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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Whilst TMay is said to be contemplating a no deal Brexit LAB’s once again embroiled in an anti semitism row
Theresa May is now seriously contemplating a no-deal Brexit. Here's the story of why:https://t.co/WFDKKd60Ql
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Cannot be bothered. It is all so pointless.
Goodnight.
We certainly have been told often enough on both Brexit and anti Antisemitism
I would like to never see the word constructive used every again though.
“Get rid of him!”
“Why?”
“Don’t know!”
Sadness and confusion ensues....
Amateurs.
I managed to get a job-lot in ages ago.
The only reason for an extension is if we've made a decision and need a small time to make preparations.
If only we'd had a period of 2 years to make preparations already ...
Sod's law shall not be denied.
The woman is a menace. The Tories will be destroyed if she carries on like this.
As will the country.
1. That they are pro-business.
2. That they are patriotic.
All they have left is not being Labour.
They will not be forgiven.
They do not cavort with terrorists nor undermine our security services either.
But, you're in hyperpartisan mood today so this will all fall on deaf ears.
BT are first class including a complete wi fi guarantee and keep connected promise.
1) The only true patriotism is Tory patrlotism.
2) Terrorist supporting barbaric regimes are fine provided they buy our arms to kill with.
https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1095087858182963201
Have the Brexiteers arranged for a fatwa?
The voice of fanaticism.
That would be the week before the 2019q1 stats are published.
They are unlikely to be good.
May has reached out to all parties. Labour could ratify the existing deal and still seek a customs union after the next election. That would achieve avoiding no deal and get what they are seeking.
If MPs from the opposition really want to prevent no deal there is a simple solution. If the EU really won't renegotiate and if MPs really want to stop no deal then May isn't the one voting against the deal.
Any opposition MP who claims to be worried about no deal but isn't prepared to vote for the EU's deal is crying crocodile tears.
I mean, her dancing is bad, but not that bad.
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2019/02/11/tories-unlikely-gain-enough-seats-solve-brexit-woe
"It is better to be an enemy of the British than their friend, because they buy their enemies and sell their friends"
UK
Industrial production -0.8%
Retail sales +3.0%
France
Industrial production -1.4%
Retail sales -2.3%
Germany
Industrial production -3.9%
Retail sales -2.1%
Italy
Industrial production -5.5%
Retail sales -0.6%
Spain
Industrial production -6.2%
Retail sales +0.8%
That is the third of the last four polls with labour on 34%
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cambridgeshire-47203814
However the model predicts that as things currently stand they would only manage to gain six of these crucial target seats. The main reason for this is a phenomena sometimes referred to as the “sophomore surge”, where first time incumbent MPs get a slightly higher voter share than would otherwise be expected.
This has been a fairly consistent theme in election results for the past 35 years, most notably in 2001 when there was a 2% swing against Labour nationally but the Tories only managed to pick up four seats.
Many Conservatives target seats are in constituencies Labour first gained in 2017, so they will have to battle against this incumbency boost. On average, in the 28 seats that Labour gained from the Conservatives in the last election, the model is currently showing there would be a small swing to Labour rather than the national swing against.
Also wonder how UKIP's 5% vote splits in all those constituencies where they wouldn't have candidates.
(Not that they're impossible - they merely imply (a) that some countries aren't that industrial, and/or (b) that December was a meaningfully worse month than Nov/Dec.)
That Times prediction is for 4 seat gains. That isn't even MOE from the status quo, and before May writes a manifesto.
Have a pleasant nights rest folks
Good night
I cannot for the life of me see the logic of No Dealing on 29th March, waiting for a month or so before holding a GE in early May.
I suppose the idea would be to distract us from the chaos by having an election, or perhaps their modelling shows the No Deal chaos gets far worse after a couple of months.
Am I missing something?