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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Video Analysis: UK Property – What’s It Worth?
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Video Analysis: UK Property – What’s It Worth?
In my last video – Castles of Sand? – I discussed the specific drivers behind UK, and specifically London, property prices.
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Melanie Phillips
The fate of Davis, Johnson or the Tory party matters less than the damage done to democracy"
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/betrayed-brexit-voters-will-give-up-on-politics-jzs9z2bxk
My longstanding position of the last 2 years (which I have stuck to firmly on this site and elsewhere), that though I am a Remainer I accept the referendum result, has started to seriously crumble over the last few days as I watch the antics of the Brexiteers who won but aren't willing to bank their victory and keep wanting to push for ever crazier stuff.
I'm not yet ready to reverse my acceptance of the democratic result - but the extreme Brexiteers are certainly testing my patience now.
Belgium 3.15
Draw 3.15
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/football/market/1.145305829
Now, if they cannot support the nearest thing that exists to a plan which does carry that support then they should resign, and they have to decide if they can live with a plan they cannot support possible going ahead. The MPs might decide they can on the anti-Corbyn principle of people being willing to moan endlessly about something but still back it, but some of their voters won't.
In the meantime the ball is in the EU's court, and they will still assume they can get more.
I’d argue that supply and demand for rental housing in London is a related but separate market to supply and demand for property to purchase, which goes some way to explaining why yields are so low at the moment.
Also a good point at the end about a price correction not necessarily a good thing for everyone, if prices start dropping appreciably then lenders will be much more cautious on loan-to-value ratios which is bad news for the first time buyer.
https://capx.co/could-jeremy-hunt-dance-his-way-to-the-top-job/
Not sure a conclusion that Hunt's best chance comes with a no deal Brexit is a positive message though
Hunt could be a unifying figure acceptable to Remainers and Leavers. But that will depend on the form that Brexit takes. If we have a “Brexit In Name Only” then there will be a strong demand from Conservatives for someone willing to “finish the job” — such as Michael Gove, Boris Johnson, or Jacob Rees-Mogg. If on the other hand we end up with a “no deal” Brexit then Hunt would be rather better placed, putting himself forward as the man with the energy and ability to lead us through the new challenges.
Allies sending in letters is playing with fire, she wouldn’t be in control of the process and anything could happen.
Firstly the White Paper has not yet been published.
Secondly Brexit is not like a game of tennis.
I would comment, yes we can do very clever things with video, but I found the backdrops, and the constant changes, very clever, and hard production work, but very distracting from the message.
A correction must be due, some buyers will suffer.
I am very bearish on London and Southeast house prices. But I thought might fallen in 2011-12, and I was wrong. So if you're around, my questions are:
1. Did you expect prices to rise as they did from 2011 to now?
2. If not, what makes you think that things are going to change in the next few years?
And if you merely object to the suitability of the metaphor and not the use of metaphor itself, I would content it is in their court because no matter what the White Paper contains, the EU's response will be key. The ball is over the net, though how it reacts when it bounces mean the details are not certain yet.
Moreover, even if it is not a great comparison, it was just an expression and the point was clear - what we do next is heavily reliant on what they do next.
Not the same format of course, but there's hope for England/Croatia yet.
I think we've had an incredible tournament club wise.
But with so many pretences, subterfuges, subtleties and outright lies still in play, at least with a hard Brexit we will know we have definitely, actually left.
Good evening, everyone.
I feel sorry for the poor doctors and nurses who had to put up with him for 10 days telling him what they were doing wrong and how his mum could have done it better.
https://m.slashdot.org/story/343198
They had the deck stacked in their favour and called in favours before the referendum to get people to tell us how bad it would be.
They even got Obama to say back of the queue
So then we have May saying she listens to result and Brexit means Brexit
Followed by no preparations for no deal
A constant backsliding as to our position and red lines
Committing to give them the money for basically nothing
undermining her colleagues whose job it was to negotiate
Signing up to arrangements that basically box us in
Getting government ministers to get big companies come out with yet more scare stories
(sounds familiar right, they did that before the vote)
It looks like freedom of movement will not end
No wonder people despise politicians
Like I said the other day my property value in pretty little Ystrad Mynach had risen £14,500 since I bought it in April 2005. It's a 4-bed detached on a lovely, quiet new'ish (1999) estate.
The house sold for £99,000 as a new-build. So it doubled in value over its first six years.
Since then its modest rise in value has been sensible and healthy. It appears our local housing market rectified itself well.
(Cue a hat-trick of course).
They've always responded a couple of days later but this time the rebellion and exit of Brexiteers before the next working day indicates that the EU has maybe pushed the UK as far as they can.
If the Brexiteers had rolled over easily on this the EU again would have responded along the lines of "progress but still wanting to have cake and eat it, more work needed."
May isn't proposing this on a wing and a prayer.
If you consider that London has become a more attractive place relative to the West Midlands to live over the last 10 years (eg better restaurants, better pollution, fewer Leave voters, whatever) then there is no reason why the relative premise should remain constant
You made this comment two threads back which rather astounded me: What are these daily reports of the NHS losing staff ?
Can you link to some of these reports because I'm jut googled it and can't see anything.
Is this something specific to North Wales or Wales generally ?
According to the ONS employment in the NHS is at its highest level ever.
Page 4.1 in the spreadsheet available here:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/datasets/summaryoflabourmarketstatistics
But there's always luck.