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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s approval ratings fall from from a net minus 3% to a net minus 32% in just one year
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The day was always going to come when he needed to take a position and upset a lot of people
Obviously not good for him, but Labour is far more tribal than the Conservatives. Support may not dip as much as it would were these stats for a Conservative leader.
http://convictedmp.co.uk/
Whatever ones own personal opinion of the man, there is no doubt that Salmond turned that around when he stood as an MSP and then relinquished the B&B Westminster seat.
There is no future for Wales until there is a realistic prospect of altering the one-party state. At the moment, there is the worst gerrymander in the Western world where Labour get 50 per cent of the seats on 30 per cent of the vote and Labour pipsqueaks preside over grotesque national decline.
There is bloody reckoning coming for Welsh Labour, although probably not till Labour are in charge of Westminster again.
"Unfortunately, with 'Ol Bonehead in charge, the best they can hope for is a hung Parliament."
Why, tis only a flesh wound. Once the three week campaign starts, the manhole cover coveter will surge ahead.
A re-run referendum will solve nothing but cause more bitterness, a GE will be indecisive, but a definite date for a leave date from the EU will help solve some issues. So, we can rule that out for sure.
A new leader will get a 'new manager bounce'. Even if you took over. But on my shallow examination, she's neither new enough or attractive enough for it to be permanent.
Down 4.3% on the month
Down 2.1% on the year
https://www.destatis.de/EN/PressServices/Press/pr/2019/01/PE19_035_45212.html
Imagine the headlines if that had happened in this country.
Your ad hominem is just distraction.
I look forward to your worthy dietary tips.
Mind you I do think most people vote for the least worst option which means that for most voters parties don't win them the other party gifts / loses them due to a policy / policies that voter hates. And the Social care death tax was a great example of that.
We have no idea what post Brexit politics looks like.
Corbynistas will no doubt (rightly) point out that Corbyn's ratings were also bad - worse, indeed - before the 2017 campaign and improved hugely in the month leading up to the vote but in doing so, they ignore two things. Firstly, the Tory campaign cannot be guaranteed to be so singularly dreadful again (though if may is still leader, it might be); and secondly, voters who gave Corbyn a second chance in 2017 - remember, Labour was level-pegging with the Tories under Corbyn, while Cameron was PM - might be disinclined to give him a third one, no matter how well he campaigns.
my best tip is keep lots of stock or bouillon in the house. I hardly throw any food away since I make it into soup before it goes off. You can also freeze it,
If the worst comes to the worst, we can eat Remainers, they'll probably think it's a mercy-killing.
My own uninformed guess is that quite a lot of the drop in investment is 'business model in turmoil' related.
But no one seems to be planning battery plants here, as opposed to Europe.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-batteries-europe-factbox/factbox-plans-for-electric-vehicle-battery-production-in-europe-idUSKCN1NE0K5
And, of course, Dyson, who aspires to be a player, has refocussed on Asia.
Because there does need to be some more money put into Social Care, other than from the Unicorn Bank.
As it is based on the polling, the situation and everything that comes with an election campaign I'd feel pretty confident about going into the next election.
If those students are already in the VI numbers then Labour wont be able to gain them a second time.
The positive scenario for Labour is that they're not in the present VI but will return to Labour at a GE.
The negative scenario for Labour is that they're already in the present VI but don't turn out at a GE.
The classic case study is the 2011 Scottish Holyrood election, when Iain Gray's Labour had comfortable double-digit leads early in 2011, despite Alex Salmond enjoying much better leadership ratings. During the election, the VI completely switched around, to such an extent that the SNP won by 14% and gained an outright majority.
The only extent to which I would say that there's a massive variable in the pipeline is in that there's a fair chance of a new Tory leader before the next GE, providing that the election isn't this Spring (which it might be if the DUP withdraw support from the Tories over the WA). But if it's later, Corbyn will be facing not May but a different PM. That may benefit Labour; alternatively, it very much might not.
The WFA change was a vote loser in 2017 as well.
This is causing problems for JLR, who had something like 90% diesel sales in Europe only a couple of years ago and can’t get their electric model out of the factory bar a couple of press demonstrators. Most of the European ‘premium’ brands have similar problems. Tesla’s game-changing mass-market Model 3 is about to land in Europe too, and has the potential to screw up the market completely. It’s been the best selling car in the USA for the past six months as their factory ramps up production.
At the top end of the car industry in the U.K. though, business is booming. Rolls Royce, Bentley, Aston Martin and McLaren can’t build cars quick enough and all have long waiting lists for new models.
"10.15am: Jeremy Corbyn holds a meeting in Ilkeston focusing on bus services."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47063973
If Parliament wants to redeem itself for their collective behaviour over the past few months, it might like to start talking about this issue when the Brexit legislation is done and dusted.
Burnham, Cooper, Kendall, Smith, the Blairites, May and the Tory Manifesto writers all did.
I do think last time the mainstream media didn't think Corby could win and so he did benefit from little serious examination of his policies. He'll get more next critical examination time.
But, does serious examination of policies actually move many votes?
Most voters are not rational. They vote out of a combination of emotion and self-interest.
So, my guess is (especially if he is up against May or a Vanilla Tory), Corby could do it again.
Prat.
At my Porsche dealer, where I am a regular ordering bits for old 911s, their Taycan allocation sold out in a day and a half before the customers even knew what the specs or RRP would be. That is way faster than they shifted other fabulously desirable cars like the GT3RS and GT2. There's something happening here...
have a nice morning
For the past 20 years, all the political parties and the media have been onboard the current system (give or take an extra bit of tax being redirected). But pro globalism, pro large scale immigration, etc etc etc, but stoke man doesn’t think it is doing much for them.
Corbyn's internal Labour critics actually abandoned the strategy of attacking him on policy and have more gone the same route as the right wing papers because attacking him on policy largely failed, the EU is one recent exception to this to a degree.
In an ideal world elections would be about policies anyway IMO.
The country as a whole is fed up with Brexit but that doesn't go for Labour members and activists, and won't do once we leave. Labour members have a disproportionate number of FBPE types and are concentrated in London. There will be a lot of pressure to commit to rejoining. Labour can avoid the question for the moment, while they're in opposition; they can't avoid the question in their next manifesto, particularly as the Lib Dems - probably under new leadership by then - will have it as a centrepiece of their own manifesto.
the rest of the electic drive units will be built at their new factory in Wolverhampton
https://twitter.com/sunnysingh_n6/status/1090899683889897473
https://twitter.com/sunnysingh_n6/status/1090900417138081797
https://twitter.com/sunnysingh_n6/status/1090901105624657920
(Power packs contain thousands of them.)
https://twitter.com/conservative4pv/status/1090894457367654400
It could be an instructive exercise (well it won't be, but y'know)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-47045872
Bus usage gets very little media attention (or government money) compared to say London based rail lines.
But, if I was up against Corby, I would be very, very wary. He can make promises (e.g., on tuition fees or social care) that are highly seductive even if not properly costed.
And, his basic point -- that the UK has become more unequal over the last twenty years -- is right.
There are empty second homes and and there are people living the streets. It is very seductive to say let's house the people in the empty homes.
As always, if moderate politicians don't listen and don't fix the problems, then voters move to the extremes.
In that sense, Corby is the same story as Brexit. And, though the moderaes can't understand it, Brexit won. I can easily envisage Corby winning.
On Brexit, I think Corby has played a blinder. He just needs to continue getting Leavers and Remainers to believe he is on their side until March 29th.
Crossrail being delayed a year didn't exactly get huge amounts of sympathy up here.
It literally takes 2 minutes to demonstrate that you can't fund a National Care Servixe for 3 billion pounds (the number in the manifesto). 2 minutes, and the ability to do some mental arithmetic.
It is a claim on a par with 350 million for the NHS every week if we Brexit.
https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/political-monitor-satisfaction-ratings-1977-1987
while the mainstream MPs have been pratting about and making themselves look inept Corbyn has been sticking to the bread and butter issues. Hes trying to fatten the pig before market day.
Problem is that Brexit means that things are very much not equal.