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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This interview is not of someone who will ever be Tory leader
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This interview is not of someone who will ever be Tory leader or Prime Minister, let alone the next one.
For quite some time I’ve been advising laying Gavin Williamson for next PM and Tory leader, somebody once compared him to an incontinent puppy and his media performances seem to confirm that, wherever he goes there’s a great steaming pile of excrement not far behind.
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But the only way this will be a tight by-election is if the canvassers are offered free brandy.
Truly, we live in an age without heroes.
But then the good burghers of Islington think the same of Jeremy Corbyn.
I am also assuming you don't expect the actual election to be close...
That was painful.
Also he's stolen Vince Cable's droning delivery.
Remarkable as it might seem, he is 62 years of age.
My prediction for Lewisham East (versus 2017)
Lab 54 (-14)
Con 18 (-5)
LD 23 (+19)
https://twitter.com/davies_will/status/1001483156699189253
He'll probably end up like another former Defence Secretary, doing travel programmes but for one of the really naff satellite channels. It'll be called "Williamson's Wanderings" or something like that.
* last seen nailed to a block of wood.
Seriously ?
Emmerdale Farm usually has a higher than real life non-white population whereas Eastenders has steadily got more outer London over the years.
The BBC always seem to have ethnic minority presenters on their rural programs.
Wilson would do the culture and the sport, Finnigan the human interest, while the serious political/news interviews were Madeley's. He was a serious journalist and a tenacious interviewer.
His reputation for light-hearted fluff came when he moved to national daytime TV.
And, yes. I can well believe he is 62. He seems to have been around forever.
I didn't realise she wanted to lead the Liberal Democrats.
Incidentally, my tongue was slightly in my cheek on the last thread. But I still don't know what pub cricket is. Something like fantasy football? (Perhaps, like Mr Williamson, I should stop digging.)
I will keep Josiah's warning about dogging in mind, should the subject come up...
Presumably Madeley will be doing this to every politician he now interviews, since none of them answer the (awkward) questions they are asked.
I had to laugh at Gunther Oettinger's comments:
https://www.politico.eu/article/oettinger-italy-markets-will-give-signal-not-to-vote-for-populists/
The market won't punish the populists. It will over the next 2.5 years punish the faulty design of the Euro where the sovereign debt areas are not contiguous with the common currency Euro area. This design has been tried in history and always fails, as sooner or later capital migrates to the areas where the sovereign debt is perceived to be stronger and away from the weaker states. Yes the ECB and Mario Draghi's 'do whatever it takes' speech held the line for longer than I thought was possible, but it's all starting to come apart at the seams yet again. When Italy came together in the 1861 unification after the 2 independence wars, their leaders knew that all the sovereign debts of all the constituent parts forming that unification had to be consolidated into one, as did the leaders of other European states that came together historically post the reformation following out of the dark ages.
If those leaders knew that lesson then, then it beggars belief that the EU leaders in the mid to late 1990's (Mitterrand and Kohl principally) didn't know that lesson?! Well according to someone I know on the inside, they did know that lesson, but wanted to get the Euro currency circulating first, and then they'd address the consolidating the debt issue later. Well Mitterrand and Kohl soon faded from the stage at that time, and the leaders who followed never knew that the consolidation of debt had to be done in order to safeguard the long term viability of the Euro, long before the nightmare in Greece and Southern Italy with 60% youth unemployment in parts on the periphery unfolded. Another example of the lessons of history not having been learnt or remembered sadly, with tragic results for many in the Euro area today.
PS If pub cricket is as boring as ordinary cricket, then your lack of knowledge about it is probably a blessing.
** .... runs and hides .... **
"Europe’s confusion and tension over Italy’s deepening political crisis was manifest on Tuesday as some of the EU’s most senior figures sparred over how to respond.
Günther Oettinger, Germany’s EU commissioner, hinted that the upheaval in markets, with Italian bond yields spiking to their highest in years, would exert healthy, pro-European discipline on Italian voters as they confront an unprecedented second election within a calendar year."
https://www.ft.com/content/8edfb128-631f-11e8-90c2-9563a0613e56
The great one, Nabavi, doesn't like me much...but then I dared once in a moment of utter weakness to call him pompous....
I'm glad his loyal acolyte, Mortimer, has restored him to his rightful role
Perhaps he should have said something like: "These comments are wrong at a time when threats are still going on. But spies and the public have been let down by both sides and Russia has acted in a reckless and provocative manner."
On the vital issue of the day I spotted 15 cyclists on my way home. 4 white, 4 Afro-Caribbean, 7 Asian. Only one female, and only one wearing any sort of cycling clothing (Deliveroo rider). My verdict is that the Leicester Cycling Commisar is doing a fine job up the Humberstone Rd. Either that or the folk there cannot afford a car to get to work! The Cycling shop on Humberstone Road is Asian owned and goes by the great name of "The Bike Pedlar". No Hipsters or MAMiLs seen.
https://twitter.com/Mikel_Jollett/status/1001513639147274240
I assumed that it was a pub which had a cricket team on the local village green or for this Scottish pub on the local beach:
https://www.shipinn.scot/cricket/
but it turns out to be a way of passing long car journeys by looking at pub signs:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio4/hometruths/0318pub_cricket.shtml
I vaguely remember Auf Wiedersehen Pet showing this game while in Cuba but with roadkill instead of pub signs.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/defence-cuts-could-force-britain-12588047.amp
They didn't take any advice from anyone in the family despite most of us working in some kind of finance.
I'm not sure they are any worse for dodging questions, they just seem to be less skilled at it than they used to be...
Edit: Don't know pub cricket, pub golf on the other hand....
Still they sent a strong message last week - don't steal other people's bikes as no good will come of it!
At least I no longer have Caroline Nokes as my constituency MP any longer........although the Tory MP on my new patch is no better!
Leaving aside whether Gav is competent rather than, say, a massively out of his depth Axminster salesman, being able to front it up in a campaign really matters, and we have an example of that which isn't yet a year old.
Is Williamson utterly out of the running? Bizarrely, no. The field is unbelievably weak.
http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-72714215.html - 2806 sq ft and a 50 metre back garden, good value for a million quid in London I reckon !
Given the lack of London references and storylines Eastenders could be set anywhere.
I think that Labour 54, Tory down a bit, Lib Dem low 20's prediction to be broadly on the money if I had to guess from afar.
The authorities are acting entirely properly in seeking to preserve the integrity of the trial process.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secretary_of_State_for_Defence
http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-63781288.html
Nice wide angle lens!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2018/05/29/missouri-gov-eric-greitens-resigns-amid-allegations-of-sexual-misconduct-and-campaign-fundraising-violations/
They really do alll seem to be a bunch of crooks.