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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Article 50 Exit Day – Minus 59 and everything is now put back
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Article 50 Exit Day – Minus 59 and everything is now put back to February 13th
My initial take on this eve. ‘Though parliament rejected no deal, we’re now closer to it than ever’ https://t.co/VmDWCYfhfl
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May: can-kicker extraordinaire. Not so great for the country as PM, but there you go.
Sales of the Apple iPhone have fallen hitting the tech giant's financial performance. The firm's revenue fell 5% from a year ago to about $84.3bn (£64.5bn) in the most recent quarter, with iPhone revenue down 15% to about $52bn.
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-47047297
Why the irrational hatred? This iCrap nonsense is juvenile.
Posted from my iPhone.
I'm sure most MPs would give a huge sigh of relief if the EU could find a face-saving formulation - even if that is on 28th March.
https://twitter.com/BBCHelenaLee/status/1090376156480720901
Its Groundhog Day.
(Actually, on Saturday, it really is Groundhog Day)
https://twitter.com/BBCHelenaLee/status/1090377625523183616
Hardest line Brexiteer of them all : Anne Marie Morris (Sole Tory Brexiteer against Brady)
Sole Labour to vote with Blackford : Farelly (Voted with Blackford)
For Cooper but against Spelman : Freeman, Soames ?!
Like, us coming together when the Nazis over-ran Europe. Oh sorry, Sweden, you continued to sell bearings to both sides in WW2 didn't you? If you want to talk "a historical mistake" that’s "created a problem for all of us" - try looking at that one.
That, or Yakety Sax - with hundreds of order paper-waving MPs endlessly chasing Theresa May round and round the Palace of Westminster. I'm pretty certain it will start out orderly. Good manners might even survive the previously predicted arrival of World War III and collapse of Western civilisation.
The 30% fall in house prices, on the other hand...
Of course, the latter could even be in a codicil, because if it were adjudged that the EU was not acting in good faith on its side of the treaty, then we could simply abrogate it.
(And the Vienna convention does not apply, because the EU is not a nation state, and is not a signatory to the convention, and therefore there are exactly no legal consequences from abrogation anyway...)
It wasn't that long ago the junior doctors did exactly this. Hunt and the BMA agreed a deal, the junior doctors voted not to accept.
I think fundamentally the hardware is rapidly being commoditised — you can get some fantastically good cheap phones now — and Apple remains as crap as ever at the services (which are what we are really using our gadgets for).
The PM and the EU know any deal has to get through parliament, so to say May (and everybody knows I ain't much of a fan) is reneging therefore it is no surprise the backstop etc, just isn't being fair.
If May had her way, we would be signed up the WA months ago.
No Deal on 29 March 20%
Leave with deal on 29 March 10%
Deal passes by 29 March but leave later 20%
I'm really not sure about the other 50%. Should we just double all those figures?
I am thinking Greece and Tsipras.
More often this is typical:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-33492387
Personally, I don't think Betfair punters know anymore of where we are headed than Dee in my local Co-op.
https://twitter.com/AaronBlake/status/1090322770712584193?s=19
If I was wanting a second referendum I would be depressed because tonight showed it is very unlikely to obtain support
Having said I am pleased for TM, I still have reservations where this is going but as was indicated on Sky's paper review the EU are now looking vulnerable to the voters blaming them if they refuse to talk.
Indeed tonight has achieved that probability but I am still doubtful that 'anything will change'
There's enough actual stupidity in this whole mess, and plenty to throw at May, without people feeling the need to invent some as well.
"What the hell is going on with Global Waming? Please come back fast, we need you!"
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-47047089
He also finds it amusing that with 9 inches of snow they still can keep things running
I had not realised it was going to be quite as cold as that. Even with that level being unusual, thank goodness I live in a country without such extremes!
They're also innovating - Xiaomi's foldable tablet/mobile combo is seriously impressive: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3-aDOMI6Mk
* That may be simply because it suits a Chinese market better, as they tend to be heavily themed and stuffed full of "useful" features, and maybe they are less relevant in Western markets.
Meanwhile, we'll be even closer to crash-out day and even more irreversible damage will have been done to the UK economy. The blame for that lies with the MPs who voted for triggering Article 50 and are now refusing to vote for the deal agreed under Article 50.
I hope May wholeheartedly pursues a change and doesn't just fold as soon as when hits EU intransigence.
If no deal is reached then unless May as wholeheartedly sought the change she will rightly be blamed and not the claim that TINA.
As I said the EU have a huge PR problem now I would expect Varadkar and other EU leaders, for all their bravado, are not sleeping quite as easily tonight
That 'bloody difficult woman' will be echoing round Europe's capitals in the coming days
Have a great nights rest folks
Good night
On negotiating tactics and the folly of ruling out leaving on WTO terms, this is worth a read: "If the Commission had to write an amendment to increase their own negotiating leverage, Yvette Cooper and Nick Boles' amendment would be what they came up with."
https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/yvette-cooper-nick-boles-amendment_uk_5c4f1f1ae4b0287e5b8d081f
Will the Tories that have been talking up rebellion on the remain side actually rebel, will the ERG actually come around to voting for the deal...
Or are we just now on course for no deal?
I'm leaning towards no deal being the likely outcome at this point, I think given the choice that is where the Tories will take us.
https://twitter.com/NinaDSchick/status/1090412455057084416
But maybe if she knew MPs wouldn’t make a decision until the last minute it is the right strategy?
But her anguish seems to be because of the “damage to our political project”