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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » When will Mrs May announces her decision to stand down or be removed
I like this market from Paddy Power, a lot of the markets on Theresa May’s departure are when she formally stops being Prime Minister, this market is when she announces her intention to stand down (or loses a vote of confidence of the parliamentary part, not when she actually goes. For example if this market had existed for David Cameron, it would have paid out on June 24th 2016 when Dave announced his intention resign, not July 13th when he ceased to be Prime Minister.
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https://twitter.com/jk_rowling/status/924651358032154625
On the other hand, another omnishambles..........
https://twitter.com/CataloniaHelp2/status/924639476642611200
PS: I have never professed any great liking for Nicola, best of a bad bunch but not a patch on Salmond for sure. She is a tad too left wing for my liking.
I think the 9/4 on 2019 and later is the value here.
*much more difficult to do in government than in opposition of course.
Yesterday morning I was telling a colleague that there's a sports commentator on Radio 5 who treats his fellow female early morning commentator as though she's a dummy when in fact she's knowledgeable and hangs on every word of his fellow male commentator who really does know nothing.
I surmised it was because he's from Yorkshire where women do the ironing but was surprised the BBC hadn't at least told him to cool it.
And low and behold guess who it was....
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41794625
Joey Barton is perhaps not a fan of David Unsworth on Talksport.... mainly because it appears he thinks he is too fat to be a football manager... on and on he's going on about it.
TimT's suggestion that the forthcoming indictment is against Paul Manafort is fair conclusion. The lack of smoke signals out of the investigations in recent weeks was the warning that they were close to charging someone.
I did find this a curious article.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/oct/28/trump-assange-bannon-farage-bound-together-in-unholy-alliance
Many many months ago I said that Farage would turn out not to be uber Brit he was always knocking on to be and he should have been careful what cause he hitched himself to. But most of all, worst of all, remember all those people who thought Julian Assange was such a great guy a little bit back?
Yeah...
Bim Afolami: Tory MP claims Labour members trying to harass family
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41795333
Some of us have said assange is a wrong'un from day one.
Assange is an agent of a foreign government that despises Western liberal democracy. Nothing he does is about sunlight at all, its about their orders.
Perhaps Assange would explain why he personally suggested that Moscow was a good place for Snowden to go and his assistance in getting him there.
Always awkward when you have to explain the joke - as Gove has recently found.
The Guardian and Observer will relaunch in a tabloid format next year as part of a three-year plan to break even in their finances.
Guardian Media Group (GMG), the parent company of the Guardian and Observer print and digital businesses, has decided to move from its Berliner newspaper format to the smaller size as part of a major cost-saving drive.
Lewis Hamilton is about to win his 4th world championship, and become the most successful British driver ever. Current Betfair price 9.0.
Chris Froome is 10.0. Best cyclist in decades.
https://www.byline.com/column/67/article/1903
Froome should win it in my opinion. I assume he will be nominated this time - his absence last year spoke volumes about how the BBC view his achievements - but I doubt he'll get much help from the BBC.
People would find it ludicrous for her to step down at the point when she delivers what the British public voted for.
IMO she will step down in time for a new leader to be installed for the next election so it's 2021 for me.
It maybe true, but as a source byline is more Alex Jones than the times.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/2017/10/28/silicon-valley-investors-double-funding-uk-tech-brexit/
Obviously despite brexit..
Broadsheet was actually a hangover from the stamp tax, where you paid the duty by the sheet. That ended in 1855. Tabloid is more user friendly and cheaper which is why it's generally more popular.
As it happens I like Berliner format too but I can see the logic of going tabloid.
I'm perfectly aware that millions of other people love it, for a huge variety of reasons. That's fine, and I'm happy for them. It would be a very dull world if we were all alike. But it's a bit much to say a la Johnson that it's unbeatable.
Most of my friends went to London on graduating, but it's amazing how quickly even the most enthused left unless they had to stay for work. I only know of one who stayed because she liked it, out of about 10 (again, small sample size). One of the others freely admitted he only went there at all because it was the residence of lots of young women.
For myself, I was often asked what my favourite place in London was. I would always reply, 'that big blue sign saying 'Reading: The West: M4.''
Not a scrap of sympathy for any of them
However, if I'm unlucky enough to go back in rush hour and experience the sights, sounds and smells of the rush-hour tube, I realise why I left.
There is no recession. There is no Brexit slump. I begin to suspect there might not be. e.g. It looks like there might not be any significant damage to London, for instance.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/10/27/ubs-says-threat-moving-1000-jobs-london-unlikely/
I wonder if Brexit will be the greatest of Dogs That Did Not Bark in The Night.
Yes, I remember the "millennium bug" anxiety and that never happened but I suppose it all depends on the deal or no deal situation. I think of Nigel Lawson and his comments on no deal and am reassured as he created the taxation structure in the 80s that has pretty much stayed in place since then so he must have good judgement on economics. Not at all convinced on his views on climate change however!
The good thing about the UK is we still have our own monetary policy and so any shock can be accommodated and ameliorated. Thank goodness we never joined the Euro as the UK would probably be in the same sort of funk as Italy economically. I still think Brexit is a mistake and am concerned for those who might become redundant particularly in the car industry. The balance of trade and payments in the UK is truly shocking and has deteriorated substantially since around 1997 and a major closure i.e. Nissan or Honda may result in more German imports and loss of market share to companies based in Britain.
Then we could get competent people in and pay them sensible salaries on which they pay full tax.
Win, win, win.
(And apart from anything else, it would be funnier than Tom Baker on HIGNFY.)
Good night everyone.
That is the case with most major developed cities, New York, Paris, Chicago, LA, Tokyo etc the inner city is dominated by the young and very wealthy, everyone else just sees it as the location for work they commute in from the suburbs and beyond every weekday.
The British economy of 2017 resembles the Spanish one of 2007. The government is running a deficit, household savings rate are at the lowest since records began, and we run a massive current account deficit.
Back in 1997, the UK's foreign assets were bigger than its liabilities by 70% of GDP. That's inverted.
Blithely saying "there's not going to be a recession" is a little bit like thinking that you're rich because your credit cards are still working.
The UK economy is the most unbalanced in the world. Winter is coming, and it's going to be ugly.
After about 2010 it became prohibitively expensive. Also, other parts of the UK became more appealing for young people. You can now get craft beers anywhere. There is a brewdog pub in Folkestone of all places.
Living in London just isn't an option unless you are in your 20's with a decent job and happy to spend 50% of your income on a room in a shared house. Even then, you can't afford to do much at the weekends.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/oct/28/leftie-yes-and-proud-to-be-upholding-enlightenment-values
So Labour totally f***ed the economy. Great. Let's let Corbyn in, and see just how far down the rabbit hole we can go.
"So, some sixteen months after our vote to Leave, business confidence is growing, public finances are continuing to recover after the financial crisis, and our friends in the EU and around the world are looking forward to freely trading with the UK once we complete the Article 50 process. I have never doubted that Brexit would be a tremendous success for our country, and I am continually encouraged by the good news we are hearing each and every week. Obviously the big challenge to our country right now is the willingness of the EU27 to make progress – we, for our part, have done a great deal of work to chart a smooth exit from the EU. I applaud Theresa May for her determination to pursue the best possible trading and cooperation agreements between the UK and our EU friends and neighbours.
Onwards!"
https://www.andrealeadsom.com/news/20171023/yet-more-brexit-good-news-stories
Exactly how soon is the more interesting question.