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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why the SNP’s MPs would probably not support a vote for an ear
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why the SNP’s MPs would probably not support a vote for an early general election
Ever since it became clear that Mrs. May’s June election gamble had failed and she’d lost her majority there’s been lots of speculation that this parliament will not go through to its full term in June 2022. Maybe but there the obstacle to surmount of the Fixed Term Parliament Act which was part of the coalition deal in 2010. The days when a PM can pop along to the Palace and call an election are long gone.
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I'm far from convinced anyone would want another election.
Ms Swinson's campaign spending came in £210 below the legal limit, but reports say this was only after almost £7,000 of costs were disregarded.
Row over Jo Swinson election spending in East Dunbartonshire
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-40959614
The SNP voted against Labour in the 1979 vote of no confidence which helped usher in 18 years of Tory rule and Thatcherism
We're going to need a bigger klaxon.
Simples
https://twitter.com/BenHatch/status/898065580921675777/photo/1
Our plans have no resonance, because they are tailored around our own needs rather than those of our negotiating partner.
More than anything, this is just a really bad strategy. The longer we insist on thinking only about ourselves, the less able we are to get what we want.
https://interactive.guim.co.uk/charts/embed/aug/2017-08-17T07:16:41/embed.html
we get very fussed over really small changes.
edit: I had totally cocked up the quote formatting
It's certainly statistically intriguing, but I'd be surprised if the scenario arises. Worth knowing, though.
And that was a wide, wide wide...
Oh dear - Stoneman gone...
https://hyperallergic.com/384776/the-norths-role-in-supplying-the-south-with-confederate-monuments/
...for this innings, at least.
I'm hoping the SNP are so offended by this thread they say it is casus belli for a second Indyref.
For a party which managed to claim that a vote on fox-hunting in England would not be an England-only matter, I'd have thought this should be a breeze.
I blame the University of Oxford for all this nonsense and their acquiescence to the Rhodes must fall nonsense.
from the Guardian live blog:
"After years’ of improving attainment by girls, early indications suggest boys seem finally to be starting to claw their way back and one of the key factors could be the reintroduction of end-of-year exams as part of the A-level reforms.
Traditionally end of course exams have been regarded as favourable to boys. When modular qualifications were introduced in 2002, girls’ performance began to climb - a trend which has continued.
Ahead of results day, the speculation has been that with the reintroduction of end-of-course exams, that could be reversed and the performance of boys may start to improve. And so they have.
This year, for the first time in at least seven years, boys across the UK in all subjects outperformed girls in achieving A-A* grades, gaining 26.6% A and A*, compared with 26.1% for girls. Last year 25.7% of boys were awarded A and A*s – 0.3 points below girls."
http://www.slate.com/blogs/xx_factor/2017/08/16/jurors_said_they_couldn_t_fairly_judge_martin_shkreli_in_court_because_he.html
“The question is, have you heard anything that would affect your ability to decide this case with an open mind. Can you do that?” the judge asked the prospective juror. “I don’t think I can,” the juror replied, “because he kind of looks like a dick.”…
(though I don't think all that many in the Senate would say anything different.)
That would be fun.
There are reasoned arguments on both sides:
https://www.vox.com/world/2017/8/16/16152088/nazi-swastikas-germany-charlottesville
The president is not contributing to them.
Long time in the Scottish political wilderness for supporting the Tories. Unless you ARE the Tories.
it is a dreadful shame that, five years after the Olympics, participation in sport hasn't improved at all.
It was a tremendous ball. Would even have got me out....!
I can see how another election will mean more betting markets and opportunities. I doubt an election this year would really help the Lib Dems much.
The reason I say the exams are getting easier is because of a thought experiment I came across. I forget where. But it went like this.
If you have two groups of candidates for an exam of patently different ability - 6-year-olds in one and 25-year-old PhDs in the other, say - then their scores will differ in most instances. But they will be identical if either the exam is very easy, or if it is very hard. An easy exam might be
1. Write your first name (100 marks).
Everyone in each group will score 100% on such a paper, and there will be no difference between the groups' relative performance.
The hard exam looks like this:
1. If you take a positive integer, and then divide by 2 if it is even, or multiply by 3 and add 1 if it is odd, then repeat this process with the resulting number, eventually you will end up with the number 1.
Prove that there is no positive integer of which this is untrue.
The latter (the Collatz Conjecture) is currently insoluble (nobody's found such an integer but nobody has shown there can't be one). Everyone in each group will score 0% on such a paper, and there will be no difference between the groups' relative performance.
So if the exam is either very easy or very hard, the two groups' performance will look the same. Thus, as it approaches being very easy or very hard from somewhere in between, their disparate performances will converge.
Where we see converging exam performance between boys and girls, therefore, we ideally need some other piece of preferably quantitative evidence that points to whether it's converging because the exam has become easier, or because it's become harder, either of which would produce convergence. If the overall pass rate in the exam has risen, this strongly suggests the exam has got easier. If it has fallen then the scores are converging upon everyone failing, so it has got harder.
It is of course possible that scores have improved because everyone has genuinely become more intelligent, or worsened because everyone has become more stupid. Proving that is a bit circular, though.
The only positive thing about it was the fact that Paris didn't get it ...
Trump is right on this one, which seems a weird thing to say. Pulling down statues serves no purpose except as a vehicle for one group of morons to provoke the other group of morons.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/897478270442143744
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/897869174323728385
knock yourselves out
Alternatively, southern states should start erecting statues that are inclusive for those for whom the confederacy was nothing to be celebrated. The fact that doesn't seem to be happening much suggests that a few need to be removed first before the reckoning can take place.
They would have to support a no confidence vote, although I bet they hope there isn't one for a while yet - long enough at least for the tories to damage their standing in Scotland.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/16/us/baltimore-confederate-statues.html