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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Has Clegg told Cameron when he’ll stand down?
Back in the days of the USSR, Western experts attempted to interpret what was going on in the Soviet hierarchy by watching for all sorts of indirect signs, from who sat or stood where at state and party events, to how people were referred to in Pravda. It was an indirect and not particularly reliable art but you make the best use of what you have. To which end, let’s go in for a little Kre…
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A reshuffle will seriously nark off everybody who gets sacked, and everybody who hopes to get promoted but doesn't. These people may then be tempted to try to remedy what they'll see as Cameron's incompetent personnel choices by signing a letter calling for a no-confidence vote, in the hope that they'll have better luck with a new leader who properly appreciates their talents. It follows that any event that could provide a hook for a leadership challenge, like losing a vote for a war, encourages Cameron to put off the reshuffle.
Far likely all the speculation was the result of one or other of the following factors: ambitious backbenchers wanting promotion / bored political editors needing a new story / worried newspaper editors with pages to fill / mischevious Labour hacks trying to stir up a bit of trouble for the Tories
"Has Clegg told Cameron when he'll stand down?"
May 2020 ?!?
No, No, No, not May, please not May.
A big contrast to the last government where reshuffles happened almost as often as mobile phones were being thrown...
I suspect the reshuffle is being held until the LDs leave the coalition and government; July 2014? That leaves a chance to get the election cabinet in place and on top of their brief over the summer, get rid of the dead wood and then make speeches in the autumn
"Rachel Reeves tells of humiliation at 'boring, snoring' Newsnight jibe
Reeves gives first interview since Twitter gaffe by Ian Katz, saying 'he should just have some common decency'
http://www.theguardian.com/media/2013/sep/14/rachel-reeves-boring-newsnight
Not exactly "rising above it" or "laughing it off".... C
http://ec.europa.eu/environment/consultations/plasticbags_en.htm
What a surprise Lib Dems follow their leader like good Euro lap dogs. Plastic bag levy one of Brussels great ideas. And the EU is a non issue on opinion polls.
Surely they're in exactly the same boat, there is either life after coalition for both of them or neither.
Actually I'm not sure the LDs want to move on as much as the Tories. They seem quite happy where they are.
http://www.europeanvoice.com/article/imported/commission-holding-back-ban-on-plastic-carrier-bags/76589.aspx
By all means consider the policy, but can't the LDs do something which isn't born in Brussels for once. I don't see many measures which reduce the power of the state coming from the LDs.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-24085468
Leaving aside valid or invalid cost figures for keeping kids in care (see yesterday), surely the important story is that 22 young people can go missing from the system in NI alone?
There are plenty of areas to get upset at EU influence in UK domestic policy.
This is not one of them.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/guernsey/7278879.stm
I tend to believe Clegg when he says he doesn't intend the LibDems to leave government before the election (let's call it the Lexit option). A new leader might do it, but there are no signs of a serious insurrection, so it requires Clegg to go voluntarily. We should get a clearer picture this week of whether that's credible - he's had IMO a somewhat detached air lately, which he may or may not confirm in his speech.
According to the Telegraph.
@IsabelOakeshott: I can't wait for @DPMcBride memoir. Tantalising teasers p25 Mail. Alistair Darling described as "absolutely clueless". Attack dog returns
@robindbrant: McBride building up for an interesting contribution to lab's gathering in Brighton this year. http://t.co/CJLONZ90Gc
`Clegg’s going at the right time could help both parties and both leaders, if managed well`
How does Clegg going help himself?
Does Herdson means he has more time to relax?
Mr. Gilmore, welcome to pb.com. Whilst I can see that happening, I think Cameron would be bloody stupid to do that. He'd remove an electoral cost from a rival party in the most pain-free way possible. If the Lib Dems want to axe Clegg, let them do it themselves.
Overgenerous crisp bags. These are the things that matter to the electorate, Nick!
I have no idea if ‘Brussels’ is getting in the way, but I certainly agree this proposal is years behind some member states. Charging for plastic bags, as well as plastic bottles etc, was common practice in Germany twenty years ago when I was based there. – Most supermarkets at the time sold cotton shopping bags that were cheap, tough and bio degradable. – We would never dream of leaving the house for the weekend shop, without a selection of these carrier bags. -The UK has come a long way in ‘recycling’ over the past decade, but still has a lot of catching up to do.
This is just one such proposal – and I agree with it.
One thing I'd love to see introduced is the death penalty for dog-owners who place their pet's sh*t into a plastic bag, and then leave that plastic bag on the ground to fester. The seawall at Teignmouth was lined with them a few years ago, and occasionally you see piles of the cr*p-bags on footpaths leading into villages. It's as if they don't want to sully their home village with their pet's feculence.
Fu**ers.
I guess the delay's probably just coalition politics. I'd prefer it was introduced earlier, but at least they're heading in (for me) the right direction.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24081192
Actually current polls say that up to 92% of voters reject the L/Dems. If they got 25% of the vote they would be laughing.
I can see why a lazy or forgetful person might not bag their dog's leavings, and I can see how someone more prepared/civil would... but who the hell thinks "I shall bag this, and then leave it to very, very slowly degrade over years and decades."?
I've also seen them hanging from trees. And, perversely, I once saw such a feccu-bag hanging from a tree in Hampshire alongside a pair of blue frilly panties.
My mind boggled.
"I'm sorry he finds it boring, but I believe in telling the British people the truth about the state that the economy is in... [insert latest Labour lie]
edit... oops, meant "Labour line". Of course. You all knew that, right?
In addition, it would assure him of a life and a role after 2015 in a way that fighting the GE very probably wouldn't. Besides, what's his future if he does stay as leader? Isn't the probability that he'll go afterwards one way or the other anyhow?
I'm actually seeing more and more people in my local supermarket (Morrisons) carrying bags-for-life of various descriptions. If I go further afield to Waitrose, they're very common.
I really don't see what people's problem with this legislation is.
As an aside, when I was a kid the split plastic-carrier bag was a common occurrence. And once a split started, it would spread until the bag was ripped asunder. Nowadays they hardly ever seem to rip, and if they do it doesn't seem to spread. I wonder if they've changed the design or type of plastic used?
No you don't, you f*king moron, you and everyone else pays for it from your taxes. And the bus service you use is going to be cancelled as a result of the pass ...
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2011/feb/06/bus-services-crushed-pensioner-burden
And the reason the scheme fails:
http://www.maturetimes.co.uk/campaigns/pensions-benefits/6480-passing-the-buck.html
Another example of Brown's stupid bribe-mentality. One ably supported by certain people on here ...
Moral:Anything the Conservatives support will be implemented now
Anything the Conservatives oppose will be introduced in 2015.
And therein lies the failure of Clegg.He has been good for coalition by being a Yes-man but has got very little in return.
Cara Hilton (local Cllr)
Lesley Laird (Fife Cllr)
Fiona Yates (daughter of Cowdenbeath MSP)
Tom McInally (police inspector from Lothians)
Ewan Aitken (former Edinburgh Council Leader)
Shortlisting today.
After all, what have the Romans done for us?
(cue for long discussion on generalship in yhe Punic wars)
However, I was struck by just how much she sounds like Ed Miliband. And then I was struck by just how much she LOOKS like Ed Miliband. Put a fright wig on Ed Miliband and lo and behold, Rachel appears before you.
Looking and sounding like the leader of your party might be a good way for a very underwhelming painfully-ambitious political wannabe to get ahead. But when the Labour Party rejects Ed after the country rejects Ed in 2015, I wonder who she will morph into next?
Does that mean Cameron can get his legislation through 6 out of 7 times without Lib-Dem support?
Tipping a growing economy back into several quarters of negative growth is called stabilisation these days I suppose.
2. Regarding this 25% that now would consider voting LD, I remember back before GE2010 that the LDs used to say that from polling VI, a much larger % of the voters would consider voting for them on words similar to "if they could win". My recollection was in the 40%'s but does anyone remember the real figure?
Even if you disagree with Coalition government policies the provision of a stable government during an unprecedented economic crisis was and remains a substantial prize for the nation.
I did see Rachel Reeves interview, and she was undeniably boring, but also did not demonstrate any deep strategic thought or real sense of understanding of the nations continuing financial problems. It is hard to work from a blank sheet of paper and the combination of lack of charisma and lack of thought is not a good one.
The Arctic Monkeys were good though, but not as good as Drenge.
Apologies for my no show on your vanilla message. I missed you flagging it and also very rarely click on the profile.
It is the right wing of the Tory party that most resents the LibDems, and the Labour party should not be too disparaging about the LibDem ministrrs and their policies, not least because they may be in cabinet with Labour ministers in 2015. It is rarely worth making permenant enemies.
You'll never get rid of the free bus pass for the old gits (I use mine on the trains too in Merseyside).
You can give things, but nowadays, with 24-hour media, it's almost impossible to take things back. Even if a Government proposed a change that made 99% of the population better off and only 1% worse off, you'd only hear from the 1%.
"Can't complain" isn't news. "Can complain" will fill the airwaves.
And Gordon's response was always to throw money at things and never mind the consequences. As his Scottish counterpart said ... "For mine own good, all causes shall give way."
Indeed with Labour bogged down fighting its trade unionists, and the Torys tacking right to become more xenophobic there is an increasing gap for a fiscally sensible centrist party. That is where the LiDems belong, and it is a substantial proportion of the population. Blair won power by regaining the centre, and cameron nearly managed the same. Now both Tories and Labour are abandoning the centre. It is a good opportunity.
It`s not Labour who despises them,it`s their former voters.
The European Parliament has to sign off, but they can only reject the whole thing, rather than being able to veto individuals. I doubt they'd reject someone purely because they were Euro-sceptical if they were in the mainstream of the elected British government, although you never know. I suppose if they tried to send someone who specifically said they intended to break things it's possible there might be some push-back, but it feels more likely that they'd let them in but give them the paperclip-counting portfolio...
I was expecting far more division from the Coalition. It was my biggest concern as the parties came together.
However they have kept to the Coalition Agreement pretty well and the government has been far more together than during the latter years of the Blair/Brown government and the Major government of 92/97.
Even some of the potential awkward squad such as Simong Hughes (Copyright Andrea) have been remarkably onside.
Jackie Baillie told BBC Radio Scotland an announcement on the issue would be made soon.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-24090772
BBC hopelessly confused in their reporting there. What Baillie is saying is that they would re-introduce the spare room subsidy, ie. end the bedroom tax.