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  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    Nigelb said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    In most circumstances, it wouldn't matter if they trusted him on the precise date. But in this situation, it's crucial.
    I had no idea the PM had the power to shift a GE date after it had been fixed. Has it ever happened? Under what law is this possible?

    However, bearing in mind Johnson's record of duplicity on prorogation and just about everything else he clearly cannot be trusted on this.
    Blair moved the 2001 local elections mid campaign due to foot and mouth, it requires a black swan to have any legitimacy
    Boris has proven with his prorogation that he cannot be trusted. The man couldn't lie straight in bed.
    So we limp on to 2022 with no majority for anything in parliament?
    Not that long, but lets discuss a date when Brexit is out of the way. ..
    2035 looks good.
    I'm getting my hair cut that year. Can we make it 2038?
    The year the interstellar Zargon invasion fleet is due to arrive, are you mad?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    DanSmith said:

    They are mad. There are more votes tomorrow where some of the tory rebels might wobble ! but not going to happen if they kick them out.
    It is a vital move to show Boris means business and show Brexit Party voters in particular he will not tolerate Tory MPs refusing to respect the Leave vote and extending again past October 31st
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    The rebels arent getting it, they think they are going to be cheered as heroes, but most people have had enough of this. I think they will be disappointed by the outcome. But that's just my reading of the mood music.
  • Scott_P said:
    Even I laughed at that one.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    Gabs2 said:

    TGOHF said:

    Jesus. Fucking Ian Blackford.

    I know he's SNP but every time he stands up it's Scotland this.. Scotland that.. Pushing SNP propaganda and attack lines.

    Always divides the House rather than seeking to influence it to his greater advantage.

    We aim to dissolve the Union, not repair it.
    Yes, but this vote is about stopping a No Deal Brexit.

    Are the SNP interested in reaching out to stop that across party lines,or not?
    Stopping No Deal Brexit is merely a step on the journey. We have bigger, more important goals. Pursuing, always, the interests of the Scottish nation.
    A step on the journey you will fail to take unless you can bury your myopic isolationist ideology.
    The Nat say its ok to ignore referendums - precedent set. Twice.
    The UK should be quite happy to have another Scottish referendum. They could just refuse to have any deal that doesn't include Edinburgh being ruled by English law and be happy to extend forever.
    Scotland would just apply to join the EU immediately and then have the same superpower behind them as Ireland do.

    Little England alone once again.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238

    Nigelb said:

    Chris said:

    So the BBC is now reporting that the government is trying to prevent the bill getting through the Lords by tabling 90 amendments to the business motion.

    A simple motion to consider all 90 amendments together as one might deal with that.
    What are the chances that the HoL might actually block this bill?
    Do I sound like someone who has a clue ? :smile:
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698
    DanSmith said:

    They are mad. There are more votes tomorrow where some of the tory rebels might wobble ! but not going to happen if they kick them out.
    ... and if it comes to a VoNC in the government what is the point of de-whipped Tories supporting Boris?
  • GIN1138 said:

    Foxy said:

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    In most circumstances, it wouldn't matter if they trusted him on the precise date. But in this situation, it's crucial.
    I had no idea the PM had the power to shift a GE date after it had been fixed. Has it ever happened? Under what law is this possible?

    However, bearing in mind Johnson's record of duplicity on prorogation and just about everything else he clearly cannot be trusted on this.
    Blair moved the 2001 local elections mid campaign due to foot and mouth, it requires a black swan to have any legitimacy
    Boris has proven with his prorogation that he cannot be trusted. The man couldn't lie straight in bed.
    If the electiondate 14th October is defined in law then it can't be changed unless the law is changed? Boris can't change it on a whim?

    If there's a Black swan" event Parliament would have to be recalled mid-campaign to change the law.

    This is all bullshit. :D
    In the normal course of events there wouldn't be a problem because if the PM gave a date in good faith it would be accepted and he/she would be trusted not to change it without good reason.

    Who is going to trust Johnson though?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    The 10% Tory poll lead with YouGov tonight suggests yes
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    edited September 2019
    Scott_P said:
    Is it?

    He must've have known all along this would be the result of his "do or die" approach to Brexit.

    Sooner or later he'll get his Parliament Vs the People election and MPs are writing his script for him tonight...
  • AndyJS said:

    Cummings must have a master strategy to deal with tonight's defeat, I just can't think what it might be.

    I think Byronic is pointing the way - claim MPs have passed “Corbyn’s surrender bill”. The fake news excerpt of the bill will probably go viral.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238

    DanSmith said:

    They are mad. There are more votes tomorrow where some of the tory rebels might wobble ! but not going to happen if they kick them out.
    ... and if it comes to a VoNC in the government what is the point of de-whipped Tories supporting Boris?
    Well it has been suggested by quite a lot of people that he might VONC himself...
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698
    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Chris said:

    So the BBC is now reporting that the government is trying to prevent the bill getting through the Lords by tabling 90 amendments to the business motion.

    A simple motion to consider all 90 amendments together as one might deal with that.
    What are the chances that the HoL might actually block this bill?
    Do I sound like someone who has a clue ? :smile:
    :lol: No, me neither. My question was directed at the few on PB who might a clue.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    The rebels arent getting it, they think they are going to be cheered as heroes, but most people have had enough of this. I think they will be disappointed by the outcome. But that's just my reading of the mood music.

    I think most of them would accept there is a chance this will not work in the longer term. But they think we no deal for sure if they don't try it. So a chance of being remainer heroes is better than meekly accepting no deal, in their eyes.
  • Gabs2Gabs2 Posts: 1,268

    Gabs2 said:

    How many MPs voted for Article 50, voted against the withdrawal agreement all three times, and are now voting to block no deal?

    They should all lose their jobs.

    Completely agree.
    That’s a matter for their constituents, not executive fiat by angry Leavers.
    You seem to be moving the goalposts of the argument there. Whether Remainer or Leaver, it is completely irresponsible to vote for leaving the EU, against having a deal and against having no deal.
  • Chris said:

    So the BBC is now reporting that the government is trying to prevent the bill getting through the Lords by tabling 90 amendments to the business motion.

    Lucky the government hasn't pissed off the Lord's Speaker...
  • Sean_F said:

    Alistair said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, the Markit PMIs are sub 50 now in:

    the US
    the UK
    the Eurozone
    Canada
    Mexico
    Japan

    China is marginally above.

    If you want to have an election, I'd have it now. Because those PMIs tend to lead changes in unemployment rates by six months.

    The Renainers really are dumb. They are going to kill Brexit just in time for a major recession which every Leave supporting politician will take great pleasure in pinning on them. So with economic hardship and a betrayal narrative we are going to see a huge increase in support for the real extremist parties and a backlash against the politicians like you can't imagine.
    A first? First time I’ve seen a Leaver admit that Brexit is dead.
    There have been plenty of us warning this would happen for months. I go further and say if Brexit is dead then so is democracy in this country. You will reap what you sowed.
    It was a Tory who did the sowing: David Cameron.
    Nope. He just gave the electorate a choice. It is the Remainers who have chosen to ignore that choice and so undermine the basic principles of democracy. I assume ftom your comments a future Parliament should ignore any future Indy Referendum
    The referendum was advisory. If it had been binding the result would have been annulled by the courts. Due to Leave cheating.
    LOL. Yet more Remoaner lies.
    Remain cheating was presumably fine and dandy.
    Get your story straight lads, is it both sides were cheating or Leave deffo, deffo wasn't?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293

    GIN1138 said:

    Foxy said:

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    In most circumstances, it wouldn't matter if they trusted him on the precise date. But in this situation, it's crucial.
    I had no idea the PM had the power to shift a GE date after it had been fixed. Has it ever happened? Under what law is this possible?

    However, bearing in mind Johnson's record of duplicity on prorogation and just about everything else he clearly cannot be trusted on this.
    Blair moved the 2001 local elections mid campaign due to foot and mouth, it requires a black swan to have any legitimacy
    Boris has proven with his prorogation that he cannot be trusted. The man couldn't lie straight in bed.
    If the electiondate 14th October is defined in law then it can't be changed unless the law is changed? Boris can't change it on a whim?

    If there's a Black swan" event Parliament would have to be recalled mid-campaign to change the law.

    This is all bullshit. :D
    In the normal course of events there wouldn't be a problem because if the PM gave a date in good faith it would be accepted and he/she would be trusted not to change it without good reason.

    Who is going to trust Johnson though?
    Yes but they don't have to "trust" Johnson because the date will be defined in law and the law can then only be changed by another law.

    This stuff about people not trusting Boris is just a smokescreen because they don't want an election.
  • GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Norm said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Unless the polls start showing something like Lab 45% and Con 30% I fear cowardly Labour are going to have to be dragged kicking and screaming to a general election. :(
    Given this they are frit

    https://twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/1168950227426074627
    Seems that way but the lead was much bigger in 2017 and jezza was well up for it.

    The change from 2017 to now is very odd. Maybe its because they can't play the "we'll respect the refernedum" card in their northern leave seats this time?
    It's only temporary. As soon as there is an extension signed, sealed and delivered, they will back a general election.

    I'm not certain Johnson will still want one, but we'll see. It might be out of his hands.
    Not sure. @Byronic was reporting Thornberry as saying Labour would NEVER agree to a Johnson election?

    And why does Labour care so much about an extension if they think they will win the election?

    Everything they are sayling and doing today looks like they've pretty given up on any chance at the election and are desperate to avoid it.

    It looks strange.
    Byronic was, I believe, mistaken. The Guardian report Thornberry thusly "She says the party wants to see the bill ruling out a no-deal Brexit on 31 October passed first."

    Only a matter of sequencing.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,900


    I don't misunderstand their role at all. I just believe they are fundementally dishonest and act in their own interests and in support of their own beliefs even when they have said the exact opposite to get elected. MPs will never support a deal now they think they can safely ignore the referendum. One reason amongst many why they are unfit for public office.

    I don't accept that view. I don't recall No Deal being mentioned prominently in 2017 and if it was mentioned, it was rapidly dismissed as being so unlikely as not to be worth bothering about.

    Being opposed to leaving without a Deal doesn't make you opposed to leaving with a Deal. Yes, there are MPs opposed to us leaving - the 47 Labour MPs, the LDs and others who voted against A50 way back in early 2017 for example. Many, including my local MP, represent (and that's the key word) constituencies which voted to Remain. He has publicly opposed leaving and I will defend his consistency.

    That said, the 47% who voted Leave in his constituency may consider he is not representing them.

  • Gabs2 said:

    Gabs2 said:

    How many MPs voted for Article 50, voted against the withdrawal agreement all three times, and are now voting to block no deal?

    They should all lose their jobs.

    Completely agree.
    That’s a matter for their constituents, not executive fiat by angry Leavers.
    You seem to be moving the goalposts of the argument there. Whether Remainer or Leaver, it is completely irresponsible to vote for leaving the EU, against having a deal and against having no deal.
    They can explain their actions to their constituents. Foaming because you don’t agree with their position is pointless.
  • TGOHF said:
    Nice sentiment.

    Too few, far too late.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698
    TGOHF said:
    The WA is not going to pass though is it... given it will be without Tory or Labour front bench support?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited September 2019
    Scott_P said:
    Aarrgh, why didn't 17 of you vote for it last time, when you were told it was the last chance?!?!

    Ok, it would still have been short by around 25-30 I think as it would be about 10-12 more Lab MPs than backed it last time, but that puts the other votes needed to pass it in little more than a dozen. As it is now you'd have Boris and Corbyn whip against it and lose by more than MV1!
  • ab195ab195 Posts: 477
    Well it’s come to a head then. A chunk of the country (most visible on here) think Letwin, Grieve and co are the “grown ups” and this is a wonderful moment for democracy. The rest of us are bored if Parliament mucking about. Time will tell who’s the bigger group.
  • If Boris fails and the UK remains then on the plus side it will finish Scottish Independence.

    And the Tories will have cleared the stables.
  • DanSmith said:

    They are mad. There are more votes tomorrow where some of the tory rebels might wobble ! but not going to happen if they kick them out.
    So by this time tomorrow we will have a government at least 10 votes short of a majority, unable to get any business through the Commons and unable to call an election.

    Brilliant.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    Lol Labour MPs now backing the May deal. Too late you complete and utter ****s. Three fucking chances to push it through and now we're going to end up with a disaster no deal because you ****s couldn't stand up and be counted when it mattered.
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    TGOHF said:
    Big thing with this is I assume it means Flint is voting against the government tonight.
  • Jesus. Fucking Ian Blackford.

    I know he's SNP but every time he stands up it's Scotland this.. Scotland that.. Pushing SNP propaganda and attack lines.

    Always divides the House rather than seeking to influence it to his greater advantage.

    We aim to dissolve the Union, not repair it.
    Yes, but this vote is about stopping a No Deal Brexit.

    Are the SNP interested in reaching out to stop that across party lines,or not?
    Stopping No Deal Brexit is merely a step on the journey. We have bigger, more important goals. Pursuing, always, the interests of the Scottish nation.
    A step on the journey you will fail to take unless you can bury your myopic isolationist ideology.
    A Tory calling someone else myopic, isolationist and an ideologue. Folk in glass houses...
    Weak. You've defaulted to partisan mode.

    I'd like to say I'm surprised but I'm not. I'll take it as a complement as you only ever turn to this when you sense you're losing the argument.

    And you are.
    The Scottish self-government movement is far-sighted, open and pragmatic. The evidence for these assertions is abundant, and obvious. I do not believe that you are willing to look at the evidence, as you are myopic, isolationist and ideological. And a case study in psychological projection.
  • timmotimmo Posts: 1,469
    So 17 labour mps are going to amend the legislation tomorrow to put Mays withdrawl proposition back to.parliament..what is going on
  • Bored now.

    Off to bed.
  • TGOHF said:
    Intriguing, presumably the govt votes against and kicks out anyone who votes for Brexit out of the party?
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    HYUFD said:

    The 10% Tory poll lead with YouGov tonight suggests yes
    You do like your polls
  • eggegg Posts: 1,749
    On topic. The next speaker isn’t even born yet.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    The rebels arent getting it, they think they are going to be cheered as heroes, but most people have had enough of this. I think they will be disappointed by the outcome. But that's just my reading of the mood music.

    That is my reading of the situation as well.
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578
    Scott_P said:
    Ken Clark. The man who proudly boasted he’d never read the Maastricht Treaty, but nonetheless felt able to vote it through, no problemo.

    Arrogant, irresponsible, shortsighted europhile twats, like him, are one of the main reasons we are where we are. He will not be forgiven by history.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    TGOHF said:
    The WA is not going to pass though is it... given it will be without Tory or Labour front bench support?
    Let's see shall we? It's still the least absolutely bonkers option around.
  • eggegg Posts: 1,749
    egg said:

    On topic. The next speaker isn’t even born yet.

    Well done Thomo. About time one of the PB headbangers banged out a header.
  • Grieve roasting JRM here. JRM's insouciant "lying on the front bench" is not a good look.

    Truly hoping that Theresa May gets the whip withdrawn this evening: that would be Banter Heuristic par excellence.

    We share the same hopes.

    Other than Letwin and perhaps Clarke, still not seeing an MP I'm particularly bothered to see go.
  • The remain alliance should allow Mays deal to be voted on, if the speaker allows. Would be interesting to see how Mays cabinet would vote!
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,814
    edited September 2019
    egg said:

    On topic. The next speaker isn’t even born yet.

    I do think Bercow is king of his own little fiefdom now and he’s enjoying it too much to quit. The only way he goes is if he’s forced out.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,517
    The hour is ripe for a new spearhead.

    A leader for all seasons.

    A man who can unite party and country.

    Graham Brady Old Lady, the time is now.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Adagio: Sehr feierlich und sehr langsam (C♯ minor)

    And Boris Johnson heroically watched his majority fall apart.

    Think I have made the right call listening to The Vienna Phil on Radio 3.
  • DanSmith said:

    TGOHF said:
    Big thing with this is I assume it means Flint is voting against the government tonight.
    No I think it more likely that it's to provide cover for them to vote against the government tonight. They can say to their leave constituents that they tried their best but could not get a deal through.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    timmo said:

    So 17 labour mps are going to amend the legislation tomorrow to put Mays withdrawl proposition back to.parliament..what is going on

    What the ? LOL
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698
    TOPPING said:

    TGOHF said:
    The WA is not going to pass though is it... given it will be without Tory or Labour front bench support?
    Let's see shall we? It's still the least absolutely bonkers option around.
    Don't get me wrong, even as a Remainer I'd support it. But MPs aren't going to support it anytime soon.
  • MaxPB said:

    Lol Labour MPs now backing the May deal. Too late you complete and utter ****s. Three fucking chances to push it through and now we're going to end up with a disaster no deal because you ****s couldn't stand up and be counted when it mattered.

    Yes too little too late.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    timmo said:

    So 17 labour mps are going to amend the legislation tomorrow to put Mays withdrawl proposition back to.parliament..what is going on

    They are defying Corbyn, though as the Withdrawal Agreement failed by 58 votes at MV3 it needs at least 13 more Labour MPs to switch sides to pass (Flint having already voted for the WA then)
  • Byronic said:

    Scott_P said:
    Ken Clark. The man who proudly boasted he’d never read the Maastricht Treaty, but nonetheless felt able to vote it through, no problemo.

    Arrogant, irresponsible, shortsighted europhile twats, like him, are one of the main reasons we are where we are. He will not be forgiven by history.
    Given the no deal heroes trashed the 599 page withdrawal agreement minutes after it was released presumably you hold those twats to the same standard.
  • If Boris fails and the UK remains then on the plus side it will finish Scottish Independence.

    And the Tories will have cleared the stables.

    If A happens it will finish Scottish independence.

    If B happens it will finish Scottish independence.

    If C happens it will finish Scottish independence.

    ... Ad infinitum.

    There is always one more straw for the Brit Nats to cling on to. Until there isn’t.
  • eggegg Posts: 1,749
    HYUFD said:

    DanSmith said:

    They are mad. There are more votes tomorrow where some of the tory rebels might wobble ! but not going to happen if they kick them out.
    It is a vital move to show Boris means business and show Brexit Party voters in particular he will not tolerate Tory MPs refusing to respect the Leave vote and extending again past October 31st
    You are one of the best for attempting answers HY. How do you tackle it when they say, for domestic audiences No Deal is mere bump in road, teething issues we will soon get over, yet at same time it’s going to carry so much threat to EU it helps shift them on the backstop?
  • Scott_P said:
    Who is the woman to JRM's left? The one who appears to be sound asleep in this National Emergrncy?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    TOPPING said:

    TGOHF said:
    The WA is not going to pass though is it... given it will be without Tory or Labour front bench support?
    Let's see shall we? It's still the least absolutely bonkers option around.
    Don't get me wrong, even as a Remainer I'd support it. But MPs aren't going to support it anytime soon.
    They have glimpsed the total and utter clusterfuck it would be if not and have I hope seen sense.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    edited September 2019
    https://www.twitter.com/JamesEFoster/status/1168971635879227392

    Wonder what the anything but Corbyn cultists will make of this
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698
    Is the vote expected at 10pm?
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Norm said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Unless the polls start showing something like Lab 45% and Con 30% I fear cowardly Labour are going to have to be dragged kicking and screaming to a general election. :(
    Given this they are frit

    https://twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/1168950227426074627
    Seems that way but the lead was much bigger in 2017 and jezza was well up for it.

    The change from 2017 to now is very odd. Maybe its because they can't play the "we'll respect the refernedum" card in their northern leave seats this time?
    It's only temporary. As soon as there is an extension signed, sealed and delivered, they will back a general election.

    I'm not certain Johnson will still want one, but we'll see. It might be out of his hands.
    Not sure. @Byronic was reporting Thornberry as saying Labour would NEVER agree to a Johnson election?

    And why does Labour care so much about an extension if they think they will win the election?

    Everything they are sayling and doing today looks like they've pretty given up on any chance at the election and are desperate to avoid it.

    It looks strange.
    Byronic was, I believe, mistaken. The Guardian report Thornberry thusly "She says the party wants to see the bill ruling out a no-deal Brexit on 31 October passed first."

    Only a matter of sequencing.
    So if the tories got in with a huge majority on a platform of no deal their hands will still be tied?

    (Unlikely I know)

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, the Markit PMIs are sub 50 now in:

    the US
    the UK
    the Eurozone
    Canada
    Mexico
    Japan

    China is marginally above.

    If you want to have an election, I'd have it now. Because those PMIs tend to lead changes in unemployment rates by six months.

    The Renainers really are dumb. They are going to kill Brexit just in time for a major recession which every Leave supporting politician will take great pleasure in pinning on them. So with economic hardship and a betrayal narrative we are going to see a huge increase in support for the real extremist parties and a backlash against the politicians like you can't imagine.
    A first? First time I’ve seen a Leaver admit that Brexit is dead.
    It might be. Depends on how events play out, evidently.

    On the general subject of Leaverdom, people make the mistake of assuming we're all fanatics. The actual situation is somewhat more nuanced.

    As a matter of moral conviction, I'm on the side of Brexit for sovereignty reasons. And I feel, from the standpoint of having decisions made in this country and not pooling upwards to the EU level, that Leave was the right choice.

    HOWEVER - there's part of me that wishes fervently that the whole sordid business would just go away, and that part of me isn't too arsed whether we stay or go so long as the rotten politicians get on with it and make a decision. That's primarily the result of wanting the uncertainty and fudge done with, and partly sheer boredom.

    Anyway, on to more important things. Bake Off starts in a minute.
    Is there a new series of Bake Off???
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Foxy said:

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on
    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    In most circumstances, ucial.
    I had no idea the PM had the power to shift a GE date after it had been fixed. Has it ever happened? Under what law is this possible?

    However, bearing in mind Johnson's record of duplicity on prorogation and just about everything else he clearly cannot be trusted on this.
    Blair moved the 2001 local elections mid campaign due to foot and mouth, it requires a black swan to have any legitimacy
    Boris has proven with his prorogation that he cannot be trusted. The man couldn't lie straight in bed.
    If the electiondate 14th October is defined in law then it can't be changed unless the law is changed? Boris can't change it on a whim?

    If there's a Black swan" event Parliament would have to be recalled mid-campaign to change the law.

    This is all bullshit. :D
    In the normal course of events there wouldn't be a problem because if the PM gave a date in good faith it would be accepted and he/she would be trusted not to change it without good reason.

    Who is going to trust Johnson though?
    Yes but they don't have to "trust" Johnson because the date will be defined in law and the law can then only be changed by another law.

    This stuff about people not trusting Boris is just a smokescreen because they don't want an election.
    Agree.

    A CON govt after the election could just overturn any law requiring extension. A LD one could revoke. A LAB one could pass a law to support whatever Brexit policy they had at the time the lobbies were unlocked and sequester Jewish assets. A BXP one could repeal the 1972 ECA and declare war on France.

    Frit.
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578

    I can’t believe Rees-Mogg is adopting his usual pose on the front bench too.

    https://twitter.com/rhodri/status/1168972605107384326?s=21

    If you watch the TV broadcast he is obviously doing this, as a gangly man, so he can clearly hear what the backbencher is saying, via the Commons audio system. What is the fucking point in claiming otherwise.
  • TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TGOHF said:
    The WA is not going to pass though is it... given it will be without Tory or Labour front bench support?
    Let's see shall we? It's still the least absolutely bonkers option around.
    Don't get me wrong, even as a Remainer I'd support it. But MPs aren't going to support it anytime soon.
    They have glimpsed the total and utter clusterfuck it would be if not and have I hope seen sense.
    Nothing about the House of Commons indicates that good sense is one of its key attributes.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,780
    kle4 said:

    Nigelb said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    In most circumstances, it wouldn't matter if they trusted him on the precise date. But in this situation, it's crucial.
    I had no idea the PM had the power to shift a GE date after it had been fixed. Has it ever happened? Under what law is this possible?

    However, bearing in mind Johnson's record of duplicity on prorogation and just about everything else he clearly cannot be trusted on this.
    Blair moved the 2001 local elections mid campaign due to foot and mouth, it requires a black swan to have any legitimacy
    Boris has proven with his prorogation that he cannot be trusted. The man couldn't lie straight in bed.
    So we limp on to 2022 with no majority for anything in parliament?
    Not that long, but lets discuss a date when Brexit is out of the way. ..
    2035 looks good.
    I'm getting my hair cut that year. Can we make it 2038?
    The year the interstellar Zargon invasion fleet is due to arrive, are you mad?
    They wouldn't dare once they saw our functioning rail infrastructure in 2038 certainly. Let's hope they have the wrong sort of space in their path, and delays due to "one otherling, one job issues". Still if they do arrive early, and try to seek out our alien tea, then they'll be sure to fall foul of clause four. It may as well be the lbw rules as far as they're concerned. Either way they'll be on their way home, and Conference will rule them entirely out-of-order should they power up their world-destroying-weapons.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The Tory Party implodes in about 90 minutes from now.
  • Gabs2Gabs2 Posts: 1,268
    I agree. But can't see Johnson doing it now. He has been forced into a corner where the only route for his political survival is to win back BXP votes.
  • stodge said:


    I don't misunderstand their role at all. I just believe they are fundementally dishonest and act in their own interests and in support of their own beliefs even when they have said the exact opposite to get elected. MPs will never support a deal now they think they can safely ignore the referendum. One reason amongst many why they are unfit for public office.

    I don't accept that view. I don't recall No Deal being mentioned prominently in 2017 and if it was mentioned, it was rapidly dismissed as being so unlikely as not to be worth bothering about.

    Being opposed to leaving without a Deal doesn't make you opposed to leaving with a Deal. Yes, there are MPs opposed to us leaving - the 47 Labour MPs, the LDs and others who voted against A50 way back in early 2017 for example. Many, including my local MP, represent (and that's the key word) constituencies which voted to Remain. He has publicly opposed leaving and I will defend his consistency.

    That said, the 47% who voted Leave in his constituency may consider he is not representing them.

    You keep conflating arguments. This is not sbout No Deal it is about all those MPs including the Tory defectors who made it explicit in their personal manifestos thst they would support Brexit and who are now openly supporting it being reversed. They are unfit for office.
  • dr_spyn said:

    Adagio: Sehr feierlich und sehr langsam (C♯ minor)

    And Boris Johnson heroically watched his majority fall apart.

    Think I have made the right call listening to The Vienna Phil on Radio 3.

    You could have been listening to Spreadsheet Phil on The Parliament Channel.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    Scott_P said:
    Who is the woman to JRM's left? The one who appears to be sound asleep in this National Emergrncy?
    Nadine Dorries. She wasn't asleep, she was looking at her phone I think.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Who is the woman to JRM's left? The one who appears to be sound asleep in this National Emergrncy?

    Is it not Nadine?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited September 2019

    TGOHF said:
    The WA is not going to pass though is it... given it will be without Tory or Labour front bench support?
    Of course. It's another part of that group's own particular posturing to show how they are the grown up compromisers...now most of them left it too late to do!

    Speaking as someone who really wanted the WA to pass, the worst part is how frequently its chances of passing someday somehow got floated, and still gets floated, even though the numbers really spoke against that. Not that anyone so far seems to think this move has a hope in hell.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Floater said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Norm said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Byronic said:

    Thornberry on BBC apparently saying that Labour will never trust a Boris request for a GE. As he might shift the date.

    How does that work? Labour will never go for an election, ever?

    Unless the polls start showing something like Lab 45% and Con 30% I fear cowardly Labour are going to have to be dragged kicking and screaming to a general election. :(
    Given this they are frit

    https://twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/1168950227426074627
    Seems that way but the lead was much bigger in 2017 and jezza was well up for it.

    The change from 2017 to now is very odd. Maybe its because they can't play the "we'll respect the refernedum" card in their northern leave seats this time?
    It's only temporary. As soon as there is an extension signed, sealed and delivered, they will back a general election.

    I'm not certain Johnson will still want one, but we'll see. It might be out of his hands.
    Not sure. @Byronic was reporting Thornberry as saying Labour would NEVER agree to a Johnson election?

    And why does Labour care so much about an extension if they think they will win the election?

    Everything they are sayling and doing today looks like they've pretty given up on any chance at the election and are desperate to avoid it.

    It looks strange.
    Byronic was, I believe, mistaken. The Guardian report Thornberry thusly "She says the party wants to see the bill ruling out a no-deal Brexit on 31 October passed first."

    Only a matter of sequencing.
    So if the tories got in with a huge majority on a platform of no deal their hands will still be tied?

    (Unlikely I know)

    No, if they have a big majority Boris tells ths EU that we are leaving without a deal so dont bother offering an extension.
  • Spineless doesn’t even begin to describe the Scottish Tories. They are pure jelly.
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578

    Byronic said:

    Scott_P said:
    Ken Clark. The man who proudly boasted he’d never read the Maastricht Treaty, but nonetheless felt able to vote it through, no problemo.

    Arrogant, irresponsible, shortsighted europhile twats, like him, are one of the main reasons we are where we are. He will not be forgiven by history.
    Given the no deal heroes trashed the 599 page withdrawal agreement minutes after it was released presumably you hold those twats to the same standard.

    Yes, I do. We have arrived at this humiliating position because of the monumental failure of an entire political class.

    I put more blame on two generations of lying europhiles, however. Simply because their crimes went on for so much longer.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    I'm sure most of you know this but the reason some MPs look like they're slouching is practical. Acoustics in the Chamber are awful, but if you lie back with your ear to the loudspeakers positioned in the rear of the seats you can hear okay.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    If Boris fails and the UK remains then on the plus side it will finish Scottish Independence.

    And the Tories will have cleared the stables.

    If A happens it will finish Scottish independence.

    If B happens it will finish Scottish independence.

    If C happens it will finish Scottish independence.

    ... Ad infinitum.

    There is always one more straw for the Brit Nats to cling on to. Until there isn’t.
    Quite. You can’t “finish” an idea. An idea may rise and fall in popularity but it will never be “finished”. This binary Manichaeanism is what I find most dispiriting in modern politics.
  • AndyJS said:

    The Tory Party implodes in about 90 minutes from now.

    Not before time. You’ve had it coming.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163
    edited September 2019
    Scott_P said:
    Explain it to me - the master strategy...

    Corbyn is unlikely to lose Jewish votes given his issues (because none will vote for him)

    Cummings is doing his best to ensure that they cannot vote Tory.

    Err... who benefits?

    It just looks like yet another c*ck-up
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    And yet you opposed a GE back when there was a party whose leadership actually supported the WA, and now support one more that there isn't
  • Listening to Grieve, Sandbach et al, the inescapable impression is that the threat of deselection has only strengthened their resolve.

    Now, if you'll excuse me, Kate Hoey is on and I think I might go and put my head through a blender.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited September 2019
    Trying to imply that he might still oppose somehow if Boris is not true to his word, but his very last words prove that false - he's decided its no deal or Corbyn, and predictably has gone with the former. But as you say at least he's frank about how people will react.

    I love that people still use 'look them in the eye' as a way of determining whether to believe someone, metaphorically at least. Even as a young child at school we all knew that some people, teachers included, like to think they can spot a liar by looking them in the eyes, so if you did have to lie make sure to meet the gaze of the other person.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    The Tory Party implodes in about 90 minutes from now.

    Not before time. You’ve had it coming.
    I'm non-aligned.
  • Off topic: I picked up a can of Thornbridge Yelamu Double IPA from Tesco this evening.

    Half way through it I read the small print to discover that it is 7.4% by volume. Good job I didn't get a 4-pack!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,679
    edited September 2019
    Scott_P said:
    Cummings couldn't organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
  • DougSeal said:

    If Boris fails and the UK remains then on the plus side it will finish Scottish Independence.

    And the Tories will have cleared the stables.

    If A happens it will finish Scottish independence.

    If B happens it will finish Scottish independence.

    If C happens it will finish Scottish independence.

    ... Ad infinitum.

    There is always one more straw for the Brit Nats to cling on to. Until there isn’t.
    Quite. You can’t “finish” an idea. An idea may rise and fall in popularity but it will never be “finished”. This binary Manichaeanism is what I find most dispiriting in modern politics.
    If binary Manichaeanism is the thing you find most dispiriting in modern politics then you are a lucky man.

    The thing I find most dispiriting about modern politics is that we have no decent journalists to hold the incompetent shits to account.
  • Scott_P said:
    Explain it to me - the master strategy...

    Corbyn is unlikely to lose Jewish votes given his issues (because none will vote for him)

    Cummings is doing his best to ensure that they cannot vote Tory.

    Err... who benefits?

    It just looks like yet another c*ck-up
    They will not vote on their holy day ie 14th October
  • Scott_P said:
    Cummings couldn't organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    He's the organ grinder. He lets the monkey take care of that sort of thing.
  • Scott_P said:
    Cummings couldn't organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    Nominative non-determinism.
  • Member for Witney now speaking. Oh, the irony.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited September 2019
    dr_spyn said:
    It may be the case that even after having rejected compromise before the House is not obliged to choose between extremes now, but they are definitely too late and definitely not the ones to make the case.
This discussion has been closed.