politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Fewer than half of Leave voters would consider a No Deal Brexi
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Fewer than half of Leave voters would consider a No Deal Brexit a success
Would Brits see a no-deal Brexit as a success or a failure? A failure: 48%A success: 24%Neither: 16%https://t.co/s0S7LwaCCm pic.twitter.com/nuyJshWMl7
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No rational Leaver should go anywhere near it.
Note No Deal is also the first choice Brexit option for voters now with Yougov, followed by a renegotiated Boris Deal and Remain
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1169518242064474112?s=20
Those who depict the Tory leader as a British Trump (including the US president himself) underestimate his capacity for cowardice. He also likes to be liked, which is why he promises contradictory things to different people. As mayor of London, he could be persuaded to support and oppose the same idea in consecutive meetings. I have heard from a number of sources how Johnson, as foreign secretary, asked officials to explain the problem with Brexit and the Good Friday agreement, and decided that the solution was to hide the border in the Irish sea. Northern Ireland could be an exclave of regulatory alignment with Brussels – the original “Northern Ireland-only” backstop model proposed by the EU. Only when the DUP freaked out – and hardline Tory backbenchers cried betrayal – did Johnson recoil from customs checks at the port of Larne.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/sep/10/boris-johnson-brexit-theresa-may-withdrawal-agreement
It does make me wonder if Brexit is the HMS Captain of the 2010s. At least Coles did the decent thing and went down with the ship ...
https://reaction.life/what-if-dominic-cummings-is-right/
I think the big danger with the Con government resigning and letting Corbyn take over is that he'll stick it out as long as he can before calling an election.
For HMQ to appoint him as PM he'll have to prove he has the confidence of the House.
That will mean both SNP and Lib-Dems having to promise to support him in a VONC and/or Queens Speech before he goes to Buckingham Palace.
The idea for example that HMQ could ask him to form a government on 19th October and then he gets no confidenced on 22nd October just after he's written the letter to the EU is crazy.
HMQ is not there to be played in this way and the country that already looks like it's totally lose the plot will look even madder (and why would Corbyn accept becoming PM for three days purely to write a letter and then let himself he defeated?)
Without assurances from SNP and Lib's he'd just tell HMQ he can't command a majority and he'd sit it out and see what happens.
So if Boris hands over to Corbyn expect him to be in power, supported by SNP and Lib-Dems, for at least six months and quite probably significantly longer.
That's fallen apart now but at the time he had a majority and Theresa May told HMQ to call Boris as he could command a mjaoity of the House (presumably Boris won't be recomending HMQ calls Jezza)
QTWTAIN
That is it.
It does not effect the length or acceptance of the extension.
So tough. You can stuff your victim blaming bullsh*t.
Total chaos and probable disaster now awaits IMO.
Is it because they might lose?
Regardless of what the question might be, that’s a new low for a once-great newspaper.
But the fact remains, the MPs who refused to respect the referendum result, despite being elected on a promise to do do, are to blame for the situation we are now in
So desperate is the right wing press to claim victory for Bozo that he can bring any deal back .
"Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?"
They chose not to.
Plus given you spent most of the referendum campaign screaming 'BeLeave in Britain' I would have hoped you would now agree that Boris is?
The referendum did not have a time limit. It does not need to be implemented by an arbitrary date.
The only reason you guys are desperate to implement it now is because you know public opinion has turned and are terrified of losing your one chance for us to leave the EU.
You call Corbyn frit but its you that are frit.
Goodness gracious...Lib Dems Down, Labour 1 point behind...
@HYUFD to pop along soon to explain that Baxter gives the Tories a majority of 50, or something.
Tories 286
Labour 250
Lib Dems 29
Brexit 1
Green surge, taking votes off the Liberals in yellow-blue marginals.
After 2017 a rethink was needed. The Tories own Brexit , lock stock and barrel .
A soft Brexit could have been delivered . That could have got a large majority of public support until the ERG nutjobs and the right wing press decided that no deal was allegedly the mandate .
That's parties plural. Until and unless the EU agree to it, it is not a 'deal'.
But i recognise the immense damage such a vote would do.
41 short of a majority I believe; 285 Con MPs so three less than today.
Your posts are consistent (some might even say "relentless") on the topic. But what would be the actual effects of such a no deal scenario?
Frit. Frit. Frit.
If public opinion has not changed then you have nothing to fear.
I wish it were otherwise, but I don't see it.
Doesnt look like its a failing strategy to me....