politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Now we’ve got some non-YouGov polls showing CON leads the position looks a tad less good for LAB
Including the three new polls published tonight all the voting intention surveys so far in 2019 from Wikipedia pic.twitter.com/lzC2jqualW
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https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1086736325351534593
He was the guy who called a Tory majority in 2015.
Would Churchill have wanted Britain to join the EU?
Great Britain, the British Commonwealth of Nations, mighty America, and I trust Soviet Russia - for then indeed all would be well - must be the friends and sponsors of the new Europe and must champion its right to live and shine.
- WS Churchill, Zurich, 1946
http://www.churchill-society-london.org.uk/astonish.html
US President Donald Trump has set out new plans on his Mexican wall project to try to end a partial government shutdown lasting more than four weeks.
One of his "compromises" was on so-called Dreamers - who entered the US illegally when young. He still wants $5.7bn (£4.5bn) to fund the wall
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-46935595
This rant makes it five posts.
See what you have all done?
It's like being told you have a worse hair stylist than Donald Trump.
Fuck off!
* Like a Vote Leave promise
Fuck off!
However you're right this time.
Pleasant dreams of a resolution to Brexit to all.
Tories remain 0.7% ahead of Labour and 26 seats short of an overall majority.
Con 38.5% Lab 37.8%, LD 9.0%
Con 300 seats, Lab 271, LD 17, SNP 40, PC 3, Green 1.
Labour can form a minority government with C&S from minor parties but the Tories can't, even with help from the DUP.
The offer to examine a possible timetable for a second vote drawn up by the Lib Dems was made during discussions between senior Liberal Democrats and two cabinet ministers involved in the talks, Michael Gove and David Lidington, in the Cabinet Office on Thursday morning.
She doesn’t much like immigrants to our garden though.
This is the kind of area Government planning should have been considering since March 2017 and talking about having a meeting with barely two months to go shows the breathtaking ineptitude of the Government.
It's getting to the point where a Government led by Corbyn would be a distinct improvement.
Tory+UKIP = 45%, 44%, 44% in those three polls
Lab+LDem = 47%, 47% and, er, 47%
REPUBLIC, NOW!
That is not the way to go into good faith discussions. But we know from his period in government that he doesn't always respect such things.
Everyone needs to knuckle down, work hard and keep schtum until there is something to say.
End of.
"Get out of my way, you f&%king pleb paparazzi!"
Running commentaries from anyone are unwelcome
"Get out of my FUCKING WAY!!"
D'y'know, it really is a shitshow, isn't it? It's one thing to desire independence, it's quite another to rearrange the bureaucratic furniture to do it.
Many of your posts add little to this site except make it less pleasant for others.
If you don't like it here, go somewhere else or get your own blog.
It seems to me that there's a fair chance we end up in essentially the same situation as we are in now. With a vote for which there is no majority in Parliament that is willing to honour it, only if we vote the "correct" way will a majority exist.
Right now there's no majority for anything other than Remain/BINO in Parliament, and even a general election won't change that unless the composition of MPs returned is drastically different from now. We already know that legislation already passed and manifesto commitments mean very little.
Simply re-stating Labour policy really, that a second ref remains an option. Different emphasis from Corbyn, but that was also the case at Labour conference.
Next week's episode: my mum said I was excused from voting because I have a condition.
Average width of march x speed of march x diddly squat.
"The fieldwork was carried out both before and after the vote on the withdrawal agreement, in roughly equal proportions, allowing us to examine whether the event affected support for the Conservatives. Our modelling suggests a high probability that Tory support was higher in the days before the vote than after it, although it is harder to be precise about how large or durable any impact will prove to be."
So like the other polls it basically means they're tied. But honestly it's a mug's game to get much out of the polls in the volatile situation. I think most people are just suspending judgment on Brexit and quoting their previous voting intention.