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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Good to see my 14-1 shot for the LD leadership back in action AND being political
A long time ago when it appeared that Chris Huhne’s “little local difficulty” might not end in a criminal trial I backed the former LD Energy Secretary at 14/1 for Clegg’s replacement. Subsequent events have clearly made that outcome a very remote possibility.
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If the former, it's a little harsh and a technicality - Osborne would have had to find the money elsewhere not too (which I suspect he may do in future). If the later then, yes, he deserves a proportion of the blame.
Did you miss out "convicted perjurer"?
"Whether or not one agrees with the cap, what is really surprising is that it has taken Labour this long to stop opposing it: poll after poll has shown that the public is overwhelmingly in favour of the cap – including Labour voters.
.... free schools are popular, especially in areas with sitting Labour MPs. 47 per cent of free schools are in areas with Labour MPs, compared with 44 per cent in Tory areas and five per cent in Lib Dem constituencies."
http://www.leftfootforward.org/2013/10/labour-free-schools-welfare/
When Tristram Hunt was higher education spokesman he was asked what his policies were: "I haven’t got a clue” jerryhayes.co.uk/posts/2013/10/…
http://www.sporcle.com/games/g/londontubecentral
53/63 but rather annoyed I forgot High Street Kensington!
Tristram Hunt signals Labour policy shift on free schools
http://www.theguardian.com/education/2013/oct/13/tristam-hunt-labour-free-schools
Lots of credibility.
Huzzah to the prison education system.
Talking about ex yellow peril ministers, any markets on whether Jeremy Browne will defect ?
I was visting a premises the other day, a gigantic house, probably about eight bedrooms, the entire of the roof was occupied with panels, probably around sixty to eighty.
If it was classed as welfare he would be hit by the benefits cap.
Something for Jeremy Hunt to think about. This happened on his watch.
https://audioboo.fm/boos/1657971-nick-clarke-award-interview-of-the-year-2013#t=4m42s
Fuel Duty has already been frozen in recent years because the cost of petrol has been considered more important than the environmental concerns. Now it seems that regardless of political party its going to be hard to escalate energy taxes any further.
Huhne's full of shit. In other news, the post-race analysis of the Japanese Grand Prix is up here:
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2013/10/japan-post-race-analysis.html
The Constructors' title race is pretty interesting. Whilst Red Bull will win it, there are close battles for almost every other position.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/24512559
He's completely shameless
"Convicted pervert".
In other news I wonder if OGH still stands by his decision to back Huhne against Clegg in the LD leadership election in 2007. If he does, I reckon that's quite revealing.
'He's completely shameless'
Does he think anyone would take him seriously?
So, more of all three please!
Isn't Gérard Depardieu the embodiment of the current French Republic?
The days of achieving greatness by marrying photographers are long gone.
i) we should be instinctively wary of 'consensus' on an issue, especially in politics. If it is shown to be wrong it takes a long time to work its way out of the system.
ii) There's an underlying assumption that increasing energy taxes is done for environmental reasons, rather than an ability to generate lots of cash to spend on pet projects.
All politicians love pet projects and they all like to stuff their supporters mouths with gold.
In that sense, all politics is parochial.
But that is not really what I was meaning. Not all English Lib Dems are electoral dog poo. But those three are.
If his ex-wife had had the sense to do the same there might not even have been a prison sentence.
He's 59, so he would have been looking towards the end of his career anyway!
"The days of achieving greatness by marrying photographers are long gone."
No. It always works. That or your plastic surgeon.
As for Depardieu...Last seen with his nose in an upside down A-Z of Moscow
Survation/MoS
Westminster VI - Scotland
(usual caveats, blah, blah)
(+/- change from UK GE 2010)
SNP 34% (+14)
Lab 34% (-8)
Con 23% (+6)
LD 7% (-12)
Grn 1% (n/c)
UKIP 1% (n/c)
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Data-Tables-MOS-13102013.pdf
I wonder how long it will take before ordinary SLab members begin to understand that their party is boosting the hated Tories?
They've been predicting that Simon Hughes would lose Bermondsey for 30 years - hasn't happened.
The LDs are the only one of the main parties not to have lost a by-election in this partliament.
Lab 34 seats (-7)
SNP 18 seats (+12)
Con 5 seats (+4)
LD 2 seats (-9)
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll_scot.html
Don't tell Easterross, Fitalass or Scott P. They'd need smelling salts.
For that to be relevant, we would have to compare the 2010 leads each party had in each of those by-elections as well.
I'm grateful that he did because Eastleigh turned out the be my betting bonanza of 2013.
What odds will you give me on them winning more seats in Scotland at GE2015 than the SNP?
But I am being serious. I genuinely do detect tiny, tiny signs of a wee uptick in the SCon VI statistics. The first sign of new life in the SCon base in literally decades. That is interesting. Very interesting. And, if true, it deserves analysis and explanation. And Alastair Darling has got a lot of the explaining to do, because it is largely his fault.
The astonishingly cack-handed manner in which the SNP have handled the referendum, their entire reason for being, which seems to be worked out on a series of chip wrappers, probably deserves quite a lot of the credit.
I have no time or respect for the SNP and am generally contemptuous of all their works, but even I am amazed at just how spectacularly crap they are at this, their one big moment in history.
All those years, all the effort, blood, sweat and tears, and Eck is going to fluff it.
Makes me glad to have seen it though...
Best prices - Dunfermline by-election
Lab 4/11 (Coral)
SNP 8/3 (Betfair)
LD 70/1
Ind 100/1
Grn 125/1
UKIP 125/1
Con 200/1
SLab support for Better Together is giving rise to SCon surge in Scotland.
You are not arguing that a Yes vote is the only way to stop the Tories are you Stuart?
It is Survation's voting intention poll.
Commissioned by the Mail on Sunday.
With seat predictions courtesy of the mathematician Martin Baxter.
The assertion I made was that the Scottish Lib Dems are filling their breeks, which is self-evidently true. Not sure how we could have a wager on that though.
Who wouldnt be tempted? A little white lie, no one hurt...
We can't say that this is an exposure. We on PB knew years back.
Some may have sympathy with him because all these subsequent lies originated from a lie over a trivial traffic offence and because its exposure and sorry consequences resulted from a deserted wife's revenge for marital infidelity, but that doesn't make any of the lies told "white".
You could take the line that Huhne was a "white liar", but then, as tim might say, this is hardly surprising: he was after all a Lib Dem MP.
So Peter Sissons is a blue rinse-or is he bitter 'cos the BBC sacked him or is he after a job at the Mail?
So difficult to tell with ex employees with an axe to grind.
Repeated offences indicate either seriously poor driving or a contempt for either the law or everyone's safety. Or, of course, all three.
And he didn't go to prison for bad driving; it was for serial lying. Idle to speculate now, but if he'd 'fessed up when it all went pear shaped would it have all ended less unhappily for him?
We run a road safety campaign about the Fatal Four-speeding, using a mobile whilst driving, not wearing a seastbelt and dunk/drugged driving. Huhne deserved all he got, and more.
Sounds like he's got issues
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/tobyyoung/100241132/revealed-labours-secret-plan-to-sabotage-free-schools/
Tobe can't spell 'bailiwick'.....
I don't think he went for perjury. His case ended before it started.
"Tobe can't spell 'bailiwick'..... "
Nor frame a cogent argument. What a silly article
1) we cannot trust the police
2) we cannot trust government ministers
3) we cannot trust the BBC
What part of the Establishment can we trust?
Sean thrills internationally.
In other news, I see Labour have now caved in on Free Schools and Welfare, as well as having already caved in on the deficit, the OBR, Royal Mail privatisation, and much else. Anyone who doubted that this government was going to achieve lasting radical reforms needs to rethink.
If they give a veto over new free schools to the local authorities, for instance, that will kill the expansion of the sector rather like Brown killed the original Academy programme.
And you think they won't give into the temptation to spend should they get their grubby mitts on the purse strings?
Hope springs eternal!
In shortened form. LOTO would become FOCA.
By the way Scott, it is traditional to write the post-match report after the final whistle has been blown, but I can fully understand why Unionists want to write it after the first 20 minutes of the game.
After the Chief Counting Officer has declared the result we'll see exactly who was "astonishingly cack-handed", who "worked things out on a series of chip wrappers", and who was "spectacularly crap". I suspect the answer to none of those questions will be "the Scottish National Party".
Oi, Tobe! Where should I send the invoice?
It won't work, but it's worth a shot.
Malcolm, its worth noting that these students education has been the sole responsibility of both Lab/Libdem and SNP Governments at Holyrood for 14 years now. That makes your comment about the state of education in Scotland all the more noteworthy.
I'm assuming the Telegraph blogs get subbed. SeanT perhaps you can enlighten us?