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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Video Analysis: Demographics – What We Can Do
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Video Analysis: Demographics – What We Can Do
Demographics discussions can depress. The problems – ignored by most politicians – seem vast but distant. Better to let someone else, elected later, worry about them.
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https://twitter.com/MattCartoonist/status/1052595129008222208
An ordinary dinner party, the sort of occasion we all enjoy. The LEAVERs are exchanging witty stories. And look at the REMAINERs; aren’t they pretty? Look at the way they laugh, they’re delightful. But now the conversation turns to more serious matters.
LEAVER 1:
“I wonder if the Government should stay out of the EU Customs Union”
LEAVER 2:
“I think it should.”
LEAVER 1:
“Good. Then we’re all agreed.”
But oh dear, what’s this? One of the REMAINERs is about to embarrass us all…
REMAINER:
“I think the Government should stay in the Customs Union, so that the Pound can reach a level that would keep our exports competitive.”
The REMAINER has foolishly attempted to join the conversation with a wild and dangerous opinion of his own! What half-baked drivel! See how the LEAVERS look at him with utter contempt!
LEAVER 2:
“Alastair, we’re going home!!”
REMAINERS - KNOW YOUR LIMITS!
Look at the effect of education on a LEAVER and a REMAINER’s mind. Education passes into the mind of a LEAVER. See how the information is evenly and tidily stored.
Now see the same thing on a REMAINER. At first we see a similar result. But now look. Still at a reasonably low level of education his brain suddenly overloads. He can't take in complicated information. He becomes frantically and absurdly deranged.
Look at these venomous harridans. They went to university. Hard to believe they are all under 25. Yes, over-education leads to ugliness, premature aging and beard growth. And ranting on online political betting fora.
Now, let’s see the proper way.
LEAVER 1:
“Good. So we’re all agreed. We should stay out of the Customs Union.”
REMAINER:
“Oh, I don’t know anything about the Northern Ireland Backstop, I’m afraid, but I do love little kittens! They’re so soft, and furry.”
LEAVER 2:
“What a delightful thought, you dear, sweet, fragile little thing! I adore you, Alastair!”
REMAINERS - KNOW YOUR LIMITS. In thought, be plain and simple, and let your natural sweetness shine through!
The US is allowed to have its own delivery charges as part of the UPU process. But it can't discriminate. It can't have $0.10 for a British letter from New York harbor to Rochester NY, and $1.00 for a Chinese one.
It could easily raise delivery rates, but ultimately the Trump administration just HATES multinational bodies.
Still not grasped the fact that unionists oppose this.
Go forth and multiply.
As do Northern Irish Unionists beyond DUP hardliners.
No Deal would be a gift to the SNP and Sinn Fein
Which is why Barnier is backed by Sinn Fein and opposed by unionists which you then misread as meaning it's good for the union. If it was good for the union it'd be supported by the unionists and opposed by Sinn Fein for Pete's sake!
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/04/five-times-theresa-may-no-10-ruled-snap-general-election/
https://twitter.com/JamieFonzarelli/status/1052605828518371328
I said May would return to Parliament after No Deal and that remains the case despite your zeal to crash the economy and risk ending the Union with No Deal
https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1052606378051870722
The Evening Osborne is also reporting on Geoffrey Cox holding No. 10's feet to the fire:
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/attorney-general-will-be-marking-no-10-s-homework-over-detail-on-brexit-backstop-a3964186.html
The whole UK would stay in the single market and customs union in the transition period anyway and quite likely until a technical solution is found to the Irish border
why not sound out Mrs S with the idea tonight:-)
https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1052608666904522752
I have had a complete break from politics for a few days, having been experiencing the joys of rail travel instead.
I have been really interested to discover that the new improved upgraded-to-overhead-power-at-vast-expense railway has turned out to be simply another way to really, really, really muck things up.
And apparently I got off very lightly compared to some, at that.
Good evening, everybody. I hope you have all enjoyed your week so far.
I'll trust the lifelong unionists and my own common sense that breaking up the country to save it is a stupid idea before I trust a hypothetical poll.
Sh%t, showered and shaved I hope.
You seem to have misunderstood (wilfully?) the WTO position wrt national borders and MFN status.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_in_London#Murder
https://twitter.com/DianeDoddsMEP/status/1052604708165210112
https://twitter.com/BethRigby/status/1052610133526814726
I think you are saying that if we have a 'soft border' in NI we have to have a soft border everywhere else? I don't believe this is the case.
The purpose of the soft border is simply a different way of enforcing the same rules. The WTO also have dispensations for these types of situations. So on this basis, I do not believe that the proposed ERG solution is in any way incompatible with WTO rules. And of course, the head of HMCE has already confirmed that in a no deal there would be no need to introduce checks at the border; presumably if it really was against WTO rules May would have him screaming it from the rooftops.
Apart from Creep and Karma Police we all know Radiohead are massively overrated.
But there are 'rules' about lying. Everyone expects a PM to lie about the timing of an election.
Promising over and over that you will implement Brexit and will not call a second referendum and then reversing is not a survivable lie. And, as I keep trying to explain to HYUFD, without the PMs support Parliament cannot pass any legislation in relation to Brexit.
If there is no deal, the Government has promised to make a statement on what they intend to do about it.
Survey respondents have become more sceptical about sexual harassment"
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2018/10/15/after-a-year-of-metoo-american-opinion-has-shifted-against-victims
https://www.standard.co.uk/comment/comment/the-more-chaotic-brexit-becomes-the-more-i-back-calls-for-a-people-s-vote-a3964081.html
And that's what really hurts
You will be pleased to know that I directly address one of your favorite hobby horses: why Mrs Merkel invited Syrian migrants over.
Feel free to retweet my video your 7 million Twitter followers.
52% Leave 48% Remain is not a big enough mandate for ultra hard take no prisoners Brexit
The ERG do not have the numbers to replace her
Having said that, I'm not sure you have accurately diagnosed the problem or the cure. It is not so much that we are living longer. It is that quite a lot of those who are living longer expect not to have to work much further into their old age than their parents, even if they are capable of doing so. Giving wealthy fit older people financial incentives not to work is nuts.
Rather than worrying about longevity we should be worrying about morbidity. Healthy old people can work. Unhealthy people of any age can't work. The biggest problem is that by and large the unhealthy older people are the ones who have the financial motivation to keep working. We need to incentivise richer oldies to stay in the workplace longer.
There seem to be quite a few fruit-picking jobs to go round, and if pb is anything to go by the oldies have plenty of experience in that line of work.
We're all just "people on the internet" - apart from those who have canvassed door to door I doubt any of us has shifted a single vote other than our own.
If we look at the politics, the DUP, Nicola Sturgeon, Ruth Davidson and others including labour seem to be leading a move towards staying in the customs union and the single market and if that becomes unlikely, no deal becomes almost default.
A second referendum with tacit support from those mentioned above, plus a majority in the HOC and HOL becomes a real prospect.
TM did say she would bring the matter to the HOC for their decision and if that happens, and the HOC, HOL and the country look in favour, a second referendum it will be.
And in those circumstances the hard brexiteers will have lost due to their obsession with only their way and a poorly presented case. The plummeting popularity of Boris and JRM should be a warning. The public are losing faith in the hard brexit WTO way, if they had any in the first place
https://mobile.twitter.com/snigskitchen/status/1051905864502845445/photo/1
http://time.com/5426651/trump-gop-blame-lose-house-congress/
I do think if someone beyond retirement age returns to work they should pay NI like all other workers.
I'd also like to think people won't be cajoled in any way to work beyond retirement and should be encouraged to take a "work break" because, to be blunt, there's more to life than work and there are people as valuable in society as those who are "hard working" such as full time carers who don't get much of a life or much of a deal at present.
Economic output for those working peaks at about 50, and then you see both output and participation rates drop.
Working later helps, but is no silver bullet.
I know you really like the sound of it, Big G, but it isn’t going to happen. There aren’t votes for it in the House.
And I still say if we had done what the French did, and ignored every rule we didn't like, this country would love the EU to death and it would be a great success.
Do you believe there is a majority for the NI backstop with Tory MPs? If not, how does a 'softer' Brexit make any difference to the current problem?
And the apologies to those of us who said acting unilaterally it would be turned into a hostage to fortune.