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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » So far so good. We might just get to the end of the week without a Cabinet exit
PaddyPower
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I guess leavers will like this idea;
https://twitter.com/TheCGA/status/931134391295840256
What I think happened with the referendum is that this one element of the overall relationship was focused on by people who have never liked immigration and probably never will.
In years gone by EU immigration has ebbed and flowed and before that there was other kinds of immigration (Huguenots, Jews, Asian, Afro-Caribbean) and my guess is those were not liked either. The difference at the EU Ref was that those people who didn't like immigration could finally do something about it. So they did.
The Old Vic theatre said it has received 20 personal testimonies of alleged inappropriate behaviour by Kevin Spacey during his 11-year tenure as artistic director.
Add in the qualifier "positive" and the likes of Fox and Grayling also fall out of the reckoning.
Why is Patrick McLoughin still there? He's only 59 but seems so much older, a party Chairman who doesn't like giving interviews...
If May has indeed got her mojo back surely its time for some winnowing.
The direction of travel and the refusal to institute - for example - structures to protect the interests of the non-Eurozone members meant that the future was not going to worth for us.
1) I have a very busy Friday/Saturday and my Sunday threads will either be written well in advance or around 7am Sunday morning
2) Mike's flying out of the country in a few days time
McLoughlin is 59?!?! He's been in parliament for donkey's years hasn't he. (I think he came in through a by-election in the 1980s?)
That's the work for plebs.
Plus there's a reason I didn't become a Doctor, I'm useless with my hands.
The difficulty is that Mrs May and her leading team are so engrossed with deciding what they ought to be doing about Brexit, and at the same time rigging the political and social landscape so that is satisfies savage hardliners like Dyson, that they do not have to think about real problems that normal people face.
1) Like Shirley Ballas, Theresa May is an appalling (head) judge
2) Who is the cabinet's Aston Merrygold, who was disgracefully kicked out without cause by a rubbish judge.
http://www.thedailymash.co.uk/news/lifestyle/why-is-it-so-hard-to-buy-a-flat-in-a-cool-area-of-this-incredibly-expensive-city-20171115139131
It’s easy for the Gen Xers and Baby Boomers. To them, with low property prices in areas considered ‘undesirable’ at the time and interest rates between five and 15 per cent, getting a mortgage was easy.
We can make this work.
Or do the Pizza and burger fields need pickers?
She's lovely and warm, most unlike Theresa May.
And well if Priti Patel had to be replaced by a Leaver, then by that logic, Phil Hammond should be replaced by a Remainer.
I was assuming that Hammond would use a load of technical language and bury the CGT change on page 456 of the Budget Book. It would take a couple of hours for the finance journos to cotton on and then Kaboom!!!!!
http://leftfootforward.org/2017/11/vince-cable-i-was-asked-to-lead-a-new-pro-remain-party-heres-why-i-said-no/
Well I was bloody surprised, anyway!
You could blame the new labour types of Blair ,brown and Cameron for remains defeat of the referendum but I also blame out of touch people who lecture from privilege positions.
MPs debating UC.
If the Government don't listen on all this then they are utterly f***ed.
My first choice for next leader right now would probably be Angela Rayner, but she's still about two years away from being ready I think.
Can't happen now because of Ed M's bonkers £3 a go vote change.
Had we started the accession process in 2014 with a rigorous assessment of the economic and political state of each aspiring country we might have made different decisions with different impacts but we wanted to shove western influence from the Rhine to the Neisse and beyond and ultimately we needed a new source of cheap labour to fuel the 1990s-2000s boom which itself was predicated on cheap food, cheap fuel, cheap money and rising asset values.
Even when the financial house of cards collapsed in 2008 Britain and Germany still looked attractive propositions for those from eastern Europe. Thus can be explained the 20% depopulation of Lithuania (116,000 in the UK) and the near 400,000 (allegedly) Romanians and Bulgarians.
Accommodating tens of thousands more people at a time of fiscal stringency makes or made no sense. In my part of London the public services are buckling under the strain with the tubes full and my local surgery experiencing a 47% rise in patients in just two years. We have also seen the emergence of new slums - overcrowded and squalid housing with the return of slum landlords.
The Single Market is a pernicious mechanism - it has enriched a few and impoverished many more. It has enriched some already wealthy areas of Europe and impoverished many peripheral regions. I wanted an EU that works for all Europeans and all Europe not one which benefits small numbers in some places.
As the baby boomers aged the relationship reversed and now the old have more wealth than the young.
People keep talking like OAPs being massively wealthier than 30 year olds is the norm throughout history when infact it has been anything but. The crossover point was the massive property spike in the 90s.
Not English-speaking but Japan is comparable to us on your definition though its obviously had its own problems for some time now largely due to vast indebtedness which is a path we would have headed down without the limited austerity we have had.
We were told that around 13 thousand would be coming.
Lol
Most of the problems seem to stem from Osborne’s interventions like the six week wait.
Last night's It Takes Two just reaffirmed that.
IDS, like Theresa May, is the faecal Midas.
Does this mean Uber will continue to operate throughout this appeals procwas? By which point Uber might not need human drivers anymore.
So the working poor, who are "striving" will be hammered.
Bonkers. Insane. Vote losing madness.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5088095/Germany-faces-SNAP-ELECTION-Merkel-t-form-coalition.html
They are rolling it out in stages between now and the next election, it will constantly be in the news.
Stephen Crabb's dick pics and general inability to keep the snake inside the pet store is behind the Universal Credit disaster and damage for the Tories.
Because of his background, being raised by a working single mother who relied on benefits, he knew what universal credit recipients would be going through, so he was ironing out the kinks in universal credit that were bequeathed to him by IDS and Osborne.
Then well his sexting stuff came out and he had to leave the cabinet.
He had a bloody good record as Chancellor, but completely blew his reputation by fighting with IDS and the hyperbolic Remain campaign.
Picking one out of the air, on a modern 3 bed semi in Milton Keynes at 275k now (5 year price rise = 25%), you would pay perhaps 8.5k in CGT on a price increase of under 50k. Just your extra 3% Stamp Duty alone to turn it into a BTL would be as much.
And that is without all the other associated costs, and that the financial and regulatory environment is tilted against single-property landlords compared to 5 years ago.
And if there has been a similar change in house prices at the other end, then then there may not be that much difference.
The people who would be hit the hardest are young families who need to trade up due to increasing family size, or divorcing couples who have no choice. The only choice would be to defer having a family (is this Tory policy now?) or remain in a loveless marriage (possibly Tory policy). Everyone else would cling on to their existing properties until you took them from their cold, dead hands.
I think that over-dramatises the impact a little! A smallish tax on a large gain is not really going to make that much difference. And if there is no gain, there is no tax.
With CGT on property at 28% and no exemption for main residence you are effectively incentivising people of all ages and all walks of life who are lucky enough to own property to never sell their homes.
I think that there may be short term turbulence, but it would find a new norm - with a less distorted market.
However, as Sean Fear said, the politics would be interesting. Richer people do not like losing their lollipops.
I'm hopeful David Gauke can fix this, he's very good.
Some money to take the rough edges on this is going to need to be found in the budget.
I think it is fairly clear, however.
https://order-order.com/2017/11/16/salmond-russia-today-good-enough-corbyn-good-enough/
Every one of those improvements is effected by the labour and cost of other people and the taxpayers. To not one of those improvements does the land monopolist, as a land monopolist, contribute, and yet by every one of them the value of his land is enhanced."
Winston Churchill - 1909.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MSkwNs_s6TA