The Brexit process might have inhibited growth, deterred foreign investment, broken political parties and bitterly divided politics, generated political violence and protest not seen for decades and placed a perhaps irredeemable strain on the Union but it has at least help clarify some important points of constitutional law and for that we should be grateful.
Comments
John Bercow's Bingham lecture given two days ago, that @Byronic brought to our attention on the previous thread, is interesting on this, although the current version on Youtube includes 50 minutes of mainly dead air before Bercow appears. Presumably an edited version will be uploaded at some point.
https://youtu.be/vMv69cNgUes?t=3004
Also, two different prorogations for very different purposes might have the same effect in some respects. I don’t think purpose can be disregarded if the court considers the matter justiciable.
The Courts should, in my view, apply a test similar to the implied duty of trust and confidence that operates in relation to employment contracts. If so, the government does not need to do Parliament’s bidding and is entitled to prefer its own interests. However, it needs to fully evaluate the effects before making its decision and must not act in a way calculated to destroy or seriously damage the public’s confidence in the government. This is a high test for any petitioner to meet and yet the government has done its level best to fail it.
I’m glad I don’t have to help decide this case.
To leave the EU; to leave the EU without a deal; to force a deal (whose shape is unknown)? Or is Brexit a red herring and the main aim is to win an autumn election, or to sideline the Brexit Party? Are Cummings and Boris even on the same page, and where is Boris's other guru, Lynton Crosby, in all of this?
In most countries, the courts do attempt to divine the intent of the law, rather than blindly go by the semantic interpretation. In principle, this seems to me reasonable. Is prorogation intended to be an instrument enabling Government to avoid scrutiny? Whatever the exact wording, surely not? And if not, is it not correct for the court to attempt to decide whether the intent in this case is substantially to suppress scrutiny, rather than merely allow a normal pause between sessions?
David implicitly concedes this, I think, by saying it's judiciable. But that does mean the court needs to assess the purpose. And once it's doing that, it's hard not to conclude that the Government is not being entirely frank to the court in pretending that this is merely a normal interlude. The question of whether it's judiciable seems to me the higher hurdle.
Incidentally, this will certainly cast a shadow into the future in ways that would worry people wherever they are on the political spectrum. For example, I can imagine a future government proposing that land capable of development which has been neglected (essentially unused for 10 years, say, without environmental explanations such as Green Belt), should be nationalised at agricultural value (and then built on with houses, with the Government taking the profit to build more). That would probably be legal, since I don't think a law explicitly says that owners have a constitutional right to property at commercial market rates (and if I'm wrong it could be repealed). But landowners certainly assume that their land is worth its commercial value and cannot be taken for less, even if they choose to neglect it. Should the courts take a view in such a case?
On balance I think the government will win at UKSC but I’m sure the court will have to say something about the limits of executive power for long prorogation because failure to do so would tilt the balance towards a government being able to exercise power unchallenged by any of the machinery of parliamentary accountability except for short periods where it wants to ram through some legislation. It’ll be interesting to see how it approaches the question.
It's possible the government will have a better argument on the merits of the prorogation for the Supreme Court, should that court also decide the government's right to act is legally bounded.
I should add that, although Scots law is a different beast from English law, I don't think the different systems played much of a part here. The difference is in interpretation. I am also not a lawyer
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-manchester-49692934
There are probably all sorts of very good reasons for this but as with the political machinations over Brexit, it adds to the narrative of a secretive Establishment out to protect its own.
Scotland’s politicians rule by consensus not by royal prerogative. We knock down those who get too self important. The ruling of the Supreme Court is not really relevant, the Scottish courts have already placed a marker in the ground.
And not only that, the PM of the day offered the chance to vote for a general election!
No, the outrage from MPs about prorogation is thoroughly disingenuous.
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/09/why-the-supreme-court-should-reverse-the-scottish-courts-prorogation-ruling/
Why should an unelected Prime Minister who has yet to win a single vote in the House of Commons have a general election at a time of his convenience?
But I think this case turns more on interpretation than actual statutes, as David's article implies.
The Scottish Court ranks above the English Court in authority , the former is the highest court there , the latter is just a high court .
I think the SC have to rule whether the Scottish decision is in line with Scottish law not English law .
That's what happens when conventions are abused for political advantage.
https://socialsecuritychamber.scot/docs/librariesprovider2/default-document-library/2019csih49.pdf?sfvrsn=e3179adf_2
Reading through it, what strikes me is that at no point can the judges cite an actual law. Cases, yes - and I know case law is important - but at no point can they say, 'it's the law parliament must sit.' Indeed, the only law it cites dates back to 1689(!) and actually states can be prorogued for any length of of time as long as it sits 'regularly.' The key to their view is page 13, where they note a difference that in English law the Crown can do pretty much what it likes but under Scottish law because kings were technically appointed they were constrained by different powers. They claim based on a 1916 ruling that where there is a difference the rule more limiting of executive power takes precedence.
I do not look at this judgement and feel the judges are ruling on law. They instead seem to making some highly political decisions. In particular, they effectively rule on whether or not Johnson might have had sensible political reasons to prorogue. That's not at all what judges should be doing!
Activist judges are always rather dangerous (the name of David Eady springs to mind and not in a good way). Particularly so in Scotland where there are so many contentious constitutional issues looming.
But if they are behaving politically, they're also behaving very stupidly. Nothing is more likely to strengthen Johnson's hand in England than a ruling that a bunch of Scottish officials are trying to impede him to be annoying.
But until that time, we should not be seeing this mess being played for political ends by judges, of any nationality. To be blunt, the only person who is coming out of these shenanigans with credit is the judge in Northern Ireland.
Equally the court can’t take into account the Benn legislation. They have to rule as to what occurred in the run up to the suspension , the fact MPs acted is irrelevant , in a future circumstance they might not be able to .
The effect is the same, but your interpretation insults the judges' professionalism
If you click on the tweet itself you'll see this.
Rather than the courts or parliament setting limits on when and how the govt can prorogue, should we not just consign it to history?
But it is an important difference.
Most parliamentary democracies have something similar - the US has annual sessions, for example. I think India do as well.
The USA being characterised as an 'archaic gunroom' is also rather good.
At the same time, such a ruling would be highly damaging to Remain. It really would (well, it does now, TBH) look like sore losers trying to change the rules. I wonder if they have thought through the possible consequences of that or whether they just lashed out without thinking.
https://twitter.com/MattCartoonist/status/1172550384184938496?s=20
Even Homer nods, I suppose
It does need sorting out. But it should be sorted out by MPs not by judges going on ego trips.
Edit - or did you mean the politicians? If so that's fair enough (because it is wrong) but they will still look like fools.
Brexit or not, things are and will be not as good as we hope or as bad as we fear. Breathe.
A lot of the prorogation time has happened now, and parliament has got a backstop against no deal in place anyway.
But, if (say) the final judgement is "not illegal, but shabby", how shabby does shabby have to be to either vindicate the government, or to make its position untenable?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-the-papers-49696550
(It is perhaps unusual that a Telegraph cartoonist should feature a book being serialised in the Times.)
The focus will probably be repeal of the FTPA and then a grab bag of other issues that have popped up about prorogation etc.
Looking both backwards over the last decade and forwards to the next, it occurs to me that we may very well be in for a prolonged period of Hostage Government. Since the last Blair victory in 2005, we've had a hung Parliament, a very narrow Conservative victory, a hung Parliament again, and the learned consensus here and elsewhere appears to be that we are headed for another hung Parliament after this one. There's been much talk of how the route to a Tory majority looks very difficult, and nobody credits Labour with any realistic chance of winning outright (and one prays that this is the case!) So, what happens next?
In the past we used to assume that the failure of the Conservatives to win meant that Labour would come back into Government and could do whatever it pleased. What, after all, could the other left-leaning parties realistically do to frustrate it? The SNP or the (post-Coalition) Lib Dems could hardly be seen to be voting down a Labour administration's agenda, because that would mean the fall of the Government and putting the Evil Tories back in.
But the FTPA, as made plain by the events of the last couple of weeks, changes everything. Now, if the partners that a Labour minority administration needs to function aren't satisfied with whatever scraps are offered from its table to secure their support, they don't need to vote out Tweedledum and put Tweedledee in - they can just create another impotent Hostage Government by refusing either to pass any legislation or to VONC the Prime Minister. At the moment the Tories are in office but not in power; after the next election, it may very well be Labour's turn to find itself in the same predicament - at least until the Labour and Conservative leaderships both find it more convenient to go to the country again than to keep the pantomime going.
Thus, it is quite possible that an election in November or next Spring could be followed by another in Autumn 2020, and then perhaps a couple more in 2021? The reason that the 2010-2015 Coalition lasted the distance was that the parties involved were willing to be seen to be working together, were both just about close in terms of policy, and possessed sufficient willingness to compromise. So long as we have two large political parties that are polar opposites and no longer capable of winning Parliamentary majorities, and the MPs holding the balance of power in the centre are unwilling or unable to work with either of them, then Britain will be ungovernable.
But in political terms they are, bizarrely, benefits to losing because they can say the establishment is against brexit. The brazen lie that people like Kwarteng were speaking off script shows how shameless they would be, so I dont think theres anything that imminently would cause Boris to find his position untenable.
But at the moment where we need political leaders of energy, courage, skill, determination and integrity, we have Johnson and Corbyn leading cabinets that would look woefully out of their depth running Rugeley Town Council.
And therein lies my point - that prorogation already has an inbuilt mechanism to prevent abuse, without resorting to the courts. It is Her Majesty's Government - if it abuses power vested in it, Her Majesty could remedy that abuse. The Sovereign in this case might have had qualms about shutting down Parliament for six weeks over the conference period - but not enough to intervene to reduce it.
I think if prorogation had been until 1st November, with the obvious intent of ensuring that Brexit happened because any Parliamentary intervention was blocked, then HM the Q might well have intervened. But it wasn't, there is really nothing happening until after the EU summit for Parliament to get its teeth into -and so I would be seriously disquieted if the SC were to overturn the prorogation in this instance.
But giving power back to government seems like an odd move for parliament or currently opposition parties given arguments on prorogation.
But this might be moot as it may be it was indeed illegal.
https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/1172782363719413765?s=21
https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/1172783381836423168?s=20
Pause.
Ah, my coat...
See you later.
The Scottish Court found the prorogations purpose wasn’t to prepare for a Queens Speech but to restrict Parliament scrutiny and its ability to act .
Now you could say the prorogation always does that but the judges viewed this one as excessive in length .
The problem the SC has now , if it rules it was legal then that could give a green light for a future government to push the boundaries because they could use the SC ruling as legal basis .
The SC needs in its judgement to make sure it finds a way of restricting what a government can do even if says it was legal .
Everybody already knows the truth and judges trying to say different will just make it more obvious.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSZArCpYeo8
I struggle to understand why people have a problem with the idea that the judges might say recent actions are legal, but that that has only minor bearing. To me the legality is a procedural point, it affects whether parliament is prorogued and what actions are taken next, but I dont need a judges validation for me to think it was wrong, and I wont be petty and silly and moan about the establishment like a conspiricist ukipper if they do decide it is legal.
Prorogation should be held (i) to be a proper matter for the courts and (ii) in this case to be lawful.
I think the SC will agree too. I would be very surprised if their verdict is anything but this.
And a free-fire sympathy-fee zone at that......
"Scotland’s politicians rule by consensus not by royal prerogative. We knock down those who get too self important"
What Johnson has done is patently unfair. He has overriden the will of the people's representatives by telling them to go home. He has then sent his Cabinet into the towns and villages carrying baubles. This morning it was Nicky Morgan with Millions for Britains High Streets. Yesterday it was Johnson with bucket loads for Schools. Before that Javed with shedloads for hospitals.
Had the late Robert Mugabe silenced his opposition while playing Father Christmas with the nation's bankroll how would we have viewed it?
Which is it?
Taxi!
And then MPs voted for things they didn't want.