Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The front pages after Johnson’s big conference speech

Surprisingly the two biggest circulation and arguably most influential politically papers, the Mail and the Sun, do not make in their lead. The former ignores it completely on its front page. Quite what we can read into that I don’t know.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
https://phys.org/news/2019-10-india-pakistan-nuclear-war-millions-threaten.html
The Metro, which is the UK's most read paper , is rather neutral in my view. It gives Boris a platform certainly but rather potrays him as writing a break up letter to a partner. Ouch.
What to read into it ? That readers are bored ? That Murdoch/Rothermere know Boris is finished ? Coincidence ? I don't know but it is quite odd.
The Padfield principle is basically (my paraphrase, largely from memory, I Am Not A Law Textbook) "just because a Minister has discretion under an Act of Parliament, doesn't mean that they can use that discretion any which way they like - in particular, (1) they can't do something cheeky that subverts the whole point of the Act then claim 'I'm allowed to do it because the Act grants me discretion in how to apply it and my decision was to apply it thusly', (2) if they try to pull a fast one then their (mis)use of that discretion is open to judicial review, (3) the court will judge the purpose of the Act by looking at the whole Act, not just some isolated subclause with several plausible readings, and this is what the Minister's supposed use of discretion will get judged against."
Have to admit I haven't really got my head round why this hypothetical court case is deemed so important - if Johnson were to monkey around with the actions he's apparently required to do under the Benn Act, the precise legal grounds he claims as justification (and their likelihood of being crushed in court) are surely less important than the sheer political fact he has no majority in parliament. That kind of unilateral action with so few days left on the clock would presumably trigger the moment of unity among opposition leaders that's required to turf him out in short order, if he doesn't resign first - I'd be astonished if they wasted the Brexit countdown playing silly games over who gets to be PM if that all hits the fan. Would they really take things to the wire by letting the courts deal with it instead, even if they were fully confident Johnson would lose?
And of course preemptive challenges are already before the Court of Session both in terms of sanctioning non compliance and the Court acting instead of the PM to ensure compliance.
I get that you might want to pass Benn Act 2 anyway, even if you think it's a paper bullet and Johnson is going to wreck that one too, if only so you can point and shout LAW-BREAKER! or even better CRIMINAL!
But surely at some point the political trigger gets pulled in this scenario? Perhaps the opposition are too divided, or have balls of steel. There'd be one heck of a blame-game if their misjudgment and inaction combined with Johnson's determination resulted in No Deal.
Will the EU go along with his new plan? Probably. Anything to get rid from what I'm seeing
The Clown’s ascendancy and Ruth Davidson’s consequent resignation have changed the game, but we have almost no data from the critical Scottish battleground.
I also have presumed, and this might be an error, that unity could be magically found if required. There are some plausible unity PM candidates about who would be willing to serve. And the party leaders have all spent so much time talking up the dangers of a "crash-out" Brexit that I don't think any of them would lose much credibility by taking active steps to prevent it, even if it meant rowing back on some of the lines they've taken about why they haven't acted yet. I don't know what it would take to trigger it, or how the timing would work, but I'm sure there's something - some exceptional action taken by Johnson or credible threat or rumour of one being imminent - that would set it off.
Interesting background on Biden and Ukraine here:
https://twitter.com/JohnOBrennan2/status/1179299195213221889?s=19
It's hard to see what stops Warren now.
But this gets better as the situation gets worse. The more serious the crisis, the less likely it is that someone *else* will veto the last remaining alternative PM. So they need to make sure the crisis is bad enough, to be sure that they can solve it.
Very surprising from you Roger , a metro-liberal type living in considerable comfort in France where such things would not be commented on. Are you jealous?
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7530525/Labour-MP-reveals-domestic-abuse-victim-moving-horrifying-account-Parliament.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490
I also think we are surely at the point when the default assumption that the EU is going to say yes to anything and allow this shambles to continue has to be questioned.
We need Warren, or maybe even Sanders, to sweep away this corruption.
Glad I covered Warren after earlier bets on Harris and Biden. Still prefer a Biden win, though.
Former leaders who retire to the quiet life are a rarity now. Flogging influence is de rigeur even for undistinguished disgraced former cabinet members.
A considerable amount of the City’s business consists of providing safe havens for the ill gotten gains of precisely the type of oligarch featured in the Atlantic story.
As the Atlantic article points out, though, there is a substantial difference (and a stark
legal difference) between this type of casual corruption, and what Trump has been engaged in:
Voicing this question now invites an immediate objection: “false equivalence.” Let’s dispense with it. What Donald Trump has done—in this case, according to the summary of a single phone call, lean on a foreign president to launch two spurious investigations in order to hurt political rivals, offering the services of the U.S. Department of Justice for the purpose—is shockingly corrupt, a danger to American democracy, and worthy of impeachment....
Absolutely agree, the UK is one of the leading countries for its dodgy tax havens.
I, of course, would say the only way to clear that up is with a proper left wing government.
Colouring them with a heady cocktail of Brexit and Boris derangement syndrome are unlikely help accuracy.
Be interesting to see if home teams do well at the World Cup too.
20082014.Yes, after the athletics the one big event left is the rugby WC. We could yet have another Johnny Wilkinson in 2003 moment.
Secondly, we have already had a "Johnny Wilkinson in a World Cup Final" this year. It would be incredible if we got another.
It's not something I know that much about, but some sports seem to have more motivated fanbases than others when it comes to voting.
Stokes really ought to make it five.
https://twitter.com/jamiedmaxwell/status/1179425771556872196?s=20
https://twitter.com/APHClarkson/status/1179656145373466625
If the EU do reject it, the reaction here against their unreasonable position will help Johnson as he seeks to appeal to the country in a GE.
Which is, of course, one of the reasons some of the more ... buccaneering money managers are so keen on backing Boris/Brexit.
1) Have the people who were making claims about hedge funds profiting from No Deal publicly supported Boris proposal ? Because if there is a Deal agreed wont those hedge funds then make equivalent losses ?
2) Has the Conservative conference had anything to say about student debt ? With the ONS now putting the expected bad debt on the current borrowing that means there is over £10bn to reduce it each year for 'free'.
Are you more enthusiastic about Warren than you were about HRC last time ?