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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TMay should make Nicky Morgan HomeSec which could make the pas
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TMay should make Nicky Morgan HomeSec which could make the passage of the Brexit Bill easier
A year ago Nicky Morgan got dropped from the cabinet and since then has been one of the most vocal and efective critics of the government’s Brexit policy. It was said at the time that there had been an argument between her and the Prime Minister over the former’s criticism of Theresa May’s £1000 leather trousers.
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The tragedy of this situation is that parliamentary arithmetic, and the careful balancing of pro- and anti-Brexit forces, are more important than the question of who is actually qualified to do the job. If it were the latter, then Michael Gove or Rory Stewart or whoever; but anyway.
Who MAY get the blame for the continuing Windrush scandal and fallout. I couldn't possibly say.
The idiot who made Amanda Spielman HMCIS in defiance of all logic, a total lack of qualifications for the post and a track record of abysmal failure is unfit to hold Cabinet office.
https://twitter.com/NickyMorgan01/status/990710620214431744
@johnmcdonnellMP
You can smell the undoubted odour of a government decomposing. Amber Rudd’s forced resignation, increasingly bitter divisions over its Brexit policies & Lycamobile, a major donor to the Tory party, being prosecuted for a tax scam, all point to a government in terminal disarray.
23:52 - 29 Apr 2018
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I can't believe that the suggestion that Nicky Morgan should be Rudd's successor is serious - she proved to be incompetent as Education Secretary, is currently outside the cabinet and is an ardent supporter of the EU.
The only crumb of comfort for the Tories is that the Labour party are unable to effect the coup de grace as they give an accurate impression dumb and dumber.
One does feel for the voters choice. Which incompetents would they prefer to be governed by. Is there a directly elected dictator with an aversion to pineapple pizza and a penchant for red footwear waiting in wings to save the nation. Sadly not ....
She isn't Anna Soubry, and I think, for her, showing her loyalty and integrity outside Government is as important as doing she inside.
They will always put country and principles ahead of personal ambition.
Cf Ken Clarke becoming Tory leader if he had changed his views on the EU.
It was clear to me yesterday those leaks were coming from No 10.
A lot of those leaks were letters written to No 10.
I’m buying some footwear with my winnings.
Ultimately, parliament cannot compel the Executive or the EU to do things they don't want to do. The only real weapons they have are to bring down the government or to choose a "No Deal" Brexit.
Now, I think it's possible parliament will go down this route. I suspect that many of the Brexit Labour rebels - if they see the chance of a Corbyn Premiership - would be prepared to vote down the government. And for all the DUP's red lines, they will be desperate to avoid being blamed for a recession in Northern Ireland.
Shuffling the ministers makes little or no difference. Bring in talent, irrespective of where on the Leave - Remain spectrum it is. Clear out deadwood, and promote Raab, Morduant, Stewart and Kwarteng.
If she gets this wrong, there could be a change of Conservative leader far sooner than almost anyone imagines.
I don't think this will have been 'No. 10.' It may be somebody in the secretariat with a grudge against May or Rudd but that's not the same thing.
http://conservativehome.blogs.com/goldlist/2006/12/amber_rudd_sele.html
The other A-list finalists she beat are named in the comments as Tariq Ahmad, Rebecca Harris and Sam Gamiyah -- now two MPs with stonking majorities and a Tory peer, and two junior ministers.
That makes it not impossible but unlikely they will strike at this stage. But I don't think May will last beyond 2019 after this.
I will chuckle if May chooses Gavin Williamson.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-38287637
The only one May might stretch a point for is Brokenshire, unless she wants to really confuse everyone by offering it to Greening.
Edit - it's also interesting to note that for all the flak he gets on here, Williamson's constituents think very highly of him and won't hear a word said against him.
Both went from being Chief Whip to Home Secretary.
Sainsbury and Asda confirm merger plans. Now all they need is the CMA's approval which given how supine they have become will surely be forthcoming.
It will bugger competition in the grocery trade even further, but that's life (or a large dividend, I suppose).
I can't see it ending well though. I think they'll have trouble integrating two such behemoths and end up losing market share hand over fist - probably, ironically, to Tesco, which will make matters still worse.
From the backbenches would be pretty well unheard of though.
Edit - another point to remember is Waddington had been at the Home Office before and Jacqui Smith was an utter disaster. So these are not happy precedents.
The Home Office doesn't really need sparkling brilliance (just as well, as Jenkins was last). It needs common sense, good politician instinct, an appetite and memory for detail and a nose for trouble before it arrives.
What is really required is some serious new thinking on how we deal with illegal immigration. It is a further problem that such a rethink would involve admitting implicit criticism of May's own time as Home Secretary. In my opinion (having just admitted I called this one wrong) the only member of the Cabinet who does new thinking is Gove. The problem is that he is needed in so many places in a government facing so many challenges and yet so incapable of original thought.
I really cannot see someone from outside the Cabinet being appointed to the Home Office. It remains one of the great offices of State and, as Rudd has shown, it is a minefield for the unwary or inexperienced. I see promotion from within and any incomer filling in the department then vacated.
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/990837215948410880?s=21
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-5672449/ALEX-BRUMMER-believe-12bn-mega-merger-Asda-Sainburys-deal-far.html
If there's any justice he's rotting in hell for participating in one of the most disgraceful miscarriages of justices in history, then as Home Secretary not doing anything to correct his error when he had the opportunity to do so as Home Secretary.
You just want it to be true so she rebels against May and brings her down.
Everything must be seen through that prism.
Wasn't on at 33 but did back at 20 so (even with a Gauke failure and hedging at 1.5 that she'd be there at midday tomorrow) nice to be ahead. Good tip, Mr. Eagles.
Just realised that if Ocon hadn't been taken out he might've been ahead of Raikkonen. *sighs*
My post-race analysis of Azerbaijan is up here:
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2018/04/azerbaijan-post-race-analysis-2018.html
I also think there is a complete lack of commercial logic in this merger. Sainsbury shoppers wouldn't be seen dead in Asda. They are aimed at different segments of the market and I really don't see how you satisfy both. Tescos and M&S are both likely to gain.
Normally you get these kind of really stupid, financially driven mergers as the market reaches the frothing point before a slump. Its a slightly worrying sign that the long period of growth since 2008 might be coming to an end.
Why would I want Theresa to go?
Chief Secretary to the Treasury always used to be a Cabinet post until David Cameron (whatever happened to him? Is he still writing his memoirs in that posh shed on wheels thing?) downgraded it in 2015 so Leon Brittan was already in the Cabinet when made Home Secretary.
The merger is likely to dumb-down Sainsbury’s, which its existing customers won’t like, without doing much to drag Asda up. I can’t see what it does to compete with Aldi/Lidl either. Tesco is nothing like the threat it once was.
It will probably become another permutation of Morrisons. I’d be pleased if I were Waitrose or M&S.
Diane Abbott would do better
New ideas are not always better ideas.
If somebody could show me how closing the Sainsbury's - which under the circumstances is the only possible outcome - will improve competition I would be obliged to them.
But if there is to be a change of tack on immigration, especially at the moment, only a prominent Brexiteer would be able to sell it to the Party.
Improving margins would be my guess.
In terms of originality he might actually be OK as Home Secretary, but I too worry about his civil servants.
The CMA should be looking at our interests. Indeed, it should veto this merger then take a long hard look at Tesco. But of course it won't.
That aside, the Mail article is a good one. The Board and non-execs of both will, i suspect, be well-rewarded for this but long gone once the newly merged company hits its next major crisis in 5 years time.
Sainsbury's have really lost their way and this is almost an admission of defeat.
totally shameless
now imagine Nicky Morgan doing the same but trying to outpompous Piers since she doesn't have a clue either
Javid shows emotional intelligence, expressing what sounds like genuine concern over Windrush, Grenfell and housing shortages. I can't think of anything he's actually done (maybe I've just not noticed) but he looks plausible. I doubt if Brexit will hinge on a single vote so that shouldn't really be May's primary motivation in selecting the successor.
The Central Office auto rebuttal bots have a difficult day ahead.
My every sympathy.
The two companies employ 360k people between them so there’s the potential for a lot of job losses at head offices, and through consolidation of stores and warehouses.
After all, the last time we had an (eventually) LibDem Home Sec was Roy Jenkins and that turned out reasonably well.
Parallel universe, counter-factual and all that of course.
This view is in no way related to the fact that I’m going to have to run the gauntlet of getting my wife a resident visa next year.
What a depressing thought.
Agree!