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  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,269
    Pulpstar said:

    Cyclefree said:

    tim said:

    Overcrowded Britain

    @Andrew_Adonis: Fact of the day: golf courses occupy more land than all the housing in England put together (today's City AM)

    I feel about golf courses the way you do about cats. A waste of good land.

    Indeed. Turn them into gallops.
    Brilliant idea!
  • Something for the several Star Wars fans (Jedis, Warsies?) on here:

    http://twitpic.com/dkz2jn

    The Mass and collective nouns for fans of Star Wars is "Virgins"

    Although I do hope that's a scene from Episode VII
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,411

    Pulpstar said:


    LibD: 2 -5

    LDs 2!?

    I can't be having a subsample, but that's too good not have a ROFLPMSL.
    The Carmichael effect nae doot.
    We badly need a Scotland poll. Subsamples have a huge MoE, but do the Lib Dems even keep Orkney on 2% D: ?

    We know: Labour are ahead in the UK and are steady on ~ 38% which will hand Ed th kys to power if it keeps like this.
    Scotland wants to stay in the UK.

    Some specific Scottish VI would be handy - but it seems any Scotland poll is about independence.
    Afaik Ashcroft's in October was the last one:

    CON 18%(+1), LAB 40%(-2), LDEM 6%(-13), SNP 31%(+11), UKIP 2%(+1)

    http://tinyurl.com/n52h939


    Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey Highland NAT gain from LIB : Danny Alexander
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,135
    Bobajob said:

    Hopefully interest rates will remain at rock bottom for years to come.

    This please! People with mega mortgages are rejoicing at today's news. Lower inflation is good for all of us. Except the Treasury who are less able to inflate away their debts.
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:


    LibD: 2 -5

    LDs 2!?

    I can't be having a subsample, but that's too good not have a ROFLPMSL.
    The Carmichael effect nae doot.
    We badly need a Scotland poll. Subsamples have a huge MoE, but do the Lib Dems even keep Orkney on 2% D: ?

    We know: Labour are ahead in the UK and are steady on ~ 38% which will hand Ed th kys to power if it keeps like this.
    Scotland wants to stay in the UK.

    Some specific Scottish VI would be handy - but it seems any Scotland poll is about independence.
    Afaik Ashcroft's in October was the last one:

    CON 18%(+1), LAB 40%(-2), LDEM 6%(-13), SNP 31%(+11), UKIP 2%(+1)

    http://tinyurl.com/n52h939


    Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey Highland NAT gain from LIB : Danny Alexander
    The Ashcroft October poll had a potentially fatal flaw in that the sample had voted 27% SNP in the 2010 GE after weighting .
  • IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

  • BobajobBobajob Posts: 1,536

    IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    IDS is fucking thick. There aren't enough properties- forget the politics this is about maths. And he failed.
  • Pulpstar said:

    2.2% inflation. Good.

    Not if you're Danny '5 million unemployed' Blancheflower - he's now tweeting about the risks of deflation.....
    Blanchflower, Krugman, Balls

    Wrong about everything, always
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 41,293
    tim said:

    TGOHF said:

    tim said:

    TGOHF said:

    tim said:

    Just been looking at the Boris Island plans. Hard to believe it will probably be harder to get to than Heathrow from East Anglai/Cambridge.
    But looks as though it will be.

    It's bollocks, who on earth is spending the money on the plans?
    Uh oh - here come the luddites.

    Eeeh in my day a bi plane took off from field - and we got free Hovis.

    Have you been to Hong Kong airport tim ?


    It's on the wrong side of London, end of.


    Not for the channel tunnel, the city, Kent, Essex, east coast mainline etc etc etc

    Also 24hr landing and take off - no NIMBY's to upset.

    Try having some ambition for a change.


    Convenient for the east coast mainline?
    You're joking right?
    To get from Cambridge to Heathrow by public transport, I would have to get a train down to either Liverpool Street or Kings Cross, then either the Piccadilly line direct, or get the tube to Paddington, and then the Heathrow Express. King's Cross to Heathrow via the tube takes around an hour.

    An east of London airport could be served from St Pancras International, which is right next door to Kings Cross. Currently, Eurostar trains reach Ashford International in just under an hour - i.e. about the same time. It will depend on the details, but it looks as though an estuary island *may* be just as convenient from the King's Cross area as Heathrow.

    The journey time by tube from Euston to Heathrow seems to be about the same as well.

    As ever, the devil will be in the details. But it is certainly possible for an estuary airport to be faster to get to from Kings Cross, Euston and St Pancras than Heathrow currently is.
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    I am surprised that the lovers of Scottish subsamples did not quote the one from last night's Yougov which had Lib Dems at 15%
  • BobajobBobajob Posts: 1,536

    tim said:

    @Carlotta

    It's a sample of 87 people, don't make a fool of yourself

    Says the man who said Falkirk was a 'non-story'!

    Remind me again. What is the "story" in 'Falkirk'?

    Like most people, I'm damned if I have a clue.
  • IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

    Like they did in the Private Sector when Labour introduced the bedroom tax there?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,160
    Bobajob said:

    IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    IDS is fucking thick. There aren't enough properties- forget the politics this is about maths. And he failed.
    There are loads of vacant properties across the UK, theyre giving them away in Stoke on Trent for £1. Why do we need to subsidise London landlords or provide a palace for Frank Dobson ?
  • Bobajob said:

    tim said:

    @Carlotta

    It's a sample of 87 people, don't make a fool of yourself

    Says the man who said Falkirk was a 'non-story'!

    Like most people, I'm damned if I have a clue.
    You're in a minority - only 27% say they have not heard of Falkirk (10% of Scots...)

  • Bobajob said:

    IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    IDS is fucking thick. There aren't enough properties- forget the politics this is about maths. And he failed.
    You are the one who is fucking thick.

    What did you expect when you allow mass uncontrolled immigration, a million homes would appear overnight? Labour allowed the huge population increase, why didn't they build extra housing?

    What have you got to say about Harman lying about the situation in her constituency, you know the one she walks about in wearing a stab proof vest?

    http://www.conservativehome.com/localgovernment/2013/11/from-harryph-harriet-harmans-dodgy-dossier.html
  • Bobajob said:

    tim said:

    @Carlotta

    It's a sample of 87 people, don't make a fool of yourself

    Says the man who said Falkirk was a 'non-story'!

    Remind me again. What is the "story" in 'Falkirk'?

    Like most people, I'm damned if I have a clue.
    Like I said, you are fucking thick.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    The BBC reports a slight fall from a record in UK house prices month on month. the overall recent increase is being driven by the south of England according to the ONS, prices elsewhere are stable and in some cases falling.
  • For the Tories, it’s Europe. For Labour, it’s Blairites against Brownites. The Lib Dems, devoid of principle, go in for limp-wristed back-stabbing. Now Ukip, in a sign of its growing political maturity, has become distracted by cynical, and at times thoroughly unpleasant, infighting as those close to Nigel Farage seek to maintain his leadership cult.

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/alexwickham/2013/11/how-paranoia-and-bitter-infighting-are-tearing-ukip-apart/
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,160

    Bobajob said:

    IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    IDS is fucking thick. There aren't enough properties- forget the politics this is about maths. And he failed.
    You are the one who is fucking thick.

    What did you expect when you allow mass uncontrolled immigration, a million homes would appear overnight? Labour allowed the huge population increase, why didn't they build extra housing?

    What have you got to say about Harman lying about the situation in her constituency, you know the one she walks about in wearing a stab proof vest?

    http://www.conservativehome.com/localgovernment/2013/11/from-harryph-harriet-harmans-dodgy-dossier.html
    letting 4 million people in to the country and providing no housing for them is called "joined up government", it's Tony's story and he's sticking to it.
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699

    IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

    Only a fool would classify a 60 square foot box room as a spare bedroom , step forward IDS
  • I take it everyone has seen this? - “David Dimbleby shows off his new scorpion tattoo”

    http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/442536/David-Dimbleby-shows-off-his-new-scorpion-tattoo
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Carlotta,

    That is a fascinating article about anyone who dares to challenge the Farage-istes of UKIP.

  • NextNext Posts: 826

    IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

    Only a fool would classify a 60 square foot box room as a spare bedroom , step forward IDS
    Link?

    Even if true, edge cases do not unravel the whole principle.

    And there are plenty of "swaps" available, for those who say there are not enough smaller properties.

  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    Next said:

    IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

    Only a fool would classify a 60 square foot box room as a spare bedroom , step forward IDS
    Link?

    Even if true, edge cases do not unravel the whole principle.

    And there are plenty of "swaps" available, for those who say there are not enough smaller properties.

    What is the principle involved ?
  • taffys said:

    Carlotta,

    That is a fascinating article about anyone who dares to challenge the Farage-istes of UKIP.

    Briefing against Diane James is just dumb - what's her problem - her gender, or her electoral success?

  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,160

    For the Tories, it’s Europe. For Labour, it’s Blairites against Brownites. The Lib Dems, devoid of principle, go in for limp-wristed back-stabbing. Now Ukip, in a sign of its growing political maturity, has become distracted by cynical, and at times thoroughly unpleasant, infighting as those close to Nigel Farage seek to maintain his leadership cult.

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/alexwickham/2013/11/how-paranoia-and-bitter-infighting-are-tearing-ukip-apart/

    at some point Farage will switch from cheeky chappy frontman to irritating git a la Michael O'Leary. If he doesn't build a team around him then UKIP will go nowhere, it will stay a one man band.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 41,293
    And to follow up my previous post:

    The Turkish government is planning a new six-runway hub airport near Istanbul, capable of serving 150 million passengers a year. To compare, Heathrow currently handles 70 million.

    The interesting things about it from the 'Estuary Airport' perspective is:

    1) The size. Six runways will give massive capacity, and far more than could possibly be squeezed into the Heathrow site. It will be exceptionally future-proofed.
    2) Location. The new airport is planned to be to the west of Istanbul, away and across the Bosphorus from the bulk of the country. Indeed, it is hundreds of miles away from the country's capital (although we can thank Ataturk for that).

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Istanbul_New_Airport
  • IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

    Like they did in the Private Sector when Labour introduced the bedroom tax there?

    The profile for those renting in the private sector is very different to the profile of those in social housing; leases are generally much shorter and rents are much higher. There is no like for like comparison to be made.

  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Briefing against Diane James is just dumb - what's her problem - her gender, or her electoral success?

    Probably a combination of both. Thing is, the tories can attack UKIP as a party more interested in preserving the cult of Farage than getting Britain out of the EU.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,299
    All not well in La Belle France, even Al Beeb have noticed.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-24910099
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    edited November 2013
    All not well in La Belle France, even Al Beeb have noticed.

    Britain 2018, after 3 years of Miliband imposing the same type of policies as Hollande has done.

    At some juncture Ed might have to explain the differences between himself and Hollande. That should take a good thirty seconds....
  • I take it everyone has seen this? - “David Dimbleby shows off his new scorpion tattoo”

    http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/442536/David-Dimbleby-shows-off-his-new-scorpion-tattoo

    Guido points out:

    "tattoos involving.....a scorpion, another sign of having HIV in the gay community. The stinging tail of the scorpion alludes to the virus

    http://edition.cnn.com/2011/HEALTH/08/10/hiv.tattoos/
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    edited November 2013
    tim said:

    TGOHF said:

    tim said:

    TGOHF said:

    tim said:

    Just been looking at the Boris Island plans. Hard to believe it will probably be harder to get to than Heathrow from East Anglai/Cambridge.
    But looks as though it will be.

    It's bollocks, who on earth is spending the money on the plans?
    Uh oh - here come the luddites.

    Eeeh in my day a bi plane took off from field - and we got free Hovis.

    Have you been to Hong Kong airport tim ?


    It's on the wrong side of London, end of.


    Not for the channel tunnel, the city, Kent, Essex, east coast mainline etc etc etc

    Also 24hr landing and take off - no NIMBY's to upset.

    Try having some ambition for a change.


    Convenient for the east coast mainline?
    You're joking right?
    Remember 1997-2010 ? The long grass years - no infrastructure, no new hubs, no high speed trains, no big projects , no new power stations - just a paucity of vision and a reluctance to engage in anything exciting or ambitions.

    P.S. Hub planned for St Pancras - Edinburgh > KX > Short walk to check in..






  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 41,293
    tim said:

    @Josias

    What percentage of Heathrow passengers arrive by train compared to road?

    I've no idea. Although I'd guess that an awful lot will arrive by air. ;-)

    I'd be interested in any figures.

    But there might be a flaw in that argument - with more land taken up by a third (and possibly fourth) runway on an increasingly cramped Heathrow site, there might be no room to park anyway!
  • NextNext Posts: 826

    Next said:

    IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

    Only a fool would classify a 60 square foot box room as a spare bedroom , step forward IDS
    Link?

    Even if true, edge cases do not unravel the whole principle.

    And there are plenty of "swaps" available, for those who say there are not enough smaller properties.

    What is the principle involved ?
    So, no link then?

    If you do not understand the principle of dealing with the spare-room subsidy, then that explains your strange remarks.

    We have a housing crisis. This scheme well help "right-size" people in social housing, which benefits everyone who is in, or will need, social housing. How can you have a problem with that?
  • dr_spyn said:

    All not well in La Belle France, even Al Beeb have noticed.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-24910099

    YouGov on the polling:

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2013/11/11/french-sour-european-union/

    France now almost as Eurosceptic as Perfidious Albion.....and very gloomy about prospects.....
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,475
    edited November 2013
    Next said:

    And there are plenty of "swaps" available, for those who say there are not enough smaller properties.

    Link?

    'Scotland’s largest local authority, Glasgow City Council, know they have 13,253 tenants deemed to be living in a property with an extra bedrooom. However, they could not say how many of their 22,175 one-bedroom properties were vacant and available for rent.
    In Aberdeenshire, 703 tenants are considered to have one extra bedroom but there are only 86 single-bed properties available.
    Falkirk Council do not even have enough one-bedroom properties in total to help their 2645 tenants considered to have one extra room.
    In North Lanarkshire, 5219 residents are believed to be affected but there are only 83 one-bed properties available.'

    http://tinyurl.com/pv4ocgk

  • IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

    Like they did in the Private Sector when Labour introduced the bedroom tax there?

    The profile for those renting in the private sector is very different to the profile of those in social housing; leases are generally much shorter and rents are much higher. There is no like for like comparison to be made.
    As assertions go that's in the IDS class - don't you want to throw in some dodgy stats to complete the job?

  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Labour have been granted urgent Commons question on A and E cover ahead of tmrrw"s Keogh report. 12.30 kick off


    What are they going to ask?

    Why didn't we incentivise doctors working anti-social hours when we negotiated their contract?

    Go on David Cameron, get out of that one.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Of course Heathrow has one other big benefit for opponents of Boris Island.

    It is heavily unionised....

  • The new Social Democratic leader in Sweden, Stefan Löfven, has been doing very well, up until this week. Earlier this week he decisively crushed the former "Red-Green" coalition under which his (dire) predecessor fought the 2010 GE. He said that he was willing to go into coalition with *any* other parliamentary party (there are 8 in total), except the anti-EU/anti-immigration Sweden Democrats.

    I personally thought that this was the cleverest thing that he had done since becoming leader of the opposition, but social democratic sympathisers clearly do not agree! Shows what I know.

    Yesterday's headline in the top-selling, centre-left Aftonbladet:

    S rasar – mot 2010 års katastrofnivå (Social Democrats Collapse Towards the Catastrophic Level of 2010)

    http://www.aftonbladet.se/nyheter/article17817780.ab

    Looks like the prospect of a Social Democrat/Green/Liberal/Centre coalition has scared a lot of social democratic leaning voters off the party.

    Meanwhile, the much-despised Sweden Democrats (think BNP-lite or UKIP-max) have become the 3rd largest party in the polls.
  • @TuD - another side to the story:

    59,000 households are overcrowded in Scotland. This represents 3 per cent of the total number of households in Scotland. Of these households 36,000 (61 per cent) are families with children.

    http://scotland.shelter.org.uk/housing_policy/key_statistics/the_facts_about_scotlands_housing
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Oh here we are - must be why tim etc are anti Boris Island...

    http://www.theguardian.com/business/2012/mar/06/unions-industry-heathrow-third-runway

    "Len McCluskey, general secretary of the Unite union, said that decisive action was needed to maintain the airport's status. "Our economy desperately needs an airport infrastructure which is better than the patchwork provision we currently have around the capital," he said.

    "Our politicians must think big and act in the national interest. We need an aviation strategy that acknowledges Heathrow as a hub, and we need it now.""
  • I take it everyone has seen this? - “David Dimbleby shows off his new scorpion tattoo”

    http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/442536/David-Dimbleby-shows-off-his-new-scorpion-tattoo

    Guido points out:

    "tattoos involving.....a scorpion, another sign of having HIV in the gay community. The stinging tail of the scorpion alludes to the virus

    http://edition.cnn.com/2011/HEALTH/08/10/hiv.tattoos/
    You learn something new every day on PB - Should Mrs Dimbleby be worried?
  • OT US, I'm a bit late to this but Noam Scheiber on how Elizabeth Warren could run against Hillary Clinton:

    http://www.newrepublic.com/article/115509/elizabeth-warren-hillary-clintons-nightmare
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Next said:

    And there are plenty of "swaps" available, for those who say there are not enough smaller properties.

    Link?

    'Scotland’s largest local authority, Glasgow City Council, know they have 13,253 tenants deemed to be living in a property with an extra bedrooom. However, they could not say how many of their 22,175 one-bedroom properties were vacant and available for rent.
    In Aberdeenshire, 703 tenants are considered to have one extra bedroom but there are only 86 single-bed properties available.
    Falkirk Council do not even have enough one-bedroom properties in total to help their 2645 tenants considered to have one extra room.
    In North Lanarkshire, 5219 residents are believed to be affected but there are only 83 one-bed properties available.'

    http://tinyurl.com/pv4ocgk

    Of course some of those currently in one-bed room properties (and it's not only one-bedroom properties) are overcrowded and will move into the freed up larger properties. Thus vacating a smaller property for someone else to move into.

    You are focusing on the current free float, not on the size of the pool
  • NextNext Posts: 826

    Next said:

    And there are plenty of "swaps" available, for those who say there are not enough smaller properties.

    Link?

    'Scotland’s largest local authority, Glasgow City Council, know they have 13,253 tenants deemed to be living in a property with an extra bedrooom. However, they could not say how many of their 22,175 one-bedroom properties were vacant and available for rent.
    In Aberdeenshire, 703 tenants are considered to have one extra bedroom but there are only 86 single-bed properties available.
    Falkirk Council do not even have enough one-bedroom properties in total to help their 2645 tenants considered to have one extra room.
    In North Lanarkshire, 5219 residents are believed to be affected but there are only 83 one-bed properties available.'

    http://tinyurl.com/pv4ocgk

    The "swap" is an already-occupied property, with someone who needs to trade up.

    That is not the same as only looking at vacant properties.
  • IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

    Like they did in the Private Sector when Labour introduced the bedroom tax there?

    The profile for those renting in the private sector is very different to the profile of those in social housing; leases are generally much shorter and rents are much higher. There is no like for like comparison to be made.
    As assertions go that's in the IDS class - don't you want to throw in some dodgy stats to complete the job?

    It's all here:

    https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/social-and-private-renters


  • In other 'news' Derek Mackay, SNP Chairman & Local Govt & Planning Minister has come out as gay - to almost no reaction (other than supportive) whatsoever - a mark of how far we've come:

    http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/home-news/snp-minister-announces-he-is-gay-after-separating-from-wife.22674882
  • Next said:


    The "swap" is an already-occupied property, with someone who needs to trade up.
    That is not the same as only looking at vacant properties.

    So, no link then?

  • NextNext Posts: 826
    edited November 2013

    Next said:


    The "swap" is an already-occupied property, with someone who needs to trade up.
    That is not the same as only looking at vacant properties.

    So, no link then?

    http://www.homeswapper.co.uk/

    http://www.houseexchange.org.uk/
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited November 2013
    Regarding yesterdays ICM...

    Given that the polling was carried out between Friday 8th and Sunday 10th November, UKIP polled 2% better than last time out, and Farage performed well on best PM ratings, is it fair to conclude that Farage isn't losing his touch & the public didn't see Thursday's (7th Nov) QT anti UKIP pantomime performance by Soubry in the same way that many on here did?
  • Charles said:


    Of course some of those currently in one-bed room properties (and it's not only one-bedroom properties) are overcrowded and will move into the freed up larger properties. Thus vacating a smaller property for someone else to move into.

    You are focusing on the current free float, not on the size of the pool

    'Falkirk Council do not even have enough one-bedroom properties in total to help their 2645 tenants considered to have one extra room.'

    So, in your Panglossian scenario, how does Falkirk Council (how topical) make up the shortfall?

  • isam said:

    Regarding yesterdays ICM...

    Given that the polling was carried out between Friday 8th and Sunday 10th November, UKIP polled 2% better than last time out, and Farage performed well on best PM ratings, is it fair to conclude that Farage isn't losing his touch & the public didn't see Thursday's (7th Nov) QT anti UKIP pantomime performance by Soubry in the same way that many on here did?

    Your massively overestimating the impact of Question Time in general.

    But the fact you're still defending Farage several days on, says a lot.

    UKIP = The Fuzzy Wuzzies.

    They don't like it up 'em
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053

    For the Tories, it’s Europe. For Labour, it’s Blairites against Brownites. The Lib Dems, devoid of principle, go in for limp-wristed back-stabbing. Now Ukip, in a sign of its growing political maturity, has become distracted by cynical, and at times thoroughly unpleasant, infighting as those close to Nigel Farage seek to maintain his leadership cult.

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/alexwickham/2013/11/how-paranoia-and-bitter-infighting-are-tearing-ukip-apart/

    I suppose that forming blocks and cliques within political parties goes with the territory of forming a major political party. Still it's disappointing that it is happening in UKIP at the present time. However it would be even more remarkable if there were no people jockeying for position, such is life.
  • IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    And those who are not able to downsize because there are no available properties will just have to pay more or end up homeless. Lucky them.

    Like they did in the Private Sector when Labour introduced the bedroom tax there?

    The profile for those renting in the private sector is very different to the profile of those in social housing; leases are generally much shorter and rents are much higher. There is no like for like comparison to be made.
    As assertions go that's in the IDS class - don't you want to throw in some dodgy stats to complete the job?

    It's all here:

    https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/social-and-private-renters


    Which demonstrates that Council/Social housing providers have not updated their stock to keep up with the demographic profile of their users....
  • Bercow's spot on, it seems to me:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24903883

    Reminds me of when some big firms took out injunctions preventing newspapers reporting what was said in Parliament.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:


    Of course some of those currently in one-bed room properties (and it's not only one-bedroom properties) are overcrowded and will move into the freed up larger properties. Thus vacating a smaller property for someone else to move into.

    You are focusing on the current free float, not on the size of the pool

    'Falkirk Council do not even have enough one-bedroom properties in total to help their 2645 tenants considered to have one extra room.'

    So, in your Panglossian scenario, how does Falkirk Council (how topical) make up the shortfall?

    How many people in over-sized flats are in 3 beds looking for 2 beds?

    How many could move into private sector housing and allow someone in private sector housing to move into social housing?
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    @ Next

    OK let us examine how your principle works in practice , let us look at Acacia Avenue

    No 1 deemed to be over occupied by a 63 year old widower , he has to pay spare room subsidy or move to a smaller property .
    No 2 same size property but occupied by a 65 year old retired widower , he can stay and pays no spare room subsidy
    No 3 also over occupied by a 62 year old widower but the government is giving him £ 80,000 discount so he can exercise his right to buy
    No 4 deemed over occupied by a 50 year old disabled person . The council has spent £ 30,000 on adapting the house to his needs but he still has to pay spare room subsidy or move to a spare 1 bedroom 2nd floor flat .
    No 5 deemed to be over occupied by a severely disabled person but he has been awarded temporary help from the hardship fund so he can stay without paying extra rent .
    No 6 is occupied by someone in an almost identical situation to No 5 but the council has now spent up all it's allocation of the hardship fund so he has to find the extra rent himself or move
    No 7 was sold under right to buy some years ago . it is currently being rented by the MP for Portsmouth North who is claiming £ 23,000 a year in expenses so she can under occupy the property once or twice a week .

    How does all of this help achieve your principle ?
  • MillsyMillsy Posts: 900
    The devil is in the detail with ICM. The Con and Lab numbers are basically flat from October (before any changes) but this month the don't knows are down from 27% to 19% (so the VI numbers go down anyway after excluding these don't knows) and this month the Tories do worst out of the adjustment. Hence Tories down quite a bit rather than any increase in Lab vote.

    Labour people jumping for joy about an 8% lead will probably only be disappointed next month (depending on whether anything happens in the meantime).
  • BOOOOM!

    House prices across the UK have dropped back slightly, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

    Last month, the ONS reported that prices were at their highest since records began in 1968.

    However, in a surprise development, its house price index fell from 186 in October to 184.9 in November.

    Once the figures have been adjusted for seasonal fluctuations, prices showed no change between the months of August and September.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24909678
  • @ Next

    OK let us examine how your principle works in practice , let us look at Acacia Avenue

    No 1 deemed to be over occupied by a 63 year old widower , he has to pay spare room subsidy or move to a smaller property .
    No 2 same size property but occupied by a 65 year old retired widower , he can stay and pays no spare room subsidy
    No 3 also over occupied by a 62 year old widower but the government is giving him £ 80,000 discount so he can exercise his right to buy
    No 4 deemed over occupied by a 50 year old disabled person . The council has spent £ 30,000 on adapting the house to his needs but he still has to pay spare room subsidy or move to a spare 1 bedroom 2nd floor flat .
    No 5 deemed to be over occupied by a severely disabled person but he has been awarded temporary help from the hardship fund so he can stay without paying extra rent .
    No 6 is occupied by someone in an almost identical situation to No 5 but the council has now spent up all it's allocation of the hardship fund so he has to find the extra rent himself or move
    No 7 was sold under right to buy some years ago . it is currently being rented by the MP for Portsmouth North who is claiming £ 23,000 a year in expenses so she can under occupy the property once or twice a week .

    How does all of this help achieve your principle ?

    The Tories haven't really thought this through, have they?

    But then, we all knew that already.

    The next English GE will be about competence. Who is the least incompetent?

    a) Cameron
    b) Miliband
  • ICM has SNP in front in Scotland.

    Labour lead equivalent to 49 respondents.

    Labour lead in the North of England = 49 respondents.

    Game on everywhere else.
  • NextNext Posts: 826

    @ Next

    OK let us examine how your principle works in practice , let us look at Acacia Avenue

    No 1 deemed to be over occupied by a 63 year old widower , he has to pay spare room subsidy or move to a smaller property .
    No 2 same size property but occupied by a 65 year old retired widower , he can stay and pays no spare room subsidy
    No 3 also over occupied by a 62 year old widower but the government is giving him £ 80,000 discount so he can exercise his right to buy
    No 4 deemed over occupied by a 50 year old disabled person . The council has spent £ 30,000 on adapting the house to his needs but he still has to pay spare room subsidy or move to a spare 1 bedroom 2nd floor flat .
    No 5 deemed to be over occupied by a severely disabled person but he has been awarded temporary help from the hardship fund so he can stay without paying extra rent .
    No 6 is occupied by someone in an almost identical situation to No 5 but the council has now spent up all it's allocation of the hardship fund so he has to find the extra rent himself or move
    No 7 was sold under right to buy some years ago . it is currently being rented by the MP for Portsmouth North who is claiming £ 23,000 a year in expenses so she can under occupy the property once or twice a week .

    How does all of this help achieve your principle ?

    I think you are confusing "principle" with "some cases that may or may not be true".

    By using financial pressure to right-size people's social housing, there will be benefits for all.

    It may be that some of the rules will need to be adjusted over time, but that doesn't change the purpose or achievements of the principle.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,475
    edited November 2013
    Charles said:


    How many people in over-sized flats are in 3 beds looking for 2 beds?

    ****ed if I know, not huge amounts I'd imagine.
    Charles said:

    How many could move into private sector housing and allow someone in private sector housing to move into social housing?

    Even disregarding the disinclination of private landlords to take tenants on benefits ('would suit professional' is the usual code), there are currently a total of 91 single bedroom properties for rent in Falkirk and within a 5 mile radius on Rightmove. Not much of a dent in 2645.

  • What I don't get on the bedroom thing is, don't councils already have an incentive to get people into cheaper places? If not, why are the government dicking around counting bedrooms instead of fixing that? If they do, why is the central government trying to micro-manage it?
  • currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    Bobajob said:

    IDS on the 'spare room subsidy:

    Latest ONS figures show that around 375,000 households across England and Wales are living in overcrowded homes in the social rented sector, a fact hardly ever referred to by Labour who left us with this problem.

    And it is also clearly unfair to treat people differently in the social and private rented sectors.

    Our changes mean that all housing benefit claimants of working age – be they in the social sector or the private sector – receive housing benefit for the number of bedrooms they need. Some households will choose to downsize, which will free-up properties for families now living in overcrowded homes.


    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2013/11/the-public-agree-that-cutting-the-spare-room-subsidy-is-fair.html

    IDS is fucking thick. There aren't enough properties- forget the politics this is about maths. And he failed.
    Do you really believe the nonsense you spout? Do you know anything about social housing. Do you know the breakdown of social housing size of properties in this country?
    The majority of the stock is 1 & 2 bedroom flats, these are filled with people wanting a move to larger accommodation. There is no reason for anyone in any part of the country who is living in under crowded accommodation who could not swap with someone who is in overcrowded accommodation. Simple, now stop talking rubbish. You could of course prove me wrong, why not ask a local authority housing officer who manages their transfer list. Do you know in some areas they even pay people who are in under crowded accommodation to move to smaller accommodation.
    The nonsense spouted as truth by some on this site is amazing
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    Next said:

    @ Next

    OK let us examine how your principle works in practice , let us look at Acacia Avenue

    No 1 deemed to be over occupied by a 63 year old widower , he has to pay spare room subsidy or move to a smaller property .
    No 2 same size property but occupied by a 65 year old retired widower , he can stay and pays no spare room subsidy
    No 3 also over occupied by a 62 year old widower but the government is giving him £ 80,000 discount so he can exercise his right to buy
    No 4 deemed over occupied by a 50 year old disabled person . The council has spent £ 30,000 on adapting the house to his needs but he still has to pay spare room subsidy or move to a spare 1 bedroom 2nd floor flat .
    No 5 deemed to be over occupied by a severely disabled person but he has been awarded temporary help from the hardship fund so he can stay without paying extra rent .
    No 6 is occupied by someone in an almost identical situation to No 5 but the council has now spent up all it's allocation of the hardship fund so he has to find the extra rent himself or move
    No 7 was sold under right to buy some years ago . it is currently being rented by the MP for Portsmouth North who is claiming £ 23,000 a year in expenses so she can under occupy the property once or twice a week .

    How does all of this help achieve your principle ?

    I think you are confusing "principle" with "some cases that may or may not be true".

    By using financial pressure to right-size people's social housing, there will be benefits for all.

    It may be that some of the rules will need to be adjusted over time, but that doesn't change the purpose or achievements of the principle.
    How is it going to achieve your principle to use financial pressure to get the single mother and her child in No 8 Acacia Avenue to downsize from her 3 bedroom house to a 2 bedroom tower block flat when the local council has a policy of not housing children in tower blocks ?
    If a principle is unjust in it's application then it must be ditched .
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758



    How is it going to achieve your principle to use financial pressure to get the single mother and her child in No 8 Acacia Avenue to downsize from her 3 bedroom house to a 2 bedroom tower block flat when the local council has a policy of not housing children in tower blocks ?
    If a principle is unjust in it's application then it must be ditched .

    In that it is the local council's policy that is unjust: they have implemented a policy that forced a mother to suffer a financial penalty because they won't offer her an existing alternative.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 41,293
    edited November 2013
    Heathrow redux:

    Perhaps this may cause Tim to veer towards an estuary airport.

    Testrad who are developing a plan for an estuary airport, claim the existing Heathrow site could, once closed, have £45 billion development value, and provide homes for 300,000 people. All in an area with very good transport links.

    Note the source, and I sort-of disbelieve their figures when they make the typo of "Houses for 300,00 people" ;-)

    http://testrad.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Thames-estuary-brochure.pdf
  • NextNext Posts: 826
    @MarkSenior

    "If a principle is unjust in it's application then it must be ditched".

    You have not established that it is unjust with a few (alleged) special cases.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited November 2013

    Only a fool would classify a 60 square foot box room as a spare bedroom , step forward IDS

    Sheesh. 9ft by 7ft is a reasonable room size. I spent my first 18 years in one just like it - quite happily. More than adequate.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Next said:

    @MarkSenior

    "If a principle is unjust in it's application then it must be ditched".You have not established that it is unjust with a few (alleged) special cases.

    The Guardian/BBC school of policy debate.
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    Next said:

    @MarkSenior

    "If a principle is unjust in it's application then it must be ditched".

    You have not established that it is unjust with a few (alleged) special cases.

    There are thousands of these "special cases" well documented in the media everywhere . The blinkered supporters of government policy however unjust such as yourself may ignore them but they will not go away .
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    Anorak said:

    Only a fool would classify a 60 square foot box room as a spare bedroom , step forward IDS

    Sheesh. 9ft by 7ft is a reasonable room size. I spent my first 18 years in one just like it - quite happily. More than adequate.
    I may be wrong ( as it may only be the policy of some councils ) but I believe the minimum legal size room to be let to a lodger is 70 square feet .
  • Farage is a Blunkett fan:

    "Nigel Farage: 'Blunkett right to warn Roma migrants could trigger riots'
    Ukip leader says former home secretary "should be admired" for speaking out about issue."

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/10443498/Nigel-Farage-Blunkett-right-to-warn-Roma-migrants-could-trigger-riots.html
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited November 2013

    isam said:

    Regarding yesterdays ICM...

    Given that the polling was carried out between Friday 8th and Sunday 10th November, UKIP polled 2% better than last time out, and Farage performed well on best PM ratings, is it fair to conclude that Farage isn't losing his touch & the public didn't see Thursday's (7th Nov) QT anti UKIP pantomime performance by Soubry in the same way that many on here did?

    Your massively overestimating the impact of Question Time in general.

    But the fact you're still defending Farage several days on, says a lot.

    UKIP = The Fuzzy Wuzzies.

    They don't like it up 'em
    Hardly.


    It was Mike that wrote an entire thread titled "Suddenly people are wondering whether Farage is Losing it?" on the back of the Question Time programme.

    http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2013/11/08/suddenly-people-are-wondering-whether-farage-is-losing-it/

    Non UKIP PBers were tripping over each other to say how wonderful Soubry and how poor Farage was. Then The Mail came out in favour of Farage, then The Sun, now ICM

    I'm just pointing out that the polling taken after the programme, which is surely the most reliable source, says no he isn't.


  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 41,293
    tim said:

    @Josias

    How many travel to Heathrow by train compared to road?

    I'm fine btw with building a new hub airport on the right side of London, which Boris' Fantasy Island isnt

    On what basis do you define the 'right' side of London? Do you know the figures for where passengers arrive from within the UK by ground means (car, bus, rail etc), and what their requirements are?

    I've got no idea what the figures are, and they are vital (even though a hub airport will, by its nature, have people transferring onto connecting flights without leaving the airport).

    I've no idea whether Heathrow, an estuary airport, or a.n.other solution is best. I'm just not ruling anything out at the moment, because all the plans are so uncertain. Hopefully the Davies report will give us a firmer idea.
  • MillsyMillsy Posts: 900
    The Office for National Statistics said the fall [in inflation] was driven by the biggest drop in transport prices since July 2009.

    One major transport cost factor came from fuel price cuts at many major supermarket chains engaged in a price war.

    "Falling petrol and diesel prices seem to have done the most to drag the inflation rate down, and the ongoing softness in Brent crude prices means there may be a little more of this to come in the months ahead," said economist Rob Carnell at ING.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24910587

    Falling petrol prices haven't had any impact on polling so far
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 118,367
    edited November 2013
    isam said:

    isam said:

    Regarding yesterdays ICM...

    Given that the polling was carried out between Friday 8th and Sunday 10th November, UKIP polled 2% better than last time out, and Farage performed well on best PM ratings, is it fair to conclude that Farage isn't losing his touch & the public didn't see Thursday's (7th Nov) QT anti UKIP pantomime performance by Soubry in the same way that many on here did?

    Your massively overestimating the impact of Question Time in general.

    But the fact you're still defending Farage several days on, says a lot.

    UKIP = The Fuzzy Wuzzies.

    They don't like it up 'em
    Hardly.


    It was Mike that wrote an entire thread titled "Suddenly people are wondering whether Farage is Losing it?" on the back of the Question Time programme.

    http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2013/11/08/suddenly-people-are-wondering-whether-farage-is-losing-it/

    Non UKIP PBers were tripping over each other to say how wonderful Soubry and how poor Farage was. Then The Mail came out in favour of Farage, then The Sun, now ICM

    I'm just pointing out that the polling taken after the programme, which is surely the most reliable source, says no he isn't.


    Well you're reading far too much into a 2% movement.

    For example, the YouGov published Friday morning (and the fieldwork conducted before QT) had UKIP on 11%, this morning's YouGov, had UKIP on 11%.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited November 2013

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Regarding yesterdays ICM...

    Given that the polling was carried out between Friday 8th and Sunday 10th November, UKIP polled 2% better than last time out, and Farage performed well on best PM ratings, is it fair to conclude that Farage isn't losing his touch & the public didn't see Thursday's (7th Nov) QT anti UKIP pantomime performance by Soubry in the same way that many on here did?

    Your massively overestimating the impact of Question Time in general.

    But the fact you're still defending Farage several days on, says a lot.

    UKIP = The Fuzzy Wuzzies.

    They don't like it up 'em
    Hardly.


    It was Mike that wrote an entire thread titled "Suddenly people are wondering whether Farage is Losing it?" on the back of the Question Time programme.

    http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2013/11/08/suddenly-people-are-wondering-whether-farage-is-losing-it/

    Non UKIP PBers were tripping over each other to say how wonderful Soubry and how poor Farage was. Then The Mail came out in favour of Farage, then The Sun, now ICM

    I'm just pointing out that the polling taken after the programme, which is surely the most reliable source, says no he isn't.


    Well you're reading far too much into a 2% movement.

    For example, the YouGov published Friday morning (and the fieldwork conducted before QT) had UKIP on 11%, this morning's YouGov, had UKIP on 11%.
    Exactly! So the Answer to "Is Farage Losing It?", the question posed here on Friday, would seem to be "no".

    I think if UKIP were down a couple of points, those that want them to fail would have referenced QT, but maybe I am wrong.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 118,367
    edited November 2013
    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc
  • NextNext Posts: 826
    Watchdog clears MP Mark Pritchard over Albania allegations

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24911979
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621

    Anorak said:

    Only a fool would classify a 60 square foot box room as a spare bedroom , step forward IDS

    Sheesh. 9ft by 7ft is a reasonable room size. I spent my first 18 years in one just like it - quite happily. More than adequate.
    I may be wrong ( as it may only be the policy of some councils ) but I believe the minimum legal size room to be let to a lodger is 70 square feet .
    You may well be right. Lodging - often with all your worldly possessions - is not the same as a room for a child or young adult in your own family. Or an elderly relative for that matter.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Next said:

    Watchdog clears MP Mark Pritchard over Albania allegations

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24911979

    Is the Sunday Times going to publish a front page apology?
  • currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    So to clarify after 13 years of a Labour Government which had the worst social housing building record in history, those who disagree with the spare room subsidy restriction think that the state should pay for a single person to live by themselves in a 3bed house, whilst a family with kids should continue to live in over crowded accommodation. No doubt its all the coalitions fault for not building enough social housing and what Labour did between 1997-2010 is forgotten. Surely this policy is just a realistic approach to the situation that exists in social housing and the deficit that exists in this country
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc

    wtf? No wonder working class tories are flocking to UKIP!

  • Charles said:

    Next said:

    Watchdog clears MP Mark Pritchard over Albania allegations

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24911979

    Is the Sunday Times going to publish a front page apology?
    Twas the telegraph.
  • isam said:

    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc

    wtf? No wonder working class tories are flocking to UKIP!

    I thought UKIP were in favour of Grammar Schools and the like, what's wrong with a bit of erudition.

    I consider it my contribution to the big society to remove that chip from your shoulder educate the masses.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc
  • NextNext Posts: 826
    isam said:

    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc

    wtf? No wonder working class tories are flocking to UKIP!

    It means: just because two events happened after each other, does not mean one caused the other.
  • isam said:

    isam said:

    Regarding yesterdays ICM...

    Given that the polling was carried out between Friday 8th and Sunday 10th November, UKIP polled 2% better than last time out, and Farage performed well on best PM ratings, is it fair to conclude that Farage isn't losing his touch & the public didn't see Thursday's (7th Nov) QT anti UKIP pantomime performance by Soubry in the same way that many on here did?

    Your massively overestimating the impact of Question Time in general.

    But the fact you're still defending Farage several days on, says a lot.

    UKIP = The Fuzzy Wuzzies.

    They don't like it up 'em
    It was Mike that wrote an entire thread titled "Suddenly people are wondering whether Farage is Losing it?" on the back of the Question Time programme.
    99% of what we discuss on here does not directly affect polling - but what is discussed can affect 'the narrative' - how the media portray politicians - and if the story on Farage moves from 'walking on water' to 'passing water under stress' then it may well have an impact on polling longer term......
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,160
    ROFL

    Michael White on DP : " Labour has never had an MP called Tim"
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    Next said:

    Watchdog clears MP Mark Pritchard over Albania allegations

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24911979

    Is the Sunday Times going to publish a front page apology?
    Twas the telegraph.
    Murdoch needs to apologise as much as Blair need to for slavery
  • isam said:

    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc

    wtf? No wonder working class tories are flocking to UKIP!
    Its posh for 'increased ice cream sales lead to more wearing of bikinis'...

  • isam said:

    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc

    wtf? No wonder working class tories are flocking to UKIP!
    Its posh for 'increased ice cream sales lead to more wearing of bikinis'...

    Posh??

    I'll have you know, I was told on Comment is Free, that since I was a Latin speaker, that made me part of the aristocracy.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    isam said:

    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc

    wtf? No wonder working class tories are flocking to UKIP!
    Its posh for 'increased ice cream sales lead to more wearing of bikinis'...

    Posh??

    I'll have you know, I was told on Comment is Free, that since I was a Latin speaker, that made me part of the aristocracy.
    Who were you debating with: Pol Pot?
  • isam said:

    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc

    wtf? No wonder working class tories are flocking to UKIP!
    Its posh for 'increased ice cream sales lead to more wearing of bikinis'...

    Talking about bikinis.

    Bikinis are a lot like statistics, what they reveal, that's interesting, what they hide, that's much more fascinating

    Here endeth my Swiss Toni impression.
  • Charles said:

    isam said:

    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc

    wtf? No wonder working class tories are flocking to UKIP!
    Its posh for 'increased ice cream sales lead to more wearing of bikinis'...

    Posh??

    I'll have you know, I was told on Comment is Free, that since I was a Latin speaker, that made me part of the aristocracy.
    Who were you debating with: Pol Pot?
    Probably SeanT in hindsight.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    isam said:

    @Isam

    My final thought on the subject

    Post hoc ergo propter hoc

    wtf? No wonder working class tories are flocking to UKIP!
    Its posh for 'increased ice cream sales lead to more wearing of bikinis'...

    Talking about bikinis.

    Bikinis are a lot like statistics, what they reveal, that's interesting, what they hide, that's much more fascinating

    Here endeth my Swiss Toni impression.
    My grandpa occasionally used the phrase 'a politician's speech should be like a young lady's skirt: short enough to be interesting, but long enough to cover the important bits"
This discussion has been closed.