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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With polls showing a sharply contrasting picture let’s look at
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With polls showing a sharply contrasting picture let’s look at the trend in real election with real voters
For all the talk of Labour advancing and the Conservatives getting stuck in the quagmire that is Brexit, the fact that in the third quarter of 2018 in the local by-elections there’s been such a tiny swing from Con to Lab really does show that the Westminster bubble is just that, a bubble.
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She said foreign buyers could face a surcharge of 1% or 3% on top of stamp duty to stop them driving up UK prices.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-45698446
May or Boris
Or neither
All things being equal the sale will go to whoever pays the most, but the purchaser needs to factor in any taxes. If for a property the foreign purchaser is willing to pay £400k for example then a domestic purchaser needs to also pay more than £400k to buy the property. If they were only prepared to pay £390k they'd lose the house.
But if there's a 3% tax then a £400k house comes with £12k surcharge. The foreign purchaser could only afford now £388k plus surcharge. The domestic purchaser who is prepared to pay the £390k is now offering the most and gets the house.
He is not at the conference but is going to appear at a side event on tuesday.
He may find by then he is the object of great ridicule, even more so than now
The Brexiteers delight in nostalgia. Times have moved on
Com 38.7% 300 seats
Lab 38.1% 271 seats
LD 9.8% 17 seats
UKIP 5.2% 0 seats
Green 2.6% 1 seat
SNP 40 seats
PC 3 seats
NI 18 seats
Tories 26 short of a majority.
P.S. It would rile up all the right people, so there's a bonus argument in favour.
Was there when Alistair Cook got that hundred at the Oval - amazing atmosphere...
I was there
They have nothing to say except Brexit and the people who voted for it are wrong.
And make up your minds EU leaders - did you not make concessions because her rhetoric was too aggressive, or did you not make any because it was a matter of principle?
I'm sorry, but their comments about the rhetoric are nonsense, and the suggestion said rhetoric swayed things directly contradicts and undermines the supposed reasonableness of the EU in not conceding to make a deal, so to rely on that to suggest our tone is causing the problem has the same effect - it is to say the the EU has not been reasonable on a point of principle, but is indeed playing politics.
Which I would understand, but it is not what the pro EU side like to claim. Do you, Scott, believe the EU simply could not concede because red lines would be crossed, or because they were upset that mean old Mrs May was rude to them? Which paints the EU in a better light?
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/29/mp-chris-leslie-deselection-threats-momentum-labour-party
Look at Hunt today. You call him a serious politician for bashing the EU. Er - looks like an opportunist with no principles to me. He voted Remain and never showed any real sign of being a Eurosceptic. Then magically he changes his mind when Leave win. Then he backs Chequers. Now he is bashing the EU just to advance his odds in the leadership. There is really no difference between Hunt and Johnson. They are both doing what they can to take over from May.
If Boris was such a joke, why spend all this effort on him? Because, of course, for all his faults he has been right about Brexit and the rest have been wrong.
But take out Boris if it makes you feel better. We can then have JRM instead!
In contrast, Brexit is based on bluster and rhetoric and promises that could only be kept if the EU essentially agreed that the EU was a terrible idea. That may be true, I disagree, but it maybe. Just don't expect the EU to agree.
I think I'm right in saying a Tory Prime Minister went one better and had a mandatory three day week.
This was a dazzling success for him, and the opposition won the subsequent...ah. I think I'm on the point of spotting a tiny flaw here...
What I don't believe are the same people telling me that the EU's position is principled and therefore not able to be moved at all simultaneously telling me the EU leaders might have bent those principles but for Mrs May presenting her case poorly.
That is contradictory. As you say, their will essentially stay where they are. If that is so, they, and others, can stop pretending May selling her plan badly had any effect.
(Although I agree under normal circumstances that should have been that.)
He is not right to threaten business and to divide the Irish sea. It is widely accepted he was an abject foreign secretary and his standing is in free fall.
Jeremy Hunt is everything Boris is not. Measured, professional and loyal and he received wide applause in the hall for his speech.
I was furious with the EU over Salzburg but it is clear Boris is under attack from across the party for disloyallty and self aggrandisement and he is now damagng Brexit with no deal impossible to deliver and calls for a second referendum rising by the day
Why do you hate us celebrating our Country
That will make everyone's life a bit quieter...
Edit: It's 9% of the Parliamentary party.
Just seen a comment from Mr doethur.
No, never, AFAIK, been in the same room, or religious meeting, as Tim Farron.
Not so well in the diplomatic corp and it is hurtful to the EU.
Looks as if the EU are sensitive souls
Democracy, pah - who needs it.
The article suggested that 'dozens' would vote against.
Is there something we should know?
I think we need at the very least some idea of who these rebels might be before we take it very seriously.
I would reduce both,..
sion for a Rejoin rally