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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With a possible LAB leadership in prospect Laura Pidcock could
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With a possible LAB leadership in prospect Laura Pidcock could be the one to get Jezza’s backing
Of all the political betting markets available one that we haven’t looked at for a very long time is on who will succeed Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the Labour Party. He has looked totally secure in his position even though he has recently seen his personal poll ratings dropped to record lows.
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She is not a consensus builder. She thrives on hate.
There is nothing engaging about her.
Whoever is the Chosen One, they will come in for as much stick as Corbyn, because they are by dint of being his successor, Continuity-Corbyn. And that stick will be coming from inside the Labour Party. Still lots of thwarted ambitions inside Labour....
It's the only way to be sure.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/28051208/market?marketId=1.120629096
ATM, the only serious contenders seem to be Tom Watson or Kier Starmer. The rest are lightweights.
If such a government still looks viable after the Labour conference and necessary after the Conservative one, and if parliament ever sits again, then I'd look for Pidcock, RLB and Dawn Butler as compromise short-term PMs, with Corbyn remaining party leader.
But if Corbyn does resign, as speculated a couple of threads back, then the case for Laura Pidcock is far less compelling. Even if she gets Corbyn's blessing, and he'd probably want to stay above the fray (shades of Brexit!) then he has only one vote.
McDonnell has been doing a lot to drop his Marxist image, no Lenin caps for him but cuddly grandpa jumpers on Sunday morning instead. He's also less associated with Hamas etc then Jeremy - his main baggage has been the IRA comments which I don't think would damage him that much in an election campaign.
Thornberry is the more 'compromise' choice she would probably be a much softer left leader than Corbyn, and I think she's got a decent level of charisma and generally comes over confident and well in interviews and when in the HOC.
On the basis that the next leader will come from the pro Corbyn circle and won't be Yvette Cooper or Jess Phillips etc, which seems likely, it should be one of those two (I would say Thornberry perhaps more likely).
Alternatively he could back Starmer as the Starmer/Watson dream ticket.
Nevertheless she looks like the "moderates" choice and since Labour has bottled its moves against Watto she's probably live and OK at around 11-1 or so.
David Miliband at ~33-1 is crackers OTOH, mus be the same people backing Clinton at ~25-1 for Dem nominee.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/sep/23/boris-johnson-repeatedly-declines-to-comment-on-claims-he-awarded-public-funds-to-friend
A crack pipe at that.
In normal times it is hard to see how Johnson would beat Starmer or maybe even Thornberry in an election. It's hardy surprising that UNITE would favour someone like Pidcock, it would be interesting to see if they take electability seriously when the time comes.
Funny though...
There has been a tendency in the Labour leave heartlands (Barnsley/North East/Bolsover) for voters to desert the party to Lib Dem, Brexit, Britain First, independents in local elections - notably not the Tories mind. But right now there seem to be enough GE only voters to dig them out in GEs or at least there was in 2017. I expect there may be plenty of "safe" seats where Labour manage to squeak through on ~35% with split opposition at the next election.
Surely using taxpayers money to help a friend , is Tory policy.
[I have no idea whether she has free will, that is an opinion, the others are facts]
Surely the consequences of this policy must have a lot of negative knock-on effects. Seems daft to me
I can;t afford to buy a brand new NIssan, only a richer few can, so will Labour be campaigning to close the factory down in Sunderland?
Surely this bunch cannot win
Is there a practical path to doing this with a coronation?
https://www.theargus.co.uk/news/17919679.police-investigate-anti-semitic-banner-hung-outside-labour-party-conference-brighton/
I replaced our Skoda last year, and when doing so asked about electric etc. Told mid 2020, probably/almost certainly. Agent didn't know about prices, but that was Nov. 2018.
150 miles round trip does me 95+% unless we're talking about visiting bro-in-law; would have to have a probably fairly lengthy coffee stop. On the other hand, of course......... excuses, excuses.
We used to sing it, back in the 50's, at least once a term at school.
https://twitter.com/MRJKilcoyne/status/1176077540471054336
And it really, really irritates me that no England team in any sport appears to know the words, despite them being the name of the song.
God Save THE Queen.
How hard is that?
However, true believers will blame the man and not the message (and to be fair, many of Labour's policies are relatively popular in isolation), and so will seek to elect Corbynism-without-Corbyn.
The problem with that is that Corbynism isn't just a set of policies, it's a way of political life; it's an attitude, a culture; it means never compromising with the Tories (and 'Tories' extends far beyond MPs taking the Conservative whip); it revels in glorious defeats as marks of purity (note the latest nonsense on wanting to refight Orgreave).
On that basis, Pidcock is well-placed, despite being absurdly under-qualified to become PM. She may well get Corbyn's nod and that would be hugely powerful - though I still think Dawn Butler is a contender for that too though, and McDonnell name-checking her - and not Pidcock - as potential successors should be taken seriously.
Lord, grant that Marshall Wade
May, by Thy mighty aid,
Victory bring.
May he sedition hush,
And like a torrent rush,
Rebellious Scots to crush.
God save the Queen
Hint: it last changed in 1952.
1) Wiggle-proof commitment for a second referendum (done)
2) Don't lose too many seats to Con.
That's it. It doesn't really matter whether Jeremy Corbyn is for or against what, hardly anybody listens to him anyhow.
The seats they have to not lose to Con are mostly leave-ish. I don't know whether holding these seats requires them to tilt to Remain or tilt to Leave or sit on the fence or what. But it's probably best to leave it to the leadership and those incumbents to work that one out, rather than forcing them into our favourite corner.
https://www.unison.org.uk/news/article/2017/02/from-a-council-estate-to-the-houses-of-parliament/
.....Fleabag!