politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Brexit looks set to be the biggest non-election political bett

Lots of bookies of different sorts have ranges of markets on Brexit from PaddyPower’s “What foodstuffs will be rationed first in 2019?” to the above bet on whether or not the UK will leave the EU on March 29th.
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https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1086483485668319233
Will we end up playing Monopoly by candlelight several nights a week, and it will indeed be the early 70s once again?
What are the odds that the government will be rationing dog, rat, water, firewood, and dung?
I think you're playing up their role a tadge, Richard. They are consulted in the early stages but as you say have no vote. And have no recourse. They are very much outsiders and rule-takers. And then they have it decided whether they include the EU regs into their own regs. So not ECJ but EFTA court (as we said prior to the referendum, we are now swapping one supranational european court for another so good luck with that).
Oh and there is freedom of movement which matters to 99.5% of those who
dislike foreignersvoted to Leave. Yourself excepted, obvs, you all-welcoming guy, you.'Cause if they do, I'll make a complaint to the rozzers and we're all winners.
https://twitter.com/DKShrewsbury/status/1087691731095699456
I expect the usual suspects will be on soon saying that the Tories can do without centrist voters.....
But more importantly they are represented on the bodies that actually discuss and devise rules way above the EU level. We have no say at all on those bodies because we are 'represented' by the EU. Norway has full representation and voting rights.
And the EFTA court is always by unanimity.
It'll be one of those things that will always appear on a DBS check for him.
And rightly so. Although of course I'd take Norway now given where we are. Sadly it doesn't seem likely so these discussions are moot.
And of course being rule takers and having no final say is something that anyone could have said would be the outcome of us voting to leave the EU and now you are citing that as a best case.
No Good Brie!!!
The Tories are behaving like Labour in the early 1980's: prizing ideological purity above common-sense, trying to appease those who will never be satisfied, coming across as obsessed and a bit deranged, and looking irrelevant to the concerns of most voters. Plus they are in the process of destroying their main USP - that they are competent and can be trusted to run the economy more efficiently than Labour.
Currently, they can't be trusted to tie their own shoelaces.
What Americans like to search/view on Pornhub.
and
https://www.iflscience.com/technology/these-maps-show-the-most-popular-porn-searches-in-each-us-state/
It would mean no CFP, no CAP, no Ever Closer Union. no MEPs and none of the trappings of a state. Sounds bloody great to me.
But the fact is that your fellow travellers were not as mellow as you regarding, for example, immigration and now are deemed to want a break with every element of the EU and certainly have no truck for another European alphabet soup of association.
So actually, whatever you want, matters not a jot at the moment. The people you voted with want something completely different. And yes I understand also that any version of Leave to you is better than Remain but what you fail to understand is that your co-Leavers believe that Norway is remaining. No wonder we're so fucked.
"What is clear to me, however, is that the decision of the electorate in the Referendum must be respected and that I should support a reasoned process to give effect to it. It was unfortunate that during the autumn quite a few people lost their heads over the triggering of Article 50 and came to believe that this would in some way be thwarted by Parliament or by the judiciary in their judgment that only Parliament could trigger a profound constitutional change of this kind. These criticisms were entirely misplaced and the proper process followed since has ensured that our system works correctly to give effect to the referendum decision through Parliament with proper scrutiny of its details.
We have also been fortunate to have a Prime Minister with the determination both to see the complex challenges of Brexit through and to do this with a constant eye to maximising opportunities and minimising the risks involved to our economic well being, security and quality of life.
As someone who has always advocated a close relationship between the UK and the European Union, I accept the result of the 2016 Referendum. I therefore strongly support the Prime Minister’s determination to secure a negotiated arrangement for leaving the EU and for forging a new trading relationship for the future, providing certainty for trade and business whilst giving us control of migration and releasing us from the direct effect of EU Law. I also believe that the people of our country will benefit from a close continuing relationship with a strong EU and I will work to help build these important links for our future. I very much hope, therefore, that the Prime Minister will be able to achieve something close to the goals she set out in her speech at Lancaster House in February."
Will it be known as the fap fee? The tallywhacker tax? The lust levy?
Edited extra bit: and will the construction project be known as the Wanker's Wall?
To be fair whatever I wanted never mattered a jot in the first place. I am well aware that even most Remainers do not share my views on complete freedom of movement so I have always been reconciled to getting what scraps I can from the table.
When facts change, opinions change as well.
Next time? Next time there will be 17.4m pissed off voters if those pledges haven't been honoured. Let's see how good Magic Grandpa's tricks are next time.
Australia has called into question the UK’s hopes of joining a Pacific trade bloc, which had been considered by Theresa May to be a major post-Brexit opportunity over the coming years.
Simon Birmingham, the Australian trade minister, said: “The UK is some distance from the Pacific, the last time I checked.” He was speaking on a trip to London, where he yesterday met Liam Fox, Britain’s international trade secretary.
The prime minister and Dr Fox have repeatedly cited the 11-nation Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), with members including Australia, Canada, Japan and Mexico, as a possible target for the UK after it leaves the European Union.
However, Mr Birmingham appeared to pour cold water on such aspirations, suggesting that neighbouring countries would be prioritised instead.
He told an Australia-UK Chamber of Commerce event, in comments first reported by the Sydney Morning Herald: “I do think that, from the feedback of the other TPP nations, there is still a view of: let’s see the initial 11 [nations] all get through their ratification process, all become party to it, let’s perhaps deal with some of the other nations of interest in the Pacific region.”
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/australia-pours-water-on-uk-trade-bloc-hopes-5jl0gk522
But, he's a clever man, a QC.
Hmmm........
Theresa May is set to reject Tory calls for her to give her ministers and MPs a free vote on an amendment to the Brexit motion being debated next week intended to stop the UK leaving the EU without a deal, government sources have indicated
https://twitter.com/AVMikhailova/status/1087747596934893569
Adds Poland would evaluate any A50 motion if/when it comes from the UK govt, but would need to have a clear plan of what's next
With EU blessing.
???
So there you are. Top tip for the coming blackouts - move near a RC Church.
https://twitter.com/ByDonkeys/status/1087666955232862208
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2017/11/20/youll-hate-it-why-the-norway-option-amounts-to-self-inflicted-subservience-to-the-eu/