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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The November 6th US Midterms – where we are and what might hap

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  • Me_Me_ Posts: 66
    It`s not a point, but it`s a point that they have been falling for more than a decade now and you are using census figure of 2010! It is a point that Catholics do not have the organization of Protestant Evangelicals. It is a point that one of the biggest TV Networks here is owned by Bispo Edir Macedo. It is a point that one of the biggest blocks in Congress is formed by Protestant Evangelicals and not Catholics. It is a point that Protestant Evangelicals are on the rise here. WTF. I live in this country, I see everyday a new Evangelical church. I see the political influence this group have in our day to day. I see that Catholics do not interfere in political situation. I saw the Pope criticize torture while Bolsonaro said that Ustra was one of the biggest Brazilian of all time. I saw the Pope criticize hate speeches while Bolsonaro said the the opposition would go to jale or to exile.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Me_ said:

    It`s not a point, but it`s a point that they have been falling for more than a decade now and you are using census figure of 2010! It is a point that Catholics do not have the organization of Protestant Evangelicals. It is a point that one of the biggest TV Networks here is owned by Bispo Edir Macedo. It is a point that one of the biggest blocks in Congress is formed by Protestant Evangelicals and not Catholics. It is a point that Protestant Evangelicals are on the rise here. WTF. I live in this country, I see everyday a new Evangelical church. I see the political influence this group have in our day to day. I see that Catholics do not interfere in political situation. I saw the Pope criticize torture while Bolsonaro said that Ustra was one of the biggest Brazilian of all time. I saw the Pope criticize hate speeches while Bolsonaro said the the opposition would go to jale or to exile.

    Show da Fe. Enough said!
  • Me_Me_ Posts: 66
    Me_ said:

    It`s not a point, but it`s a point that they have been falling for more than a decade now and you are using census figure of 2010! It is a point that Catholics do not have the organization of Protestant Evangelicals. It is a point that one of the biggest TV Networks here is owned by Bispo Edir Macedo. It is a point that one of the biggest blocks in Congress is formed by Protestant Evangelicals and not Catholics. It is a point that Protestant Evangelicals are on the rise here. WTF. I live in this country, I see everyday a new Evangelical church. I see the political influence this group have in our day to day. I see that Catholics do not interfere in political situation. I saw the Pope criticize torture while Bolsonaro said that Ustra was one of the biggest Brazilian of all time. I saw the Pope criticize hate speeches while Bolsonaro said the the opposition would go to jale or to exile.

    Jail, but you got the point. I hope.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,206
    edited October 2018
    Me_ said:

    It`s not a point, but it`s a point that they have been falling for more than a decade now and you are using census figure of 2010! It is a point that Catholics do not have the organization of Protestant Evangelicals. It is a point that one of the biggest TV Networks here is owned by Bispo Edir Macedo. It is a point that one of the biggest blocks in Congress is formed by Protestant Evangelicals and not Catholics. It is a point that Protestant Evangelicals are on the rise here. WTF. I live in this country, I see everyday a new Evangelical church. I see the political influence this group have in our day to day. I see that Catholics do not interfere in political situation. I saw the Pope criticize torture while Bolsonaro said that Ustra was one of the biggest Brazilian of all time. I saw the Pope criticize hate speeches while Bolsonaro said the the opposition would go to jale or to exile.

    It is a point that a majority of the Brazilian population is Catholic.

    Bolsanoro is anti abortion and anti greater LGBT rights, for traditionalists in the Vatican that is the main point after recent moves to secular liberalism in other former Catholic bastions like the Republic of Ireland.


    For traditional Catholics liberal secularists are the real enemy not Protestant evangelicals, see the links now being made between the DUP and Catholic priests in Northern Ireland which would have been unthinkable 30 years ago
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    dixiedean said:

    Meanwhile, the election in Hesse is a photo finish. Both TV channels calling CDU-Green 1 short of a majority. But ZDF calling CDU-SPD 1 short, ARD a majority of 1.
    But if that is the case what a shambles. Both parties lost 10-11 %. Meanwhile, the Greens, big winners in terms of vote share, face losing their place in government!

    Isn't the most likely coalition a CDU/Green/FDP one? There aren't many other options.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    AndyJS said:

    dixiedean said:

    Meanwhile, the election in Hesse is a photo finish. Both TV channels calling CDU-Green 1 short of a majority. But ZDF calling CDU-SPD 1 short, ARD a majority of 1.
    But if that is the case what a shambles. Both parties lost 10-11 %. Meanwhile, the Greens, big winners in terms of vote share, face losing their place in government!

    Isn't the most likely coalition a CDU/Green/FDP one? There aren't many other options.
    The FDP are not great fans of the Greens.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Another fun fact... Bolsonaro favours recognising Jerusalem as Israel’s capital.

    And to think some people find sport more exciting than politics...
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,861
    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    MaxPB said:

    I think the main problem with liberals is that they are weak. Just weak on absolutely everything.

    Someone needs a hug.
    Is it me?
    I think it's Me.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,898
    edited October 2018
    Interesting endorsements for Bolsonaro:

    Brazilian professional footballer Ronaldinho.
    Brazilian professional footballer Lucas Moura.
    Brazilian professional footballer Felipe Melo.
    Brazilian professional footballer Jádson
    Brazilian professional footballer Rivaldo.
    Retired Brazilian professional footballer and 2002 world cup champion Kaká.
    Retired Brazilian professional footballer and 1994 and 2002 world cup champion Cafu.

    Among others.
  • Me_Me_ Posts: 66
    stjohn said:

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    MaxPB said:

    I think the main problem with liberals is that they are weak. Just weak on absolutely everything.

    Someone needs a hug.
    Is it me?
    I think it's Me.
    I do need one. Reports of people being killed already come in. One kid in Ponta Grossa just got shot during a Bolsonaro celebration.
  • TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840


    I'm not so sure - I think the Corbynistas still hold the Attlee government up as a role-model. It's certainly not denegrated like the Blair years are. As I don't know Owen Jones, I can't say what he thinks of Attlee.

    Most Corbyn supporters I have seen talking about the Attlee government or elements of it are quite positive about it.

    More general point. In regards to the socialist argument, which is why I mostly avoid labels...

    I don't think most people who label themselves as socialist want to cause a famine in some parts of the country and install puppet authoritarian regimes in neighboroughing governments or install an incredibly repressive dynastic dictatorship like the Soviet Union and North Korea anymore than than those who might label themselves as capitalists or as against communism/socialism want to set up concentration camps for political rivals and some minority groups and others it finds undesirable like Nazi Germany.

    Many of the problems and negatives of these regimes are shared despite their differences. Part of the problem with these regimes is their authoritarianism, which cannot be levelled at Corbyn as his voting record is pro civil liberties. I think that is part of what attracted some supporters to him. When the terrorist incidents occurred before the election May's reaction was to attack human rights for political gain, I feel some of Corbyn's opponents in Labour may have had similar thoughts.

    We can argue about who or what is socialist, is it just bad regimes, is it the Attlee government, is it Scandinavian countries, is it the Soviet Union or for those who are feeling particularly adventurous the is Nazi Germany socialist...

    Corbyn supporters will generally talk about about the likes of the Attlee* government or the Scandinavian countries being closer to themselves or their ideas rather than say North Korea and the Soviet Union. Articles which complain that West Germany and the Soviet Union have some sort of childcare and Britain doesn't isn't proof of wanting us to be like the Soviet Union (or West Germany)

    Someone could accuse them of secretly wanting to copy some terrible regime that shares (or appears to them to share) some of their economic platform but they could do exactly the same back, there have been plenty of bad authoritarian regimes that have indiscriminately killed people from a wide range on the left to right economic spectrum. The only good connective argument against most of the terrible regimes is authoritarianism and why that should be resisted.

    Good first? thread header viewcode.

    Also I was Global Green as well, which doesn't seem a huge surprise, Green is what I would have voted in the past if I had the chance pre Corbyn.

    *I'd imagine a large portion don't know a lot about it outside of some vague stuff but those people would generally be positive about the changes made.
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,861
    Me_ said:

    stjohn said:

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    MaxPB said:

    I think the main problem with liberals is that they are weak. Just weak on absolutely everything.

    Someone needs a hug.
    Is it me?
    I think it's Me.
    I do need one. Reports of people being killed already come in. One kid in Ponta Grossa just got shot during a Bolsonaro celebration.
    Sounds awful. Good luck.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Amazing fact from the Hesse state election: there are currently just 94 votes between the Greens and the Social Democrats for second place in the popular vote, with the Greens on 570,260 to 570,166 for the SPD.

    https://statistik-hessen.de/l_2018/html/landesergebnis
  • TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    @Me_

    Haven't heard much about your new president but the little I have sounds pretty bad. With any luck he will be limited in the damage he can do over his term by others in positions of power and is booted out by the end of it. One way to fatally discredit a powerful movement sometimes can be for it to have the chance to fail, the only worry can be if people grow to like it. Best of luck.
  • TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    https://twitter.com/octavio_ferraz/status/1055566020201594882

    Found this on twitter, give a bit of context to our conversations.

    This guy sounds a lot worse than Trump, that wouldn't be out of place in 30's Germany.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237
    Rewatching Casino Royale, it's by a mile the best modern bond.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237
    I find it unreadable, not because of the content, but the need to insult all and sundry
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Tragic news from Indonesia - brand new aircraft (delivered August) 189 onboard

    http://avherald.com/h?article=4bf90724
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    rcs1000 said:

    I find it unreadable, not because of the content, but the need to insult all and sundry
    rcs1000 said:

    I find it unreadable, not because of the content, but the need to insult all and sundry
    If you persevere beyond the opening third of ad hom. I do think he makes some interesting observations about the “culture war” ahead.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited October 2018

    Tragic news from Indonesia - brand new aircraft (delivered August) 189 onboard

    http://avherald.com/h?article=4bf90724

    It's very unusual for a new aircraft to be involved in a crash like this AFAIK.

    Technical discussion at PPRuNe:
    https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/614857-indonesian-aircraft-missing-off-jakarta-3.html
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,301

    rcs1000 said:

    I find it unreadable, not because of the content, but the need to insult all and sundry
    If you persevere beyond the opening third of ad hom. I do think he makes some interesting observations about the “culture war” ahead.
    Which would be ?

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited October 2018
    rcs1000 said:

    Rewatching Casino Royale, it's by a mile the best modern bond.

    Good, because it's one of only two of the modern Bonds I've seen. Quantum Of Solace is the other. The 70s Roger Moore Bond films are my favourites.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    Tragic news from Indonesia - brand new aircraft (delivered August) 189 onboard

    http://avherald.com/h?article=4bf90724

    That is indeed grim news.

    Also extremely surprising given Boeing's generally excellent safety record. I think it's eight years since any version of the 737 has crashed under similar conditions (an Ethiopian Airlines flight out of Beirut) and that was caused by poor pilot training.
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    There’s a second place waiting on the new thread...
This discussion has been closed.