politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Layla Moran now becomes favourite to become next LD leader
Poll after poll has shown that the will of the people is now in favour of a People's Vote with the option to stay in the EU. So whose side is the Prime Minister on – Putin's or the people's? #PMQs pic.twitter.com/u3Q8SwF9by
What is clear is that bercow has played a fast one, overridden parlimentary norms, but he's just going to do it, and get away with it.
But again, it's evidence of what will happen and the damage this is doing to our politics.. The neutrality politically of the Office of the Speaker is now damaged.
The government has a business motion which will result in the MV. At the time the provision for the MV was made it was expressly said that a Minister could tender an amendment but no one else. Grieve has proposed an amendment which essentially takes away the timetabling control of the motion from the government, allows MPs to speak twice and gives MPs the chance to determine what we do next. Precedent says that a back bencher cannot make an amendment to a business motion. Bercow received advice to that effect from the clerks. Notwithstanding that Bercow has decided to call the motion on the basis, presumably, that the will of Parliament is being subverted. He has confirmed, however, that even if the motion were to pass that would not repeal the legislation repealing the European Communities Act.
Is that where we are?
The context of Bercow's decision is presumably the withdrawal of the original MV motion by the PM before Christmas when it became evident that she was facing a heavy defeat. I remember there being a lot of unhappiness about the way that was done at the time.
Is he wrong? Almost certainly on the technicalities but arguably not on the substantive point. Control of the time tabling agenda is May's last weapon and she is abusing it.
I have some personal knowledge / experience with Norman Lamb. I was particular impressed by a decision he took when in government that he knew could make his department look bad (and open a can of worms), but it was the right thing to do. Most politicians would have done the opposite and covered things up as much as possible.
What is clear is that bercow has played a fast one, overridden parlimentary norms, but he's just going to do it, and get away with it.
But again, it's evidence of what will happen and the damage this is doing to our politics.. The neutrality politically of the Office of the Speaker is now damaged.
He is, but the Lib Dems aren't going to replace a grey, Coalition-tainted, health-scare, anti-Brexit MP with a grey, Coalition-tainted, health-scare, not-anti-Brexit MP.
The government has a business motion which will result in the MV. At the time the provision for the MV was made it was expressly said that a Minister could tender an amendment but no one else. Grieve has proposed an amendment which essentially takes away the timetabling control of the motion from the government, allows MPs to speak twice and gives MPs the chance to determine what we do next. Precedent says that a back bencher cannot make an amendment to a business motion. Bercow received advice to that effect from the clerks. Notwithstanding that Bercow has decided to call the motion on the basis, presumably, that the will of Parliament is being subverted. He has confirmed, however, that even if the motion were to pass that would not repeal the legislation repealing the European Communities Act.
Is that where we are?
The context of Bercow's decision is presumably the withdrawal of the original MV motion by the PM before Christmas when it became evident that she was facing a heavy defeat. I remember there being a lot of unhappiness about the way that was done at the time.
Is he wrong? Almost certainly on the technicalities but arguably not on the substantive point. Control of the time tabling agenda is May's last weapon and she is abusing it.
This is almost certainly the revenge being served cold for the government's highly discourteous behaviour to Parliament before Christmas. As you say, the government is abusing its power and John Bercow is seeking to stop that.
A woman? Leading the Liberals? It'll be the fall of the Reform Club!
Seriously, yes, she's a fair possibility though a 42% shot (or 11/8 if you prefer), seems pretty short to me when there's no vacancy yet and we don't know who'll stand or under what circumstances.
Totally O/T....looking for a cold brew coffee setup. Any suggestions that don't cost the national deficit of Venezuela? Thinking about an Asobu Coldbrew Portable.
What is clear is that bercow has played a fast one, overridden parlimentary norms, but he's just going to do it, and get away with it.
But again, it's evidence of what will happen and the damage this is doing to our politics.. The neutrality politically of the Office of the Speaker is now damaged.
I'm rather impressed with her but wonder why this attractive young woman dresses like a much older (and less attractive) woman.
I think she dresses well, albeit in a rather geeky style.
Mores to the point her refreshing political style is quite a contrast to the typical party hack. I think she would be nearly as good as Norman Lamb as next leader.
Bringing up that Putin supports Brexit is idiotic in this context. The only acceptable thing to do for any Brit who has any influence over Brexit is to totally ignore what foreign actors want, including Putin, and decide their conscience on what should or should not be done.
If you want to argue against foreign influence in a matter, you don't use foreign preferences in the debate. You can bet that she would not have mentioned Putin at all if Putin's views coincided with hers.
It's not the job of the speaker to be a cheerleader for the government, but it's also not the job of the speaker to be a cheerleader against the government.
Ghettoization of "plebs". What a total twat. The whole point of uni is living and learning with people from all sorts of backgrounds that you otherwise would never have met.
A woman? Leading the Liberals? It'll be the fall of the Reform Club!
Seriously, yes, she's a fair possibility though a 42% shot (or 11/8 if you prefer), seems pretty short to me when there's no vacancy yet and we don't know who'll stand or under what circumstances.
...or even whether there'll be another general election before Vince gets a chance to waddle off into the sunset......
WHat happens if the Gov't doesn't return 3 days after it loses the vote - or simply returns and says it'll try again; or says it'll return err "tommorow" ?
I agree with all of the above, with the caveat, kids from Ampleforth....maybe just my personal experience...look up alumni, James O'Brien...no...he proves my point.
I'm rather impressed with her but wonder why this attractive young woman dresses like a much older (and less attractive) woman.
I think she dresses well, albeit in a rather geeky style.
Mores to the point her refreshing political style is quite a contrast to the typical party hack. I think she would be nearly as good as Norman Lamb as next leader.
Yup, she looks interesting and different, they'll all want her on the telly. The ability to get on the telly is far and away the biggest problem for the LibDems right now.
The government has a business motion which will result in the MV. At the time the provision for the MV was made it was expressly said that a Minister could tender an amendment but no one else. Grieve has proposed an amendment which essentially takes away the timetabling control of the motion from the government, allows MPs to speak twice and gives MPs the chance to determine what we do next. Precedent says that a back bencher cannot make an amendment to a business motion. Bercow received advice to that effect from the clerks. Notwithstanding that Bercow has decided to call the motion on the basis, presumably, that the will of Parliament is being subverted. He has confirmed, however, that even if the motion were to pass that would not repeal the legislation repealing the European Communities Act.
Is that where we are?
The context of Bercow's decision is presumably the withdrawal of the original MV motion by the PM before Christmas when it became evident that she was facing a heavy defeat. I remember there being a lot of unhappiness about the way that was done at the time.
Is he wrong? Almost certainly on the technicalities but arguably not on the substantive point. Control of the time tabling agenda is May's last weapon and she is abusing it.
Agreed.
I don't like Bercow in the least, but I think it disingenuous to call him partisan as a means of discrediting the ruling. What he is trying to do is insist on Parliament being able to have a say in the fact of government's procedural efforts to frustrate it.
Given May's extended filibuster on the issue, it is arrant hypocrisy to decry the Speaker for bending the rules. As ever, the remedy is in Parliament's hands - if it doesn't like the way the Speaker is conducting matters, it can sack him.
He is, but the Lib Dems aren't going to replace a grey, Coalition-tainted, health-scare, anti-Brexit MP with a grey, Coalition-tainted, health-scare, not-anti-Brexit MP.
Norman Lamb does support a #peoplesvote, but his approach to Brexit is a bit more nuanced than the full on anti-brexiteers.
Dull and worthy doesn't make for a good leader, particularly for a small party struggling to be noticed. cf. Vince Cable.
That's true. Then again, there have been days when the Liberals / Lib Dems have been crying out for their leader / leadership candidates to be a little less, erm, abnormal.
Dull and worthy doesn't make for a good leader, particularly for a small party struggling to be noticed. cf. Vince Cable.
What about Vera Hobhouse?
Wera. She isn't as prominent as Swinson or Moran, and she is a German who is here because she married a Brit, which might be seen as a handicap (remembering mutterings about Portillo and he was born here)
Hark, the impotent howls of rage from the Brexit Buccaneers, the most delightful sound of all.
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Bringing up that Putin supports Brexit is idiotic in this context. The only acceptable thing to do for any Brit who has any influence over Brexit is to totally ignore what foreign actors want, including Putin, and decide their conscience on what should or should not be done.
If you want to argue against foreign influence in a matter, you don't use foreign preferences in the debate. You can bet that she would not have mentioned Putin at all if Putin's views coincided with hers.
Putin wants to sow disharmony in the West. He's supported Brexit and Trump and it will be interesting to see what Robert Mueller adds to our knowledge in these matters. Of course it's valid to point out when our leaders are taking actions which are against the county's interests (and those of the now electorate) but are in the interests of our enemies.
On topic - I think the problems the Lib Dems have is that none of their current crop of MPs want the job - they all (for various valid reasons) have different priorities at the moment...
Hark, the impotent howls of rage from the Brexit Buccaneers, the most delightful sound of all.
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Love your satire! But Bercow has been properly done like a kipper today. When even the Independent is gunning for Bercow you know he's in a right mess!
WHat happens if the Gov't doesn't return 3 days after it loses the vote - or simply returns and says it'll try again; or says it'll return err "tommorow" ?
The government has a business motion which will result in the MV. At the time the provision for the MV was made it was expressly said that a Minister could tender an amendment but no one else. Grieve has proposed an amendment which essentially takes away the timetabling control of the motion from the government, allows MPs to speak twice and gives MPs the chance to determine what we do next. Precedent says that a back bencher cannot make an amendment to a business motion. Bercow received advice to that effect from the clerks. Notwithstanding that Bercow has decided to call the motion on the basis, presumably, that the will of Parliament is being subverted. He has confirmed, however, that even if the motion were to pass that would not repeal the legislation repealing the European Communities Act.
Is that where we are?
The context of Bercow's decision is presumably the withdrawal of the original MV motion by the PM before Christmas when it became evident that she was facing a heavy defeat. I remember there being a lot of unhappiness about the way that was done at the time.
Is he wrong? Almost certainly on the technicalities but arguably not on the substantive point. Control of the time tabling agenda is May's last weapon and she is abusing it.
Consistency and therefore procedure matters. Nevertheless Dominic Grieve's amendment is an important one with apparently wide support in parliament. AFAIUI, he has no other way of tabling it. So if you are opposed to the amendment on procedural grounds you are also opposed to parliament being allowed to debate a matter of substance.
WHat happens if the Gov't doesn't return 3 days after it loses the vote - or simply returns and says it'll try again; or says it'll return err "tommorow" ?
My understanding, FWIW, is that the government has 21 days in which to get the MV passed, failing which it has to make a statement about what it intends to do next. S13(4) of the EU Withdrawal Act states: A Minister of the Crown must, within the period of 21 days beginning with the day on which the House of Commons decides not to pass the resolution, make a statement setting out how Her Majesty’s Government proposes to proceed in relation to negotiations for the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the EU under Article 50(2) of the Treaty on European Union.
I am not sure that there is a limit on how many goes it can have in that 21 days. The approval of the package (not just the WA), however, is a condition precedent of further progress in the ratification of the agreement.
Bringing up that Putin supports Brexit is idiotic in this context. The only acceptable thing to do for any Brit who has any influence over Brexit is to totally ignore what foreign actors want, including Putin, and decide their conscience on what should or should not be done.
If you want to argue against foreign influence in a matter, you don't use foreign preferences in the debate. You can bet that she would not have mentioned Putin at all if Putin's views coincided with hers.
Putin wants to sow disharmony in the West. He's supported Brexit and Trump and it will be interesting to see what Robert Mueller adds to our knowledge in these matters. Of course it's valid to point out when our leaders are taking actions which are against the county's interests (and those of the now electorate) but are in the interests of our enemies.
And as I said on the previous thread, people calling for the result of the referendum to be ignored and for us to remain in - especially without another referendum - want a result Putin would be very happy with, and one that is not in the country's interests. For it would not end the chaos.
We really are in a sh*t position. Thanks, Brexiteers, you bunch of stinking winnets.
I am surprised that more hasn't been made of the Putin connection. I wonder how Leavers feel being called quislings or useful idiots in a Putin inspired plot to destabilise the West. No, not nice is it you traitors?
Hark, the impotent howls of rage from the Brexit Buccaneers, the most delightful sound of all.
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Love your satire! But Bercow has been properly done like a kipper today. When even the Independent is gunning for Bercow you know he's in a right mess!
The amendment is going to a vote, and the government will lose it. There's a reason they're so furious.
Parliament has precisely one way to stop Bercow. A motion of confidence. If the government is really that desperate to stop Parliament from Taking Back Control, then why doesn't it move a motion of no confidence in the speaker?
Because he'd win. And he knows it. And they know it.
WHat happens if the Gov't doesn't return 3 days after it loses the vote - or simply returns and says it'll try again; or says it'll return err "tommorow" ?
My understanding, FWIW, is that the government has 21 days in which to get the MV passed, failing which it has to make a statement about what it intends to do next. S13(4) of the EU Withdrawal Act states: A Minister of the Crown must, within the period of 21 days beginning with the day on which the House of Commons decides not to pass the resolution, make a statement setting out how Her Majesty’s Government proposes to proceed in relation to negotiations for the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the EU under Article 50(2) of the Treaty on European Union.
I am not sure that there is a limit on how many goes it can have in that 21 days. The approval of the package (not just the WA), however, is a condition precedent of further progress in the ratification of the agreement.
I thought the contentious Grieve amendment selected today changes the 21 day window to a mere 3 day window which gives no time at all to make any meaningful consideration or changes.
The other two notable international voices to support Brexit, Mike, were LePen and Trump.
That doesn't tell you everything, of course, but in respect of the referendum I think it told you quite a lot.
Japan and then Australia and quite a number of commonwealth countries have been supportive before and after the vote.
In Japan they want good relations and some spirited person somehow managed to bring in an angle about sending military kit to keep China in its box but politicians and media generally treat it as vaguely worrying overseas populist stupid, a kind of low-scale version of Trump.
Hark, the impotent howls of rage from the Brexit Buccaneers, the most delightful sound of all.
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Love your satire! But Bercow has been properly done like a kipper today. When even the Independent is gunning for Bercow you know he's in a right mess!
The amendment is going to a vote, and the government will lose it. There's a reason they're so furious.
Parliament has precisely one way to stop Bercow. A motion of confidence. If the government is really that desperate to stop Parliament from Taking Back Control, then why doesn't it move a motion of no confidence in the speaker?
Because he'd win. And he knows it. And they know it.
This is why Bercow has the smirk on his face.
He certainly didnt have a smirk on his face after Leadsom and Rees Mogg destroyed him!
Having only been able to glance at this Bercow matter it seems pretty obvious that whatever the rights or wrongs of his decision it's not helped because everyone knows his motivationfor the decision is guided by much more than the high principles he pretends, but that the government's motivations are likewise wider in motivation against him personally.
And since it's narrow politics dressed up as principle, the whole affair will go nowhere other than yet more bitterness, entrenching the sides, with the speaker an outright opponent of the government.
Lord Adonis is rapidly becoming a national treasure in the great tradition of English eccentrics, as barking as Jacob Rees-Mogg.
I do have to wonder what George Osborne was smoking when he made Lord Adonis head of the national infrastructure commission?
George Osborne was, first and foremost, a Conservative partisan, so the opportunity to discomfort the then Labour frontbench by appointing a former Blair adviser to such a post was too good to miss.
It's not the job of the speaker to be a cheerleader for the government, but it's also not the job of the speaker to be a cheerleader against the government.
That is where Bercow now is.
Remainers have really shown they will do anything to thwart Brexit.
Brexiteers really, REALLY don't want Parliament to take back control, do they?
Bringing up that Putin supports Brexit is idiotic in this context. The only acceptable thing to do for any Brit who has any influence over Brexit is to totally ignore what foreign actors want, including Putin, and decide their conscience on what should or should not be done.
If you want to argue against foreign influence in a matter, you don't use foreign preferences in the debate. You can bet that she would not have mentioned Putin at all if Putin's views coincided with hers.
In terms of dealing with unwelcome influence you are absolutely correct. Putin supports Brexit because he reckons it causes disarray and will make the West generally weaker. It should give pause to thought for those in favour of Brexit, why they are on the same side as the rogue statesman of Russia, who wishes us no good.
The government has a business motion which will result in the MV. At the time the provision for the MV was made it was expressly said that a Minister could tender an amendment but no one else. Grieve has proposed an amendment which essentially takes away the timetabling control of the motion from the government, allows MPs to speak twice and gives MPs the chance to determine what we do next. Precedent says that a back bencher cannot make an amendment to a business motion. Bercow received advice to that effect from the clerks. Notwithstanding that Bercow has decided to call the motion on the basis, presumably, that the will of Parliament is being subverted. He has confirmed, however, that even if the motion were to pass that would not repeal the legislation repealing the European Communities Act.
Is that where we are?
The context of Bercow's decision is presumably the withdrawal of the original MV motion by the PM before Christmas when it became evident that she was facing a heavy defeat. I remember there being a lot of unhappiness about the way that was done at the time.
Is he wrong? Almost certainly on the technicalities but arguably not on the substantive point. Control of the time tabling agenda is May's last weapon and she is abusing it.
Consistency and therefore procedure matters. Nevertheless Dominic Grieve's amendment is an important one with apparently wide support in parliament. AFAIUI, he has no other way of tabling it. So if you are opposed to the amendment on procedural grounds you are also opposed to parliament being allowed to debate a matter of substance.
I work in the Court of Session. We have detailed rules of Court but Judges don't let them get in the way of achieving substantial justice even if it sometimes appears that way. They regard them, in large part, as guidance which should assist them in reaching the right decision rather than a bar to it. I really cannot see why the HoC should be different.
WHat happens if the Gov't doesn't return 3 days after it loses the vote - or simply returns and says it'll try again; or says it'll return err "tommorow" ?
My understanding, FWIW, is that the government has 21 days in which to get the MV passed, failing which it has to make a statement about what it intends to do next. S13(4) of the EU Withdrawal Act states: A Minister of the Crown must, within the period of 21 days beginning with the day on which the House of Commons decides not to pass the resolution, make a statement setting out how Her Majesty’s Government proposes to proceed in relation to negotiations for the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the EU under Article 50(2) of the Treaty on European Union.
I am not sure that there is a limit on how many goes it can have in that 21 days. The approval of the package (not just the WA), however, is a condition precedent of further progress in the ratification of the agreement.
I thought the contentious Grieve amendment selected today changes the 21 day window to a mere 3 day window which gives no time at all to make any meaningful consideration or changes.
You think the government hasn't thought through its possible responses already? If not, what has it been doing with the last month? It's not as though it's been doing anything else.
Having only been able to glance at this Bercow matter it seems pretty obvious that whatever the rights or wrongs of his decision it's not helped because everyone knows his motivationfor the decision is guided by much more than the high principles he pretends, but that the government's motivations are likewise wider in motivation against him personally.
And since it's narrow politics dressed up as principle, the whole affair will go nowhere other than yet more bitterness, entrenching the sides, with the speaker an outright opponent of the government.
Quite. Impotent fulmination from the ERG bench will change nothing. If you want the Speaker to change, then you have to change the Speaker. Mrs Leadsom?
I agree. From the press she gets in the Oxford Mail, she seems obsessed with identity politics and little else and comes over as very lightweight. The comments sections predictably call her "Layla Moron" and routinely rip apart her statements.
Lord Adonis is rapidly becoming a national treasure in the great tradition of English eccentrics, as barking as Jacob Rees-Mogg.
I do have to wonder what George Osborne was smoking when he made Lord Adonis head of the national infrastructure commission?
Hahaha. We used to hear so much about what a triumph it was for us to have lured this 'moderate' across from Labour. He can't have believed his luck, being feted by the Blairites and then us. Interesting to see you say that as I thought you would have been be a fan.
Hark, the impotent howls of rage from the Brexit Buccaneers, the most delightful sound of all.
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Love your satire! But Bercow has been properly done like a kipper today. When even the Independent is gunning for Bercow you know he's in a right mess!
The amendment is going to a vote, and the government will lose it. There's a reason they're so furious.
Parliament has precisely one way to stop Bercow. A motion of confidence. If the government is really that desperate to stop Parliament from Taking Back Control, then why doesn't it move a motion of no confidence in the speaker?
Because he'd win. And he knows it. And they know it.
This is why Bercow has the smirk on his face.
He certainly didnt have a smirk on his face after Leadsom and Rees Mogg destroyed him!
Berrcow destroyed the MP accusing him of a sticker in his car. Explained it was his wife's car and he does not control her views.
The government has a business motion which will result in the MV. At the time the provision for the MV was made it was expressly said that a Minister could tender an amendment but no one else. Grieve has proposed an amendment which essentially takes away the timetabling control of the motion from the government, allows MPs to speak twice and gives MPs the chance to determine what we do next. Precedent says that a back bencher cannot make an amendment to a business motion. Bercow received advice to that effect from the clerks. Notwithstanding that Bercow has decided to call the motion on the basis, presumably, that the will of Parliament is being subverted. He has confirmed, however, that even if the motion were to pass that would not repeal the legislation repealing the European Communities Act.
Is that where we are?
The context of Bercow's decision is presumably the withdrawal of the original MV motion by the PM before Christmas when it became evident that she was facing a heavy defeat. I remember there being a lot of unhappiness about the way that was done at the time.
Is he wrong? Almost certainly on the technicalities but arguably not on the substantive point. Control of the time tabling agenda is May's last weapon and she is abusing it.
Consistency and therefore procedure matters. Nevertheless Dominic Grieve's amendment is an important one with apparently wide support in parliament. AFAIUI, he has no other way of tabling it. So if you are opposed to the amendment on procedural grounds you are also opposed to parliament being allowed to debate a matter of substance.
I work in the Court of Session. We have detailed rules of Court but Judges don't let them get in the way of achieving substantial justice even if it sometimes appears that way. They regard them, in large part, as guidance which should assist them in reaching the right decision rather than a bar to it. I really cannot see why the HoC should be different.
“If we only went by precedent, manifestly nothing would ever change."
Hark, the impotent howls of rage from the Brexit Buccaneers, the most delightful sound of all.
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Love your satire! But Bercow has been properly done like a kipper today. When even the Independent is gunning for Bercow you know he's in a right mess!
The amendment is going to a vote, and the government will lose it. There's a reason they're so furious.
Parliament has precisely one way to stop Bercow. A motion of confidence. If the government is really that desperate to stop Parliament from Taking Back Control, then why doesn't it move a motion of no confidence in the speaker?
Because he'd win. And he knows it. And they know it.
This is why Bercow has the smirk on his face.
He certainly didnt have a smirk on his face after Leadsom and Rees Mogg destroyed him!
Berrcow destroyed the MP accusing him of a sticker in his car. Explained it was his wife's car and he does not control her views.
Spot on.
Why is she parking her car in his work place car park spot?
Hark, the impotent howls of rage from the Brexit Buccaneers, the most delightful sound of all.
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Love your satire! But Bercow has been properly done like a kipper today. When even the Independent is gunning for Bercow you know he's in a right mess!
The amendment is going to a vote, and the government will lose it. There's a reason they're so furious.
Parliament has precisely one way to stop Bercow. A motion of confidence. If the government is really that desperate to stop Parliament from Taking Back Control, then why doesn't it move a motion of no confidence in the speaker?
Because he'd win. And he knows it. And they know it.
This is why Bercow has the smirk on his face.
He certainly didnt have a smirk on his face after Leadsom and Rees Mogg destroyed him!
Berrcow destroyed the MP accusing him of a sticker in his car. Explained it was his wife's car and he does not control her views.
January 9th, and my one Brexit prediction has come true already - that at some point in the process John Bercow would make a total and utter arse of himself.
Lord Adonis is rapidly becoming a national treasure in the great tradition of English eccentrics, as barking as Jacob Rees-Mogg.
I do have to wonder what George Osborne was smoking when he made Lord Adonis head of the national infrastructure commission?
George Osborne was, first and foremost, a Conservative partisan, so the opportunity to discomfort the then Labour frontbench by appointing a former Blair adviser to such a post was too good to miss.
To be fair, Adonis was not a poor transport secretary, albeit he was only in position at the top for a year. He was certainly more passionate about transport than the current incumbent. Unfortunately, with hindsight, many of the problems facing rail date back to his period in office.
I don't think he was quite this mad back then. Like many people, Brexit has made him mad. And I don't mean angry.
Having only been able to glance at this Bercow matter it seems pretty obvious that whatever the rights or wrongs of his decision it's not helped because everyone knows his motivationfor the decision is guided by much more than the high principles he pretends, but that the government's motivations are likewise wider in motivation against him personally.
And since it's narrow politics dressed up as principle, the whole affair will go nowhere other than yet more bitterness, entrenching the sides, with the speaker an outright opponent of the government.
Quite. Impotent fulmination from the ERG bench will change nothing. If you want the Speaker to change, then you have to change the Speaker. Mrs Leadsom?
I don't even like Bercow, or his reasoning sometimes, but it is what it is and yelling about it won't add anything to things now.
I agree. From the press she gets in the Oxford Mail, she seems obsessed with identity politics and little else and comes over as very lightweight. The comments sections predictably call her "Layla Moron" and routinely rip apart her statements.
She doesn't seem anything other than lightweight. No substance to her at all.
WHat happens if the Gov't doesn't return 3 days after it loses the vote - or simply returns and says it'll try again; or says it'll return err "tommorow" ?
My understanding, FWIW, is that the government has 21 days in which to get the MV passed, failing which it has to make a statement about what it intends to do next. S13(4) of the EU Withdrawal Act states: A Minister of the Crown must, within the period of 21 days beginning with the day on which the House of Commons decides not to pass the resolution, make a statement setting out how Her Majesty’s Government proposes to proceed in relation to negotiations for the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the EU under Article 50(2) of the Treaty on European Union.
I am not sure that there is a limit on how many goes it can have in that 21 days. The approval of the package (not just the WA), however, is a condition precedent of further progress in the ratification of the agreement.
I thought the contentious Grieve amendment selected today changes the 21 day window to a mere 3 day window which gives no time at all to make any meaningful consideration or changes.
You think the government hasn't thought through its possible responses already? If not, what has it been doing with the last month? It's not as though it's been doing anything else.
I'm sure it has but if there is to be any meaningful change or negotiation in Europe then 3 weeks is more appropriate than 3 days and it has to happen after not before the vote.
Its standard modus operandi in Europe once a deal is agreed to say it is final and can't be changed, but if it gets rejected domestically to tweak it in order to satisfy domestic concerns. Happened with Maastricht, Nice and Lisbon from memory.
Now you may argue it can't happen here and this will go against history but without trying we'll never know.
Hark, the impotent howls of rage from the Brexit Buccaneers, the most delightful sound of all.
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Love your satire! But Bercow has been properly done like a kipper today. When even the Independent is gunning for Bercow you know he's in a right mess!
The amendment is going to a vote, and the government will lose it. There's a reason they're so furious.
Parliament has precisely one way to stop Bercow. A motion of confidence. If the government is really that desperate to stop Parliament from Taking Back Control, then why doesn't it move a motion of no confidence in the speaker?
Because he'd win. And he knows it. And they know it.
This is why Bercow has the smirk on his face.
He certainly didnt have a smirk on his face after Leadsom and Rees Mogg destroyed him!
I would have called Bercow's expression to JRM as "smirk". Because it's like, you may have your copy of Erskine May, but I'm the ACTUAL SPEAKER, BITCH.
The amendment will carry, and Bercow's hero status will go up another star.
It's not the job of the speaker to be a cheerleader for the government, but it's also not the job of the speaker to be a cheerleader against the government.
That is where Bercow now is.
Remainers have really shown they will do anything to thwart Brexit.
Brexiteers really, REALLY don't want Parliament to take back control, do they?
As nasty little fascists they only want it to take back control if it agrees with their interpretation of the "will-o-the-people". What they would like is a strong man (yes certainly a man) in charge, someone like, say, Putin to remove parliament. Yes he is a good role model, and he agrees with Brexit
You think the government hasn't thought through its possible responses already? If not, what has it been doing with the last month? It's not as though it's been doing anything else.
I suspect that their plan is to go back to the EU after the vote (the EU have already hinted that any concessions won't come until then). So it is possible that having only three days is a serious issue.
The government has a business motion which will result in the MV. At the time the provision for the MV was made it was expressly said that a Minister could tender an amendment but no one else. Grieve has proposed an amendment which essentially takes away the timetabling control of the motion from the government, allows MPs to speak twice and gives MPs the chance to determine what we do next. Precedent says that a back bencher cannot make an amendment to a business motion. Bercow received advice to that effect from the clerks. Notwithstanding that Bercow has decided to call the motion on the basis, presumably, that the will of Parliament is being subverted. He has confirmed, however, that even if the motion were to pass that would not repeal the legislation repealing the European Communities Act.
Is that where we are?
The context of Bercow's decision is presumably the withdrawal of the original MV motion by the PM before Christmas when it became evident that she was facing a heavy defeat. I remember there being a lot of unhappiness about the way that was done at the time.
Is he wrong? Almost certainly on the technicalities but arguably not on the substantive point. Control of the time tabling agenda is May's last weapon and she is abusing it.
Consistency and therefore procedure matters. Nevertheless Dominic Grieve's amendment is an important one with apparently wide support in parliament. AFAIUI, he has no other way of tabling it. So if you are opposed to the amendment on procedural grounds you are also opposed to parliament being allowed to debate a matter of substance.
I work in the Court of Session. We have detailed rules of Court but Judges don't let them get in the way of achieving substantial justice even if it sometimes appears that way. They regard them, in large part, as guidance which should assist them in reaching the right decision rather than a bar to it. I really cannot see why the HoC should be different.
“If we only went by precedent, manifestly nothing would ever change."
But deviation from precedent should be based on sound reasoning and after detailed consideration. Not the caprice of an activist Speaker
Hark, the impotent howls of rage from the Brexit Buccaneers, the most delightful sound of all.
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Love your satire! But Bercow has been properly done like a kipper today. When even the Independent is gunning for Bercow you know he's in a right mess!
The amendment is going to a vote, and the government will lose it. There's a reason they're so furious.
Parliament has precisely one way to stop Bercow. A motion of confidence. If the government is really that desperate to stop Parliament from Taking Back Control, then why doesn't it move a motion of no confidence in the speaker?
Because he'd win. And he knows it. And they know it.
This is why Bercow has the smirk on his face.
He certainly didnt have a smirk on his face after Leadsom and Rees Mogg destroyed him!
Berrcow destroyed the MP accusing him of a sticker in his car. Explained it was his wife's car and he does not control her views.
Spot on.
Why is she parking her car in his work place car park spot?
They live in the Palace of Westminster, it is her home.
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Bercow’s response to Rees-Mogg was, essentially, an admission that he hasn’t thought through the future implications of his actions
But her question to May at today's PMQ's was nasty and unnecessary IMO.
We don't want to rule out describing him as an intellectual eunuch.
Very thoughtful and capable chap.
But again, it's evidence of what will happen and the damage this is doing to our politics.. The neutrality politically of the Office of the Speaker is now damaged.
The government has a business motion which will result in the MV.
At the time the provision for the MV was made it was expressly said that a Minister could tender an amendment but no one else.
Grieve has proposed an amendment which essentially takes away the timetabling control of the motion from the government, allows MPs to speak twice and gives MPs the chance to determine what we do next.
Precedent says that a back bencher cannot make an amendment to a business motion.
Bercow received advice to that effect from the clerks.
Notwithstanding that Bercow has decided to call the motion on the basis, presumably, that the will of Parliament is being subverted.
He has confirmed, however, that even if the motion were to pass that would not repeal the legislation repealing the European Communities Act.
Is that where we are?
The context of Bercow's decision is presumably the withdrawal of the original MV motion by the PM before Christmas when it became evident that she was facing a heavy defeat. I remember there being a lot of unhappiness about the way that was done at the time.
Is he wrong? Almost certainly on the technicalities but arguably not on the substantive point. Control of the time tabling agenda is May's last weapon and she is abusing it.
Seriously, yes, she's a fair possibility though a 42% shot (or 11/8 if you prefer), seems pretty short to me when there's no vacancy yet and we don't know who'll stand or under what circumstances.
Mores to the point her refreshing political style is quite a contrast to the typical party hack. I think she would be nearly as good as Norman Lamb as next leader.
If you want to argue against foreign influence in a matter, you don't use foreign preferences in the debate. You can bet that she would not have mentioned Putin at all if Putin's views coincided with hers.
That is where Bercow now is.
https://twitter.com/tompeck/status/1082993575586082816
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2018/06/24/speaker-cornered-time-for-john-bercow-to-stand-down-as-speaker/
That doesn't tell you everything, of course, but in respect of the referendum I think it told you quite a lot.
I don't like Bercow in the least, but I think it disingenuous to call him partisan as a means of discrediting the ruling. What he is trying to do is insist on Parliament being able to have a say in the fact of government's procedural efforts to frustrate it.
Given May's extended filibuster on the issue, it is arrant hypocrisy to decry the Speaker for bending the rules. As ever, the remedy is in Parliament's hands - if it doesn't like the way the Speaker is conducting matters, it can sack him.
https://twitter.com/CJLittlemore/status/1067156787097493505?s=19
But sure, lets just stick with the nutters and ignore everyone else *rolleyes*
Behold, the glee, nay joy, on the lips of Bercow. He's been planning this for weeks, maybe months. And he's lapping up every last luscious second of it.
Here is the man who will let Parliament Take Back Control. A towering godhead in a room of tiny little men.
John Bercow, you are a national hero and your name shall resound throughout the annals.
Of course it's valid to point out when our leaders are taking actions which are against the county's interests (and those of the now electorate) but are in the interests of our enemies.
FWIW I don't think Paddy's views on the matter were in much doubt.
Of course Britain joining the EEC in the first place was quite rightly viewed as a betrayal of Australia/New Zealand and the Commonwealth down under.
But lets just stick with the lunatics and not pay attention to our kin and allies.
A Minister of the Crown must, within the period of 21 days beginning with the day on which the House of Commons decides not to pass the resolution, make a statement setting out how Her Majesty’s Government proposes to proceed in relation to negotiations for the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the EU under Article 50(2) of the Treaty on European Union.
I am not sure that there is a limit on how many goes it can have in that 21 days. The approval of the package (not just the WA), however, is a condition precedent of further progress in the ratification of the agreement.
We really are in a sh*t position. Thanks, Brexiteers, you bunch of stinking winnets.
Parliament has precisely one way to stop Bercow. A motion of confidence. If the government is really that desperate to stop Parliament from Taking Back Control, then why doesn't it move a motion of no confidence in the speaker?
Because he'd win. And he knows it. And they know it.
This is why Bercow has the smirk on his face.
And since it's narrow politics dressed up as principle, the whole affair will go nowhere other than yet more bitterness, entrenching the sides, with the speaker an outright opponent of the government.
Culturally, historically, politically, linguistically and much more Australia is far closer to home than Russia is. Only geography separates us.
Explained it was his wife's car and he does not control her views.
Spot on.
I don't think he was quite this mad back then. Like many people, Brexit has made him mad. And I don't mean angry.
Never have seen the appeal.
Its standard modus operandi in Europe once a deal is agreed to say it is final and can't be changed, but if it gets rejected domestically to tweak it in order to satisfy domestic concerns. Happened with Maastricht, Nice and Lisbon from memory.
Now you may argue it can't happen here and this will go against history but without trying we'll never know.
The amendment will carry, and Bercow's hero status will go up another star.
They should've left the point of order with Leadsom.