spotted that the member asking the question appears to be Maria Carroll – a former candidate who ran a secret Facebook group advising Holocaust-denying members how to beat charges of antisemitism.
https://order-order.com/2020/02/11/long-bailey-video-features-candidate-advised-holocaust-deniers-deny-antisemitism-charges/
Interesting that solar is generating 10% of power at this time of year.
https://www.gridwatch.templar.co.uk
I see little reason why we can't be at ~95% renewable/nuclear by the end of this decade with non-renewable/nuclear as scarce as coal is nowadays.
Former Labour voters in our focus groups often raised the subject spontaneously.
Though there were mixed views as to how widespread the problem was and whether Jeremy Corbyn himself was guilty of it (and some linked it to his reported support for terrorist groups), they regarded his apparent inability to deal with the problem convincingly as an indictment of his leadership: “Corbyn has a dark shadow – links to terrorism, the antisemitism stuff. I don’t know much about it but it was there;” “He denied things but there was proof, and he argued black was white;” “He didn’t do anything about the antisemitism. He knew it was rife, he knew it was, and he denied it all the way along. You lose respect for someone then;” “Why couldn’t he say, ‘yes we’ve got a problem and I’m dealing with it and I’m sorry’? Why couldn’t he say that?” “I was very unhappy about the Jewish stuff. Even if it wasn’t all true, the insensitivity was stunning.”
Nothing to see here, obv.
Reminds me a bit of Jezza / RLB.
O/T: there was a lot of talk a week or two back about how Trump's ratings were much improved, up to 49% favourable, and he was ahead of most Democrats and thus poised for re-election. That appears to have a temporary blip and (apart from the discredited Rasmussen poll) he is back at -8ish, and 4-9 points berhind all potential Democrats - cf. current polling at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
The pattern that Buttigieg does (just) worst against Trump seems persistent, and I wonder why. Voters not that keen on moderation (Klobouchar does marginally worse than Sanders too)? Anti-gay prejudice? It can't still be lack of recognition, surely?
We did warn ya.
Four 'absolute idiots' are rescued from Ben Nevis in an 80mph blizzard after attempting to climb the UK's highest mountain during Storm Ciara while wearing TRAINERS
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7990811/Four-idiots-rescued-Ben-Nevis-80mph-blizzard-scaling-mountain-TRAINERS.html
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/feb/11/deportation-flight-leaves-uk-for-jamaica-despite-court-ruling
I wonder who said that?
Nationally 12.6 of America is African American.
Wisconsin is 6.4% African American
Pennsylvania is 11.0% African American
Not sure what it is in all the swing states, but it wouldn't surprise me if the states with the highest and lowest shares are not swing states.
It claimed detainees had 'ample access' to other methods of communication during the mobile network outages, including free sim cards upon request, access to landlines and the internet and face-to-face legal surgeries.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7990213/Home-office-mass-deportation-flight-takes-Jamaica-scheduled.html
This sort of ruling isn't about attributing blame (although query whether the Home Office ought to have contingency plans if mobile networks are down for a period). The issue is the substantive one - if you're facing deportation, you REALLY need to be able to get speak to your lawyer, and they couldn't.
I assume landlines are still available in detention centres for management so while it may not be possible to ring the person directly it should have still been possible for messages to be passed to the detainees and for the reverse to also be true.
Were that not to be the case, it would be in the interest of all deportees to ensure phone masts were continually broken.
And I'm very surprised it's you I'm arguing with Philip, I would have thought you would see that the legal advice argument didn't stand up 100%...
In past cycles every state had its own rules for who delegates could/must votes for if there candidate drops out, some had to vote form them anyway in the first round (but change in second round) some let the delegates decide, and some it would depend on who came next in that state.
This year the Democratic party have brought in a lot of standardization, i.e. all states use a from of PR with a 15% threshold. Have the rules on how delegates vote if there guy drops out also been standardized and if so to what?
I'd rather always err on the side the accused.
New detainees arriving at Yarl’s Wood immigration prison, run by outsourcing giant Serco, are being given new mobile phones locked to O2 SIM cards with the back covers glued on so that no other SIM cards can be used, Corporate Watch can reveal. The new system, criticised by campaigners for isolating, monitoring and exploiting detainees even further, follows a similar scheme introduced by G4S in Tinsley House earlier this year.
https://corporatewatch.org/compulsory-o2-mobiles-for-yarls-wood-detainees/
Had the detainees just been given an alternative when O2 broke this wouldn't be an issue. Saying "an alternative is available" I don't trust 100% as I'm not sure how available it was made and how much it was offered.
IANAL but surely they can now be given a working phone, offered the legal advice, then deportation rescheduled for a month or two or however long it takes to reschedule it?
That's the problem, Labour members took it as vindication of their strategy.
"Not wanting to give May a landslide" surely has no basis in reality though. There's no way voters have enough information to decide to vote for a party they want to lose, in order to keep the party they want to win grounded.
It's the kind of thing a minister says in the election studio when they didn't do as well as they'd hoped
Corbyn did deserve credit for some of the improvement from 2015 to 2017. His lack of triangulation and his movement of the discussion to the economic left with policies that were even reasonably popular with Tory voters (rail nationalisation, national care service), made him more electable than a continuity-Miliband leader would have been.
And in 2017, circumstances and Labour's Brexit policy enabled them to move the discussion onto other things. Salisbury hadn't happened yet. Anti-Semitism wasn't at the forefront of the national consciousness. And of course the manifesto wasn't the dog's breakfast that the 2019 manifesto was.
So it's not hard to reconcile Justin's analysis with the Ashcroft focus groups.
A contested convention is theoretically possible, but not very likely. A bit like the Premier League being determined by goal difference. Albeit probably not compare the odds of those two this year!
I would be against deporting such a person, but public opinion would probably be strongly against me.
That's the downside of a huge parliamentary majority - there is nobody else to blame.
https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1227248333871173632
Too late and too unpronounceable, people are just gonna call it beervirus/kung flu/virusy mcvirusface.
It's not an issue up north where houses are still at 2004 prices..
He doesn't think Warren will take it any more, that Biden has blown it, and that Mayor Pete is too wet behind the ears. As such, and as reflects the betting markets, he thinks it will be between Bernie and Bloomberg. He is edging towards Bernie because he is the only one who is focused on the job at hand, and has the popular following to bring the numbers. He would like to hear Mike BBG go head to head with Trump ("unsuccessful businessman") and thinks that in Trump vs Sanders Trump will murder Sanders on his historic left wingery.
Secondly the 2017 happened to attract the fashionista/yoof/Oh Jeremy Corbyn/Glast vote. It's a very creditable achievement as long as you are not expecting those groups to remember to support you twice, or even remember your name, over a period as gigantically lengthy as 2 years.
A good number of my dear friends in these particular camps failed actually to turn up at the correct, or indeed any, polling station on either occasion.
I'm surprised by how often people link the Mail here. The right wing newspaper with the closest standards to the Guardian is the Times, and even if you don't like the paywall, there are other places to go before stooping as far as the Mail. I've tended to give people the benefit of the doubt that it's just the easiest click, but if they then go on to dismiss the Guardian, we really would be in Donald Trump "fake news" land.
Foot was ultimately a party man, and was pretty self-denying in terms of public involvement after 1983. But he didn't have the cult of personality around him that Corbyn does, and Corbyn could do a lot of damage.
I suppose it partly depends on how Corbyn himself views his legacy. I've never fully understood if "the Project" was largely an invention of those around him, and he was just a bloke who never really expected to be where he was and just quite enjoyed reveling in the acclaim of his tribe, or if he would judge himself a failure if the party wasn't transformed in his image. If the former, he may well just wander off to his allotment and make an occasional appearance waving at a crowd - that's the best way to preserve his reputation. But if he truly believes in the Project, I don't think he could resist wading in against Starmer.
First name I google "Junior Kerr"...7 years GBH for stabbing somebody.
It has been pointed out numerous times how they have omitted key details to a sympathetic sounding case, just as the Mail does when it goes full outrage on why somebody got a light sentence by selectively quoting the defence case for a reduction when it turns out the judge either gave the max time and / or ignored the more outlandish claim in their decision.
- On the Kay Burley at Breakfast show on Sky News, the chancellor was asked if he was sorry about one of the cases being a 23-year-old who spent 15 months in jail after being convicted at 17 for drug offences. He had come to the UK aged five. “We’re not even saying sorry,” Javid said.
So they were actually reporting the journalism of another outlet. It's possible that Sky News omitted an important detail, but if so, I doubt it was due to any soft-on-crime ideology.
Her story was much more complicated and involved long period back in Singapore, had property there, overstaying her leave to remain after a number of failed applications. She decided that she wouldn't voluntarily leave despite being informed she wasn't here legally and that if she continued to do she would be removed.
In the end she did get a reprieve, but the Guardian omitted all the key details that turned a story from an old lady having done nothing wrong being sent back to Singapore to something far less clear cut.
For it to be one of the main factors, it would involve hundreds of thousands of people actively making a risky decision with their vote - I've never seen any evidence that voters behave that way in large numbers.
The Guardian are dead keen to defend the BBC over-arching media output, even while BBC news site is driving Guardian future into the ground in the way they have done for local radio / newspapers.
I'm also still not entirely sure what the expected impact of this is likely to be. Or even the range. Are we expecting Spanish Flu type mortality figures? (I've just looked up Spanish Flu - it infected half the world and killed 3-6% of the world's population). We've got better medicines nowadays but we're also much more in contact with one another.
Edit - a quarter, not a half.
Edit #2 - and what will be the geographical spread of infection? Much worse in China, or basically just worldwide?
I expect the general public will still call it Coronavirus.
Coronavirus is a category of illness. We think of it as being specific today but a decade from now (or even now) referring to coronavirus in a scientific journal won't mean this illness specifically.
On NI I am right, that said.
I was actually really shocked how little traffic they got at what should be a peak time.