There should be a stringent law that nobody is allowed to post a portrait video ever. They are the devils own work.
This is one of my bugbears. My eyes are next to each other, rather than one on top of each other. Being a terretsrial creature, most of the action I see goes along, rather than up and down. WHY doe people persist in filming in portrait? I recently saw someone post a portrait film on facebook of something he was watching on his telly. You can't get much more inherently-landscape than that.
Phones and digital cameras mimic mechanical cameras. You turn the phone and you turn the frame. That decision was made long, long before the iPhone was a twinkle in Steve Job's eye.
[normally I'm happy to blame Apple for pretty much anything]
Really, really interesting. When young I worked in a chemists with a big photo business and we could, in the summer, have queues of people buying film and wanting us to load their cameras, ‘cos they always made a mess of it’!
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
There should be a stringent law that nobody is allowed to post a portrait video ever. They are the devils own work.
This is one of my bugbears. My eyes are next to each other, rather than one on top of each other. Being a terretsrial creature, most of the action I see goes along, rather than up and down. WHY doe people persist in filming in portrait? I recently saw someone post a portrait film on facebook of something he was watching on his telly. You can't get much more inherently-landscape than that.
Phones and digital cameras mimic mechanical cameras. You turn the phone and you turn the frame. That decision was made long, long before the iPhone was a twinkle in Steve Job's eye.
[normally I'm happy to blame Apple for pretty much anything]
There's a word for the general tendency of the digital to mimic the manual, even when they need not - digital "bookselves" that are pictures of bookshelves with "books".
Another interesting example of where Health care has gone so desperately wrong in the US is the opioid epidemic which has impacted on average life expectancy.
He's not exactly holding back. He is also attacking Miller on Affordable Care. It is a good example of what Mike is talking about and I agree with him that it just might come into focus more as polling day approaches.
RCP still have this ward as lean republican despite Ojeda being up in 2 of the last 3 polls. Makes we wonder just how many seats in the House are a lot more marginal than they look on inadequate or out of date polling.
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
Maybe they'll build one of the bigger tidal barrages, after all. Probably cheaper than batteries.
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
How do you store electricity?
Use the electricity to pump water to a reservoir at a higher level. Then use the water from the higher reservoir to drive an electricity generator at a later time.
Musk (of Tesla fame) claims you could charge up his batteries in future but this might be of limited capacity and high cost.
I would be tempted to put a bet on the Reps holding the house if the odds were better.
Real Clear Politics has moved the house in the last week from 205D, 194R, 36 Toss up to 204D, 199R, 32 Toss up.
If you split the toss ups 50:50 that would give 220D-215R which is not exactly secure for the Dems.
The NY Times are live polling 4 Congressional Districts and have R ahead in 2 and D ahead in 2.
Looking at the Senate, it is now possible that the Reps could gain seats. I wouldn't be surprised if the better polls in TX, TN and NV are also matched in MT and IN when they are next polled.
It's always been likely the Republicans would gain seats in the Senate. The Dems were - simply - just defending too many Deep Red states, like North Dakota, Montana and West Virginia, faced a very popular ex-Governor in Florida, and were hoping for unlikely pick-ups suck as Texas or Tennessee.
The 538 model has always had the most likely scenario being the Republicans picking up one Senate seat net, with them picking up two being more likely than the Dems gaining one net. Those seem pretty accurate to me.
In the House, the issue for the Republicans is that the polling from wealthy suburbs - which are reliably Republican normally - has been pretty awful. (Actually, really awful.) It's a pattern of concentrated losses which mean I think the roughly 75% chance for them to take the House is about right.
538 has, in fact, moved their forecast very slightly in the direction of the Dems in the last week. See:
Another interesting example of where Health care has gone so desperately wrong in the US is the opioid epidemic which has impacted on average life expectancy.
He's not exactly holding back. He is also attacking Miller on Affordable Care. It is a good example of what Mike is talking about and I agree with him that it just might come into focus more as polling day approaches.
RCP still have this ward as lean republican despite Ojeda being up in 2 of the last 3 polls. Makes we wonder just how many seats in the House are a lot more marginal than they look on inadequate or out of date polling.
If he wins the West Virginia 3rd this year, there has to be a decent chance he'll take a run at Shelley Anne Capito for the West Virginia senate seat in 2020.
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
How do you store electricity?
It's really quite simple : you use the power generated by the sun to turn a light which is pointing at the solar panels. And then in the morning, when the sun comes up, you turn the light off. Everybody knows this
Perhaps the DUP are united in knowing what they want, and what they do not want. The Conservative Party, on the other hand, is deeply fragmented, and doesn`t have a clue or a single voice. This makes the Conservative Party quite incapable of doing anything. We shouldn`t blame Mrs May for this. It is the fault of previous Conservative leaders who refused to lance the boil.
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
How do you store electricity?
Simple: pump water to the top of reservoirs when you have too much electricity. When you don't have enough, allow the water to to power turbines. Edit: David's already said the same thing.
Perhaps the DUP are united in knowing what they want, and what they do not want. The Conservative Party, on the other hand, is deeply fragmented, and doesn`t have a clue or a single voice. This makes the Conservative Party quite incapable of doing anything. We shouldn`t blame Mrs May for this. It is the fault of previous Conservative leaders who refused to lance the boil.
Agreed. Cameron should have lanced the boil in 2010. But Clegg wouldn't let him....
Another interesting example of where Health care has gone so desperately wrong in the US is the opioid epidemic which has impacted on average life expectancy.
He's not exactly holding back. He is also attacking Miller on Affordable Care. It is a good example of what Mike is talking about and I agree with him that it just might come into focus more as polling day approaches.
RCP still have this ward as lean republican despite Ojeda being up in 2 of the last 3 polls. Makes we wonder just how many seats in the House are a lot more marginal than they look on inadequate or out of date polling.
If he wins the West Virginia 3rd this year, there has to be a decent chance he'll take a run at Shelley Anne Capito for the West Virginia senate seat in 2020.
His opponent is pretty high profile and it would be a major scalp. I suspect 2020 would be too soon and he will want to build his incumbency first. It's definitely one I will be looking for next month.
If Gove, Javid and Hunt don't join them we can put them in the Remain camp.
Sajid Javid, your moment has arrived.....
He (or Leadsom) could announce he has sent his letter to the Chair of the 1922 Committee thus prompting further letters and an election for a new leader of the Conservatives.
You're a lawyer alastair, so you know the old misuse of statistics.
If your defending a cat accused of stealing milk: 'Cats are very very unlikely to ever steal another cat's milk, so my cat is very unlikely to have stolen your cat's milk'
Compared with
'If a cat has his milk stolen, then it's likely that another cat did it'.
Both are true, but there a huge complexity behind levels of risk and each individual has a personal risk index depending on circumstances.
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
How do you store electricity?
It's really quite simple : you use the power generated by the sun to turn a light which is pointing at the solar panels. And then in the morning, when the sun comes up, you turn the light off. Everybody knows this
If Gove, Javid and Hunt don't join them we can put them in the Remain camp.
Sajid Javid, your moment has arrived.....
He (or Leadsom) could announce he has sent his letter to the Chair of the 1922 Committee thus prompting further letters and an election for a new leader of the Conservatives.
If Javid resigns, that is the starting pistol for the election of a new leader. No ifs, no buts.... Whilst it could be that David Davis is crowned for a couple of years stint, the timing then might not be so good for Sajid (given how the Home Office has a reputation for spitting out Home Secretaries in the past, he ight have dropped the ball in those couple of years.
I said as soon as he was appointed that he was the key person May could not lose. Even truer now.
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
How do you store electricity?
It's really quite simple : you use the power generated by the sun to turn a light which is pointing at the solar panels. And then in the morning, when the sun comes up, you turn the light off. Everybody knows this
We are enlightened.
Robert has missed out a crucial detail, the complex series of mirrors you need to ensure the light takes ~12 hours to get from the lamp to the solar panel, avoiding the need for any expensive battery setup.
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
How do you store electricity?
Use the electricity to pump water to a reservoir at a higher level. Then use the water from the higher reservoir to drive an electricity generator at a later time.
Musk (of Tesla fame) claims you could charge up his batteries in future but this might be of limited capacity and high cost.
Except you need a large difference in height; the greater the difference, the greater the potential energy stored. Sadly in the UK, whilst we have lots of high ground, there aren't that many places which are suitable that have not been exploited, and the capacity isn't that great compared to need. In addition, many of those high lands are rather delicate ecologically, and building a large reservoir across them isn't the best idea.
For short-term storage and voltage levelling, chemical batteries, molten salts or even flywheels look like better alternatives. In fact, flywheels and batteries can be used to level out power output at windfarms.
You're a lawyer alastair, so you know the old misuse of statistics.
If your defending a cat accused of stealing milk: 'Cats are very very unlikely to ever steal another cat's milk, so my cat is very unlikely to have stolen your cat's milk'
Compared with
'If a cat has his milk stolen, then it's likely that another cat did it'.
Both are true, but there a huge complexity behind levels of risk and each individual has a personal risk index depending on circumstances.
It's not the statistics which is at fault but the verbal reasoning resulting in the misuse of the statistics.
Perhaps the DUP are united in knowing what they want, and what they do not want. The Conservative Party, on the other hand, is deeply fragmented, and doesn`t have a clue or a single voice. This makes the Conservative Party quite incapable of doing anything. We shouldn`t blame Mrs May for this. It is the fault of previous Conservative leaders who refused to lance the boil.
Agreed. Cameron should have lanced the boil in 2010. But Clegg wouldn't let him....
Not according to the version I heard, Mr Mark. If Cameron had had the courage to boot out his bastards (as they used to be called), I don`t think the country would have been in the mess it is today.
May's deal in its Chequers form was seriously unpalatable. It looks like the final version is going to be even worse. I can understand why the sidelined leavers in the cabinet are unhappy. Who could have believed that things could have been handled as ineptly as they have been in the last 18 months (well, apart from anyone paying any attention)?
Unhappy though I am I just don't see an alternative to going through with this. Bringing May down now throws the whole process into complete chaos and would damage the country. Like Labour back benches, Tory leavers have learned the harsh lesson that failing to act is also a decision with consequences.
Given where we are I think we have no choice but to swallow her shit. What we need to do is ensure, so far as possible, that her pathetic efforts will not be binding on future governments so we can sort this out once she has gone.
Perhaps the DUP are united in knowing what they want, and what they do not want. The Conservative Party, on the other hand, is deeply fragmented, and doesn`t have a clue or a single voice. This makes the Conservative Party quite incapable of doing anything. We shouldn`t blame Mrs May for this. It is the fault of previous Conservative leaders who refused to lance the boil.
Tory discipline is quite pathetic at the moment. Even the GOP managed to sort themselves out into a reasonably united front in the end over the controversial Kavanaugh stuff. Both the ERG and the remainers can't help themselves when it comes to grandstanding whataboutery right now when they should be getting behind May.
More than gas. Astonishing. I would have thought some of the windfarms would have been off line today too with the wind too strong to operate.
Those nearest the storm might well be, as the peak of the storm passes, but all the other turbines spread across the country benefit. We had similar days in September.
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
How do you store electricity?
Lots of ways are being looked at. You could convert it to (hydrogen/methane) gas, store the gas, then burn the gas later. There was a project trying gas compression at Didcot - haven't heard anything about that recently though. Batteries did win some of the recent capacity auctions, but not sure how well they will scale.
I'm sure clever engineering types will have more ideas when money is on offer for it.
With the latest polling out of Tennessee the senate is basically done now. 538 is only giving the Dems a plausible chance by somehow making North Dakota a viable win for them.
I
She's a conventional Democrat running in a state which Trump won by 36 points and still has a high approval rating in.
The other Senate seat in ND is currently held by the Republicans with a 62% majority. The GOP won the Govenorship by 57%.
She's well down in the polls against a well known and liked local candidate. Frankly she needs a scandal to fall in to her lap at this point.
Quite a few states appear to be trending to the Democrats though on a demographic basis - Texas - Arizona - Georgia - North Carolina - maybe Florida.
Not really North Carolina or Florida, and the Democrats regularly punch below their demographic weight in Texas.
At Presidential elections the Democrats have become much more competitive in North Carolina and Florida compared with the 1980s and earlier. The former still leans Republican but Obama carried the state in 2008 and lost narrowly in 2012.Until the 1990s Florida had been a safe Republican state rather than the 'toss-up ' of recent elections.
Florida has been a bellwether State for at least 60 years.
Until Clinton carried the state in 1996, Florida had only supported the Democrats since 1948 in the LBJ 1964 landslide and Carter's 1976 win.
1960 and 1992 are the only two years that Florida has not supported the winner, since 1928.
So, Republican in 1928, Democratic from 1932 to 1948, Republican from 1952 to 1960, Democratic in 1964, Republican in 1968 and 1972, Democratic in 1876, Republican from 1980 to 1992, Democratic in 1996, Republican in 2000 (by 539 votes!) and 2004, Democratic in 2008 and 2012, and Republican in 2016.
That's a swing State by any definition.
I certainly see Florida as a swing state nowadays, but until 1996 it had generally voted Republican by clear margins even in tight election years such as 1960 and 1968. Carter's southern background probably helped him there in 1976.
Comments
(Hunt and Javid ARE Remainers)
I believe that there is a reasonably strong pipeline of offshore wind projects. In years to come we will need some extra storage capacity to absorb excess wind on windy days. I hope that is being thought about by National Grid.
This is Richard Ojeda's take on it: https://voteojeda.com/not-one-more/
He's not exactly holding back. He is also attacking Miller on Affordable Care. It is a good example of what Mike is talking about and I agree with him that it just might come into focus more as polling day approaches.
RCP still have this ward as lean republican despite Ojeda being up in 2 of the last 3 polls. Makes we wonder just how many seats in the House are a lot more marginal than they look on inadequate or out of date polling.
Probably cheaper than batteries.
http://smartgriddashboard.eirgrid.com/#all/generation?scroll=fuel
Musk (of Tesla fame) claims you could charge up his batteries in future but this might be of limited capacity and high cost.
https://twitter.com/lee_georgina/status/1050754396437577730
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moonlight
https://twitter.com/adampayne26/status/1050742936885964800
https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/02/politics/trump-scary-time-for-young-men-metoo/index.html
If your defending a cat accused of stealing milk:
'Cats are very very unlikely to ever steal another cat's milk, so my cat is very unlikely to have stolen your cat's milk'
Compared with
'If a cat has his milk stolen, then it's likely that another cat did it'.
Both are true, but there a huge complexity behind levels of risk and each individual has a personal risk index depending on circumstances.
I said as soon as he was appointed that he was the key person May could not lose. Even truer now.
For short-term storage and voltage levelling, chemical batteries, molten salts or even flywheels look like better alternatives. In fact, flywheels and batteries can be used to level out power output at windfarms.
It's not the statistics which is at fault but the verbal reasoning resulting in the misuse of the statistics.
Unhappy though I am I just don't see an alternative to going through with this. Bringing May down now throws the whole process into complete chaos and would damage the country. Like Labour back benches, Tory leavers have learned the harsh lesson that failing to act is also a decision with consequences.
Given where we are I think we have no choice but to swallow her shit. What we need to do is ensure, so far as possible, that her pathetic efforts will not be binding on future governments so we can sort this out once she has gone.
Both the ERG and the remainers can't help themselves when it comes to grandstanding whataboutery right now when they should be getting behind May.
I'm sure clever engineering types will have more ideas when money is on offer for it.
That would be a pretty decent Cabinet - much better than most of the dimwits that occupy Cabinet positions today...