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  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    TOPPING said:

    DavidL said:

    It has always been evident that PB is not going to pass any polling company's standards for a broadly equivalent sample representative of the general population but I am surprised at the number of non watchers of GOT declaring themselves this morning.

    Not watched an episode.
    +1 it looks very childish
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    What everyone knows is that the skeletons in Johnson’s cupboards are more numerous than anyone else’s. If Gove doing coke is headline news, prepare for serious incoming on the next, and probably the last, Tory PM.

    Johnson can get away with it as in the words of Alan Clarke if anyone asked if he had skeletons he said 'cupboards full' and everyone expected it. Gove though looks like a swot so it might actually even add some colour to his campaign
    It's like bad boy top trumps. Johnson the serial philanderer and recommender of punishment beatings is raised by coke-head Gove. What next?
    The late Peter Morrison would have had topped that.
    He certainly topped a lot if rumours were to be believed
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676

    I'm holding out for a Tory contender who admits to having done Ketamine.

    In a brothel.

    Joe Ashton denies it.

    He was only asking for directions
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,679

    I’ve not watched Game Of Thrones either, but I don’t watch much TV anyway. I could write a long list of acclaimed TV shows I’ve not seen.

    I’m thinking I might make the effort to look at Chernobyl.

    Worth it, though the universal acclaim is encouraging my own snobbery to make me doubt myself. Oddly the one Chernobyl obsessive I know hasn't watched it because he refuses to take Sky due to the Murdoch connection.
    Tell them it is ok now, old Rupe no longer owns Sky.

    Or would they prefer this.

    Russia makes own version of Chernobyl disaster series, blaming CIA agent for nuclear explosion following success of Sky Original mini-series

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/furious-russia-makes-own-version-of-chernobyl-disaster-blaming-cia-agent-for-nuclear-disaster-a4161766.html
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    May got the Withdrawal Agreement on with the EU and it is still there and she only took over once Brexit has been voted for having backed Remain. Brown was at the helm when we spent too much and the city was under regulated
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    It has always been evident that PB is not going to pass any polling company's standards for a broadly equivalent sample representative of the general population but I am surprised at the number of non watchers of GOT declaring themselves this morning. It has been the biggest thing on TV in many years and introduced several phrases into general discourse.

    Tyrion Lannister was the best. A constant source of amusement and wisdom. For example: "“It’s easy to confuse ‘what is’ with ‘what ought to be,’ especially when ‘what is’ has worked out in your favour.” Something many politicians could learn from.

    More to the tastes on here is: “A mind needs books like a sword needs a whetstone if it is to keep its edge. That's why I read so much Jon Snow.”

    Its because PB is full of snobs ;)
    You added an extra "s" there
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,869
    Roger said:

    Parris on Boris

    ".....Incompetence is not funny. Policy vacuum is not funny. Administrative sloth is not funny. Breaking promises is not funny. A careless disregard for the truth is not funny. Advising old mates planning to beat somebody up is not funny. Abortions and gagging orders are not funny. Creeping ambition in a jester’s cap is not funny. Vacuity posing as merriment, cynicism posing as savviness, a wink and smile covering for betrayal . . . these things are not funny".

    (Well they're QUITE funny)

    ....and all because Boris called the repeal of section 28 "appalling" according to Dominic Lawson.

    There's nothing quite like watching Tories eat each other (if you'll excuse the metaphor)

    Gives babies a break, at least.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    I think, as in the Labour contest this talk of entryism is for the large part absolubte gash. The memberships always wanted Boris and they always wanted Corbyn, certainly for Labour's part more than their MPs ever knew.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,869
    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    May got the Withdrawal Agreement on with the EU and it is still there and she only took over once Brexit has been voted for having backed Remain. Brown was at the helm when we spent too much and the city was under regulated
    Tories so having been crying out for more regulation of the city ...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    edited June 2019

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914
    edited June 2019
    Roger said:

    Parris on Boris

    ".....Incompetence is not funny. Policy vacuum is not funny. Administrative sloth is not funny. Breaking promises is not funny. A careless disregard for the truth is not funny. Advising old mates planning to beat somebody up is not funny. Abortions and gagging orders are not funny. Creeping ambition in a jester’s cap is not funny. Vacuity posing as merriment, cynicism posing as savviness, a wink and smile covering for betrayal . . . these things are not funny".

    (Well they're QUITE funny)

    ....and all because Boris called the repeal of section 28 "appalling" according to Dominic Lawson.

    There's nothing quite like watching Tories eat each other (if you'll excuse the metaphor)

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-3511936/DOMINIC-LAWSON-betrayed-Boris-like-t-help-forgiving-him.html

    (Cont....Dominic Lawson at his worst)
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,005

    I'm holding out for a Tory contender who admits to having done Ketamine.

    In a brothel.

    I'm sure SeanT would be able to suggest someone that fits the bill. Such a shame he's no longer around.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,534

    "we may well be heading for unchartered electoral waters."

    Good heavens. Who would have thought of that before Curtice mentioned it?

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    edited June 2019

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    Agreed, it looks like Boris v Gove or Hunt to the membership and Boris wins.

    Raab as you say will get to the last 4 on a No Deal ticket but no further, be knocked out and then most of his backers transfer to Boris so Boris then likely comes top with MPs and it is between Gove and Hunt as to who faces Boris in the runoff
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    Pulpstar said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    I think, as in the Labour contest this talk of entryism is for the large part absolubte gash. The memberships always wanted Boris and they always wanted Corbyn, certainly for Labour's part more than their MPs ever knew.
    I think the membership's default vote is for Boris, yes, but the same members were ready to make David Davis leader in 2005. The longer term members I know are open to voting for any candidate who will definitely leave the EU, I expect the entryists would only vote for Boris or Raab regardless of the merits of the other candidate.
  • TabmanTabman Posts: 1,046
    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    The move on Dominic Grieve is oddly timed. It’s as though the hardline Leavers are determined to make it as difficult as possible for the next Conservative leader to be the next Prime Minister.

    Hasn’t this been in train for a while - notice for an EGM, etc
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    Jonathan said:

    If you’re not a middle class, middle aged Tory candidate possession of Cocaine can carry a 51 week sentence, the least you can get away with is a fine and a criminal record. Just saying.

    Hypocrisy abounds with the Tories , recreational if they are doing it but criminal if you are a pleb and unable to understand the consequences.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914
    malcolmg said:

    I was going to say that there aren’t enough tits. And then I realised that British politics has more than enough tits already.

    Not to mention a sufficiency of c*nts.
    and arseholes
    ...any advance on arseholes?
  • TabmanTabman Posts: 1,046

    I'm holding out for a Tory contender who admits to having done Ketamine.

    In a brothel.

    I'm sure SeanT would be able to suggest someone that fits the bill. Such a shame he's no longer around.
    That's very sad to hear
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    May got the Withdrawal Agreement on with the EU and it is still there and she only took over once Brexit has been voted for having backed Remain. Brown was at the helm when we spent too much and the city was under regulated
    The city was overregulated, but it was done badly.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    Pulpstar said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    I think, as in the Labour contest this talk of entryism is for the large part absolubte gash. The memberships always wanted Boris and they always wanted Corbyn, certainly for Labour's part more than their MPs ever knew.
    Actually I was going ti vote AB until he backed austerity lite leaving only Jezza as anti auterity.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    edited June 2019
    Tabman said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
    If Corbyn was a liberal he would back social mobility but he is not, Corbyn does not want to improve access to the capitalist class via social mobility, as a socialist and borderline Marxist Corbyn wants to destroy the capitalist class and ultimately become a largely state run economy, as McDonnell affirmed when he said 'overthrowing capitalism is his job'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-politics-44189922/john-mcdonnell-says-overthrowing-capitalism-is-his-job
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,005

    I’ve not watched Game Of Thrones either, but I don’t watch much TV anyway. I could write a long list of acclaimed TV shows I’ve not seen.

    I’m thinking I might make the effort to look at Chernobyl.

    Worth it, though the universal acclaim is encouraging my own snobbery to make me doubt myself. Oddly the one Chernobyl obsessive I know hasn't watched it because he refuses to take Sky due to the Murdoch connection.
    Tell them it is ok now, old Rupe no longer owns Sky.

    Or would they prefer this.

    Russia makes own version of Chernobyl disaster series, blaming CIA agent for nuclear explosion following success of Sky Original mini-series

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/furious-russia-makes-own-version-of-chernobyl-disaster-blaming-cia-agent-for-nuclear-disaster-a4161766.html
    For the true Rupe hater even an historical association is too much. My pal used to get the Morning Star delivered, so he might like the Russian version.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    HYUFD said:

    Tabman said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
    If Corbyn was a liberal he would back social mobility but he is not, Corbyn does not want to improve access to the capitalist class via social mobility, as a socialist and borderline Marxist Corbyn wants to destroy the capitalist class and ultimately become a largely state run economy, as McDonnell affirmed when he said 'overthrowing capitalism is his job'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-politics-44189922/john-mcdonnell-says-overthrowing-capitalism-is-his-job
    Mitigating the worst excesses of Capitalism
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    May got the Withdrawal Agreement on with the EU and it is still there and she only took over once Brexit has been voted for having backed Remain. Brown was at the helm when we spent too much and the city was under regulated
    Tories so having been crying out for more regulation of the city ...
    Peter Lilley certainly did
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    It has always been evident that PB is not going to pass any polling company's standards for a broadly equivalent sample representative of the general population but I am surprised at the number of non watchers of GOT declaring themselves this morning. It has been the biggest thing on TV in many years and introduced several phrases into general discourse.

    Tyrion Lannister was the best. A constant source of amusement and wisdom. For example: "“It’s easy to confuse ‘what is’ with ‘what ought to be,’ especially when ‘what is’ has worked out in your favour.” Something many politicians could learn from.

    More to the tastes on here is: “A mind needs books like a sword needs a whetstone if it is to keep its edge. That's why I read so much Jon Snow.”

    Its because PB is full of snobs ;)
    They actually furtively watch it under the covers (as it were) but deny it in public
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    I have never seen an episode of GoT, and gods willing, I never shall.

    I thought "Game of Thrones" was a rehash of the Jacobite "rebellions" with a series finale completed a few weeks back referencing 1745.

    The new series takes us past the 2022 general election and the Jacobite Party/Dragons Alliance firing up the nation .... sadly with a scorched earth policy in LibDem seats !! .... :naughty:
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006
    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    May got the Withdrawal Agreement on with the EU and it is still there and she only took over once Brexit has been voted for having backed Remain. Brown was at the helm when we spent too much and the city was under regulated
    If it is clear that the EU won't reopen negotiations and the Commons blocks No Deal I assume that the new PM will call a GE. If that proves to be the case are the Tories are going to run on a No Deal platform?
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,808
    Mr. Owls, the problem with capitalism is it has boom and bust, winners and losers. Socialism is much more consistent and better for equality too, with practically everyone losing out.

    Mr. W, that's just a modern remake of Ludus Purpurae, the Game of the Purple which Romans played when contesting mastery of the empire.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,005
    Tabman said:

    I'm holding out for a Tory contender who admits to having done Ketamine.

    In a brothel.

    I'm sure SeanT would be able to suggest someone that fits the bill. Such a shame he's no longer around.
    That's very sad to hear
    I'm only referring to his presence (under that name) on here, I hasten to add!
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    The financial crash was not Brown's -- unless you think Brown a financial genius who cleverly avoided the global financial crisis (catchphrase: which started in America) only to stumble at the last minute into a quite separate hole.

    But it is David Cameron who is the worst prime minister since Lord North, whose unforced errors directly led to Brexit. Theresa May has played her cards badly but she was dealt a bad hand by Cameron.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    HYUFD said:

    Tabman said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
    If Corbyn was a liberal he would back social mobility but he is not, Corbyn does not want to improve access to the capitalist class via social mobility, as a socialist and borderline Marxist Corbyn wants to destroy the capitalist class and ultimately become a largely state run economy, as McDonnell affirmed when he said 'overthrowing capitalism is his job'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-politics-44189922/john-mcdonnell-says-overthrowing-capitalism-is-his-job
    The greatest traitors as far as the Left is concerned are those erstwhile members of the working class who have made good.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038
    Add me to the list of folk who have never watched GoT

    That sort of stuff doesn't appeal to me, and if I wanted to see nakedness there is no shortage of that on line, or so TSE tells me...
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456
    Tabman said:

    I'm holding out for a Tory contender who admits to having done Ketamine.

    In a brothel.

    I'm sure SeanT would be able to suggest someone that fits the bill. Such a shame he's no longer around.
    That's very sad to hear
    What’s happened to Sean T
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,808
    Mr. JohnL, Brown borrowed repeatedly during a boom, leading us into crisis management with a deficit, and designed the regulatory system which failed. Australia's regulations worked rather better, for example.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    It has always been evident that PB is not going to pass any polling company's standards for a broadly equivalent sample representative of the general population but I am surprised at the number of non watchers of GOT declaring themselves this morning. It has been the biggest thing on TV in many years and introduced several phrases into general discourse.

    Tyrion Lannister was the best. A constant source of amusement and wisdom. For example: "“It’s easy to confuse ‘what is’ with ‘what ought to be,’ especially when ‘what is’ has worked out in your favour.” Something many politicians could learn from.

    More to the tastes on here is: “A mind needs books like a sword needs a whetstone if it is to keep its edge. That's why I read so much Jon Snow.”

    Its because PB is full of snobs ;)
    They actually furtively watch it under the covers (as it were) but deny it in public
    I declare that I have watched every episode.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    Morning stone cold losers of PB.

    Waiting for a Con leadership expose involving cocaine AND hookers now! :D
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237
    Very good! - although I have never seen GoT either.

    Interestingly, one of the biggest fans of the programme - Michael Gove - is in the news this morning admitting to a cocaine habit.

    That will hardly go down well in the shires - but at least he don't lie.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,005
    kinabalu said:

    Very good! - although I have never seen GoT either.

    Interestingly, one of the biggest fans of the programme - Michael Gove - is in the news this morning admitting to a cocaine habit.

    That will hardly go down well in the shires - but at least he don't lie.

    https://twitter.com/MichaelRosenYes/status/1137279388314214400
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    The financial crash was not Brown's -- unless you think Brown a financial genius who cleverly avoided the global financial crisis (catchphrase: which started in America) only to stumble at the last minute into a quite separate hole.

    But it is David Cameron who is the worst prime minister since Lord North, whose unforced errors directly led to Brexit. Theresa May has played her cards badly but she was dealt a bad hand by Cameron.
    Which part of America was Northern Rock in ?

    It should be remembered that the UK was in recession six months before Lehmann went bankrupt.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    Weird to read about a Tory taking cocaine. Because it makes you self-obsessed, makes you think you know everything, makes you not give a shit about others. And so does taking cocaine.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    edited June 2019

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Ironically, Theresa May should have been that leader. Think back to her JAMs speech. Trouble is, while she might have been a good Conservative, she was a lousy politician. We might one day look back and see we left the EU with what looks suspiciously like May's WA, and pay for social care with May's dementia tax, under a different name of course. But Theresa May far better represented the old Tory party in the country than did the Notting Hill trustafarians around Cameron or the economic radicals round Thatcher.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    Tory leadership race is now Boris Johnson’s to lose as MPs back him over Brexit

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9247621/opinion-tory-leadership-race-boris-johnson/
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    edited June 2019
    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    Tabman said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
    If Corbyn was a liberal he would back social mobility but he is not, Corbyn does not want to improve access to the capitalist class via social mobility, as a socialist and borderline Marxist Corbyn wants to destroy the capitalist class and ultimately become a largely state run economy, as McDonnell affirmed when he said 'overthrowing capitalism is his job'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-politics-44189922/john-mcdonnell-says-overthrowing-capitalism-is-his-job
    The greatest traitors as far as the Left is concerned are those erstwhile members of the working class who have made good.
    Exactly and hence those socially mobile former working class voters were also Thatcher's greatest supporters
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624
    Pulpstar said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    I think, as in the Labour contest this talk of entryism is for the large part absolubte gash. The memberships always wanted Boris and they always wanted Corbyn, certainly for Labour's part more than their MPs ever knew.
    I think you're right.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    Tabman said:

    I'm holding out for a Tory contender who admits to having done Ketamine.

    In a brothel.

    I'm sure SeanT would be able to suggest someone that fits the bill. Such a shame he's no longer around.
    That's very sad to hear
    why did he leave
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,808
    Mr. Borough, it baffles and depresses me that someone as demonstrably incompetent as Boris has gotten the backing of MPs. Even naked self-interest should make them want a leader who won't be inept.

    Still, maybe I'll be wrong. It has happened before.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    OllyT said:

    If it is clear that the EU won't reopen negotiations and the Commons blocks No Deal I assume that the new PM will call a GE. If that proves to be the case are the Tories are going to run on a No Deal platform?

    I don't think that's a safe assumption. They might do it if the new PM gets a serious polling bounce, but otherwise Tory MPs won't want an election that's going to threaten their seats, especially the ones that thought they were safe.

    The only option known option that might save their jobs is to vote for the deal, subject to a second referendum, which they will hope to win. Obviously no leadership candidate will mention this until they're safely in barricaded in number 10.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156

    HYUFD said:

    Tabman said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
    If Corbyn was a liberal he would back social mobility but he is not, Corbyn does not want to improve access to the capitalist class via social mobility, as a socialist and borderline Marxist Corbyn wants to destroy the capitalist class and ultimately become a largely state run economy, as McDonnell affirmed when he said 'overthrowing capitalism is his job'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-politics-44189922/john-mcdonnell-says-overthrowing-capitalism-is-his-job
    Mitigating the worst excesses of Capitalism
    No, Corbyn is a Maoist and wants to ultimately destroy capitalism altogether
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    kjohnw said:

    Tabman said:

    I'm holding out for a Tory contender who admits to having done Ketamine.

    In a brothel.

    I'm sure SeanT would be able to suggest someone that fits the bill. Such a shame he's no longer around.
    That's very sad to hear
    What’s happened to Sean T
    I seem to recall he announced that arguing on here about Brexit was becoming too much for him and he needed some time away.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    kjohnw said:

    Tabman said:

    I'm holding out for a Tory contender who admits to having done Ketamine.

    In a brothel.

    I'm sure SeanT would be able to suggest someone that fits the bill. Such a shame he's no longer around.
    That's very sad to hear
    What’s happened to Sean T
    He is still very much alive. He got frightened that his social media outpourings here and on twitter, some of them made whilst perhaps under the influence of a refreshing glass of cold lemonade, were not necessarily to his advantage, so has disappeared from view.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    edited June 2019

    Mr. Borough, it baffles and depresses me that someone as demonstrably incompetent as Boris has gotten the backing of MPs. Even naked self-interest should make them want a leader who won't be inept.

    Still, maybe I'll be wrong. It has happened before.

    It seems the Boris is incompetent reality has been priced in by MPs. They are desperate for "the magic" as Parris calls it in Times.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914
    edited June 2019
    kinabalu said:

    Very good! - although I have never seen GoT either.

    Interestingly, one of the biggest fans of the programme - Michael Gove - is in the news this morning admitting to a cocaine habit.

    That will hardly go down well in the shires - but at least he don't lie.

    I suspect he did..... He was falling behind ....his promo was pants.... Boris was lauded for being a bounder...so Sarah came up with a cunning stunt.....
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Tabman said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
    If Corbyn was a liberal he would back social mobility but he is not, Corbyn does not want to improve access to the capitalist class via social mobility, as a socialist and borderline Marxist Corbyn wants to destroy the capitalist class and ultimately become a largely state run economy, as McDonnell affirmed when he said 'overthrowing capitalism is his job'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-politics-44189922/john-mcdonnell-says-overthrowing-capitalism-is-his-job
    Mitigating the worst excesses of Capitalism
    No, Corbyn is a Maoist and wants to ultimately destroy capitalism altogether
    Is he? I'm not sure Corbyn is anything in particular. His critics, including perhaps your good self, were right first time. Corbyn is no intellectual. Corbyn, to paraphrase Theresa May, is Corbyn.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    edited June 2019
    OllyT said:

    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    May got the Withdrawal Agreement on with the EU and it is still there and she only took over once Brexit has been voted for having backed Remain. Brown was at the helm when we spent too much and the city was under regulated
    If it is clear that the EU won't reopen negotiations and the Commons blocks No Deal I assume that the new PM will call a GE. If that proves to be the case are the Tories are going to run on a No Deal platform?
    Most likely yes but most Tory MPs voted for the Withdrawal Agreement.

    However it is not impossible Boris could leave the Withdrawal Agreement as is, remove even a temporary Customs Union from the future relationship for GB and screw the DUP and agree the backstop for NI with an aim ultimately to replace it with a technical solution and call an election to get a mandate for that.

    Remember Boris voted for the Withdrawal Agreement on third reading and the Alliance not the DUP are growing in Northern Ireland and represent the median voter there
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Tabman said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
    If Corbyn was a liberal he would back social mobility but he is not, Corbyn does not want to improve access to the capitalist class via social mobility, as a socialist and borderline Marxist Corbyn wants to destroy the capitalist class and ultimately become a largely state run economy, as McDonnell affirmed when he said 'overthrowing capitalism is his job'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-politics-44189922/john-mcdonnell-says-overthrowing-capitalism-is-his-job
    Mitigating the worst excesses of Capitalism
    No, Corbyn is a Maoist and wants to ultimately destroy capitalism altogether
    I disagree and its Galloway who is the Cat
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    By contrast much of the political establishment wants ** Britain to be more like London and London to be more like the rest of the world.

    But then the view of London from an Islington wine bar or a Notting Hill dinner party may be rather niche.

    ** Or at least that's the impression I get.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Tabman said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
    If Corbyn was a liberal he would back social mobility but he is not, Corbyn does not want to improve access to the capitalist class via social mobility, as a socialist and borderline Marxist Corbyn wants to destroy the capitalist class and ultimately become a largely state run economy, as McDonnell affirmed when he said 'overthrowing capitalism is his job'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-politics-44189922/john-mcdonnell-says-overthrowing-capitalism-is-his-job
    Mitigating the worst excesses of Capitalism
    No, Corbyn is a Maoist and wants to ultimately destroy capitalism altogether
    Is he? I'm not sure Corbyn is anything in particular. His critics, including perhaps your good self, were right first time. Corbyn is no intellectual. Corbyn, to paraphrase Theresa May, is Corbyn.
    McDonnell certainly is a Maoist and he is the real brains behind Corbynism
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237
    TOPPING said:

    The greatest traitors as far as the Left is concerned are those erstwhile members of the working class who have made good.

    Yes, but only when they turn into ... well you know the type.

    "I made it so anybody can. Just need to get off yer arse and put a shift in."

    "Amount of tax I pay, it's daylight robbery, subsidizing all those lazy tossers."

    "I worked my butt off for my dough. I can fucking spend it how I like."

    "My kids don't know their born. Money I've spent on them. And look at em."

    "Say what you like about the Tories. Least they have a clue."

    Yuck.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    By contrast much of the political establishment wants ** Britain to be more like London and London to be more like the rest of the world.

    But then the view of London from an Islington wine bar or a Notting Hill dinner party may be rather niche.

    ** Or at least that's the impression I get.

    How Islington is seen by the rest of the UK outside London is about as niche as it comes.

    Do wine bars still exist?

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,808
    Mr. Borough, then they're insane.

    I like dragons. I'm aware they're fictional, however.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    New Electoral Calculus figures:

    BRX 24.1%
    Lab 22.7%
    Con 18.7%
    LD 18.3%

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

    BRX 249
    Lab 216
    Con 54
    LD 51

    So Baxter is predicting the dissolution of the Union before the next GE?

    Sweet.
    Unless the Commons is set to reduce in size by 80 seats, no.
    The dissolution of the Union would, almost certainly, reduce the size of both the Commons and the Lords. And indeed Whitehall.

    But no, I just thought it very odd that you failed to report which party would have more MPs than both the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats. Seems to be a trend to systematically remove the SNP from reports. Reminds me of those Chinese monkeys that refuse to see, hear and speak, but prefer to live in a fantasy world.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    Tabman said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour is making a serious effort to move the discussion on from Brexit, with the obvious intention of making the Tories seem tediously preoccupied with it while we discuss everything else. I'm not sure if this will succeed, but in normal times this is the sort of thing that alienated centre-left people like Southam would I think find genuinely interesting (if properly fleshed out):

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/08/jeremy-corbyn-to-drop-social-mobility-as-labour-goal

    Corbyn to replace social mobility with 'social justice' apparently ie socialism
    My reading of this is that he's talking about Liberalism - enabling each individual to flourish (or not) according to their talent and effort

    Collectivism of the Corbynite kind is the antithesis of this. Something doesn't compute.
    If Corbyn was a liberal he would back social mobility but he is not, Corbyn does not want to improve access to the capitalist class via social mobility, as a socialist and borderline Marxist Corbyn wants to destroy the capitalist class and ultimately become a largely state run economy, as McDonnell affirmed when he said 'overthrowing capitalism is his job'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-politics-44189922/john-mcdonnell-says-overthrowing-capitalism-is-his-job
    The greatest traitors as far as the Left is concerned are those erstwhile members of the working class who have made good.
    Add in being from a minority background and they start chasing us with a noose...
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Mr. JohnL, Brown borrowed repeatedly during a boom, leading us into crisis management with a deficit, and designed the regulatory system which failed. Australia's regulations worked rather better, for example.

    Borrowing before the crisis was not high by historical or international standards.

    What worked for Australia was digging very big holes in the middle of the country and riding a commodities boom. Same with Canada.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624
    So when do we find out if self-described 'Brexit Hard Man' Steve Baker is hard enough to run for Conservative leader ?

    Or is he only hard enough to whine from the sidelines ?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237

    Weird to read about a Tory taking cocaine. Because it makes you self-obsessed, makes you think you know everything, makes you not give a shit about others. And so does taking cocaine.

    :smile:
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    edited June 2019
    malcolmg said:

    Tabman said:

    I'm holding out for a Tory contender who admits to having done Ketamine.

    In a brothel.

    I'm sure SeanT would be able to suggest someone that fits the bill. Such a shame he's no longer around.
    That's very sad to hear
    why did he leave
    Morning Macl. :D

    I was told Sean has gone all Hollywood on us and was worried about all the bullshit he's posted on here over the past decade coming out so got Smithson The Younger to delete his posting history. ;)
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Hmmm - I am not sure places like Manchester, Liverpool, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Cardiff, Bristol, Leeds, Brighton, Norwich and Birmingham are instinctively conservative. Or maybe they count as university towns?

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,381
    One thing that tends to get overlooked in discussions about Conservatism is the remarkably unConservative decision to join the EU in the first place. What was that but a truly radical break with the country's traditions, in the name of ideology?
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,808
    Mr. JohnL, that doesn't explain Australia's financial sector being more robust than ours.

    Borrowing was unnecessary during a boom. It made our position worse when the bust, which Brown thought he'd magicked away, arrived.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    By contrast much of the political establishment wants ** Britain to be more like London and London to be more like the rest of the world.

    But then the view of London from an Islington wine bar or a Notting Hill dinner party may be rather niche.

    ** Or at least that's the impression I get.

    How Islington is seen by the rest of the UK outside London is about as niche as it comes.

    Do wine bars still exist?

    Given that Islington was where Blair lived and made his deal with Brown in a local restaurant and where the MPs are Corbyn and Thornberry there is some justification for how Islington is seen by the rest of the UK.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006

    OllyT said:

    If it is clear that the EU won't reopen negotiations and the Commons blocks No Deal I assume that the new PM will call a GE. If that proves to be the case are the Tories are going to run on a No Deal platform?

    I don't think that's a safe assumption. They might do it if the new PM gets a serious polling bounce, but otherwise Tory MPs won't want an election that's going to threaten their seats, especially the ones that thought they were safe.

    The only option known option that might save their jobs is to vote for the deal, subject to a second referendum, which they will hope to win. Obviously no leadership candidate will mention this until they're safely in barricaded in number 10.
    I asked the question because it would seem the only logical thing to do yet they would be stupid to do it. I agree with you in that there will be some sharp manoeuvring from whoever wins the poisoned chalice next month and the party membership are not going to be happy.

    Under those circumstances Farage will still have a strong betrayal message so I think we are heading for a second vote rather than a GE and have felt so for some time. Kicking it back to the people seems the only viable option left.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    edited June 2019

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Ironically, Theresa May should have been that leader. Think back to her JAMs speech. Trouble is, while she might have been a good Conservative, she was a lousy politician. We might one day look back and see we left the EU with what looks suspiciously like May's WA, and pay for social care with May's dementia tax, under a different name of course. But Theresa May far better represented the old Tory party in the country than did the Notting Hill trustafarians around Cameron or the economic radicals round Thatcher.
    Indeed, Thatcher was the beginning of the end. She was not a conservative, she was a revolutionary.

    There are many examples of her animosity towards conservatism, but funnily enough one of her very late introductions sticks in my mind: the National Lottery. She, quite rightly, resisted the suggestion for a decade, but caved in in the end. The Big State, week in week out fleeces the absolute poorest people in society. It is a National Disgrace and a National Shame. Of course charlatan Blair loved it too.

    A true conservative would abolish the National Lottery, ban the gambling industry from advertising, and protect the vulnerable from one of society’s most persistent evils.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Hmmm - I am not sure places like Manchester, Liverpool, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Cardiff, Bristol, Leeds, Brighton, Norwich and Birmingham are instinctively conservative. Or maybe they count as university towns?

    There's some extreme social conservatism taking place in Birmingham currently.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    By contrast much of the political establishment wants ** Britain to be more like London and London to be more like the rest of the world.

    But then the view of London from an Islington wine bar or a Notting Hill dinner party may be rather niche.

    ** Or at least that's the impression I get.

    How Islington is seen by the rest of the UK outside London is about as niche as it comes.

    Do wine bars still exist?

    Given that Islington was where Blair lived and made his deal with Brown in a local restaurant and where the MPs are Corbyn and Thornberry there is some justification for how Islington is seen by the rest of the UK.

    I guess hugging a lazy stereotype close is much more comforting than making the effort to embrace reality. But when you’re racing whippets maybe there’s no time to do more ;-)
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,808
    Mr. Dickson, MPs should look at lootboxes in videogames. Not in my sort of genre, but I know enough to view such practices askance.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237
    edited June 2019
    Roger said:

    I suspect he did..... He was falling behind ....his promo was pants.... Boris was lauded for being a bounder...so Sarah came up with a cunning stunt.....

    I wondered about that too. On balance I reckon he fessed up to get ahead of a story that he knew was coming out anyway.

    Certainly it won't be a case of mere disinterested honesty. I was just trying to lever in the Eric Clapton song ref. :smile:

    Perhaps what we have here is an example of when a leader fails the next one is chosen to be as different as possible. To be the ultimate contrast.

    So, the most 'naughty' thing that Mrs May ever did (apart from triggering article 50 without a plan) was to run unsupervised through a field of wheat.

    We go from that to Boris Johnson, who does 6 naughty things before breakfast - and that's when he's on his own.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    Based on OGH's view that leadership rates are super important. These numbers of Jezza should mean he gets nowhere near Downing Street:

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1136893306539929601

    That must be close to his lowest ever score. And yes it is very significant.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624

    Mr. JohnL, that doesn't explain Australia's financial sector being more robust than ours.

    Borrowing was unnecessary during a boom. It made our position worse when the bust, which Brown thought he'd magicked away, arrived.

    We never had a 'boom' - we had a credit bubble fuelling house price rises and increasing retail expenditure.

    The last 'boom' in the UK had Nigel Lawson's name attached to it and fizzled out in 1990.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653
    felix said:

    Based on OGH's view that leadership rates are super important. These numbers of Jezza should mean he gets nowhere near Downing Street:

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1136893306539929601

    That must be close to his lowest ever score. And yes it is very significant.

    I think he got to 15 at one point.

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,808
    Mr. Felix, plus Don't Know is now better than the Conservative and Labour leaders' combined score.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Hmmm - I am not sure places like Manchester, Liverpool, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Cardiff, Bristol, Leeds, Brighton, Norwich and Birmingham are instinctively conservative. Or maybe they count as university towns?

    There's some extreme social conservatism taking place in Birmingham currently.

    Yep, Esther McVey loves it.

  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    felix said:

    Based on OGH's view that leadership rates are super important. These numbers of Jezza should mean he gets nowhere near Downing Street:

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1136893306539929601

    That must be close to his lowest ever score. And yes it is very significant.
    Totally agree.

    And if you think that’s bad, just take a look at Richard Leonard’s ratings in Scotland.

    All recent Conservative (London) leaders have had appalling approval ratings in Scotland, but I strongly suspect that Boris or Gove would break all the records.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Hmmm - I am not sure places like Manchester, Liverpool, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Cardiff, Bristol, Leeds, Brighton, Norwich and Birmingham are instinctively conservative. Or maybe they count as university towns?

    There's some extreme social conservatism taking place in Birmingham currently.

    Yep, Esther McVey loves it.

    Indeed - and notably quiet on this issue is the Labour Party leadership - I wonder why that might be..........
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Hmmm - I am not sure places like Manchester, Liverpool, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Cardiff, Bristol, Leeds, Brighton, Norwich and Birmingham are instinctively conservative. Or maybe they count as university towns?

    I'm not sure places like Manchester, Liverpool, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Cardiff, Bristol, Leeds, Brighton, Norwich and Birmingham are required to put Boris in place for a couple of Parliaments with healthy majorities either.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164
    edited June 2019

    felix said:

    Based on OGH's view that leadership rates are super important. These numbers of Jezza should mean he gets nowhere near Downing Street:

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1136893306539929601

    That must be close to his lowest ever score. And yes it is very significant.
    Totally agree.

    And if you think that’s bad, just take a look at Richard Leonard’s ratings in Scotland.

    All recent Conservative (London) leaders have had appalling approval ratings in Scotland, but I strongly suspect that Boris or Gove would break all the records.
    I agree about Boris - don't know about Gove. I know you won't agree but Ruth's achievement in leading the Tories to second place in Scotland is truly one of the brightest features of the party's fortunes in decades.
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    Add me to the list of folk who have never watched GoT

    That sort of stuff doesn't appeal to me, and if I wanted to see nakedness there is no shortage of that on line, or so TSE tells me...

    You can read the book(s) and enjoy the traitorous intrigue without the visual stimulation.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751
    Along those lines, it's perhaps worth bearing in mind Nostradamus's prophecy (Century 13, quatrain 105). A rough translation from the early-modern French would be:
    "When two fair-haired brothers born in the New City across the Western Sea hold sway in the lands of the English tongue, the children of Albion shall gnaw on bones."
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    Interesting that on the chart posted on TSE's thread last night it is now Raab emerging as the No Deal Brexit candidate and not Boris. A majority of MPs supporting Raab have never voted for the Withdrawal Agreement or only voted for it once while at least half of MPs backing Boris voted for the Deal all 3 times and a majority at least twice.

    https://twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1137043826479161344?s=20

    Hunt and Hancock have the strongest Deal support with a majority of their MP supporters voting for the Withdrawal Agreement all three times and the remainder voting for it twice.

    Gyimah has the strongest Remain support though as all his MP supporters voted against the Withdrawal Agreement every time in order to push for EUref2

    Given that the great balance of outstanding voters are “three timers”, it seems highly probable that Raab is out - even if all of the ERGers haven’t declared.

    One assumes that Raab’s votes will transfer to Boris rather than Gove or Hunt.

    Then, the membership - not least the tens of thousands of Brexity entryists - will see Boris through to the leadership.

    Barring “events”, he’s a shoo-in.
    If May had done the honourable thing and resigned when she should have those entryists wouldn't be eligible to vote. She's been a failure many times over in many different ways. Easily the worst post war PM, worse than Brown who was the grandfather of much of this with his financial crash.
    I think, as in the Labour contest this talk of entryism is for the large part absolubte gash. The memberships always wanted Boris and they always wanted Corbyn, certainly for Labour's part more than their MPs ever knew.
    I think the membership's default vote is for Boris, yes, but the same members were ready to make David Davis leader in 2005. The longer term members I know are open to voting for any candidate who will definitely leave the EU, I expect the entryists would only vote for Boris or Raab regardless of the merits of the other candidate.
    I don't think anyone can repeat Cameron's trick of pretending to be a eurosceptic this time round.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Hmmm - I am not sure places like Manchester, Liverpool, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Cardiff, Bristol, Leeds, Brighton, Norwich and Birmingham are instinctively conservative. Or maybe they count as university towns?

    There's some extreme social conservatism taking place in Birmingham currently.

    Yep, Esther McVey loves it.

    Its Labour who they vote for.

    But I suspect there's a wide range of people who would like to hear less about homosexuality on the one side and Islamic social conservatism on the other.

    Ditto with the Trans / TERF conflict.

    People who might be described as 'instinctively conservative'.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,869

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Ironically, Theresa May should have been that leader. Think back to her JAMs speech. Trouble is, while she might have been a good Conservative, she was a lousy politician. We might one day look back and see we left the EU with what looks suspiciously like May's WA, and pay for social care with May's dementia tax, under a different name of course. But Theresa May far better represented the old Tory party in the country than did the Notting Hill trustafarians around Cameron or the economic radicals round Thatcher.
    Indeed, Thatcher was the beginning of the end. She was not a conservative, she was a revolutionary.

    There are many examples of her animosity towards conservatism, but funnily enough one of her very late introductions sticks in my mind: the National Lottery. She, quite rightly, resisted the suggestion for a decade, but caved in in the end. The Big State, week in week out fleeces the absolute poorest people in society. It is a National Disgrace and a National Shame. Of course charlatan Blair loved it too.

    A true conservative would abolish the National Lottery, ban the gambling industry from advertising, and protect the vulnerable from one of society’s most persistent evils.
    And it takes all that money from the poor and every week creates a new rich person. There is some interesting research awaited on the long run impact on wealth distribution
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    felix said:

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Hmmm - I am not sure places like Manchester, Liverpool, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Cardiff, Bristol, Leeds, Brighton, Norwich and Birmingham are instinctively conservative. Or maybe they count as university towns?

    There's some extreme social conservatism taking place in Birmingham currently.

    Yep, Esther McVey loves it.

    Indeed - and notably quiet on this issue is the Labour Party leadership - I wonder why that might be..........
    felix said:

    Goodwin in Telegraph:

    "One of the peculiarities of Britain is that once you step outside of London and the university towns this remains an instinctively conservative nation. Yet at the same time it has a Conservative Party that is afraid of being conservative."

    "Yet winning back these voters would not be hard. It requires a Conservative Party to do what it says on the tin"

    Hmmm - I am not sure places like Manchester, Liverpool, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Cardiff, Bristol, Leeds, Brighton, Norwich and Birmingham are instinctively conservative. Or maybe they count as university towns?

    There's some extreme social conservatism taking place in Birmingham currently.

    Yep, Esther McVey loves it.

    Indeed - and notably quiet on this issue is the Labour Party leadership - I wonder why that might be..........
    Wes Streeting to refer fellow Lab MP Godsiff with formal complaint to Labour Party
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,005
    edited June 2019

    felix said:

    Based on OGH's view that leadership rates are super important. These numbers of Jezza should mean he gets nowhere near Downing Street:

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1136893306539929601

    That must be close to his lowest ever score. And yes it is very significant.
    Totally agree.

    And if you think that’s bad, just take a look at Richard Leonard’s ratings in Scotland.

    All recent Conservative (London) leaders have had appalling approval ratings in Scotland, but I strongly suspect that Boris or Gove would break all the records.
    Fraser Nelson is trying to fly the idea that Boris isn't so unpopular in Scotland, & that people suggesting he is are trying to do so on the basis that he's a posh Englishman rather than because he's a lying, self seeking arsehole.

    Patronising git.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    Chris said:

    Along those lines, it's perhaps worth bearing in mind Nostradamus's prophecy (Century 13, quatrain 105). A rough translation from the early-modern French would be:
    "When two fair-haired brothers born in the New City across the Western Sea hold sway in the lands of the English tongue, the children of Albion shall gnaw on bones."

    I think he was actually channelling Game of Thrones.....
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038
    So will one of the Tory leadership candidates feel the need to make a false confession in one of the Sunday papers just to stay in the game?
This discussion has been closed.