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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB / Polling Matters podcast: German election special & Labour
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB / Polling Matters podcast: German election special & Labour conference reaction
On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Dr Roland Kappe of UCL to discuss the recent German election results and what happens next.
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But I wouldn't expect a trial until later on in 2017.
Pleasant thoughts all.
You don't get that poncey fifth tackle rule in Union.
I have to say that the robot tax sounds particularly stupid, and will likely stifle quite a bit of UK development and deployment.
The words of JC really were inflammatory.
Quite likely pie in the sky, but it was a part of the speech.
https://twitter.com/UKDefJournal/status/913153627279302656
Except snakes.
I'm like a pound shop Indiana Jones, except I'm a better historian.
Had Schulz won that would have been devastating for them given he is an ardent Europhile who believes the UK should be punished for Brexit but he was trounced. Instead Merkel won but lost a lot of votes and seats to the pro Brexit AfD and will have to govern in coalition with the FDP who are more pro UK and the City of London than the SPD
One other thing...is that Alex Hales kicking the guy on the floor? or the random other mate? I am guessing if it the former, he could be in the shit too.
And no TSE around to protect him!!
Top class journalism
Chris Ashton must be one hard bastard.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vSa9hAl1Lpo
https://www.joe.ie/sport/graph-bigger-is-better-check-out-how-the-size-of-rugby-players-has-changed-in-the-last-40-years-434067
Or RU vs RL.
I few years ago, I was in Vegas and just chilling in the pool, when suddenly the sun appeared to be in eclipse. When I looked to see what was bloking out my rays, I was confronted with this beast in tiny speedos who looked like the statue of David with extra muscly bits...after a few seconds I realised that the balding gentleman was in fact Lawrence Dallaglio.
As you can imagine, I refrained from informing him that he was in fact blocking my rays and would he mind moving or that his budgie smugglers were shall we say rather revealing.
' When the NHS was launched in 1948, it had a budget of £437 million (roughly £15 billion at today’s value). For 2015/16, the overall NHS budget was around £116.4 billion '
http://www.nhs.uk/NHSEngland/thenhs/about/Pages/overview.aspx
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41419858
"Theresa May is set to restate her determination to be tough on public spending despite political pressure to ease up on austerity.
"Continuing to deal with our debts," is the way to strengthen the economy, the prime minister will insist on Thursday.
"Unless there are Northern Irish politicians to bribe, in which case the deficit can go hang. Keeping myself in my job is more important than that", she will add."
I remain to be convinced they are any more skillful...
What I meant is we were fighting Europe AND the US!
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/27/theresa-may-threatens-us-withtrade-war-bombardier-row/
It is also not a trade war, it is a dispute over Boeing which does not even control all the aerospace market let alone the whole UK US Canadian trading market and it was a dispute started by Boeing and the US administration
"Boeing Super Hornet jet purchase likely to become 1st casualty in possible trade war
"Critics question Trudeau's tactic of linking Super Hornet purchase with Bombardier trade dispute"
Thanks for just repeating exactly what I said on the transition deal ie May has said she will accept free movement and payments over that time. Many Leavers are up in arms over that but still not even one bit of gratitude from a hardcore Remainer like you, just yet more whinging!
I think most normal souls would shit themselves at the thought of having to go in front of him and explain their bad behaviour.
Trump is already making noises on moving onto German goods soon and of course Chinese goods are also in his sights
BBC News Northern Ireland - Is Stormont stalemate coming to an end?
Might need to give another 1bn to the DUP to keep them sweet.
Something tells me that both the DUP and Sinn Féin are going to be a bit more willing to sit down around a table with the Westminster Government to discuss ending the current stalemate between them at the Conservative Conference. Not a good time for NI to be without a fully functioning devolved Parliament while this stalemate continues with the two main political parties whatever your politics!
BBC News Northern Ireland - Is Stormont stalemate coming to an end?
It is in neither the interest of the DUP nor that of Sinn Fein to banjax an agreement on the border. What is to stop the UK addressing the border and saying, "Regardless of any agreemement - we'll keep on putting up with the fags smuggled across the border - we are imposing no tariffs, no customs duties, the CTA, and, accordingly we will impose no borders between NI and RoI - at least as far as goods and people passing North are concerned. As for South-bound trade, the ball is in the EU's court." There is is the risk of illegal importation to the UK and there is the risk of illegal immigrants. That may be the price to pay for a friction-free border that unlocks the Brexit difficulties.
Joseph
"Why the calamity of Brexit is really the fault of those who warned against it, and really, really, really not the people who voted for it, OK?"
(1) How many seats for each party in each Land?
(2) How are the overhang seats calculated, i.e. specifically what is the difference between the new method (which has just been introduced) and the old method?
Unfortunately, Wikipedia doesn't have full details
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_federal_election,_2017
...and even the website which appears to be the official returning officer's results website seems to have alarming gaps in the actual results, e.g. it has percentages and votes for the parties but it doesn't seem to have the number of seats for each party, and doesn't have an easily accessible list of the constituencies. The only constituency results seem to be if you click on the map, or look in the list in the order in which they were declared (?!).
https://www.bundeswahlleiter.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2017/ergebnisse.html
Is there something badly wrong with this, or am I genuinely getting senile?
Is that correct, or am I senile again?
If correct, it's another example of how political preference and geographical favouritism gets in the way of making proper defence decisions based on which is best or most efficient. In other words, it's like Westland again. This time, the Heseltine is Justin Bieber throwing his toys out of the Trump.
What it should remind us is that the American government is protectionist and plays hardball.. A free trade agreement with the United States should be regarded with great suspicion, especially when judged by American tribunals known for home-town decisions, and not lauded as a great prize of Brexit.
The danger is that this leads to tit-for-tat responses and an effective end to international aircraft competition. Which would be a loss for consumers everywhere.
Unfortunately this is one of these things that’s better for everyone if no-one does it, but bettter for each individual company if they do. It’s also a good example of the need for good independent arbitration in our trade agreement with the USA.
https://www.economist.com/news/business/21729469-row-between-planemakers-has-become-political-boeing-takes-flight-hypocrisy
https://twitter.com/ottocrat/status/912999011459756032
They'd look a bit stupid but that hasn't worried Labour.
Isn't the UKIP leadership decided today? That could prove more significant than would've been the case had things remained a little less turbulent.
Someone who is too racist for Nigel Farage shows you have a big problem.