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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Extraordinary – Hillary Clinton now FIFTH favourite in the bet
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Extraordinary – Hillary Clinton now FIFTH favourite in the betting for the Democratic nomination
Betdata.io chart of Betfair market
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More seriously, how on Earth are people still dumb enough to be betting on Clinton as a possible nominee? I’ve a better chance of becoming President than she has and the constitution would have to be changed first!
(Forgive me, I just couldn’t resist).
Get stuffed Momentum:
https://twitter.com/hulllive/status/1187831250616307714
https://twitter.com/adamparsons/status/1187828807513890819
@NickPalmer Your post on the last thread about 'benefits' for MPs reminded me of something a few months ago. I was picking up a take away from my local Indian and the only two customers were myself and my local MP.
The manager handed over a pretty large order and refused payment, there was a couple of (lame) attempts to hand over money which were refused. At that point she turned to me and said 'you saw me offer didn't, you saw me'.
I told her I hadn't and it was going on twitter at which point her face dropped before I told her I was joking.
What did strike me was as the manager introduced us (I knew who she was because i'm a member of my local Conservative association) she went straight in to political mode where she was praising local business and in particular the Indian takeway...it took a fraction of a second for her to realise that it was actually Bangladeshi and stumble through a correction.
I came away pretty unimpressed with her which is unfortunate as i'm out canvassing for her at the next GE.
Apparently there are an awful lot of Republicans who think she will run (which stupidity is hardly incredible, considering they voted for Trump).
Add to that Clinton and/or her aides not quashing, or even encouraging the rumour that she might run, and there is enough there to move a relatively thin market, when there is no clear alternative moderate standard bearer to the faltering Biden.
Took the opportunity to lay a bit earlier on today.
Thank goodness he's going at the next GE.
http://stats.football.co.uk/results_fixtures/1969_1970/fulham/index.shtml
I want no deal.
https://twitter.com/peterkyle/status/1187435940790362115
It will be the funniest thing ever if Corbyn gets the blame for No Deal. It's heading that way right now.
Surely the latter would be a much easier path for all bar the most fanatical remain MPs.
https://www.hillaryclinton.com/issues/
The weird thing about these odds is it's about where she should be if she *was* running.
But I think that not paying in a commercial establishment is not a good idea and it might be wise to suggest to your candidate that it's best to be careful. There are no end of organisations that will be keen to offer her favours if she wins, and it's a slippery slope.
I was once approached at a party conference by an Azerbaijani lobbyist who said that the organisation he represented was keen to donate generously to the campaigns of MPs willing to take a helpful view of their difficulties with Armenia - after all, he said, Azerbaijan was very pro-NATO. My latent Corbynism kicked in and I said politely that I wasn't a fan of NATO myself, so I wouldn't be the right man for him. He looked shocked, like a man discovering a wasp in his croissant. I wondered if I should report him to someone, but wasn't sure he'd crossed the legal line.
So it seems more like more of their trying to get us to make up our minds in as direct a way as they feel able to without just yelling 'pass the deal or a GE already, you idiots!'.
And regardless no MPs believe them as none have any urgency whatsoever. It's always time to do 'it' (whatever that might be) later. Boris will pass his deal when he feels like it, no rush. Labour will vote for an election later. And so on and so forth.
Quite looking forward to Arsenal coming to visit in 2/52.
If age does become an issue, it may dish all of the front-runners simultaneously. For that reason, I'd keep a weather eye on those lower down the list. Age probably won't be an issue, it wasn't with Reagan, Trump or Hillary, and Bernie Sanders has recovered from his dicky heart, so now is not the time to charge in head-down but I'd be wary of laying the rags in case they do suddenly come back into play.
I can see how it is a minefield for elected representatives with eyes constantly on them.
Take back control.
One wonders on what planet Jones and Varoufakis reside if they consider themselves voices with any relevance to Lib Dem target voters. But then preaching to the choir has always been Jones’s schtick.
We have a nice run of games coming.
Britain and the EU are nearing the brink of no-deal after President Macron today blocked an extension to Brexit and preparations began for an emergency summit on October 30.
A source close to the French president warned that a delay to Brexit beyond Thursday was “not a given” unless there was new political movement in Westminster to justify it.
“France wants a justified and proportionate extension. However, we have nothing of the sort so far,” an Élysée official said.'
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/growing-risk-of-no-deal-in-six-days-after-macron-blocks-brexit-extension-h5fxtprqr
It's either pass Boris Deal or an election or No deal
In fairness it's not unreasonable. If someone keeps asking for more time without indicating that they are close to completing the task at hand you'd tell them to bugger off, or give them a contract to build a football stadium for some reason, but either way you'd want them to stop taking the piss.
I'm not sure whether i'm hugely amused or insulted.
I don't believe it but if it were to be true then there are 3 options available to the opposition:
1. Vote the deal through
2. Call a GE on Monday
3. Revoke
The opposition need to choose their poison.
At least a General Election gives them a slight chance the Parliamentary arithmetic afterwards could still kill Brexit. But more likely, it kills their jobs before Christmas. And the longer they dick around, finding ever more feeble excuses, the more likely that becomes.
But it is one or the other guys.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/growing-risk-of-no-deal-in-six-days-after-macron-blocks-brexit-extension-h5fxtprqr
Hillary by name recognition can easily get the polling to get in the debates and can easily get the fundraising. She has many faults, but who else are they going to get at short notice to be a competitive not-Warren candidate ?
I don't think she'd win either, but there is a price where she is value