They have learned nothing and forgotten nothing. Originally was said of the Bourbon monarchy after its restoration, it’s equally true of the EU Commission today which seems intent on repeating all its own mistakes for lack of comprehension that they are, in fact, mistakes.
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Well America wanted independence from the UK, the American South wanted independence from America, Ireland wanted independence from the UK, Northern Ireland wanted independence from Ireland, the UK wants independence from the EU, Scotland wants independence from the UK, Aberdeen wants independence from Scotland, the North wants more powers from the South, London wants to take powers from the rest of the UK, even Western Canada and East Canada want more power from each other over each other.
It's an Anglosaxon-Britanic tradition called fierce individualism.
Mr H you still think our relationship with the EU is the key event Id say youre missing the point. A generational shift is taking place in which large chunks of the Blair settlement are being junked. The EU is a side issue and not one which is going to hugely impact the future shape of the nation.
Johnson now has a chance to shape a new settlement ( assuming he doesn't screw things up ) the question being who benefits and who is out. Middle class lefties are probably in for 10 years of seeing their sacred cows sent to the abbatoir, the North and Midlands might gain in importance once the dust has settled at the expense of London.
In all of this the EU will just be one factor which may or may not influence economic performance. Important yes like say the oil price or interest rates but not life defining. Were off in a different direction.
It does look as if the issue will be NTBs such as product specifications and food standards, and I cannot see why the EU would give way on these.
Of course "No Deal" loses much of its sting for the EU with the WA. The status of EU citizens, the £33 billion divorce bill and Irish land border are all sorted, so no longer a threat.
BoZo seems disinclined to do his usual "defeat painted as victory" schtick this time, so hard to see him agreeing Customs Union and abiding by EU rules, but he can be quite shameless in stitching up his friends, so not inconceivable.
The EU don't want this, not only because they can probably get a better deal by standing firm, but because they *don't have cornflakes for brains*.
Many EU states and MEPs, and certainly a blocking majority of each, simply don't want to get undercut in their own markets by a developed country playing regulatory arbitrage games. They aren't obliged to sign a deal that allows this, so they won't. No deal is better than a bad deal, as the philosopher once said.
This is a really widespread misconception in the UK and goes to the heart of the whole case for Brexit, so it's not hard to see how everything goes pear-shaped when it comes up against a deadline.
While the government can pursue an even more redistributive policy on London and the South East, that may well not play well to our export strengths.
It is quite telling that Brexiteers are fond of the phrase "Singapore on Thames", but I note that it is never "Singapore on Trent" or "Singapore on Mersey".
Assuming BoJo drifts to the centre Singaporfe on Thames lives only in the minds of Liam Fox and jusquaboutiste Remainers. We'll all look on at you like youre one of those Japanese soldiers trying to defend some long forgotten piece of the Pacific.
Personally I have much more faith in the people of these islands that you appear to have.
You cant on the one hand say one party state while maintaining with the other Blairs settlement wont change. The legislative abbatoirs will be busy.
Others are going to have to look after themselves, but that is what they voted for, and I am quite content with them having that agency.
If there's going to be No Deal then from a purely political perspective, Johnson will want to get it over with asap, to have time for a recovery before the next election.
And I'm sure Cummings will be lining up videos of EU politicians saying things that will make the British public's blood boil, so that they can be blamed for any economic disruption.
Identity > economics.
Boris and Cummings would have taken us out without a deal in October if they hadn't been stopped. They will now do it next year since there's nobody to stop them. The absolute best we can get is a thin part-deal.
In five years time the Tory government will be more unpopular than Corbyn and it will be difficult to find anybody who will admit to having voted Leave.
The consequences of No Further Deal are now more asymmetric than they were in October, and not to the advantage of the governments negotiating position.
I voted for Brexit to change the direction of British politics Ive nothing much against the EU and could have been persuaded to vote Remain, But nobody could advance a decent reason to do so,
That's just immediate reaction, thoigh Im sure there will be lots of things I don't see as issues which will upset people.
""The consumer's being duped," Mauer said, adding that the meat may be more likely to contain feces, sex organs, toenails, bladders and unwanted hair. "
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/474789-food-inspectors-warn-of-mystery-pork-under-new-meat-inspection?fbclid=IwAR2CODy5OK5S6jO7LSOaMMJxuRtNvPCxgfjuvQ6GlQ2YtP4vEa_353ZRRys
Jobs for the boys is just standard fare. As for London, the government is not going to harm its cash cow. It will just borrow more. Immigration will undoubtedly fall for many reasons.
For me, the biggest change is likely to be the UK no longer existing.
'Andy Maciver: Boris could gamble on quick independence referendum to destroy Scottish nationalism'
https://tinyurl.com/u6eof4p
what nonsense. Food has always has contamination issues. Did being in the EU stop contamination in dutch eggs, horse meat being sold as beef chemical contamination in lettuce ? Or in our own case BSE, salmonella eggs or foot and mouth ?
Two tblocks spinning their regulations doesn't stop food scares.
As Ive pointed out to my wife my kids could eat US chicken every day for the rest of their lives and theyd still swallow less cklorine than the 10 years she took them to swimming club.
A sense of proportion needs to return to these debates.
Tell children they are either a boy or a girl and 99.99% of the time it's not an option to change, or better still not have to mention it. is one that springs to mind
https://twitter.com/benwikler/status/1208138546915282951?s=19
Where I do think Boris will run into trouble is N Ireland. I suspect that there will be Assembly elections early in 2020, resulting in a more Nationalist/pragmatic body, which, as the situation develops to Norn's disadvantage will turns its thoughts to re-union with the South. A 52-48 majority in favour of (at least) closer association with the Republic will tax Boris' decision-making powers.
But neither you nor I’m to blame when all is said and done.
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/12/the-document-that-reveals-the-remarkable-tactics-of-trans-lobbyists/
It was a reaction to an obstructive mindset in Parliament, a minority government and a political speaker. It *may* be that they don’t need to fight this battle now.
otherwise all youre really doing is taking your chunk of the carcass before the creditors.
Except that Scotland does NOT want independence from the UK.
:-)
https://mobile.twitter.com/LeanTossup/status/1208187471554633728
Don’t ask me why.
No rain in Warwickshire for a couple of hours now. Drought approaches!
Here’s wishing you and yours a great Xmas and new year.
While clearly @Alanbrooke and a few others yearn for a return of the casual racism, homophobia and misogyny of the Seventies as one of their Brexit goals, I cannot see it myself. Those days are gone.
And don’t criticize what you can’t understand
Your sons and your daughters are beyond your command..."
"The report is called ‘Only adults? Good practices in legal gender recognition for youth’. Its purpose is to help trans groups in several countries bring about changes in the law to allow children to legally change their gender, without adult approval and without needing the approval of any authorities. ‘We hope this report will be a powerful tool for activists and NGOs working to advance the rights of trans youth across Europe and beyond,’ says the foreword.
As you’d expect of a report co-written by the staff of a major law firm, it’s a comprehensive and solid document, summarising law, policy and ‘advocacy’ across several countries. Based on the contributions of trans groups from around the world (including two in the UK, one of which is not named), it collects and shares ‘best practice’ in ‘lobbying’ to change the law so that parents no longer have a say on their child’s legal gender.
In the words of the report:
‘It is recognised that the requirement for parental consent or the consent of a legal guardian can be restrictive and problematic for minors.’ "
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/12/the-document-that-reveals-the-remarkable-tactics-of-trans-lobbyists/
One possible teeny tiny flaw in his logic.....it appears his model is based on current levels of support, and as we all know, there's a lot of water to flow under the Holyrood Bridge before the actual elections....
We have a very twenty-first century Govt., listening to and implementing what its people want.
So as it is the season of goodwill, less of the causal stupidity, hey?
And don’t criticize what you can’t understand
Bob Dylan will never cut it on PB
call the SNP out on their dismal record of running Scotland
Example: I used to feel relaxed about calling people who are thick and racist "thick and racist".
Would be very wary of that now. They'd scream abuse and play the "elitist" card to shut me up.
It's not healthy for debate. If you suppress things they come back to bite you hard one day.