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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » EU/Europe: The issue that’s cost the last 3 CON PMs their jobs. Will TMay be next?
Britain's interest in Europe appears to rise (and fall) when the Conservatives are in (and out) of government. @ipsosmori pic.twitter.com/DKlfcFIepI
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Tories are blue.
Who'll win next time?
Haven't a clue.
And first?
Over a decade ago I remember talking to a lady and her husband about the country and where it was heading. They said we would likely have a civil war due to immigration, I think the referendum of 2016 was a mainly non - combatant civil war. I do not think the issue is resolved and politicians need to get real with the public on the reason the UK will need immigration in future years. It is all about demographics and the number of workers compared to those who are reliant on the state. Immigration is the only way to square this circle without doing painful things like putting up taxes or cutting services.
Get even more immigrants in perhaps ?
Immigrants who are net recipients of money / users of public services / consumers of wealth do not square the circle, they instead make the circle even larger.
I am talking about The Renewable Heat Incentive scandal (RHI scandal)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renewable_Heat_Incentive_scandal
She set it up and it has cost Taxpayers circa £500 Million.
Labour was in power when Wilson called the 1975 referendum, and Jeremy Corbyn is a key figure in bringing about Brexit. His failure to campaign effectively for Remain after 30 years of opposing the EU was a major cause of Brexit's victory.
Labour has a lot to lose from Brexit. History shows that when people feel economically insecure they tend to support the Conservatives. Remainers are ironically making people fell insecure by predicting economic disaster and ironically may be helping the Tories.
Labour has often had the bad luck of being in power at a time of economic crisis through no fault of its own. It collapsed in 1931 because of the World Depression. It lost power in 1951 because of the austerity it was forced to pursue after the Second World War. It was blamed for the inflation caused by the oil crisis in the 70s. It was blamed for the Banking Crisis 2008-10.
In the unlikely event that Labour forms a government in 2022, and if Brexit leads to an economic downturn, Labour could well be blamed for it, especially if it is led by incompetents like Corbyn and McDonnell already pursuing hard left economic policies likely to damage the economy.
So, anyone surprised?
With Comrade Diane
I used to be against immigration until I realised I had been mislead for years by politicians. Tory Brexit politicians like Boris, Davis and Fox all agree on liberalised Immigration. Why do you think they advocate this? It is going to carry on and you are correct to say it is just deferring the problem, maybe we will get lucky and AI will replace the need for human migration?
I am afraid you will become disillusioned with politics when you realise many politicians just say things to get elected and it is often the case they say things to one group of people and something entirely different to another set of people.
So pivot the narrative?
Pause.
I can't help thinking this was meant to be more incendiary...
Of course, when Trump is alleged to be in cahoots with Russians, those very same people who will be so relaxed about Corbyn are lighting the burning brands and collecting their pitchforks to drive the President from office.
More gender-equal societies have less women in engineering and science occupations.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harold_Wilson_conspiracy_theories
Sounds like it has been made up or they are using the old rumours from Wilsons time as a framework to undermine Corbyn. If it works that would be good as a moderate Labour leader may appear and save us from the political extremes that seem to have overpowered the political system.
There is a difference between increasing GDP and increasing GDP per head.
Of course in the Star Trek "Mirror Universe", we don't have an EU and a referendum about Britain leaving it.
What we have instead is the Brexit Empire, "a fascistic culture described as oppressive, racist and xenophobic, predicated on an unconditional hatred and rejection of anything and everything "other"." Despite covering the entire continent of Europe (not just the EU27 of our universe), The Empire is the antithesis of the EU in every way.
Heroically standing up to the Brexit Empire are Emmanuel Macron of the French Resistance, and Angela Merkel of the German Resistance, along with Ambassadors Barnier and Juncker, who collectively coordinate efforts by Resistance cells all over Europe, with the eventual aim of restoring Freedom to all the occupied nations.
Key among the Brexit Empire personnel include Captain Michael
BurnhamSmithson, Admiral Anna Soubry and Commissar Nick Clegg. But who is the head honcho of the Brexit Empire in this Mirror Universe? Who might be turned on by all this oppression, racism and xenophobia in an alternate dimension?Easy: our very own Alastair Meeks.
Sorry, make that - Emperor Alastair Meeks Augustus Hungaricus Centaurius, Father of the Motherland, Overlord of France, Dominus of Germany, Rex Hispania.
Anyway, just for a bit of harmless fun - most of you probably have no idea what I mean by "mirror universe". But remember, "Context is for Kings"
https://twitter.com/GeorgeTrefgarne/status/963879533903532032
https://twitter.com/GeorgeTrefgarne/status/963881665415335937
Voters of a certain age will take more notice. And Le Carre readers.
Also makes a nice change from endless piffle from Brexit deniers.
We are less that fourteen months from Brexit Day and Boris is wiffwhaffing generalities.
I know that there are people on here who applaud Brexit on principle and those who deprecate it on same. But very few are looking at the logistics: what do we do, who do we need to employ, where do we need to deploy them? If we are to build a fence, where do we buy the chainlink from and who bangs in the concrete posts? Thousands of decisions like that need to be taken, and the possibility that they just aren't is beginning to worry me, as I've said a couple of times now.
It was an unexpected cameo, but interesting none the less. I do note with interest that it was the Shatner-era movie style Enterprise (or very similar).
BTW there was a real fungus called Prototaxites, about 400 million years back - and it grew to tree-like proportions!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prototaxites
"Commie Corbyn" is the rhetoric of the bloke at closing time that everyone backs away from.
Rather like the Mail's 14 pages on Election Day.
A good headline enhances the story. It intrigues the casual reader to investigate further.
This deflects from it, in the sense that it only re-inforces pre-existing prejudices.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAjx7YLNvPY
Unlike the spaceship designs in the early episodes of Disco which were all over the place - the D7 in "Chose your Pain" was so badly out it lends credence to the theory that the showrunners don't have the rights to the original designs - the Enterprise in "Will You Take My Hand" was tantalizingly close.
Disco has reached 2257 but the TOS episode "The Cage" was set in 2254 so the designs should line up. And to my pleasure and surprise, the DIS Enterprise is pretty close, even down to stuff like the three not-windows at the front of the disk and the solid deflector dish. And some of the differences (the nacelles) can be retconned as a callback to Archer's Enterprise. If the redesigns were this good from the beginning, Disco wouldn't have caused so much crazy shit in the past year.
[The pylons are still wrong, tho...
The D7 class Klingon battle cruiser was used during the 2256 Federation-Klingon War, although some versions, such as those used as prison ships, had a different hull configuration to ones used in the following decade despite using the same designation. (DIS: "Choose Your Pain")
http://memory-alpha.wikia.com/wiki/D7_class
'Is there a man with soul so dead/who was not in his twenties, red?
TBH, I'm not at all surprised that Corbyn, being the age he is, and in the job he did, and with the opinions he held, was, 40-50 years ago, approached by 'Agents of Moscow'.
Or one could find someone to say that he had been!
Non story.
As someone currently in Thailand, and with family and friends who live here, I'm much more concerned about the Blond Buffoon's' remark about the country in his speech, and how they may be interpreted here.
Official Thailand is prickly about the unsavoury activities of some tourists, and some, it has to admitted, Thais.
Fundamentally though surely our dreadful productivity needs tackling tbh
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5393035/Pictured-Haiti-disgraced-Oxfam-director.html
"BMG’s latest voting intention poll finds Labour and Conservatives neck and neck on 40% of the vote. Conducted between 6th and 9th February, the exclusive survey on behalf of the Independent represents a three-point increase for the Conservatives from our last publicly reported poll in December, with no change to Labour’s figures – all changes within the margin of error."
http://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/bmg-independent-conservatives-labour-neck-neck-latest-voting-intention-poll/
Being spun as a U.K. win, of course, when it could realistically be interpreted as the EU giving a concession on a deliberate overreach that was merely put in there to be conceded during negotiation.
We don't seem to get this negotiating lark....
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2018/02/elizabeth-warren-addresses-pocahontas-controversy-in-surprise-speech.html?
... and she handles the Native American ancestry controversy rather deftly.
If you find this result surprising you don't understand business.
And increased immigration of unskilled workers (let alone non-working layabouts) reduces productivity.
Yet you regularly hear / read people saying "we need more unskilled immigrants to do the jobs".
Based on Ed Balls personally interviewing 80 small and medium sized businesses all of whom trade with the EU - unlike most SMEs which have no trade with the EU. Only 8% of UK businesses export directly to the EU and a further 14% are in a supply chain which ultimately exports to the EU.
Not exactly meeting the exacting standards of a normal opinion poll.
Coming to an Economy Near You!