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Mrs May needs to stop peeing off people like me.
And yes, strip out the gains for the Ruthie Party and the picture will be somewhat different.
We need different categories. Strong Remain, (60 %plus), Weak Remain 53 to 59, Split 48 to 52' and Strong Leave (60% plus), and Weak Leave 53 to 59 would be more appropriate and useful for categorisation.
From what I can tell, the only non-Scottish Remain voting seat gained by Tories was Southport.
http://metro.co.uk/2018/02/23/chef-fed-no-shows-start-charging-50-book-7337324
Let them eat
cakeKFC...Not a gain per se in the strictest sense.
Since I became politically aware the only times the Tories have won majorities is when my one nation wing of the party is in charge.
Why then can Anna Soubrey afford to alienate voters in her constituency which voted Leave?
Doesnt Jeremy Corbyn have to be careful not to alienate Leave voters since most Labour MPs represent a constituency that voted Leave?
Why does this issue only apply to Theresa May?
And doesnt the fact that the Tories won so many remain votes, despite her saying she might go for No Deal, suggest that most Remainers are not remoaners, and just want to get on with it?
*sighs*
It would honour the referendum and the Tory manifesto.
I’ll be chuffed and I’ll give up for a year how crap she is.
https://www.theyworkforyou.com/debates/?id=2018-02-21a.280.0&s=Hollobone
Six Nations: was checking the markets and last two results (France won away by 22 points, and [2016] home by just 2). Decided not to bother betting.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-43174069
By that logic since I became old enough to vote the only times the Tories have won majorities is when their leader previously got a minority at the prior election. So by that precedent May should get one next time.
I'm sure my MP, Stephen Timms, is anxiously looking over his shoulder in his hyper-marginal with a 43,000 majority.
The real electoral contest is the one to choose the next Newham Mayor and the only electorate is or are the 3,000 Labour Party members in Newham. The rest of us will simply ratify their decision.
On topic, I'm sure the strongest Conservative performances in England were in LEAVE seats in terms of vote increase and/or swing. To assume that will be repeated in 2022 seems wishful thinking at this time. Once A50 is done and dusted isn't there more likely to be a reversion to old allegiances ?
http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/arming-teachers-classroom-cost-kids-lives-article-1.3835411
The first (and only) time I was in close-quarter combat, I got tunnel vision. It happened so fast that when I went to squeeze the trigger, my safety was still on. In that instant, I almost panicked, thinking my weapon had jammed. Then the training kicked in. I flipped the selector switch to semi and started shooting.
It was over in seconds. My full field of vision returned, and an otherwise quiet evening in northern Iraq became bodies, broken glass, empty shell casings and ringing ears.
Seven years of training led up to that moment. How to react had been drilled into me. And still, I was caught so off guard by the attack that my reflexes had failed initially. It was nearly fatal....
It’s a bit like being lectured on loyalty by Mark Reckless.
There has been a swing against the major governing party for the past 34 years. Last time that was bucked was 1983.
https://twitter.com/business/status/967046784114622464
https://twitter.com/Jacob_Rees_Mogg/status/967050840111534081
He may be branded a coward but he's not a dead hero. The NRA position is ludicrous, no civilian should have an assault rifle.
I'm reserving judgement on the guy until it's known what his job role entailed, and how much training he had had. If he was just an ordinary shmuck off the street who had been given a gun 'just in case' and no training, then what happened is understandable. If he'd received lots of relevant training, then it is less so.
Whatever, he must be going through a fairly hellish time (though not as much as the survivors and relatives of the victims). I'd like to think I'd have done different, but I can't guarantee it.
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/02/what-i-saw-treating-the-victims-from-parkland-should-change-the-debate-on-guns/553937/
That they should be openly available to the public is absurd.
But if it's true that he ran a pub for a living he could be somewhat unusual in the workers' party. It means understanding concepts like business, partnerships, cash flow, VAT returns and possibly what a mess the SA tax system is; also how his party could simplify things.
Slightly off-topic: all men over about 40, check with your doctor if you need PSA testing or you might eventually need the unpleasant prostate operation that Stephen Fry's just had
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-43171297
I wonder if he'd prefer pistols or swords though?
Looking at the ERG (how are they different from Momentum?) and their "demands" for the Prime Minister:
1) We should be able to set our own tariffs - that's a firm NO to a Customs Union then.
2) We should be able to make our own laws - once we fully leave we will, no argument there. During the Transition period, we remain members of the EU and subject to their laws.
3) We need to plan for global trading - well, we've had nearly two years since the vote so you'd like to think something has been prepared by Liam Fox unless the answer is CU with the EU and simply mirroring existing EU trade agreements.
4) We should start trade talks before we leave the EU - we can't if I understand the membership rules but once Transition begins we will be able to start the process. I imagine some FTAs will be easy, others maybe much tougher.
5) We should negotiate as an equal and not be cowed by EU rules - when ? During A50 or in global trade. I don't understand this unless it is a veiled comment at how Davis has comported himself so far.
6) We can't let Remainers use the implementation period to delay Brexit - I thought the ones who wanted to prolong the Transition were May and her Government because a number of measures that will need to be in place haven't been sorted out yet. I thought the EU wanted Transition to end by the end of 2020 and it was the British Government which wanted it prolonged into 2021.
So long on generalities and short on specifics here as well.
"Tory MP Stephen Hammond denied the amendment was a threat to Mrs May, telling Sky News: "This won't threaten the PM, the PM as I've already explained has set out that this is Government policy anyway. So all we're doing is making sure these options remain.""
Also note that amendment says it shall be an OBJECTIVE to be in a Customs Union, not that the UK ultimately HAS to be in a Customs Union.
So what to make of all the above?
https://news.sky.com/story/theresa-may-faces-prospect-of-fresh-commons-brexit-showdown-11263136
2. Make own laws. Of course. But let's not forgot that our membership of other multinational bodies restricts our ability to make our own laws. Or are we planning on exiting all agreements and treaties which have the right to impose unlimited fines on the UK if we pass domestic laws that breach those agreements? (Such as the scary International Telecoms Union.)
3. Plan for Global Trading. Well, you could start by firing Liam Fox.
4. Trade Talks. We are in trade talks with the EU. The Department for International Trade has also made some baby steps. The issue with the EU is that we want something bespoke. And the more bespoke you want something, the longer it takes to negotiate (and bespoke trade treaties *always* take a long time to agree). The issue with trade talks with other countries is Liam Fox.
5. Negotiate as an equal. All trade treaties are balanced towards the bigger partner. In every US FTA, the dispute resolution mechanism has a majority of US judges. In the China-Switzerland FTA, the Swiss removed their tariffs on Chinese products on day one, while the Chinese slowly lowered theirs over 15 years. Ultimately, and despite their trade surplus, they are less dependent on our trade than we are on theirs.
6. Remain delays. Agreed. But I think it's worth remembering that when we moved from Commonwealth preferred trading arrangements to EEC ones, we had a seven year transition. And Commonwealth exports were less than 4% of GDP in 1973, against the 13% of GDP made up by EU exports in 2017.
In any case the reason the Tories gained seats in Scotland was on an anti indyref2 ticket not an anti Brexit ticket
The easiest way for the Tories to win a majority next time then is for some 2017 Labour voters to go LD rather than having to convert Labour voters to voting Tory
I wonder how long it would be before a teacher lost his temper and opened fire on the class.
It is Labour who has to be very careful not to upset or upset Leavers.
Anna Soubrey's constituency voted leave and she has alienated so many of her constituents by attempting to thwart Brexit that she will lose her seat next time- and she knows it, so she probably doesnt care who she upsets in the time she has left as an MP.
The idea that it is only or even mainly Theresa May's Tories who have to be careful on Brexit is absurd.
No. of Scottish seats won by Theresa = 13
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2018/02/does-seumas-milne-hold-brexits-fate-in-his-hands/
2. No other multinational body is able to make new laws under existing treaties to govern us without our express consent. This has always been the great lie in comparing the EU to any other multinational body. We signed up to a specific set of agreements when we joined those other bodies and without our clear consent they cannot alter or adjust those agreements. That is the whole basis of treaty law.
3. I would have thought firing Liam Fox was something you should do without needing a reason.
4. The issue with Trade Talks is that we are not allowed to start formal negotiations with anyone else as long as we are still in the EU. Oh and Liam Fox.
5. We will never be able to negotiate as an equal as long as our needs are subsumed to the needs of another 27 or more members and we have no direct control over negotiations. Whether China wants to take 1 day or 100 years matters not if the people negotiating with them on our behalf do not have our best interests as their first and foremost necessity.
Either way, if the premise in the article is correct, its not just Tories who are at risk for upsetting the other side in the debate. Labour too could be penalised if it is seen to be obstructing the Brexit which most of its constituencies voted for.
Of course JRM could seek to take down TM but she would have to lose a confidence vote of her MP's and then a subsequent leadership race becomes entirely unpredictable with no certainty that a leaver would win.
https://twitter.com/JasonGroves1/status/967107882624929792
https://twitter.com/SamCoatesTimes/status/967107880183828484
Not a position I would personally advocate but a logical position none the less from their point of view.
Most people in the country of course dont care about Brexit anywhere near as much as the chattering class on here think they do.
Remoaners can take heart however. They have Tony Blair as their leader, going on TV even as we speak, to rally the Nation to overthrow Brexit and stay in the EU.
Good luck with that.