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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The flaw in going into an election about “the will of the peop

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  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    eek said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Scott_P said:
    *Buffs nails*
    ydoethur said:

    Nigelb said:

    Roger said:

    I thought nothing would persuade me to vote for Corbyn but that was pre Johnson. The sight of Rees Mogg going to see the Queen to prorogue parliament was the last straw The best chance of ridding ourselves of this clique is to vote Corbyn (except in certain constituencies). He's bloody awful but at least he has principles and he's removable.

    I’m with @ydoethur on this - they are both beyond the pale.
    The point is Corbyn has no principles either. He proved that over welfare cuts. He's Johnson with a beard.

    There is no sense in voting against someone by voting for someone just as bad, if not worse. I will be making a positive choice to vote for someone in November and that won't be either Blue or Red. I may not be successful in giving my choice the seat, but better that than to continue this populist disaster with different haircuts.
    That comment last night was entirely deliberate, but nobody seemed to spot it.
    In or out of the EU?
    Out.

    Because Johnson is about to make a huge electoral miscalculation as well - he expects to be rewarded for doing something. He thinks if he takes us out, grateful Leavers will flock to him.

    Never works. Just ask Winston Churchill...
    It's why Boris needs an election in October.
    I agree.
    Why would Labour enable Johnson to have an election in October ?
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    My Betfair P&L Last 30 days shows I should not bet on Horse Racing (Cricket going well)

    American Football: -£12.23 | Australian Rules: £48.81 | Basketball: £154.10 | Cricket: £631.24 | Darts: £3.07 | Football: £351.83 | Golf: £86.79 | Horse Racing: -£323.08 | Rugby League: £73.40 | Rugby Union: £24.09 | Snooker: £133.66 | Tennis: -£31.03 | Volleyball: £5.18 Total P&L: £1,145.83

    You know the old rule, you wish you'd put more money on winners and less on losers! Tis always the way.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698
    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    It clearly wasn't else we'd have a solution now.

    Unless you have a time machine, the two years is past. In my experience time past is not much use in solving present problems.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    Ishmael_Z said:

    isam said:

    Brexit opposers are as impossible to read as Sphinxes! Damn these infernal riddles

    https://twitter.com/jessphillips/status/1166713597776543744?s=21

    Naive of him, everyone in France hid the resistance in their cellar. In retrospect.
    There was a book recently published which said (I paraphrase) that the French Resistance didn't really do much for the war effort but was hugely important for the national psyche.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    kingbongo said:

    ydoethur said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    rpjs said:

    ydoethur said:

    I'm appalled by Ruth Davidson's remarks. "referenda"? Ye Gods. It is always referendums.

    What I worked at BBC News in the late 70s we had two referendums going on in Scotland and Wales and the dictat came from high - the plural was referenda. At the time I was Duty Editor for Radios 1 and 2 news and felt almost embarrassed by this for our audiences. We used to get into all sorts of verbal contortions to avoid "referendums" but we never used the form referenda
    On a similar note, Dear the United Kingdom, it’s coup d’État, with a capital E with an accent aigu, please.

    #PedantryCorner
    I thought accents over capital letters were entirely optional in written French?
    Thats what I was taught too - and its certainly a widespread practice - but as a Francophile Republican TSE has the Academie Francaise Académie Française on his side.

    https://www.thoughtco.com/french-accented-capitals-4085546

    What's a patriotic Brit to do?
    It is fake news to say I’m a Francophile.

    I only learned French so I could mock the fromage manger des singes de reddition in their own language.

    One of the saddest things about Brexit is that the English language will no longer be the lingua franca of the EU.
    Won't the Maltese and the Irish have something to say about that?
    UK + Ireland + Malta ~= 73m

    France + Luxembourg + Walloonia ~= 71.5m

    Ireland + Malta ~= 5.5m
    Some Wallons speak German but there are 100,000+ French speaking Italians.
    And quite a lot who speak German, around 300,000 in and around Bolsano.
    There are still some German native speakers in South Jutland as well as a few thousand Danish speakers on the other side of the border, not to mention Luxembourg, Czech Republic and Slovakia - so I am guessing German is the most spoken native language in the EU
    And France - Alsace.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    This sanctimonious, sneering drivel is not doing you any favours
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    tlg86 said:

    Some very snazzy graphics from the ONS for their baby names publication:

    https://tinyurl.com/y349vtpx

    Perhaps not too much of a surprise, but some interesting differences in choice of names by age of the mother.

    LOL at Alexa falling off a cliff because of risk of confusing the Amazon thingy.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676

    My Betfair P&L Last 30 days shows I should not bet on Horse Racing (Cricket going well)

    American Football: -£12.23 | Australian Rules: £48.81 | Basketball: £154.10 | Cricket: £631.24 | Darts: £3.07 | Football: £351.83 | Golf: £86.79 | Horse Racing: -£323.08 | Rugby League: £73.40 | Rugby Union: £24.09 | Snooker: £133.66 | Tennis: -£31.03 | Volleyball: £5.18 Total P&L: £1,145.83

    Show off-

    Cricket: -£12.58 | Football: -£24.87 | Motor Sport: £6.79 | Politics: -£28.24 Total P&L: -£58.90
    Yes but some months i would take -£58.90

    Of course -£28.24 on Politics is an instant ban from PB!
  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,591
    TOPPING said:

    Scott_P said:
    Johnson's chances of getting a deal through the Commons were always pretty slim - after yesterday they must be nil. Indeed it's hard to see how he can ever win a Commons vote on anything controversial under any circumstances.
    Unless the alternative is no deal.
    But I'm not sure the choice can be forced in that way - the choice before the HoC will always be a deal, no deal or revoke (or possibly a further extension, depending on the EU's stance). This will always be the case right up until 10.59pm on 31 October.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Choose what?
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    I still think that Boris wants to have to face an election.

    10 or 12 Tory rebels, who will (presumably) confirm they will not be standing again. Plus most of the opposition benches and possibly the DUP.

  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Choose what?
    MPs need to do something rather than constantly voting against everything.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    This sanctimonious, sneering drivel is not doing you any favours
    Well if things were in such a perilous state, why didn’t MPs cancel summer recess as well?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Choose what?
    MPs need to do something rather than constantly voting against everything.
    They haven’t been given the chance. Even in the indicative votes, the government did not properly engage. You need to give the house free votes otherwise it will always be the house voting against the government. That’s how our parliament works.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    TOPPING said:

    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"
    That’s my view, too. To force a choice, a final decision.
  • My Betfair P&L Last 30 days shows I should not bet on Horse Racing (Cricket going well)

    American Football: -£12.23 | Australian Rules: £48.81 | Basketball: £154.10 | Cricket: £631.24 | Darts: £3.07 | Football: £351.83 | Golf: £86.79 | Horse Racing: -£323.08 | Rugby League: £73.40 | Rugby Union: £24.09 | Snooker: £133.66 | Tennis: -£31.03 | Volleyball: £5.18 Total P&L: £1,145.83

    Show off-

    Cricket: -£12.58 | Football: -£24.87 | Motor Sport: £6.79 | Politics: -£28.24 Total P&L: -£58.90
    Yes but some months i would take -£58.90

    Of course -£28.24 on Politics is an instant ban from PB!
    It was that silly B&R by-election where the Cons were value remember.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698
    Ishmael_Z said:

    isam said:

    Brexit opposers are as impossible to read as Sphinxes! Damn these infernal riddles

    https://twitter.com/jessphillips/status/1166713597776543744?s=21

    Naive of him, everyone in France hid the resistance in their cellar. In retrospect.
    Her
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    This sanctimonious, sneering drivel is not doing you any favours
    Well if things were in such a perilous state, why didn’t MPs cancel summer recess as well?
    That’s not relevant.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Choose what?
    MPs need to do something rather than constantly voting against everything.
    They haven’t been given the chance. Even in the indicative votes, the government did not properly engage. You need to give the house free votes otherwise it will always be the house voting against the government. That’s how our parliament works.
    They had three chances to vote for May's Shit Deal.

    Ironically, a year on Labour will end up voting for something very close to it by 31st October. Having swapped loser May for big winner Boris in the process. Whilst clinging on to Corbyn.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720
    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,131

    viewcode said:

    I'm appalled by Ruth Davidson's remarks. "referenda"? Ye Gods. It is always referendums.

    What I worked at BBC News in the late 70s we had two referendums going on in Scotland and Wales and the dictat came from high - the plural was referenda. At the time I was Duty Editor for Radios 1 and 2 news and felt almost embarrassed by this for our audiences. We used to get into all sorts of verbal contortions to avoid "referendums" but we never used the form referenda
    Stadia is the plural of stadium, media is the plural of medium, quanta is the plural of quantum. Referenda is the plural of referendum. I am trying desperately not to use the word "labia" here... :)
    The word referendum is derived from the Latin word referendum, which means what must be referred. Some believe that the plural form is referenda, following the Latin rules of pluralization. This is incorrect. Referendum is now considered an English word and follows the English rules of pluralization, simply adding an s to form the plural as in referendums.

    https://grammarist.com/plurals/referendum/

    Referendums is logically preferable as a plural form meaning 'ballots on one issue' (as a Latin gerund referendum has no plural). The Latin plural gerundive 'referenda', meaning 'things to be referred', necessarily connotes a plurality of issues

    It is closely related to agenda, "those matters which must be driven forward", from ago, to drive (cattle); and memorandum, "that matter which must be remembered", from memoro, to call to mind, corrigenda, from rego, to rule, make straight, those things which must be made straight (corrected), etc.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Referendum

    So a referenda on Brexit, anyone?
    I went thru this the last time this happened. The source you cite (last time it was the Spectator and Sunil was doing the citing) rely on a two-stage process - firstly translate into English as a singular noun, then apply English rules to construct the plural as if it were an English singular. But I contend it would be more accurate if you construct the Latin plural then translate into English. Given the existence of other words, this is simpler and more consistent with English. Or, to consider your source directly, they are simply wrong when they say "This is incorrect".
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Choose what?
    MPs need to do something rather than constantly voting against everything.
    They haven’t been given the chance. Even in the indicative votes, the government did not properly engage. You need to give the house free votes otherwise it will always be the house voting against the government. That’s how our parliament works.
    They had three chances to vote for May's Shit Deal.

    Ironically, a year on Labour will end up voting for something very close to it by 31st October. Having swapped loser May for big winner Boris in the process. Whilst clinging on to Corbyn.
    Why would they vote for May’s shit deal?
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006
    kamski said:

    HYUFD said:

    If no deal is The Will Of The People, no one seems to have told The People:

    https://twitter.com/drjennings/status/1167013357620215809

    @HYUFD will conveniently ignore this as it does not suit his agenda.
    29% for May's Deal as a reasonable compromise is actually higher than soft Brexit on that poll, Remain is almost as divisive as No Deal is
    You are turning into a parody of yourself. You do realise other people can read the chart for themselves?
    54% is higher than 44%.
    49% is not "almost" the same as 41%.
    And the chart shows figures for "acceptable compromise" not "reasonable compromise".

    If you're going to lie about everything, probably best not to lie so obviously.
    I shouldn't worry, HYUFD is going to be doing a passable expression of an oozlum bird sometime between now and the end of October,.

    (For those unfamiliar with the mythical creature, when startled, it will take off and fly around in ever-decreasing circles until it manages to fly up itself and disappear completely!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    This sanctimonious, sneering drivel is not doing you any favours
    Well if things were in such a perilous state, why didn’t MPs cancel summer recess as well?
    That’s not relevant.
    How is it not? This whole furore has been about a loss of sitting days.
  • TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
  • TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Yes, *his* purity, but what about the Tory Party's? Which would be the lesser evil for them? Disastrous either way, I should think.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    This sanctimonious, sneering drivel is not doing you any favours
    Well if things were in such a perilous state, why didn’t MPs cancel summer recess as well?
    That’s not relevant.
    How is it not? This whole furore has been about a loss of sitting days.
    What is this really about?
    If it’s just a normal constitutional procedure then there’s no need for it to be so long.
    If it’s an act to teach MPs a lesson, then at least be honest about it.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    he can't do that either because if they go for revoke he will be slaughtered by Farage.

    It is the/a/some kind of deal.

    And he will stand there and say "do you want some?"
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    edited August 2019

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Choose what?
    MPs need to do something rather than constantly voting against everything.
    They haven’t been given the chance. Even in the indicative votes, the government did not properly engage. You need to give the house free votes otherwise it will always be the house voting against the government. That’s how our parliament works.
    They had three chances to vote for May's Shit Deal.

    Ironically, a year on Labour will end up voting for something very close to it by 31st October. Having swapped loser May for big winner Boris in the process. Whilst clinging on to Corbyn.
    It wasn't a shit deal but to expect any more enlightenment from you than from Mark Francois I appreciate is a big ask.
  • TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    This sanctimonious, sneering drivel is not doing you any favours
    Well if things were in such a perilous state, why didn’t MPs cancel summer recess as well?
    That’s not relevant.
    How is it not? This whole furore has been about a loss of sitting days.
    Its not even about sitting days its about Prorogue of Parliament for longest period since .....

    Recess day is not same as Prorogue day as MPs get to agree the former not the Latter
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    I'm appalled by Ruth Davidson's remarks. "referenda"? Ye Gods. It is always referendums.

    What I worked at BBC News in the late 70s we had two referendums going on in Scotland and Wales and the dictat came from high - the plural was referenda. At the time I was Duty Editor for Radios 1 and 2 news and felt almost embarrassed by this for our audiences. We used to get into all sorts of verbal contortions to avoid "referendums" but we never used the form referenda
    Stadia is the plural of stadium, media is the plural of medium, quanta is the plural of quantum. Referenda is the plural of referendum. I am trying desperately not to use the word "labia" here... :)
    The word referendum is derived from the Latin word referendum, which means what must be referred. Some believe that the plural form is referenda, following the Latin rules of pluralization. This is incorrect. Referendum is now considered an English word and follows the English rules of pluralization, simply adding an s to form the plural as in referendums.

    https://grammarist.com/plurals/referendum/

    Referendums is logically preferable as a plural form meaning 'ballots on one issue' (as a Latin gerund referendum has no plural). The Latin plural gerundive 'referenda', meaning 'things to be referred', necessarily connotes a plurality of issues

    It is closely related to agenda, "those matters which must be driven forward", from ago, to drive (cattle); and memorandum, "that matter which must be remembered", from memoro, to call to mind, corrigenda, from rego, to rule, make straight, those things which must be made straight (corrected), etc.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Referendum

    So a referenda on Brexit, anyone?
    I went thru this the last time this happened. The source you cite (last time it was the Spectator and Sunil was doing the citing) rely on a two-stage process - firstly translate into English as a singular noun, then apply English rules to construct the plural as if it were an English singular. But I contend it would be more accurate if you construct the Latin plural then translate into English. Given the existence of other words, this is simpler and more consistent with English. Or, to consider your source directly, they are simply wrong when they say "This is incorrect".
    Or more realistically, look at actual English usage. The two forms have been used regularly and interchangeably for quite some time.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,798

    ydoethur said:

    viewcode said:

    dixiedean said:

    viewcode said:

    dixiedean said:

    Is this true that the decision to prorogue was taken by Johnson, Gove and Cox alone and without consultation with other Ministers? Just mentioned on WATO.

    Yup. As I pointed out, you can do a lot with 3 PCs and a famous example is the authorisation of the Falklands TaskForce (Thatcher, Tebbit, Nott). It worries me that I know this and MPs don't.
    Does explain the relative absence of Cabinet Ministers out to defend it.
    Interesting fact. The Cabinet is a standing subcommittee of the Privy Council. The trick to understanding the UK is that it's a mediaeval kingdom retrofitted to behave like a Westphalian state. Many of the old, dusty buttons and switches still have power and there are many tricks one can pull.
    How is a legitimate Privy Council meeting can comprise only the Queen, the Leader of the HoC, the Leader of the HoL and the Government Chief Whip?

    Don't they have any requirements for balance or a quorum?
    Yes. Three plus the Sovereign is a quorum.

    No, because the Council is to advise the queen and parties have no standing on it.
    Blimey. I am sure Jezza's new written constitution will fix that.
    The Privy Council will be replaced by a stage at Glastonbury
    Which would be more nonsensical than the current arrangements because...?
    ...people don't chant "Oh Jeremy Corbyn" at the Privy Council?
    Better Class As at the Privy Council?
    They don't allow Radiohead at the Privy Council?
    That's a convincing argument for the current constitutional arrangements. Radiohead are the one thing worse than Jacob Rees Mogg.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    he can't do that either because if they go for revoke he will be slaughtered by Farage.

    It is the/a/some kind of deal.

    And he will stand there and say "do you want some?"
    Given the choice between leaving with No Deal and leaving with a version of May's Deal, if Johnson doesn't choose No Deal, Farage will slaughter him.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    RobD said:
    Yes but if you don't ask you can't get
  • kamskikamski Posts: 5,193
    TOPPING said:

    Charles said:

    TOPPING said:

    A republican, such as yourself, does not love this country. He loves another country that this one, that the UK is not; one without a monarch as head of state. That means you are not a patriot.

    The USA lacks a monarch and is full of republicans. Whatever anyone thinks of Americans, their patriotism rarely in doubt.

    A monarch is not required to be a patriot.
    Would you view an American citizen who campaigned for the Queen to be crowned as Queen of the US as a patriot?
    Indeed. That was my point but I used Kim Jong-Un as an example.
    so what else is on the Topping Requirements for someone else to be allowed to say they love Britain?
    So far all I know is nobody is allowed to say that they think we should end the monarchy. But what about other constitutional changes eg:
    wanting to end FPTP for elections?
    wanting to get rid of the unelected House of Lords?
    wanting to disestablish the CofE?

    or other symbolic changes:
    wanting to change the national flag?
    wanting to change the national anthem?
    wanting to change the colour of the passports?

    I'm really curious what would be on your list, or is it solely a monarchy fetish?

    And does it apply to other countries with the Queen as head of state eg:
    are Australians who want the Queen to no longer be head of state of Australia allowed to say they love Australia?

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    I think one of the most important things at the moment is that Johnson clearly isn't afraid of an early election, whereas Theresa May and most of her cabinet definitely didn't want one for as long as possible.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    And it is now critical that the same MPs are allowed to sit for four additional days?
  • RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Vote Leave said we could Leave without triggering Article 50.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362

    malcolmg said:

    Anyone got any tips for next SCON leader?

    I'm not seeing any betting markets yet

    Ladbrokes read it and laugh

    Murdo Fraser
    To Win
    3/1
    Jackson Carlaw
    To Win
    4/1
    Adam Tomkins
    To Win
    6/1
    Donald Cameron
    To Win
    8/1
    Alister Jack
    To Win
    12/1
    Annie Wells
    To Win
    12/1
    Maurice Golden
    To Win
    12/1
    Rachel Hamilton
    To Win
    12/1
    Colin Clark
    To Win
    20/1
    John Lamont
    To Win
    20/1
    Stephen Kerr
    To Win
    20/1
    Ross Thomson
    To Win
    25/1
    Thanks. Who should the SCONs pick and who do you think they will pick?
    I am wrong person to ask, I don't think if you put them all together that you would get a person suitable to run a bath. They are useless like Fraser , Tompkins, Carlaw , dodgy like Thomson and invisible like most of the rest.
    DAVIDL would be best person as our resident Scottish Tory, I believe the only Tory in the village.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited August 2019
    TOPPING said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Choose what?
    MPs need to do something rather than constantly voting against everything.
    They haven’t been given the chance. Even in the indicative votes, the government did not properly engage. You need to give the house free votes otherwise it will always be the house voting against the government. That’s how our parliament works.
    They had three chances to vote for May's Shit Deal.

    Ironically, a year on Labour will end up voting for something very close to it by 31st October. Having swapped loser May for big winner Boris in the process. Whilst clinging on to Corbyn.
    It wasn't a shit deal but to expect any more enlightenment from you than from Mark Francois I appreciate is a big ask.
    It was neither here nor there whether the deal was shit or not, it ticked the box of leaving the EU and respecting the referendum result. The moment this chaos unfolded was when MPs didn’t just sign it off as a matter of course.

    Some refused in order to get no deal, others in order to get no Brexit.
  • RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    Bullshit. Those enacting Article 50 were in the perfect position to know what it entailed and the potential outcomes. If they claim they didn't then they are unfit to be in their jobs.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    And it is now critical that the same MPs are allowed to sit for four additional days?
    I’m not going to engage with you if you keep purposely lying. It is not 4 days. What a complete and utter fabrication.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    I am no lawyer and will not pretend to be one, but it is a constitutional argument, based on the supreme court ruling in the Miller case. Existing citizens rights that are part of belonging to the EU can only be taken away by parliament, not the government.

    I shall leave it up to the judges whether that is right or not, it would be helpful if it is.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Vote Leave said we could Leave without triggering Article 50.
    Outdated legal advice, no doubt :p
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    Starc on hat trick at Derby
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    edited August 2019

    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
    I expect there to be a fudge after the EU meeting in mid October then it is chose time for the HOC, fudged deal or no deal
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    And it is now critical that the same MPs are allowed to sit for four additional days?
    I’m not going to engage with you if you keep purposely lying. It is not 4 days. What a complete and utter fabrication.
    Just questioning the wisdom of MPs if they can’t interpret a single paragraph of an EU treaty. ;)

    What is more likely is your assertion that they had no idea what A50 involved is wrong.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    I am no lawyer and will not pretend to be one, but it is a constitutional argument, based on the supreme court ruling in the Miller case. Existing citizens rights that are part of belonging to the EU can only be taken away by parliament, not the government.

    I shall leave it up to the judges whether that is right or not, it would be helpful if it is.
    The result of Miller was the A50 notification act, in which Parliament allowed the government to take away said rights by serving the notification.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865

    DavidL said:

    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:
    2 years of almost continuous debate, endless votes, multiple statements with hours and hours and hours of questions, indicative votes and sundry other nonsense wasn't enough time?
    Not to mention a six week holiday. ;)
    I really don't think that there is anything left to be said. People need to choose. Its as simple as that.
    Choose what?
    To leave or revoke or to have a second referendum if revoking is just too undemocratic for you. Long winded speeches persuade no one, change no minds and simply waste time. If an MP wants to stop no deal they may need to support a VoNC. Once again, choose. Enough emoting.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720


    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
    I expect there to be a fudge after the EU meeting in mid October then it is chose time for the HOC, fudged deal or no deal
    Enough of a fudge for Boris Johnson not to blow his credibility by trying to ram it through the House of Commons?
  • RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Vote Leave said we could Leave without triggering Article 50.
    Outdated legal advice, no doubt :p
    VL also said it would be easy peasy to get a deal, and that No Deal was a million to one against, so not exactly high on credibility.

  • TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
    I expect there to be a fudge after the EU meeting in mid October then it is chose time for the HOC, fudged deal or no deal
    Enough of a fudge for Boris Johnson not to blow his credibility by trying to ram it through the House of Commons?
    He has no need to. Boris can offer the HOC a choice and it is their decision
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Anyone got any tips for next SCON leader?

    I'm not seeing any betting markets yet

    Ladbrokes read it and laugh

    Murdo Fraser
    To Win
    3/1
    Jackson Carlaw
    To Win
    4/1
    Adam Tomkins
    To Win
    6/1
    Donald Cameron
    To Win
    8/1
    Alister Jack
    To Win
    12/1
    Annie Wells
    To Win
    12/1
    Maurice Golden
    To Win
    12/1
    Rachel Hamilton
    To Win
    12/1
    Colin Clark
    To Win
    20/1
    John Lamont
    To Win
    20/1
    Stephen Kerr
    To Win
    20/1
    Ross Thomson
    To Win
    25/1
    Thanks. Who should the SCONs pick and who do you think they will pick?
    I am wrong person to ask, I don't think if you put them all together that you would get a person suitable to run a bath. They are useless like Fraser , Tompkins, Carlaw , dodgy like Thomson and invisible like most of the rest.
    DAVIDL would be best person as our resident Scottish Tory, I believe the only Tory in the village.
    I don’t think he’s applying for the post - though they could do worse.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936


    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
    I expect there to be a fudge after the EU meeting in mid October then it is chose time for the HOC, fudged deal or no deal
    Enough of a fudge for Boris Johnson not to blow his credibility by trying to ram it through the House of Commons?
    Which way do you think Labour would vote if Johnson contrived a situation where the only options were deal or no deal?

  • TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
    I expect there to be a fudge after the EU meeting in mid October then it is chose time for the HOC, fudged deal or no deal
    Enough of a fudge for Boris Johnson not to blow his credibility by trying to ram it through the House of Commons?
    He has no need to. Boris can offer the HOC a choice and it is their decision
    And which decision do you think would be least damaging a) to the Country and b) to the Conservative Party?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    Bullshit. Those enacting Article 50 were in the perfect position to know what it entailed and the potential outcomes. If they claim they didn't then they are unfit to be in their jobs.
    People, including MPs, are entitled to change their minds Richard as the facts change. If they are so dogmatic they are unable to have humility and admit a mistake, then they are most definitely unfit for their jobs. From the poll on this header it would suggest that there are quite a lot of people who now realise it was a mistake, and also want to change their minds.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936


    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
    I expect there to be a fudge after the EU meeting in mid October then it is chose time for the HOC, fudged deal or no deal
    Enough of a fudge for Boris Johnson not to blow his credibility by trying to ram it through the House of Commons?
    He has no need to. Boris can offer the HOC a choice and it is their decision
    And which decision do you think would be least damaging a) to the Country and b) to the Conservative Party?
    Leaving with a deal, and leaving with a deal.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    I am no lawyer and will not pretend to be one, but it is a constitutional argument, based on the supreme court ruling in the Miller case. Existing citizens rights that are part of belonging to the EU can only be taken away by parliament, not the government.

    I shall leave it up to the judges whether that is right or not, it would be helpful if it is.
    The result of Miller was the A50 notification act, in which Parliament allowed the government to take away said rights by serving the notification.
    I have no interest in arguing the legal merits of his argument, I shall leave it to the judges who are better informed than either of us on such technicalities. Both sides are stretching conventions and the law to try and create/block no-deal. I wish there was a more consensual approach from all senior politicians but we are where we are, and I shall cheer on the anti no dealers from the sidelines.
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    edited August 2019

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    This is not some obscure regulation about deer feed in national parks or the like, Article 50 has had a centrality to proceedings since Lisbon was signed (you know the one we weren't allowed to vote down because G Brown ratted on a manifesto promise). If MP's really did not read up on what Article 50 meant and its workings on the greatest question for 50 years, why on God's earth should we entrust them with any time at all to screw things up further?

    If they really didn't know about Article 50 they are clueless muppets, not fit for purpose, and should not use cutlery unsupervised.

  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    I am no lawyer and will not pretend to be one, but it is a constitutional argument, based on the supreme court ruling in the Miller case. Existing citizens rights that are part of belonging to the EU can only be taken away by parliament, not the government.

    I shall leave it up to the judges whether that is right or not, it would be helpful if it is.
    The result of Miller was the A50 notification act, in which Parliament allowed the government to take away said rights by serving the notification.
    I have no interest in arguing the legal merits of his argument, I shall leave it to the judges who are better informed than either of us on such technicalities. Both sides are stretching conventions and the law to try and create/block no-deal. I wish there was a more consensual approach from all senior politicians but we are where we are, and I shall cheer on the anti no dealers from the sidelines.
    At any point since A50 was triggered it has been in the gift of parliament to revoke it.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720
    RobD said:


    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
    I expect there to be a fudge after the EU meeting in mid October then it is chose time for the HOC, fudged deal or no deal
    Enough of a fudge for Boris Johnson not to blow his credibility by trying to ram it through the House of Commons?
    Which way do you think Labour would vote if Johnson contrived a situation where the only options were deal or no deal?
    It's not possible for him to contrive that situation. No Deal can be averted even on October 31st.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    Pulpstar said:

    My Betfair P&L Last 30 days shows I should not bet on Horse Racing (Cricket going well)

    American Football: -£12.23 | Australian Rules: £48.81 | Basketball: £154.10 | Cricket: £631.24 | Darts: £3.07 | Football: £351.83 | Golf: £86.79 | Horse Racing: -£323.08 | Rugby League: £73.40 | Rugby Union: £24.09 | Snooker: £133.66 | Tennis: -£31.03 | Volleyball: £5.18 Total P&L: £1,145.83

    Show off-

    Cricket: -£12.58 | Football: -£24.87 | Motor Sport: £6.79 | Politics: -£28.24 Total P&L: -£58.90
    Cricket: £6.29 | Politics: £0.95 Total P&L: £7.24 - I'm a really incredibly small staker outside of politics :)
    All my efforts on the horses over last month have resulted in an overall profit of £4.87. Like you I do not bet high stakes but have fair amount of bets mainly at weekends.
  • kingbongokingbongo Posts: 393
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    I'm appalled by Ruth Davidson's remarks. "referenda"? Ye Gods. It is always referendums.

    What I worked at BBC News in the late 70s we had two referendums going on in Scotland and Wales and the dictat came from high - the plural was referenda. At the time I was Duty Editor for Radios 1 and 2 news and felt almost embarrassed by this for our audiences. We used to get into all sorts of verbal contortions to avoid "referendums" but we never used the form referenda
    Stadia is the plural of stadium, media is the plural of medium, quanta is the plural of quantum. Referenda is the plural of referendum. I am trying desperately not to use the word "labia" here... :)
    The word referendum is derived from the Latin word referendum, which means what must be referred. Some believe that the plural form is referenda, following the Latin rules of pluralization. This is incorrect. Referendum is now considered an English word and follows the English rules of pluralization, simply adding an s to form the plural as in referendums.

    https://grammarist.com/plurals/referendum/

    Referendums is logically preferable as a plural form meaning 'ballots on one issue' (as a Latin gerund referendum has no plural). The Latin plural gerundive 'referenda', meaning 'things to be referred', necessarily connotes a plurality of issues

    It is closely related to agenda, "those matters which must be driven forward", from ago, to drive (cattle); and memorandum, "that matter which must be remembered", from memoro, to call to mind, corrigenda, from rego, to rule, make straight, those things which must be made straight (corrected), etc.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Referendum

    So a referenda on Brexit, anyone?
    I went thru this the last time this happened. The source you cite (last time it was the Spectator and Sunil was doing the citing) rely on a two-stage process - firstly translate into English as a singular noun, then apply English rules to construct the plural as if it were an English singular. But I contend it would be more accurate if you construct the Latin plural then translate into English. Given the existence of other words, this is simpler and more consistent with English. Or, to consider your source directly, they are simply wrong when they say "This is incorrect".
    if we stuck to importing words from Germanic languages we wouldn't have all this tortuous nonsense - "folkeafstemninger" anyone?

    Also somebody asked a while back if my avatar was my own phd certificate - it might be my DPhil but I can't remember - I only use it to remind myself of my favourite city in England and the enjoyment I had living there.
  • I have come to the conclusion that there are about 30 conservative mps who want to stop no deal, but they fear a vonc for the precise reason they are mainly from London and the South and are under serious threat from the Lib Dems. A GE now would be a wipe out for them.

    Indeed labour only started panicking when the Lib Dems became a real threat to labour London seats including Corbyn, Abbott, McDonnell and Thornberry and that threat still remains
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    This is not some obscure regulation about deer feed in national parks or the like, Article 50 has had a centrality to proceedings since Lisbon was signed (you know the one we weren't allowed to vote down because G Brown ratted on a manifesto promise). If MP's really did not read up on what Article 50 meant and its workings on the greatest question for 50 years, why on God's earth should we entrust them with any time at all to screw things up further?

    If they really didn't know about Article 50 they are clueless muppets, not fit for purpose, and should not use cutlery unsupervised.

    Blair not Brown.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    tlg86 said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    I am no lawyer and will not pretend to be one, but it is a constitutional argument, based on the supreme court ruling in the Miller case. Existing citizens rights that are part of belonging to the EU can only be taken away by parliament, not the government.

    I shall leave it up to the judges whether that is right or not, it would be helpful if it is.
    The result of Miller was the A50 notification act, in which Parliament allowed the government to take away said rights by serving the notification.
    I have no interest in arguing the legal merits of his argument, I shall leave it to the judges who are better informed than either of us on such technicalities. Both sides are stretching conventions and the law to try and create/block no-deal. I wish there was a more consensual approach from all senior politicians but we are where we are, and I shall cheer on the anti no dealers from the sidelines.
    At any point since A50 was triggered it has been in the gift of parliament to revoke it.
    It wont be whilst it is prorogued.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    isam said:
    These people are not tight in the tattie, they need to get out and try a hard days work.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    This is not some obscure regulation about deer feed in national parks or the like, Article 50 has had a centrality to proceedings since Lisbon was signed (you know the one we weren't allowed to vote down because G Brown ratted on a manifesto promise). If MP's really did not read up on what Article 50 meant and its workings on the greatest question for 50 years, why on God's earth should we entrust them with any time at all to screw things up further?

    If they really didn't know about Article 50 they are clueless muppets, not fit for purpose, and should not use cutlery unsupervised.

    I was also naive enough to think we had a sensible, grown up government who would produce a compromise to unite the nation.

    Instead we’re left with a choice of shooting ourselves in the foot, or shooting ourselves in the head.

    F*ck me, yeah?

  • TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
    I expect there to be a fudge after the EU meeting in mid October then it is chose time for the HOC, fudged deal or no deal
    Enough of a fudge for Boris Johnson not to blow his credibility by trying to ram it through the House of Commons?
    He has no need to. Boris can offer the HOC a choice and it is their decision
    And which decision do you think would be least damaging a) to the Country and b) to the Conservative Party?
    Deal
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    Nigelb said:

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Anyone got any tips for next SCON leader?

    I'm not seeing any betting markets yet

    Ladbrokes read it and laugh

    Murdo Fraser
    To Win
    3/1
    Jackson Carlaw
    To Win
    4/1
    Adam Tomkins
    To Win
    6/1
    Donald Cameron
    To Win
    8/1
    Alister Jack
    To Win
    12/1
    Annie Wells
    To Win
    12/1
    Maurice Golden
    To Win
    12/1
    Rachel Hamilton
    To Win
    12/1
    Colin Clark
    To Win
    20/1
    John Lamont
    To Win
    20/1
    Stephen Kerr
    To Win
    20/1
    Ross Thomson
    To Win
    25/1
    Thanks. Who should the SCONs pick and who do you think they will pick?
    I am wrong person to ask, I don't think if you put them all together that you would get a person suitable to run a bath. They are useless like Fraser , Tompkins, Carlaw , dodgy like Thomson and invisible like most of the rest.
    DAVIDL would be best person as our resident Scottish Tory, I believe the only Tory in the village.
    I don’t think he’s applying for the post - though they could do worse.
    He would be miles ahead of that bunch of turkeys for sure.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    AndyJS said:

    I think one of the most important things at the moment is that Johnson clearly isn't afraid of an early election, whereas Theresa May and most of her cabinet definitely didn't want one for as long as possible.

    "isn't afraid of" ------> "is desperately seeking to engineer"
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    Scott_P said:
    Everyone except the Conservatives has an interest in seeing him stay in office until November without Britain leaving the EU. Why would they help him escape this fate?
    Q: What happens if he resigns? Potentially advising HM that there is no one that can command the Commons?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    RobD said:


    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    Absolute wishful thinking. It will be Boris amended deal or no deal
    Which 'amended deal'? There's no sign of one being put on the table, and even less of the EU agreeing to one if it is.
    I expect there to be a fudge after the EU meeting in mid October then it is chose time for the HOC, fudged deal or no deal
    Enough of a fudge for Boris Johnson not to blow his credibility by trying to ram it through the House of Commons?
    Which way do you think Labour would vote if Johnson contrived a situation where the only options were deal or no deal?
    It's not possible for him to contrive that situation. No Deal can be averted even on October 31st.
    Can it? I thought any request of extension or revocation required the executive’s cooperation.
  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,591

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It's fill or kill time. Either they are going to stop it or they aren't. As we have seen from BoJo constitutional but controversial measures are fine. So it's s&&t or get off the pot time for anti-no dealers.

    Of course such is the dramatic tension that when Boris brings back a/the deal to parliament he will (with some justification) be able to turn to Labour and say: "well what about it? Deal or no deal?"

    Boris can't bring back May's deal without blowing all his political capital for nothing. It would make more sense for him to blackmail parliament with a No Deal or Revoke choice at the end of October. He can get off the hook for Brexit while maintaining his purity.
    he can't do that either because if they go for revoke he will be slaughtered by Farage.

    It is the/a/some kind of deal.

    And he will stand there and say "do you want some?"
    Given the choice between leaving with No Deal and leaving with a version of May's Deal, if Johnson doesn't choose No Deal, Farage will slaughter him.
    Quite. Anyway it's very unlikely Johnson could get any form of deal, whatever the terms, through the HoC. If he moves toward a softer deal to attract Labour he will lose the ERG and DUP and turbo-charge the BXP. And if he moves toward a harder deal he will lose some Tory moderates and gain nobody.

    There is no available deal that Parliament will accept. This has been true since 24 June 2016 and there is no prospect of it ceasing to be true this side of an election or referendum.
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464

    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    This is not some obscure regulation about deer feed in national parks or the like, Article 50 has had a centrality to proceedings since Lisbon was signed (you know the one we weren't allowed to vote down because G Brown ratted on a manifesto promise). If MP's really did not read up on what Article 50 meant and its workings on the greatest question for 50 years, why on God's earth should we entrust them with any time at all to screw things up further?

    If they really didn't know about Article 50 they are clueless muppets, not fit for purpose, and should not use cutlery unsupervised.

    Blair not Brown.
    I stand corrected on the personnel, but the point stands.

    The referendum that never was, that could've inoculated the system and enforced some reform on the EU. Olympic standard idiocy not to have held it as promised.
  • welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    This is not some obscure regulation about deer feed in national parks or the like, Article 50 has had a centrality to proceedings since Lisbon was signed (you know the one we weren't allowed to vote down because G Brown ratted on a manifesto promise). If MP's really did not read up on what Article 50 meant and its workings on the greatest question for 50 years, why on God's earth should we entrust them with any time at all to screw things up further?

    If they really didn't know about Article 50 they are clueless muppets, not fit for purpose, and should not use cutlery unsupervised.

    Blair not Brown.
    The Lisbon Treaty was signed by Gordon Brown in October 2007 without first having the Referendum as promised in the Labour Party Manifesto.*. The un-amended Treaty of Lisbon was deposited in the Commons on Dec 17th 2007. Most of the MPs had gone home for Christmas by then as parliament recessed the next day.

    http://www.theeuroprobe.org/2013-013-how-the-lisbon-treaty-was-voted-through/
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,216

    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    This is not some obscure regulation about deer feed in national parks or the like, Article 50 has had a centrality to proceedings since Lisbon was signed (you know the one we weren't allowed to vote down because G Brown ratted on a manifesto promise). If MP's really did not read up on what Article 50 meant and its workings on the greatest question for 50 years, why on God's earth should we entrust them with any time at all to screw things up further?

    If they really didn't know about Article 50 they are clueless muppets, not fit for purpose, and should not use cutlery unsupervised.

    I was also naive enough to think we had a sensible, grown up government who would produce a compromise to unite the nation.

    Instead we’re left with a choice of shooting ourselves in the foot, or shooting ourselves in the head.

    F*ck me, yeah?
    Which part of May's withdrawal agreement do you object to ?
  • RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    Bullshit. Those enacting Article 50 were in the perfect position to know what it entailed and the potential outcomes. If they claim they didn't then they are unfit to be in their jobs.
    People, including MPs, are entitled to change their minds Richard as the facts change. If they are so dogmatic they are unable to have humility and admit a mistake, then they are most definitely unfit for their jobs. From the poll on this header it would suggest that there are quite a lot of people who now realise it was a mistake, and also want to change their minds.
    I wasn't arguing that. I was calling out Gallowgate for the ridiculous idea that the 650 MPs who voted on whether or not to invoke Article 50 didn't know what they were voting for. It is a facile and fraudulent argument which implies that Parliamentary Sovereignty is a bankrupt concept. After all if MPs are so dumb they didn't understand something as straight forward as Article 50 then Boris should do us all a favour and shut down Psrliament permanently..
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676

    I have come to the conclusion that there are about 30 conservative mps who want to stop no deal, but they fear a vonc for the precise reason they are mainly from London and the South and are under serious threat from the Lib Dems. A GE now would be a wipe out for them.

    Indeed labour only started panicking when the Lib Dems became a real threat to labour London seats including Corbyn, Abbott, McDonnell and Thornberry and that threat still remains

    LDs plummeting since Tory Swinson started making TV appearances. Next GE is Tory No Deal or Jezza.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    Nigelb said:

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Anyone got any tips for next SCON leader?

    I'm not seeing any betting markets yet

    Ladbrokes read it and laugh

    Murdo Fraser
    To Win
    3/1
    Jackson Carlaw
    To Win
    4/1
    Adam Tomkins
    To Win
    6/1
    Donald Cameron
    To Win
    8/1
    Alister Jack
    To Win
    12/1
    Annie Wells
    To Win
    12/1
    Maurice Golden
    To Win
    12/1
    Rachel Hamilton
    To Win
    12/1
    Colin Clark
    To Win
    20/1
    John Lamont
    To Win
    20/1
    Stephen Kerr
    To Win
    20/1
    Ross Thomson
    To Win
    25/1
    Thanks. Who should the SCONs pick and who do you think they will pick?
    I am wrong person to ask, I don't think if you put them all together that you would get a person suitable to run a bath. They are useless like Fraser , Tompkins, Carlaw , dodgy like Thomson and invisible like most of the rest.
    DAVIDL would be best person as our resident Scottish Tory, I believe the only Tory in the village.
    I don’t think he’s applying for the post - though they could do worse.
    I am not eligible. Or interested. I am very disappointed that Ruth is standing down although I understand her reasons. Hopefully she will come back one day. I don't really know any of the other candidates particularly well. I think that Murdo is the most likely but given he has the shortest odds its not particularly attractive.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    Pulpstar said:

    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:
    Status quo not no deal perhaps.....what a shame that would be for no dealers, who might have to win a pesky vote instead of stopping them happening.
    I don’t see what his argument is. Parliament passed the A50 notification act in full knowledge that it would involve leaving at the end of a two year period, whether or not a deal had been signed. Perhaps PB legal insiders have a more informed view.
    More sneering drivel. You know full well that no-one fully appreciated what enacting Article 50 would entail. That doesn’t mean they should be taught a lesson.

    This is people’s lives for f*ck sake. This isn’t a game.
    No one knew what A50 would entail? Not even MPs who passed the Act?
    Of course they didn’t. Hence this shit show.
    This is not some obscure regulation about deer feed in national parks or the like, Article 50 has had a centrality to proceedings since Lisbon was signed (you know the one we weren't allowed to vote down because G Brown ratted on a manifesto promise). If MP's really did not read up on what Article 50 meant and its workings on the greatest question for 50 years, why on God's earth should we entrust them with any time at all to screw things up further?

    If they really didn't know about Article 50 they are clueless muppets, not fit for purpose, and should not use cutlery unsupervised.

    I was also naive enough to think we had a sensible, grown up government who would produce a compromise to unite the nation.

    Instead we’re left with a choice of shooting ourselves in the foot, or shooting ourselves in the head.

    F*ck me, yeah?
    Which part of May's withdrawal agreement do you object to ?
    The part where it takes us out of the Single Market.
  • I have come to the conclusion that there are about 30 conservative mps who want to stop no deal, but they fear a vonc for the precise reason they are mainly from London and the South and are under serious threat from the Lib Dems. A GE now would be a wipe out for them.

    Indeed labour only started panicking when the Lib Dems became a real threat to labour London seats including Corbyn, Abbott, McDonnell and Thornberry and that threat still remains

    LDs plummeting since Tory Swinson started making TV appearances. Next GE is Tory No Deal or Jezza.
    The next GE will be post 31st October

    The mps are too scared to vonc next week which is the correct and proper thing to do
  • I have come to the conclusion that there are about 30 conservative mps who want to stop no deal, but they fear a vonc for the precise reason they are mainly from London and the South and are under serious threat from the Lib Dems. A GE now would be a wipe out for them.

    Indeed labour only started panicking when the Lib Dems became a real threat to labour London seats including Corbyn, Abbott, McDonnell and Thornberry and that threat still remains

    I conclude slightly differently. They don't want to VONC their own government because they will lose the whip and be imminently unemployed. If they merely break a 3 line whip, they can carry on as Con MPs as it is hard for the activists to deselect them.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Scott_P said:
    Everyone except the Conservatives has an interest in seeing him stay in office until November without Britain leaving the EU. Why would they help him escape this fate?
    Q: What happens if he resigns? Potentially advising HM that there is no one that can command the Commons?

    He can resign. His views on the lack of a successor would no doubt be taken into account by HRH but she would need to call for someone, and then test that out.

    That advice in any case would be quite irresponsible. There manifestly are people who could for the time being command the confidence of the House of Commons if called upon (eg Harriet Harman, Ken Clarke). The only question is whether other more contentious candidates, such as Jeremy Corbyn, need to be tested out first.
  • I have come to the conclusion that there are about 30 conservative mps who want to stop no deal, but they fear a vonc for the precise reason they are mainly from London and the South and are under serious threat from the Lib Dems. A GE now would be a wipe out for them.

    Indeed labour only started panicking when the Lib Dems became a real threat to labour London seats including Corbyn, Abbott, McDonnell and Thornberry and that threat still remains

    I conclude slightly differently. They don't want to VONC their own government because they will lose the whip and be imminently unemployed. If they merely break a 3 line whip, they can carry on as Con MPs as it is hard for the activists to deselect them.
    Yes - good point - indeed both points are valid
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