Not really disputing the crapness of Corbyn but it's kind of an arbitrary measure; surely John Major would be one of the worst leaders on those criteria?
Back tonight for Sandringham tomorrow.....Also good show of respect to Oman.
DId you know that the letter naming his successor was lodged by the old Sultan with the British Ambassador?
Really? I guess he never forgot his friends.
Apparently he picked up, during his service with the British Army in Germany, the good officers trick of remembering other ranks who served with him. Apparently on several state visits, years latter, he would wander up to the Sergeant of the Guard or similar and start talking about what they'd been up to, what had happened to X etc.
Not really disputing the crapness of Corbyn but it's kind of an arbitrary measure; surely John Major would be one of the worst leaders on those criteria?
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
It would be interesting to see a few more leaders on that chart. Brown lost much more (97 seats) in one election than Corbyn did in two - though it's not really a fair comparison!
Not really disputing the crapness of Corbyn but it's kind of an arbitrary measure; surely John Major would be one of the worst leaders on those criteria?
There were a few metrics I thought about using and it is very subjective.
Making a net loss of seats starting from opposition (and never being in government) was a pretty stark one.
John Major won a majority (and indeed the highest ever number of votes any party has received in a general election) so does have mitigation, as well as being at the wheel after eighteen years of Tory government, most governments go on for 10-13 years.
Quick question: does the Star Wars Sequel Trilogy work better as a duology? If you just discard TLJ entirely (ie decanonise it) and treat it as a seamless two-part film from TFA to TROS?
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Assuming Starmer becomes leader his popularity will improve. The more we see of him the more we will like him. I am not sure that is true of RLB.
As for Pidcock. She lost because obviously she forgot to canvass outside the CLP offices.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
Fun fact - Starmer has an horrendous woman problem - more than twice as popular (still not much) with men than with women. The split in both relative and absolute terms is much worse than Boris.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Assuming Starmer becomes leader his popularity will improve. The more we see of him the more we will like him. I am not sure that is true of RLB.
As for Pidcock. She lost because obviously she forgot to canvass outside the CLP offices.
I will say one thing, the majority of Labour members seem to be genuinely ready to ditch Corbynism and go towards a more centrist (of today, which is still more left than 1997) position. There's a 10% or so minority full of absolute nutters who think otherwise but I suspect they'll all leave when Starmer wins (as I think he will).
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
I would have thought more would have come out about that, the Daily Mail and others have been oddly quiet don't you think?
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
There's a lowly paid researcher in CCHQ currently very excited that the 4 days they spent compiling a list of murders and rapes committed by people Sir Keir declined to prosecute will not have been time wasted.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
Labour need to demonstrate economic competence - quite simply, many people believe that given half a chance, they will revert to spending without sensible limit.
I would suggest that the "investment" talk is stopped - it has always been code for extra spending. And everything is called an "investment".
Talk about specific things. Not "spending on the NHS" - x to achieve a specific y. So spend x to get 8K nurses specialising in z.
As a complete novelty, tie increased spending to increased efficiency. Every organisation in existence has fat. The only way to stop it overwhelming companies is either to shut them down and start again, or get the axe out every few years.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
I would have thought more would have come out about that, the Daily Mail and others have been oddly quiet don't you think?
They'd want him to succeed if he had such baggage, surely?
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
I would have thought more would have come out about that, the Daily Mail and others have been oddly quiet don't you think?
They'd want him to succeed if he had such baggage, surely?
Depends how many papers they want to sell, they were savage on Corbyn from pretty much day one.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
There's a lowly paid researcher in CCHQ currently very excited that the 4 days they spent compiling a list of murders and rapes committed by people Sir Keir declined to prosecute will not have been time wasted.
I imagine Sir Keir will be more damaged by his major push to prosecute benefits cheats in his period in office.
Labour needs someone that can relate to regular people. Not the third middle class straight male from a small area of North London in a row.
Not really disputing the crapness of Corbyn but it's kind of an arbitrary measure; surely John Major would be one of the worst leaders on those criteria?
There were a few metrics I thought about using and it is very subjective.
Making a net loss of seats starting from opposition (and never being in government) was a pretty stark one.
John Major won a majority (and indeed the highest ever number of votes any party has received in a general election) so does have mitigation, as well as being at the wheel after eighteen years of Tory government, most governments go on for 10-13 years.
That's fair I guess, I don't think anyone outside enraged brexiteers would describe Major as a terrible leader. Perhaps the long term lesson is that it's pretty much always downhill for anyone winning unexpectedly against the odds (see Corbyn winning the Lab leadership). One of the many feckups of Tessy's GE was the unexpected filip it gave Corbyn.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
There's a lowly paid researcher in CCHQ currently very excited that the 4 days they spent compiling a list of murders and rapes committed by people Sir Keir declined to prosecute will not have been time wasted.
I imagine Sir Keir will be more damaged by his major push to prosecute benefits cheats in his period in office.
Labour needs someone that can relate to regular people. Not the third middle class straight male from a small area of North London in a row.
They just voted for Boris Johnson, I don't think the place the leader comes from is the problem.
People that say the next leader being Northern will win back all the seats is as stupid as people that say Blair returning would lead to a landslide.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Assuming Starmer becomes leader his popularity will improve. The more we see of him the more we will like him. I am not sure that is true of RLB.
As for Pidcock. She lost because obviously she forgot to canvass outside the CLP offices.
I will say one thing, the majority of Labour members seem to be genuinely ready to ditch Corbynism and go towards a more centrist (of today, which is still more left than 1997) position. There's a 10% or so minority full of absolute nutters who think otherwise but I suspect they'll all leave when Starmer wins (as I think he will).
You are far younger than I am, and therefore have only seen the Labour Party spontaneously combust once. In my lifetime they have done so several times.
Common sense dictates that Starmer becomes leader. Common sense however is often lacking within Labour Party circles.
The nutters as you put them have always been in the Labour Party. This time however they took the party over. I remember in the 1980s at meetings in Camden members loved to slag off Mrs T. They weren't interested in taking votes from her though.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
There's a lowly paid researcher in CCHQ currently very excited that the 4 days they spent compiling a list of murders and rapes committed by people Sir Keir declined to prosecute will not have been time wasted.
I imagine Sir Keir will be more damaged by his major push to prosecute benefits cheats in his period in office.
Labour needs someone that can relate to regular people. Not the third middle class straight male from a small area of North London in a row.
You mean like Boris Johnson (Uxbridge), May (Maidenhead), or Cameron (Witney)?
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
There's a lowly paid researcher in CCHQ currently very excited that the 4 days they spent compiling a list of murders and rapes committed by people Sir Keir declined to prosecute will not have been time wasted.
I imagine Sir Keir will be more damaged by his major push to prosecute benefits cheats in his period in office.
Labour needs someone that can relate to regular people. Not the third middle class straight male from a small area of North London in a row.
If you think that's a vote loser then it's no wonder Labour are so out of touch with working class communities. The working classes absolutely despise benefit cheats, the working poor loathe them even more so. I remember when we were on the estate there was a family of benefit cheats among a bunch of very poor households struggling to get by, they were the first to get a flatscreen, they had Sky and no one worked. It was a constant topic of discussion with the neighbours hoping that they would one day get their comeuppance.
I hope that one day the taboo around reporting benefit cheats is swept away.
On basis of seats lost Gordon Brown was a worse leader over the course of his leadership than Ed Miliband or Jeremy Corbyn, though they both lost more seats than they inherited too.
Blair is the last Labour leader to have gained seats over the course of his leadership and Starmer, while not entirely Blairite would probably be the most centrist Labour leader since Blair.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
He agreed the plea bargain by Usman Kahn's legal team, that meant he was not prosecuted for terrorism.
The one negative thing Starmer seems to have done at the CPS is that prosecution about a bomb joke although I think if you read the context of it, it wasn't really his fault.
On the whole from what I have seen and know (and I know people that know him very well), he's a smart and pragmatic bloke.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
He agreed the plea bargain by Usman Kahn's legal team, that meant he was not prosecuted for terrorism.
We went through all this a week or so back. He was (arguably) a moderately poor DPP... which makes him considerably better than everyone else for the last two or three decades. Massively better in some cases.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
He agreed the plea bargain by Usman Kahn's legal team, that meant he was not prosecuted for terrorism.
We went through all this a week or so back. He was (arguably) a moderately poor DPP... which makes him considerably better than everyone else for the last two or three decades. Massively better in some cases.
Not the point being made, it does not matter whether he was a good or bad DPP, the point being made is what effluent and how much off it are the Torys going to dump all over him, if he wins.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
We’ll see. Can’t blame anyone for not believing a word he says.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
He agreed the plea bargain by Usman Kahn's legal team, that meant he was not prosecuted for terrorism.
We went through all this a week or so back. He was (arguably) a moderately poor DPP... which makes him considerably better than everyone else for the last two or three decades. Massively better in some cases.
If we only selected PMs from ex-DPPs that would be a recommendation. As it is, he's trying to make the wrong career change. Very awkward backstory.
The one negative thing Starmer seems to have done at the CPS is that prosecution about a bomb joke although I think if you read the context of it, it wasn't really his fault.
On the whole from what I have seen and know (and I know people that know him very well), he's a smart and pragmatic bloke.
The issue with his previous job isn't what he did, it's going to be what he didn't do. It will be prosecutions that were not pursued which will hurt the most.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
There's a lowly paid researcher in CCHQ currently very excited that the 4 days they spent compiling a list of murders and rapes committed by people Sir Keir declined to prosecute will not have been time wasted.
I imagine Sir Keir will be more damaged by his major push to prosecute benefits cheats in his period in office.
Labour needs someone that can relate to regular people. Not the third middle class straight male from a small area of North London in a row.
I suspect your first paragraph would positively strike a chord with the voting squeezed middle.
'Benefit scroungers' on the other hand don't vote.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
He agreed the plea bargain by Usman Kahn's legal team, that meant he was not prosecuted for terrorism.
We went through all this a week or so back. He was (arguably) a moderately poor DPP... which makes him considerably better than everyone else for the last two or three decades. Massively better in some cases.
Not the point being made, it does not matter whether he was a good or bad DPP, the point being made is what effluent and how much off it are the Torys going to dump all over him, if he wins.
I did also forget to say hello everyone and my apologies for my short absence. I hope you had a nice Christmas and New Year.
Thank you for your kind wishes.
We had a lovely christmas and started the decorating of our lounge, dining room, snug and hall on the 1st January as our keep fit programme in this the year I achieve my 19th birthday !!!!!
The one negative thing Starmer seems to have done at the CPS is that prosecution about a bomb joke although I think if you read the context of it, it wasn't really his fault.
On the whole from what I have seen and know (and I know people that know him very well), he's a smart and pragmatic bloke.
The issue with his previous job isn't what he did, it's going to be what he didn't do. It will be prosecutions that were not pursued which will hurt the most.
He’ll just argue that the reason they weren't pursued is because of tory cuts in funding and what not. Easily deflected.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
You do realise that much of the benefits of any that might not be greatly visible by the next election ? (Even giving him the benefit of the doubt.)
I think in five years the work of Boris Johnson is going to be very difficult to see, if indeed he does anything. His time as Mayor of London resulted in very little change, which arguably (for me) was his greatest achievement.
The idea we're going to be living in a different country in five years seems like wishful thinking to me.
The one negative thing Starmer seems to have done at the CPS is that prosecution about a bomb joke although I think if you read the context of it, it wasn't really his fault.
On the whole from what I have seen and know (and I know people that know him very well), he's a smart and pragmatic bloke.
The issue with his previous job isn't what he did, it's going to be what he didn't do. It will be prosecutions that were not pursued which will hurt the most.
He’ll just argue that the reason they weren't pursued is because of tory cuts in funding and what not. Easily deflected.
Then why was there money for {superfluous failed prosecution}?
Also, blaming Tory cuts has literally just failed. I think starmer will be ok, but he's not some silver bullet that will put Labour back into government. None of the current candidates, but of that Starmer is probably the best placed to cut the majority.
The one negative thing Starmer seems to have done at the CPS is that prosecution about a bomb joke although I think if you read the context of it, it wasn't really his fault.
On the whole from what I have seen and know (and I know people that know him very well), he's a smart and pragmatic bloke.
The issue with his previous job isn't what he did, it's going to be what he didn't do. It will be prosecutions that were not pursued which will hurt the most.
He’ll just argue that the reason they weren't pursued is because of tory cuts in funding and what not. Easily deflected.
Then why was there money for {superfluous failed prosecution}?
Also, blaming Tory cuts has literally just failed. I think starmer will be ok, but he's not some silver bullet that will put Labour back into government. None of the current candidates, but of that Starmer is probably the best placed to cut the majority.
Cutting the majority will be the minimum he must do.
If the Tories somehow increase their majority, I think that will be unprecedented for any Government ever.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I wasn't aware you were from the future?
I have always been a positive person about the future and I expect the investment in the north is going to be mind boggling including rail and buses
I did also forget to say hello everyone and my apologies for my short absence. I hope you had a nice Christmas and New Year.
Thank you for your kind wishes.
We had a lovely christmas and started the decorating of our lounge, dining room, snug and hall on the 1st January as our keep fit programme in this the year I achieve my 19th birthday !!!!!
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I wasn't aware you were from the future?
I have always been a positive person about the future and I expect the investment in the north is going to be mind boggling including rail and buses
Where is the money going to come from?
If we have a recession which looks extremely likely, do you honestly think he'll continue throwing money at things?
The one negative thing Starmer seems to have done at the CPS is that prosecution about a bomb joke although I think if you read the context of it, it wasn't really his fault.
On the whole from what I have seen and know (and I know people that know him very well), he's a smart and pragmatic bloke.
The issue with his previous job isn't what he did, it's going to be what he didn't do. It will be prosecutions that were not pursued which will hurt the most.
He’ll just argue that the reason they weren't pursued is because of tory cuts in funding and what not. Easily deflected.
Then why was there money for {superfluous failed prosecution}?
Also, blaming Tory cuts has literally just failed. I think starmer will be ok, but he's not some silver bullet that will put Labour back into government. None of the current candidates, but of that Starmer is probably the best placed to cut the majority.
I’m not saying it is. I just mean thats one method of deflecting such attacks on that specific point. Generally I expect Keir (if elected) to be much better at dealing with the press than comical Corbyn.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
You do realise that much of the benefits of any that might not be greatly visible by the next election ? (Even giving him the benefit of the doubt.)
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I wasn't aware you were from the future?
I have always been a positive person about the future and I expect the investment in the north is going to be mind boggling including rail and buses
Where is the money going to come from?
If we have a recession which looks extremely likely, do you honestly think he'll continue throwing money at things?
I'd be interested to hear Labour's answer to this question, too.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I wasn't aware you were from the future?
I have always been a positive person about the future and I expect the investment in the north is going to be mind boggling including rail and buses
Where is the money going to come from?
If we have a recession which looks extremely likely, do you honestly think he'll continue throwing money at things?
I'd be interested to hear Labour's answer to this question, too.
Labour needs someone that can relate to regular people. Not the third middle class straight male from a small area of North London in a row.
That's a shame. You make a perceptive comment about the damage done by using terms like "gammon", then ruin it all by excluding middle class straight males from the category of "regular people".
I want a BAME woman from Manchester to win this contest, but comments like that are part of the problem.
I did also forget to say hello everyone and my apologies for my short absence. I hope you had a nice Christmas and New Year.
Thank you for your kind wishes.
We had a lovely christmas and started the decorating of our lounge, dining room, snug and hall on the 1st January as our keep fit programme in this the year I achieve my 19th birthday !!!!!
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
ISIS suicide bombers are usually pretty optimistic just before they blow themselves up.
Quick question: does the Star Wars Sequel Trilogy work better as a duology? If you just discard TLJ entirely (ie decanonise it) and treat it as a seamless two-part film from TFA to TROS?
Interestingly, I haven't seen the Last Jedi, but I have seen TFA and TROS.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
ISIS suicide bombers are usually pretty optimistic just before they blow themselves up.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
ISIS suicide bombers are usually pretty optimistic just before they blow themselves up.
Quick question: does the Star Wars Sequel Trilogy work better as a duology? If you just discard TLJ entirely (ie decanonise it) and treat it as a seamless two-part film from TFA to TROS?
Interestingly, I haven't seen the Last Jedi, but I have seen TFA and TROS.
I thought TROS was boring.
The best thing Star Wars released in 2019 was The Baby Yoda Show Mandalorian.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
ISIS suicide bombers are usually pretty optimistic just before they blow themselves up.
Optimism is no substitute for facts.
Are you always so negative
Don't take this the wrong way but you come across deluded and a bit like a Tory plant at times.
I did also forget to say hello everyone and my apologies for my short absence. I hope you had a nice Christmas and New Year.
Thank you for your kind wishes.
We had a lovely christmas and started the decorating of our lounge, dining room, snug and hall on the 1st January as our keep fit programme in this the year I achieve my 19th birthday !!!!!
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
ISIS suicide bombers are usually pretty optimistic just before they blow themselves up.
Optimism is no substitute for facts.
Are you always so negative
Here you go again. Why would I be optimistic about the government? Because you say so? All evidence suggests otherwise.
I’m optimistic about plenty of things. Keir Starmer for example. The policy of the government is not one of them.
Regardless you just don’t get it. Conservatives keep saying that the time to unite and move forward is now but instead of being consolatory you belittle us and act triumphalist.
There’s no outstretched hand. There’s just the finger. If you want to unite the country you need to actually govern for all. Not just Dominic Cummings’s 43%.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
ISIS suicide bombers are usually pretty optimistic just before they blow themselves up.
Optimism is no substitute for facts.
Are you always so negative
Don't take this the wrong way but you come across deluded and a bit like a Tory plant at times.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
ISIS suicide bombers are usually pretty optimistic just before they blow themselves up.
Optimism is no substitute for facts.
Are you always so negative
Don't take this the wrong way but you come across deluded and a bit like a Tory plant at times.
Delicious irony.
I think I've been pretty gracious and open in defeat in holding my hands up and being open to listen and reflect. I don't think it's the same at all.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
Unicorns grazing on sunlit uplands perhaps. We shall see.
The one negative thing Starmer seems to have done at the CPS is that prosecution about a bomb joke although I think if you read the context of it, it wasn't really his fault.
On the whole from what I have seen and know (and I know people that know him very well), he's a smart and pragmatic bloke.
The issue with his previous job isn't what he did, it's going to be what he didn't do. It will be prosecutions that were not pursued which will hurt the most.
I hear there was a cat who broke literally every human law and was never even arrested. I guess that's more a failing of the Met than the CPS, but I'd still like to hear his explanation.
Quick question: does the Star Wars Sequel Trilogy work better as a duology? If you just discard TLJ entirely (ie decanonise it) and treat it as a seamless two-part film from TFA to TROS?
Interestingly, I haven't seen the Last Jedi, but I have seen TFA and TROS.
I thought TROS was boring.
The best thing Star Wars released in 2019 was The Baby Yoda Show Mandalorian.
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
Yes. “Suck it up” is not something that will enamor anyone. It will just breed anger and resentment.
I think that on the slightly dubious metric chosen Starmer is going to do quite well, albeit I very much doubt that he will do well enough to ever become PM.
Labour have been through a truly catastrophic and unbelievably self-indulgent 5 years with Corbyn. They have been AWOL when this country needed an opposition, they completely failed to hold the crapness of May to account and on any measure, regardless of your starting point, they contributed more than their fair share to the problems of Brexit.
What they and the country need is for Labour to get back in the game. That means getting rid of the nasty creeps that Corbyn surrounded himself with and a realistic focus on what the government is doing and failing to do. I think Starmer is ultimately boring but that is not the point. If he is reasonably competent, brings more able voices in the party back to the front bench, insists that Shadows actually learn their briefs, keeps them in position for long enough to allow them to do so and generally brings an air of competence and reality back to Labour he will have done well. At this point I think that it is more likely than not he will achieve these aspirations which are not as modest as they would have been had Labour been even vaguely serious.
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
Nobody even intends that when they win, it's just something everyone feels the need to say because they are supposed to say it. Even as the various sides were excoriating each other in the most vicious terms they would talk about how they offered unity. It's meaningless drivel, and impossible to boot.
If I was Labour, I would take the 2017 manifesto as the starting point because despite Corbyn and everything else, it did buck the trend in a decade of really poor results at least by voteshare.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses Invest in the NHS Invest in infrastructure Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
You do realise that by the time of the next election Boris will have done all those things and more
I love your new found optimism for Boris. I hope he doesn't let you down.
Not just Boris, the whole government is confident and optimistic, and compared with the depressing unhappy labour party, it is refreshing
ISIS suicide bombers are usually pretty optimistic just before they blow themselves up.
Optimism is no substitute for facts.
Are you always so negative
Don't take this the wrong way but you come across deluded and a bit like a Tory plant at times.
That is hardly in the spirit of the new year.
I ran a very successful business entirely predicated on leading change and enthusing my employees with optimism and to be honest many labour supporters should try it, it works
As far as a conservative plant is concerned I have been a conservative since I was asked to be a county councillor in the mid sixties when I was in my early twenties, and apart from voting for Blair twice, I have always voted conservative
"Blair's legacy still hangs around this party like a millstone".
What utter crap. If there is a millstone it is not for voters, it is for hard left activists who still rant, foam mouthed about his neoliberal government.
They should listen to the Brown speech where he spends five minutes just listing New Labour's achievements.
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
Yes. “Suck it up” is not something that will enamor anyone. It will just breed anger and resentment.
The Remain side in many respects also had a lot of real arseholes who would just shout over each other but the fact of the matter is that Boris Johnson is the PM and he should be grown up enough to go above the factionalism and bitterness from both sides, yet he seems at the moment uninterested.
Has he actually announced *anything* that will reunite the country?
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
How many days has it been so far?
Well he's been the PM since July, what has he done?
The one negative thing Starmer seems to have done at the CPS is that prosecution about a bomb joke although I think if you read the context of it, it wasn't really his fault.
On the whole from what I have seen and know (and I know people that know him very well), he's a smart and pragmatic bloke.
The issue with his previous job isn't what he did, it's going to be what he didn't do. It will be prosecutions that were not pursued which will hurt the most.
I hear there was a cat who broke literally every human law and was never even arrested. I guess that's more a failing of the Met than the CPS, but I'd still like to hear his explanation.
I did also forget to say hello everyone and my apologies for my short absence. I hope you had a nice Christmas and New Year.
Thank you for your kind wishes.
We had a lovely christmas and started the decorating of our lounge, dining room, snug and hall on the 1st January as our keep fit programme in this the year I achieve my 19th birthday !!!!!
29th February? Unlucky.
Always a family dispute on my birthday in non leap years
1st March in law , but Mother always arranged it for the 28th Feb
I ran a very successful business entirely predicated on leading change and enthusing my employees with optimism and to be honest many labour supporters should try it, it works
As far as a conservative plant is concerned I have been a conservative since I was asked to be a county councillor in the mid sixties when I was in my early twenties, and apart from voting for Blair twice, I have always voted conservative
Blind deluded optimism doesn't work. I work on facts not feelings.
If the company I work for is going bust, optimism isn't going to suddenly stop that from happening.
There's having a PMA and I understand that as a concept but being positive to an insane degree as you sometimes are, I have to say just makes me laugh as opposed to actually wanting to engage seriously with your points.
I say all this having been in the Labour bubble, you show very similar behaviour to a lot of the Momentum crowd, it's almost cult like.
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
How many days has it been so far?
Well he's been the PM since July, what has he done?
For most of the time he was dealing with the obstructionists in Parliament. Now that they are out of the way...
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
Nobody even intends that when they win, it's just something everyone feels the need to say because they are supposed to say it. Even as the various sides were excoriating each other in the most vicious terms they would talk about how they offered unity. It's meaningless drivel, and impossible to boot.
Actually tackling peoples fears and worries head on might help rather than just dismissing them as Remoaners.
“Don’t worry we’re not going to lower food standards” for example.
But obviously they can’t do that because there is no plan. Our future is entirely dependent on the good will of others.
I can't recall the poll but I think Starmer's popularity is on the same level as Johnson's - which we must not forget is net negative, he is nothing like a Blair in that respect - which is better than Corbyn, Ed and Brown all started, I think.
Lies, Lies and damn statistics.
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
One of the fundamental problems of Corbyn surely is that he actively motivated people to vote against him. I can't think somebody like Starmer will have the same problem?
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
Depends how many cockups he presided over during his time at the CPS.
There's a lowly paid researcher in CCHQ currently very excited that the 4 days they spent compiling a list of murders and rapes committed by people Sir Keir declined to prosecute will not have been time wasted.
I imagine Sir Keir will be more damaged by his major push to prosecute benefits cheats in his period in office.
Labour needs someone that can relate to regular people. Not the third middle class straight male from a small area of North London in a row.
This is the kind of thing that needs thrown up by the selectorate to put off having him as leader, wrong daily should be throwing this hard . If you think working people might be discouraged from voting for him for prosecuting benefit cheats without mercy I think you haven’t been paying attention... the electorate would lap that up.
I did also forget to say hello everyone and my apologies for my short absence. I hope you had a nice Christmas and New Year.
Thank you for your kind wishes.
We had a lovely christmas and started the decorating of our lounge, dining room, snug and hall on the 1st January as our keep fit programme in this the year I achieve my 19th birthday !!!!!
29th February? Unlucky.
Always a family dispute on my birthday in non leap years
1st March in law , but Mother always arranged it for the 28th Feb
I never knew that about birth date and the law. This site is a constant wonder.
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
Nobody even intends that when they win, it's just something everyone feels the need to say because they are supposed to say it. Even as the various sides were excoriating each other in the most vicious terms they would talk about how they offered unity. It's meaningless drivel, and impossible to boot.
Actually tackling peoples fears and worries head on might help rather than just dismissing them as Remoaners.
“Don’t worry we’re not going to lower food standards” for example.
But obviously they can’t do that because there is no plan. Our future is entirely dependent on the good will of others.
They've already said that, see the recent statement by Villiers.
I do have to be honest and say that so far I've seen very little from Johnson or the Tories to reunite the country, they're playing to their 44%/52% base very well but they were elected to reunite the country and I've seen very little that intends to actually bring the country back together again.
Nobody even intends that when they win, it's just something everyone feels the need to say because they are supposed to say it. Even as the various sides were excoriating each other in the most vicious terms they would talk about how they offered unity. It's meaningless drivel, and impossible to boot.
Actually tackling peoples fears and worries head on might help rather than just dismissing them as Remoaners.
“Don’t worry we’re not going to lower food standards” for example.
But obviously they can’t do that because there is no plan. Our future is entirely dependent on the good will of others.
I don't disagree, I just think the underlying assumption that government's care about unifying the country, rather than winning and counting that as unity, is faulty.
Comments
Making a net loss of seats starting from opposition (and never being in government) was a pretty stark one.
John Major won a majority (and indeed the highest ever number of votes any party has received in a general election) so does have mitigation, as well as being at the wheel after eighteen years of Tory government, most governments go on for 10-13 years.
We have to take them promising to deliver Brexit and Corbyn being unknown as two big reasons but the policies were more left wing than Labour had proposed in quite a while so I think from a pragmatic POV they would be silly to dump all of them, especially as the Tories have tacked left economically.
I'd propose something like:
Invest in buses
Invest in the NHS
Invest in infrastructure
Invest in defence/Policing/CPS
They can have other stuff as well like railway nationalisation as the franchises expire (net cost: £0) but I'd run on the above pledges, similar to what Blair did in 1997.
With a leader people actually don't hate, I don't see why Labour can't get 40% of the vote again as it did in 2017. Am I missing something here?
11% of people have a positive opinion of Starmer. 35% have a positive opinion of Johnson. Neither figure really matters as the question is who is best placed to attract swing voters in the right seats, and how can motivate their base to actually turn up.
As for Pidcock. She lost because obviously she forgot to canvass outside the CLP offices.
The worst criticism of him seems to be that he's a bit boring but ambivalence towards him might do very well if Johnson ends up screwing up?
The crucial thing for Labour is looking like a natural alternative Government very early on. My understanding is people were ready for Blair to be PM from 1994 onwards, hence Labour needs to look decent from next year really.
I would suggest that the "investment" talk is stopped - it has always been code for extra spending. And everything is called an "investment".
Talk about specific things. Not "spending on the NHS" - x to achieve a specific y. So spend x to get 8K nurses specialising in z.
As a complete novelty, tie increased spending to increased efficiency. Every organisation in existence has fat. The only way to stop it overwhelming companies is either to shut them down and start again, or get the axe out every few years.
Labour needs someone that can relate to regular people. Not the third middle class straight male from a small area of North London in a row.
People that say the next leader being Northern will win back all the seats is as stupid as people that say Blair returning would lead to a landslide.
Common sense dictates that Starmer becomes leader. Common sense however is often lacking within Labour Party circles.
The nutters as you put them have always been in the Labour Party. This time however they took the party over. I remember in the 1980s at meetings in Camden members loved to slag off Mrs T. They weren't interested in taking votes from her though.
I hope that one day the taboo around reporting benefit cheats is swept away.
Blair is the last Labour leader to have gained seats over the course of his leadership and Starmer, while not entirely Blairite would probably be the most centrist Labour leader since Blair.
On the whole from what I have seen and know (and I know people that know him very well), he's a smart and pragmatic bloke.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/11/bernie-quietly-goes-negative-on-warren-097594
Not convinced that this is going to help his chances of winning the nomination. If anything, it’s likely to be counterproductive.
He was (arguably) a moderately poor DPP... which makes him considerably better than everyone else for the last two or three decades. Massively better in some cases.
https://twitter.com/marcelabenede10/status/1216375999098695680?s=21
'Benefit scroungers' on the other hand don't vote.
We had a lovely christmas and started the decorating of our lounge, dining room, snug and hall on the 1st January as our keep fit programme in this the year I achieve my 19th birthday !!!!!
(Even giving him the benefit of the doubt.)
The idea we're going to be living in a different country in five years seems like wishful thinking to me.
Also, blaming Tory cuts has literally just failed. I think starmer will be ok, but he's not some silver bullet that will put Labour back into government. None of the current candidates, but of that Starmer is probably the best placed to cut the majority.
If the Tories somehow increase their majority, I think that will be unprecedented for any Government ever.
If we have a recession which looks extremely likely, do you honestly think he'll continue throwing money at things?
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/1216282287060504576?s=21
I want a BAME woman from Manchester to win this contest, but comments like that are part of the problem.
Optimism is no substitute for facts.
I thought TROS was boring.
I’m optimistic about plenty of things. Keir Starmer for example. The policy of the government is not one of them.
Regardless you just don’t get it. Conservatives keep saying that the time to unite and move forward is now but instead of being consolatory you belittle us and act triumphalist.
There’s no outstretched hand. There’s just the finger. If you want to unite the country you need to actually govern for all. Not just Dominic Cummings’s 43%.
Of course, outerwear of any sort is frowned upon North of the Tyne...
Labour have been through a truly catastrophic and unbelievably self-indulgent 5 years with Corbyn. They have been AWOL when this country needed an opposition, they completely failed to hold the crapness of May to account and on any measure, regardless of your starting point, they contributed more than their fair share to the problems of Brexit.
What they and the country need is for Labour to get back in the game. That means getting rid of the nasty creeps that Corbyn surrounded himself with and a realistic focus on what the government is doing and failing to do. I think Starmer is ultimately boring but that is not the point. If he is reasonably competent, brings more able voices in the party back to the front bench, insists that Shadows actually learn their briefs, keeps them in position for long enough to allow them to do so and generally brings an air of competence and reality back to Labour he will have done well. At this point I think that it is more likely than not he will achieve these aspirations which are not as modest as they would have been had Labour been even vaguely serious.
I ran a very successful business entirely predicated on leading change and enthusing my employees with optimism and to be honest many labour supporters should try it, it works
As far as a conservative plant is concerned I have been a conservative since I was asked to be a county councillor in the mid sixties when I was in my early twenties, and apart from voting for Blair twice, I have always voted conservative
What utter crap. If there is a millstone it is not for voters, it is for hard left activists who still rant, foam mouthed about his neoliberal government.
They should listen to the Brown speech where he spends five minutes just listing New Labour's achievements.
Has he actually announced *anything* that will reunite the country?
1st March in law , but Mother always arranged it for the 28th Feb
If the company I work for is going bust, optimism isn't going to suddenly stop that from happening.
There's having a PMA and I understand that as a concept but being positive to an insane degree as you sometimes are, I have to say just makes me laugh as opposed to actually wanting to engage seriously with your points.
I say all this having been in the Labour bubble, you show very similar behaviour to a lot of the Momentum crowd, it's almost cult like.
“Don’t worry we’re not going to lower food standards” for example.
But obviously they can’t do that because there is no plan. Our future is entirely dependent on the good will of others.