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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Another poll has CON getting much closer to LAB
Chart showing trend in TNS-BMRB polls this year pic.twitter.com/tWzf0RHUTf
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Lab maj nailed on. Cameron sat on this poll for 3 months and only releasing it now to divert from his role in the alleged framing of a Tory politician.
Pigeon!
You take it seriously if you wish...
These aren't real polls - they're outliers, figments of our imagination, caused by Global Warming, a reaction to The Right Wing Press...
Have I missed anything here?
Iain Duncan Smith MP @IDS_MP
Ed Miliband has updated his Facebook pic.twitter.com/fW9NsRJlps
As tim knows. He coincidentally left the country during the Labour Conference, when he might have had to say something supportive of the little Socialist.
"So in 1964 they used that money to buy a five-bedroom detached house opposite Kew Gardens in south-west London. It cost £8,000."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/lifestyle/10377807/Well-never-have-it-so-good-again.html
Lol, what's False Conscientiousness?
Belgium/England/Spain/France/Russia and ROI accumulator pays 7/2.
"It is a decision which will undermine confidence in the ability of the police to investigate misconduct when the reputation of the police service as a whole is at stake.
"My family and I have waited nearly a year for these police officers to be held to account and for an apology from the police forces involved. It seems we have waited in vain."
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/oct/15/plebgate-officers-disciplinary-hearing-ipcc-andrew-mitchell
These are the important ones, IMO ...
And one might also say that anyone bemoaning middle-class decline is really just complaining about a loss of privilege. Why should anyone feel sorry for over-privileged parents whining about the possibility that their children might be marginally less spoiled than they have been?
The answer, I think, is this: what is happening to the middle class is happening to 99 per cent of the rest of the population, too. Anyone outside the gilded 1 per cent is seeing their relative position decline. That’s an awful lot of people looking ahead and seeing less, rather than more, on the horizon. And, no matter what class you belong to, that’s not a healthy prospect for anyone.
I reckon he would have.
And this little dig.
"In this rarefied atmosphere – the world of, say, senior executives at the BBC – employees become assets."
Labour has not remotely made a case for voting for them in 2015. They had been hoping that the Tories would be making a case to NOT vote for them. All of their positioning has been aimed at that in that past 40 months. But the Coalition will go into the election on the back of 9 quarters of growth - some of it perhaps quite robust. That will be contrasted with 0.0% growth from the Labour Govt. of 2005-2010. When they fecked the economy, good and proper.
The Tories are doing in 2013 as I said they needed to at the start of the year - heads down, no feck-ups, just let people know they can govern sensibly - and want the job again in 2015. 2014 is going to be pretty much of the same. They just need to convince 1 voter in 200 each month that they are on the right path - and 2015 will be a happy outcome for them.
< FFS - I despair. It feels like an endless stream of lies and failures and cover-ups.
http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/regions/asia-pacific/china/130522/millennials-labor-force-unemployment-jobs
The LD, Tories and Kippers aren't trying to copy his ideas or even steal them. That tells me a lot.
http://www.wiltshiretimes.co.uk/news/10736712.Liberal_Democrats_announce_north_Wiltshire_general_election_candidate/?ref=rss
http://yougov.co.uk/news/2013/10/15/its-long-term-trends-stupid/
Barring black swans like shale, the wealth of the west has plateau'd, for the moment, as the East catches up. Curiously, I think the voters accept this, with resignation (perhaps subconsciously = the inner wisdom of crowds).
We are at the very beginning of this process, especially with regards to the roll back of the state. Income is not the issue so much as what your income buys and what prospects your children have. Standard of living is the key.
Barring black swans like shale, the wealth of the west has plateau'd, for the moment, as the East catches up. Curiously, I think the voters accept this, with resignation (perhaps subconsciously = the inner wisdom of crowds).
This is the ultimate effect of globalisation. It's unstoppable.
Ed and labour can pretend it's not, and from his conference speech that certainly seems to be the case. And it's true that both labour and the tories don't want to really face up to it.
This is very different from the past, before countries were insular entities, so they had the ability to change their society and structure to cope with changes. But from the 20th century and onwards, with industrialisation and travel, that isn't the case. For the first part of the 20th century it led to global war. For the second part, it was somewhat frozen by the cold war. Now those barriers have broken down, and we are seeing the true impact of the information age, and of globalisation.
Yes houses were spectacularly cheaper but that's not the only standard is it? (especially for the middle classes).
How middle class kids went to university in 1964? how many did gap yahs around the world? How many had their own phone/personal computer/face book page/electric guitar/motor vehicle? How many teenagers in 1964 could look forward to a life expectancy of eighty plus, with replacement of body parts that wear out almost a standard procedure?
If you really look at what he's saying, it's (a) house prices in Kew have rocketed. Well, that's true. (b) Someone who becomes a writer can't afford to send his children to Eton. Well, well, blow me down with a feather, and (c) His children can only afford big houses in London and private education for their kids if they get good jobs. Well, that's true too, but if they become lawyers or accountants or bankers or Labour charity-sinecure luvvies, they will be able to afford such things.
Standard of living is still vastly superior to the past,. Look at the electronics and computing items which are now a given for everyone. The access to facilitics and entertainment, both free and charged.
People are not angry like they were in the 70s and 80s. We are very very comfortable compared with the past, and still are.
Of course, there are politicians who say they can take countries back to being insular entities. Le Pen in France definitely, and UKIP in Britain arguably (I'm not saying the latter is a clone of the former, by the way, it clearly isn't).
Armenia went an amazing run in group B with away victories in Prague and 4-0 in Copenhagen- until the lost at home to Malta in June.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_FIFA_World_Cup_qualification_(UEFA)
Yes/No:
Con voters: 92%/5%
UKIP voters: 98%/2%
Lab voters: 74%/17%
LD voters: 59%/32%"
http://yougov.co.uk/news/2013/10/15/voters-immigration-too-high-labour/
It's probably just as well: we could do without more rogue results.
David Amess MP tells hustings for dep speaker 'I deplore pomposity and arrogance'. Michael Fabricant: 'how will you get on with Mr Speaker?'
And one might also say that anyone bemoaning middle-class decline is really just complaining about a loss of privilege. Why should anyone feel sorry for over-privileged parents whining about the possibility that their children might be marginally less spoiled than they have been?
The answer, I think, is this: what is happening to the middle class is happening to 99 per cent of the rest of the population, too. Anyone outside the gilded 1 per cent is seeing their relative position decline. That’s an awful lot of people looking ahead and seeing less, rather than more, on the horizon. And, no matter what class you belong to, that’s not a healthy prospect for anyone.
Meanwhile, this son of a printer who left school at 15 without a qualification to his name and a comprehensive school lab technician is doing very nicely thank you. You could extrapolate from my story and tell a heart-warming story of relentless upward mobility. Certainly, there are plenty of professionals of my generation with a similar story to tell.
Or you might decide that the only lesson to be drawn from David Thomas's story is that civil servants and writers have in general reduced in social standing relative to City professionals.
Doesn't mean to say we're angry about people owning six cars.
If we couldn't afford to eat, it would be a different matter, and in that case we wouldn't just be looking at the top 1%.
Or you might decide that the only lesson to be drawn from David Thomas's story is that civil servants and writers have in general reduced in social standing relative to City professionals.
Yes, Antifrank. You are a member of the 1%. Unlike you, most people have seen their living standards either stagnate or decline over recent years. You may not think it is a problem or that you are insulated from the consequences of this. Maybe you are right.
Neil Woodford is to leave Invesco Perpetual in April 2014 and set up his own fund management business.
Slightly important UK fund manager as Richard N knows for starters.
The 1964 general election took place on this day - one current Labour MP, David Winnick, contested that election as candidate in Harwich
Journalists and writers are at the forefront of those that have relatively declined (unsurprisingly, because they have completely failed to have adapted to the changing world). They have excellent access to the media - of course - and can wail to a listening audience. That doesn't make them reliable judges of what's going on.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/seanthomas/100241481/what-my-time-in-jail-tells-me-about-the-eccentric-aggressive-guilt-ridden-alastair-campbell/
Every convict in prison feels a certain amount of self-loathing. But they deal with this by saying: at least I’m not as bad as him. Thus a moral hierarchy develops – the bank-robber is better than the burglar who is better than the mugger. At the very bottom are the child abusers: even the murderers look down on the child abusers; the latter are the so-called nonces, who are often beaten up.
Perhaps the same process is at work with Alastair Campbell. Thanks to Iraq, he is locked in the prison of his self-loathing. But now he has decided that the prisoner down the landing, aka the Daily Mail, is equivalent to a child molester, and, thankfully, even worse than him. So he fills a sock with snooker balls, and whacks it over the head.
Sarah Beeney recognises the insanity of h2b(ii);
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/borrowing/mortgages/10377012/Sarah-Beeny-Help-to-Buy-makes-taxpayers-act-like-parents.html
And even the CEO at lloyds-hbos thinks it's nuts;
http://news.sky.com/story/1154262/help-to-buy-lloyds-boss-questions-scheme
This stupid policy needs be scrapped, or at least refocussed on the h2b(i) new-build scheme.
'Most of the main players in Shock and Awe have now dropped out of the media spotlight. Geoff Hoon has retired to spend more time with himself. Tony Blair wears total orange face make-up, and resides on a private jet, like Howard Hughes in his dotage. Peter Hain lives mainly in Neath, so he is actively doing penance'
"Mr Charalambous, an unelected private sector landlord"
Will be good sport if you hook the big fish himself..
" Vinogreth
In his time Tony Blair apologized on behalf of the British for Slavery, the Irish Famine, the oppression of women, the Holocaust, our damage to the environment, getting the Chinese addicted to opium and God knows what else.
Then, in the name of the British, he went off and bombed a country into oblivion for no good reason whatsoever.
I guess war making and mass killings are just fine if you happen to be doing it in the name of ''Liberalism'' and ''Western Values'' by which they mean Cultural Marxism."
What's the answer to my question by the way? Do you have a job?
Talking about evens, I'm still on for that for the deficit reduction wager? But I can well understand your reticence. Shouldn't you just pay up to DavidL now? Silly boy.
Regarding football accas, this bloke picked up six figures at the weekend
@weekendfootball
Gordon Rayner @gordonrayner 4m
David Belmar, the man arrested with a knife outside Buckingham Palace yesterday, wanted to see the Queen to complain about his benefits.
Generally speaking I'm not keen on tying up money in long-term bets, which is why spreads are so much better but something could be done via opinion polls, although they're only to be regarded for trends.
He wanted it to look like an authentic loss of virginity': Daniel Radcliffe on how the director of his new film Kill Your Darlings helped him through his gay sex scenes
Down 5p since 9am..
1. £10 Evens between today and 30th June 2014 the Conservatives will have a lead in at least one poll
2. £10 Evens between today and 31st December 2014 the Conservatives will have a 5% or more lead in at least one poll
3. £10 Evens between today and 08th May 2015 the Conservatives will have a 10% or more lead in either one opinion poll or the actual General Election the latter based on United Kingdom
Please note for the avoidance of doubt these are the published figures, not your fiddling manipulations of samples, adjustments or people who live in Surbiton.
@robindbrant: @paulwaugh just you wait to see the little gathering outside portcullis just now
Has Ed thought about capping polls as well as prices? It doesn't llok good when they all show the evil capitalist baby-eaters this close.
http://www.buzzfeed.com/copyranter/the-best-cat-gif-post-in-the-history-of-cat-gifs
The other day I noticed two cats circling something in my garden. It turned out to be a pigeon with a serious injury. It was still alive enough to fight off their attentions, but couldn;t fly. It clearly wanted to be left alone to expire in peace.
The cats were so fascinated they paid me zero attention when I walked up to this rather sad scene. I had to shoo one away because it was trying to poke its head up the pigeon's feathery ar&e
After I put the pigeon out of its misery and buried it, the cats regarded me as if I had just shat in their sitting rooms.
http://www.parliamentlive.tv/main/Player.aspx?meetingId=13939
Defends operational independence of the police, but its quite wrong for West Mercia police not to hold disciplinary proceedings.