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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boris has blown it again
In the aftermath of the referendum, the job of Prime Minister seemed to be Boris Johnson’s for the taking. As one of the leaders of the Leave campaign with proven star quality and the intellectual backing of Michael Gove, he looked to be clear on goal. But from six yards out he skied it over the bar. Somehow he lost the backing of Michael Gove and he withdrew.
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Boris is continuing to flatter May even while setting out his own stall and is highly unlikely to challenge May before 2019. What he is doing is ensuring May and Davis get too linked to concessions to the EU ie a transition period and a large exit bill which he has now set himself out as opposed to. When May does likely step down in mid 2019 it will then likely be a Boris v Davis contest which Boris will likely win amongst the membership having presented himself as the true Brexiteer
IMO The task of taking the Tory party into opposition looks set to fall to Gove.
Boris isaclown, but is at least a clown with charisma.
The time for Redwood was about 20 years ago.
It's time for Conservative MPs to do what they exist for and seem to have given up on. To act conservatively. To restore order and approach Brexit as a serious and long term socioeconomic project. Not an ink blot for ***** like Boris to project their Id onto.
All of them would lead to a minority Corbyn government. The Tories need to look to that Unknown backbencher who will save the Tory party from this bunch of grotesques.
https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/908770085837447170
The Conservative party has always been old, but it's never been this old before.
This is the electorate who will choose who succeeds TM.
72 year olds.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37tS9ZYG7zU
It would have been good for the country too to have a Vote Leave leader become PM so the whole "that was Vote Leave's promise not ours" argument couldn't be made.
The restaurant dates to 1877 and the décor is Empire period with some interwar updates. It is a stunning setting for stunning food. The choice was wide, all classic local dishes and cooked to perfection. The wine choice was superb and the whole thing was accompanied by violin and guitar music to make a perfect setting.
I cannot recommend this place strongly enough and if you are ever in Budapest (which is a lovely city well worth visiting) you really should give it a try,
https://wisegrumpyowl.files.wordpress.com/2014/06/original_political-pants-for-men-mr-gove.jpg
Persuaded of this, at least as a trading bet. And unlikelier things have happened.
F1: a grid to tilt the title? Perhaps.
I was wrong about the real Boris and his real principles. Look at him now. Look today at Boris Johnson, who once proclaimed himself a liberal Tory, and consider how far ambition and the referendum have warped him. Having cast his lot in with the Leavers, he appears to think his only play now is to double down on the worst of Leave’s politics and question the patriotism of those who take a different view.
‘I am troubled with the thought that people are beginning to have genuinely split allegiances,’
Mr Johnson writes of ‘young people’ protesting the decision to leave the EU, adding:
‘A transnational sense of allegiance can weaken the ties between us.’
This isn’t nice. This isn’t funny. This isn’t cuddly or amusing or bumbling. This isn’t even excusable by the fact that Boris is utterly selfish and his principles fluidly subordinate to his career.
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/09/boriss-nasty-politics-would-hurt-the-tories-and-britain/
The basic problem that the rightwing pensioners party have is - whenever they reopen their youth wing, it only ends up attracting a pile of tw@ts and freeriders.
ie, the under 65's.
In fairness the long term trend in British politics, the shift from making voters lives better to making another group of voters lives worse, began rhetorically under Thatcher and as deliberate policy under Blair. But all that was still politics as normal. Winning elections to govern a United Kingdom.
Are we now in a completely separate era where none of that works anymore so we have political projects to blow up the pillars of the building so folk can play rescuer when the roof comes down. If so where does it all end ? And what happens if we go to far ? We're an old and stable country but even so we only have so much institutional capital and we are spending it far faster than we are generating new stuff.
The other disturbing possibility is this is where the Corbyn surge came from. I'm on an intellectual journey on this myself. But we may not be very far away from the tiny rump of centrist liberals like myself concluding that the country deserves to have a Corbyn government inflicted on it.
Firstly it appears to be what the country wants and deserves. If we must rerun the 1970's we might as well do it properly. Secondly we can't stand idly by if the Tories really have changed the game.
If we are in the age of Disaster Politics why should the Right be the only ones who get to stage Disasters. And Corbyn/Corbynism is the only UK wide weapon conservatives have at the moment.
Johnson did fine in TV debates against Livingstone and beat him. Johnson is loved by the 52% who voted Leave so he can afford to be loathed by the 48% who voted Remain and who despite flocking to Corbyn last time still lost to May.
We're a long way from Disaster Politics.
It is going to be a real problem getting ground troops out next GE.
The deal with the DUP is not £1bn per year for 2 years = £2bn total.
It's £1bn total - most is spread over 2 years though a small amount is spread over 5 years.
The cost in year 1 is approx £450m. It's the same amount in year 2 and then the small remaining balance is spread over years 3 to 5.
Unfortunately that's note how mobs work Sean. As you are well aware.
https://m.slashdot.org/story/331313