politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson’s refusal to back his boss on student immigration will surely lead to recriminations
Is Johnson on manoeuvres? His refusal to back PM on immigration data looks interesting https://t.co/AAoXqydrmv
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Go on, tell us what you really think, George......
Boris Johnson, the former 30% favourite to succeed TMay, was pressed hard on Radio 4 this morning but managed to avoid backing
'managed to avoid backing' is not quite the same as 'refusing to support'.....I'd read it more as typical Johnson bluster and obfuscation (didn't want to tread on PM/Home Sec/Education's toes) than reading 'incipient leadership plot' into it....
If I was launching a leadership plot I'm not sure 'student immigration' is where I'd start......
Isn't he always on manoeuvres ?
...the then Home Secretary thought it was better to stick with false information than get the real facts, which might force her to change the policy.
This agenda has been pushed by slimeballs like Osborne who don't have the balls to argue for open borders, and instead want to disarm the opponents of mass migration by taking away meaningful figures.
It was absolutely typical of the BBC to bang on about how 96.3% of students leave at the end of their studies, rather than focusing on the fact that 40,000 overstay illegally. If that were 0, the government would be a third of the way to meeting its 100,000 target.
They certainly are contributing to the re-generation of Newcastle city centre.
Amina Lone, Muslim Labour councillor and MP candidate who stood up for Sarah Champion, deselected by the party.
Do Labour really see cultural sensitivity as more important than child abuse?
https://order-order.com/2017/08/25/labour-candidate-who-spoke-out-about-abuse-deselected/
https://twitter.com/C4Ciaran/status/901040706730504193
Is to do with this story
https://www.channel4.com/news/revealed-inside-the-secretive-tory-election-call-centre
1) Boris Johnson is more liberal and pro-immigration than David Cameron
2) Boris Johnson would do anything/damage anyone to become PM
3) I think he knows his opportunity was straight after the election
4) I'm told Tim Shipman's book, published in the middle of October are going to very bad for Mrs May and Boris Johnson, which leaves a small window of opportunity for Boris.
The Conservative Party has worked with Blue Telecoms before. In the 2015 campaign, it declared £265,205 with the firm and spent a further £83,500 in 2016 during the Welsh Assembly elections.
An undercover investigation at the Blue Telecoms call centre in South Wales claimed the cold-call centre broke data protection and election law.....
....It's against the law to pay someone to canvass for a particular candidate.
The investigation into the contracting of the business in Neath was confirmed in a letter from South Wales Police to Labour MP Wayne David.
The Conservative Party has said it did not break the law by using the company, which it said was hired to carry out legal market research and direct marketing.
In a letter to Mr David, South Wales Police confirmed the investigation is being carried out by its economic crime unit, who have experience in dealing with "electoral integrity investigations".
It adds there is no timescale for the investigation because it is of "sufficient scale and significance that South Wales Police are unable to offer any specific timescale".
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/police-announce-significant-investigation-tory-11052322
Don't forget that imposing austerity younger voters. while exempting older voters from its consequences, was Osborne's policy.
A Home Office spokesperson said: "Mrs Clennell has been granted a visa as a spouse as her latest application meets the immigration rules to enter the UK.
"This does not negate the previous decision which was the result of Mrs Clennell having entered the UK as a visitor, overstaying her leave to remain and making several applications while in the UK which did not meet the immigration rules.
"During that time, it was open to her to leave the UK voluntarily at any time in order to reapply under the correct route as she has now done."
https://www.buzzfeed.com/emilydugan/a-grandmother-who-was-deported-from-britain-after-30-years?utm_term=.uwVdMYdvpq#.jpoJ4mJZBM
When was the last time that neither main party had an obvious heir apparent?
Put a small sum on Boris. Also, handy Raikkonen was second fastest in P2. Hopefully that'll shift his odds.
If we stopped all students coming tomorrow, then net migration would fall for a few years - we would have students going out as their course finishes and no students coming in.
On the other hand- imagine our universities manage to successfully recruit more international students to pay mega fees... then net migration will go up in the short-term - even though we know those people are going to leave.
Including students creates the incentive to harm our universities to meet an arbitrary target.
https://twitter.com/RobDotHutton/status/900979718111068160
It was far from a ringing endorsement of May's position on this but he did not actually disagree with her.
World record matching run of 50s for Root by the way.
I think that if fair enough.
Right now the 3 stooges are reduced to whining about Brussels "not being helpful" as they stumble around trying to find the least painful way out of their own disaster.
If Osborne (and Cameron) were still in the house, the Brexiteers would turn their ire on them.
I previously opined, before he left the house, that Osborne could stand on an "I told you so" ticket.
At the next election, after the chaos of a bungled Brexit deal, he could stand on a "not only did I tell you so, but now do you want the grownups back to clear up the mess?" ticket.
Cameron will be remembered (deservedly) as a failure. Offering the public a referendum where you believe one of the options to be disastrous, whilst forbidding the civil service to do any preparation, is negligence.
What was Osborne's vision exactly? Balancing the budget (eventually) at the cost of ever-growing generational inequality with much higher immigration than the public wants?
It's a bit rich for those same Leave-supporting Conservatives now to be criticising him for doing exactly what they desired and getting off the stage. Rich, but entirely in keeping with their entire approach.
While most ordinary people try to work out which of Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un is the more likely to start a nuclear war, North Korea stole a march by issuing two commemorative stamps to celebrate its military dominance over the US. One shows a battery of nuclear missiles locked on to the target of the White House, while the other depicts a giant fist breaking feeble, substandard US nukes. Some may think these stamps are a wee bit previous, given the relative military strengths of the two countries. But as the Korean peninsula is likely to become a nuclear wasteland after any first strike by either country, you could argue that it is better to get the stamps out sooner rather than later, because no one will be around to enjoy them once the conflict is over. Better to celebrate a victory in advance than annihilation afterwards. Perhaps Royal Mail could take a leaf out of North Korea’s book by issuing a series of Brexit stamps to celebrate a triumph that hasn’t yet happened. The plummeting rate of sterling that saw the pound trading near enough at parity with the euro and made European holidays exorbitantly expensive for most Britons over the summer? Resolved with the issue of a new £1 stamp superimposed with an exchange value of €1.50. Take that, EU.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/aug/25/north-korea-victory-stamps-brexit-digested-week
This, incidentally, is what is wrong with the lazy assertion that JRM is another Boris; JRM shows serious signs of being a grown-up, and I doubt whether even in his Oxford days he smashed up a restaurant or irrumated a pig's head.
Now more then ever we need everyone singing from the same hymn sheet. David Cameron has stood down and shut up, Osborne showed his true colours by going down he route he has chosen.
It's some time ago, but the comparison I drew (when Cameron was watering down his line to avoid saying we'd have a Third World War if we left) was of asking the public if they'd like cucumber or razorblade sandwiches. If you genuinely believe one option to be disastrous it's insane to offer it in a binary referendum. The lack of preparation was just weird and stupid in equal measure.
I had thought Honda's reliability had improved but the latest 'upgrade' seems a bit iffy.
In retrospect, though, I think that Cameron and Osborne did miss one trick; they should have arranged for the Leave campaign to get funding and civil service help to prepare a Brexit plan; it would have been extremely hard for the Leave campaign to refuse, and it would have exposed the unreality of much of what they were campaigning on.
It probably would have won the referendum for Remain.
Giving the Brexiteers access to the civil service would just have given them another stick to beat the government with as they'd have blamed Whitehall Remoaners for frustrating their patriotic mission.
And if no work was possible, why did Cameron forbid it?
1. Should students be included in the official migration statistics?
2. Should students be included in the government migration target?
The first is hard to change, because it would mean our statistics are not compatible with the internationally-agreed definition. The second, of course, is entirely within the government's control.
On this, good piece by Sir John Kerr in the Standard this week.
Why doesn’t he do the one thing that really would help? The divorce negotiation is intrinsically difficult, because it’s a zero-sum game. The less the EU gets from us, the more the other dozen net contributors have to pay, or the harder hit are the net recipients, the poorer countries of Southern and Eastern Europe. So all 27 seek to maximise their claims, and we are right to scrutinise them rigorously.
But negotiating on a future relationship is different, because there’s a mutual interest in getting one that works. And the more promising it looks, the greater the incentive for the 27 to agree a sensible compromise on the money. Which is why the drafters of Article 50 insisted that the divorce terms must “take account of the framework for the future relationship”.
So where, among the new UK papers, is our draft framework? It matters, because we will presumably still want, post-Brexit, to maximise European support for UK interests on wider world issues. We will presumably still aim to win the 27’s backing before key Security Council votes.
In the fight against terrorism we will presumably still want to share intelligence and have access to the European Arrest Warrant and the Schengen Information System. We will presumably still see an interest in co-ordinating and so optimising development aid, action against global warming, support for democracy, human rights, and a rules-based international system. While no longer at the EU Council table, won’t we still want to influence its decisions? So why hasn’t the Foreign Secretary said so?
It’s his business. Davis’s remit is divorce; Liam Fox’s is trade; Johnson’s is UK foreign policy, including its European dimension. So why, though so damagingly voluble on others’ business, is he so silent about his own?
However didn't you also tell us that Chris Huhne was the 'sharpest brain in politics'?
As it turned out he wasn't even the sharpest brain in his own family.
'Remainiac-in-chief' Blair to visit Juncker during Brexit talks
Andrew Bridgen, a conserative MP, said he was certain that Mr Blair would discuss Brexit with Mr Juncker.
"He has a track record since he stopped being prime minister of cosying up to and dealing with people who do not have the best interests of the UK at heart."